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That’s Just the Way It Is

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As if South Korea doesn’t have enough problems at the moment, Korea’s most popular exchange site bithumb, which is the number one crypto exchange by volume in the last 24 hours, and responsible for an estimated 10% of global cryptocurrency trading volumes, was hacked.

This hack attack does seem limited in scope. Overall, only about 3% of users reported having issues and though some headlines are saying that more than 100 Billion Korean Wons were stolen, that amount in US dollars comes out to only about $1 Million.

Still, this type of event serves to illustrate a sore issue for alternative investors that many of these online exchange sites are simply not secure. In this case, it was enough that the home computer of a bithumb employee was breached to compromise the personal details of clients funds.

Exchange sites can be very useful to obtain cryptocurrencies but please don’t keep your money in an unregulated marketplace. If you really want to hold the physical keys the best way to do this is by using a digital wallet. If your sole purpose is to invest in cryptos and take advantage of the price movement, make sure to use a regulated broker like eToro in order to minimize the risk.

Mati Greenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures & graphs below are valid as of July 5th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Market Overview

With all the talk about North Korea in the media over the last few days, it’s very strange that the markets remain complacent.

Usually, if there is a factor of risk, tensions between the USA, Russia, and China, or the like, we should see some type of flight to safe assets.

Well, Kim Jong Un has just demonstrated that he has the capability to send a missile as far as Alaska, and may have the ability to nuke Tokyo very shortly. Yet, the markets remain eerily calm.

Sure, the 4th of July could be partially responsible for muted volumes and activity but assets like Gold have had very little downtime and currencies like the Yen, and the US Dollar have been open throughout the holiday.

There was a light sell off at the end of the European session yesterday but stocks in Asia this morning seem oddly resilient. Here’s the China 50 index. Notice the last candle on the left showing today’s performance and notable recovery as Asian investors throw caution to the wind.

Fed Day

This evening, or around lunchtime on Wall Street, the US Federal Reserve Bank will release the minutes from their meeting three weeks ago.

The Fed, along with other central banks around the world, have been trying very hard lately to emphasize that the 2008 financial crisis is finally behind us and would love to get back to business as usual.

During their last meeting, they did manage to raise the interest rates by 0.25% to 1.25%, despite the economy not performing according to their expectations. They’ll have another meeting this month on the 26th and markets are currently predicting a 0% chance that they’ll raise the rates again.

For short term traders, an unexpected move by the fed could mean great gains, but for long term investors, it’s more important to keep in mind the projections of where we’ll be in a year or more. So let’s take a look…

Here, we can see the implied market probability of the Fed rate will be unchanged at 1.25%, raised to 1.5%, or raised to 1.75%, by August of 2018…

So, the most likely outcome is that we’ll be exactly where we are now, with a fair possibility of rates going up ever so slightly.

This could explain why the US Dollar has been underperforming over the last few weeks. The Fed is obviously talking tough and encouraging their counterparts to do the same, but markets are betting that they won’t be making any further advances on this front any time soon.

Crypto Market

At this point, the lack of excitement in the traditional markets seems to be mirrored in the digital world.

The overall market cap of all cryptocurrencies has remained steady at around $100 Billion for an entire month.

Though awareness has been gaining steadily and there have been many positive updates about new regulation and legalization of cryptos in various regions, for the time being, things are pretty stagnant.

Taking things into perspective, it’s really difficult to complain. Many of these coins have risen thousands of percentage points over the last year. So, a period of calm should really be a blessing. The fact that it’s holding in place should actually be seen as a very positive sign and we hope that it stays this way for a while as the markets get used to the new valuations.

The triangle patterns that we’ve been tracking are holding up well. To recap here are the technical patterns for Bitcoin and Ethereum.

So… until we see a breakout of these formations, we should probably take a look at the rest of our portfolios and be sure that everything else is on track. Remember, the key to any good investment is sustainability and diversification.

Have an awesome day ahead!

This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 133 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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2 Comments

  1. Namkyue Kang

    July 5, 2017 at 10:55 am

    1USD is 1150 Korean Wons so 100 billion Korean Wons is approximately $87M, not $1M…

  2. Mati Greenspan

    July 5, 2017 at 12:36 pm

    Thanks Namkyue. I stand corrected. There’s a lot of numbers floating around on various sites so it’s difficult to know exactly what the damage was. Near as I can tell it was more than 1 billion won and around $1 million.

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Altcoins

Binance Listing Announcement Triggers 29% Growth For Decred (DCR)

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Yet another coin just felt the beneficial effect of a listing on Binance – the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by adjusted volume.

Following Tuesday’s announcement by the Binance team, Decred will be listed on the exchange starting Wednesday, October 24th.

The previous month has been one in which the power of a listing on a major exchange has made itself obvious. Just two weeks ago Ravencoin (RVN) gained a Binance listing and shot to 351% growth. Meanwhile Basic Attention Token (BAT) gained close to 50% in the last week based on the mere speculation that the Coinbase exchange would be listing it soon.

DCR/USD Surge

As you can see from the chart below, it seems very few people knew about the DCR listing until it was announced by Binance.

The early morning spike hit just as the blog post was tweeted out, and over the next few hours DCR went on to record 29% gains – climbing from a price of $38.79 to $50.35.

The coin’s trade volume increased by a factor of 2,260% as it rose from the $500,000 range up to the current sum of $11.8 million. The majority of those trades have come in the form of the DCR/BTC and DCR/KRW pairs, with Bittrex, Huobi and Upbit housing most of the action.

With the morning’s spike, DCR bypassed weekly and monthly highs, while the quarterly high of $70 is still some distance away.

The project began development in 2015, and the coin remained below the $3 price range for nearly two years, up until it was carried along with the rest of the market in 2017’s surge.

Binance Picks Up Decred

The Binance blog post published on Tuesday morning states:

“Fellow Binancians, Binance will open trading for DCR/BNB and DCR/BTC trading pairs at 2018/10/24 04:00 AM (UTC). Users can now start depositing DCR in preparation for trading.”

The Decred team on Twitter followed this up with a celebratory tweet thanking Binance and its founder CZ for the listing on the exchange:

“Thank you @cz_binance & @binance, we’re honored to have $DCR listed on your exchange!”

Binance’s own informational on Decred emphasizes its use as a transactional currency, and notes that the coin will never experience the issue of having to hardfork, stating:

“Decred is similar to Bitcoin. There will only be 21M coins created, ever. The big difference: Decred uses advanced and innovative technology that solves blockchain governance. No hard forks needed. Exchanges will never have to deal with customer requests for splits. The general public will never have to sift through contentious forks or be fooled by claims of a “better Decred.”

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 82 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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XRP Price Analysis: Reports Indicate National Bank of Kuwait (NBK) is Set to Go Live With xCurrent

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  • Sources suggest National Bank of Kuwait (NBK) are moving closer to going live within Ripple’s xCurrent solution.
  • Despite current XRP/USD selling pressure, a bullish technical set up is still seen as a potential.

National Bank of Kuwait Ready to Use xCurrent

One of the largest banks in the Middle East, National Bank of Kuwait (NBK), is readying to move forward with xCurrent. It is reported this could be in place within the next few weeks. xCurrent is Ripple’s enterprise software solution that facilitates banks to instantly settle cross-border payments, providing end-to-end tracking.

The latest suggested is that the NBK are currently awaiting to receive the green light from the Central Bank of Kuwait. Sources close to the matter, are said to note that NBK are currently preparing for its first transaction with the xCurrent solution. In terms of time frame, the suggestions are for the back end of October, or by early November. These sources are being cited by the newswire, Crypto Briefing.

Earlier this year, in May, the National Bank of Kuwait mentioned Ripple via their official Twitter account. They tweeted, “NBK leads the way in Kuwait in a partnership with RippleNet to offer instant cross-border payments to customers Ripple.” Nothing further on this, from either the NBK or Ripple was noted.

It is important to note that the xCurrent solution does not use XRP tokens, unlike xRapid, which enables banks to send payments using XRP. It can then be transacted back into the appropriate fiat currency by the receiver. On the basis of the above noted, it is likely to have a direct influence on the value of XRP.

Technical Review – 4-hour Chart

XRP/USD 4-hour chart

Despite the consistent downside pressure observed with XRP/USD, a potential bullish technical set up can still be eyed. As seen on the 4-hour time frame, price action has been moving within a bullish flag pattern. The lower support has recently been penetrated by the market bears.

Near-term support eyed immediately at $0.4660-40 area, the below trend line. Further south, a demand zone is seen running from $0.4535 down to $0.4350. This was an area that caught the price during some hard selling at the back end of September. Bulls managed to kick started a recovery at this low area on 25th September. Should this technical set up fail to play out, eyes will then be on $0.4000 for support. Last traded down here on 15th October. Lastly, looking at resistance, this is seen just ahead at $0.4650, upper trend line of the flag. Ahead, there is heavy supply heading into and within the $0.5000 territory.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 33 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Investors Reward Nexo for Adding XRP-Backed Loans

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Crypto-backed lending startup Nexo is being rewarded by investors for adding loans collateralized by the third biggest cryptocurrency XRP. The company made the announcement in a blog post, saying support for XRP was in response to demand stemming from the blockchain community.

NEXO advanced by double-digits in today’s mixed crypto market before trimming those gains somewhat. Investors may have sensed an announcement was on the horizon, as Nexo, which boasts a market cap of $76.5 million, has been on a tear in October and has seen its value increase by more than one-third for the week and 160% over the last 30 days. Most of today’s trading is unfolding on Hotbit in the ETH and BTC markets. Despite the recent gains, the NEXO price, which is currently hovering at $0.13, has not gone unscathed in this year’s market downturn and traded as high as $0.40 in May 2018.

Source: CoinMarketCap

Competitive Landscape

According to Nexo in the blog post –

“Nexo continues to push the boundaries within the crypto-lending space by becoming the first lender ever to start accepting XRP as collateral for crypto loans.”

XRP, which is majority- owned by Ripple, is a popular choice and it joins a list of nearly two-dozen cryptocurrencies supported by Nexo including bitcoin, Ethereum, Zcash and many more. The XRP price, meanwhile, is currently down 2% to $0.45 with a market cap of $18 billion, more than $2 billion below No. 2 cryptocurrency Ethereum. Last month, the XRP price added 70% to its value, but October hasn’t been as kind.

In addition to XRP, Nexo also revealed a partnership with Goldman Sachs-backed Circle’s new platform CENTRE, announcing plans to offer loans backed by the new USD-backed cryptocurrency USD//Coin (USDC). Earlier this month, when Tether fell out of favor with investors, Nexo said it was exploring the addition of more stablecoins, adding that it has “never held significant amounts of Tether (USDT) on its balance sheet.”

Investors have proven to reward lenders for the expansion of the platform into new coins. Last week, rival crypto-backed lender SALT Lending (SALT) announced its support for loans collateralized by one of this year’s best performers, Dogecoin (DOGE). Since then, SALT coin has risen more than 30%. Crypto-backed lender BlockFi, meanwhile, issues loans backed by Gemini Trust’s recently launched stablecoin Gemini Dollar (GUSD).

Blockchain startups aren’t afraid to tease upcoming announcements, giving traders the opportunity to be in a position to potentially benefit from the news. Binance CEO CZ tweeted today on the heels of the exchange’s expansion into Uganda that he’s “got one more piece of good news coming soon,” which he pointed out generated more “likes” than the Uganda tweet.

As year-end approaches, the total value of the cryptocurrency market is currently below $210 billion.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 70 rated postsGerelyn has been covering ICOs and the cryptocurrency market since mid-2017. She's also reported on fintech more broadly in addition to asset management, having previously specialized in institutional investing. She owns some BTC and ETH.




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