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Tesla in Space, The Global Market Bounce in Stocks and Cryptos

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Looks like we’re one step closer to life on Mars.

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For those who haven’t seen, Elon Musk’s Space exploration company has just successfully completed the monumental task of launching the most powerful rocket of our generation, the Falcon Heavy.

The first payload of the groundbreaking rocket was one of Musk’s own Tesla Roadsters. Here we can see a dummy driving the hip car as he prepares to leave the vicinity of our planet.

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You can’t buy publicity like this. Or, maybe you can…

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

  • Is the Worst Behind Us?
  • XIV the Anti Volatility
  • Cryptodads are Hodling

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of February 7th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

The Global Bounce

After the Dow Jones saw its worst single-day sell-off in history on Monday, it had its best single-day performance in 15 months.

Traders on Wall Street were only too excited to BTFD that they didn’t even wait to see if the drop is over. This is extreme volatility and for short-term traders, it doesn’t get any better than this.

The bond market made a sharp recovery as well but failed to hold on to most of her gains by the end of the day.

We also have a bounce in cryptocurrencies, which syncs almost exactly to a tee with the bounce in the other markets. Here we can see the bottoms of both Bitcoin and the Dow almost at the exact same time.

We probably won’t know if the sell off is over at least until the end of the week. Most likely we can see some consolidation and heavy volatility as the market processes what just happened.

Of course, if things do start to look one-sided during the US session today, feel free to jump right in.

What I would like to see from both crypto and traditional markets is a bit of divergence. I mean, there’s no real reason Ethereum should be hugging Bitcoin like this…

Or that Oil and the USDJPY are swinging together…

Later today we’ll also get the crude oil inventories numbers from the USA, which should shake things up a bit.

Unfortunate Side Effect

One ETF had a particularly bad time over the course of this sell-off.

The XIV was designed to be a way for investors to bet that volatility will remain low. So when it spiked through the roof, the price got hammered…

Trading on this asset has been halted for now and Jim Cramer has a good rant on how this should never have happened.

Very glad that eTorian exposure was particularly low on this asset. Kudos to whoever went short.


Crypto News

There has been a flood of news in the cryptocurrency space over the last few weeks. Sometimes it’s difficult just to keep up. Many thanks to those of you who continue to send me articles and ask my opinion.

The thing is, it’s not always clear from a headline if a bit of news is going to have a positive, negative, or no effect on the price.

Take this headline for example….

It’s full of FUD and light on facts.

The story is that the Indian Finance Minister said that the “government does not consider cryptocurrencies as legal tender.”

Well, that’s true everywhere in the world except Japan. So this isn’t really news. If we dig deeper to get the full picture we should find that India is working hard to set up a real regulatory framework to deal with these assets, which ultimately is a good thing for everyone.

Flipping over to the United States, many were expecting the SEC to bring down the ban hammer on ICOs and cryptos in general but in fact they went the opposite way.

I could not possibly explain it better than this two minute video from the chairman of the CFTC Christopher Giancarlo, my new favorite cryptodad.

Watch the video here: https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/7vq66y/cryptodads_are_here_to_save_bitcoin/

Wishing you a spectacular day ahead!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation. The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro. Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose. Cryptocurrencies can widely fluctuate in prices and are not appropriate for all investors. Trading cryptocurrencies is not supervised by any EU regulatory framework.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Blockchain

Justin Sun Plans To Buy BitTorrent

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Justin Sun, the CEO of TRON, is finalizing an agreement to buy BitTorrent, inc. Most people know BitTorrent as the creator of the popular torrenting client, uTorrent, which at its peak had over 100 million users.

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According to Torrentfreak.com, BitTorrent has been in a steady decline to some poor decisions and potentially illegal missteps by their management.

In an interview with BitTorrent founder Bram Cohen, the management was painted by Cohen as incompetent narcissists who had no business plan and no idea what they were doing besides chasing some nebulous idea of celebrity endorsement.

This can be seen in Cohen’s statement, “They were just incompetent fuckups. I mean they’re losers. Basically, Accel took their share in BitTorrent and pretty much just gave it away to these total strangers who they didn’t know. And not only gave away their stock but gave away control of the company.

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Human beings are a bunch of starfuckers, right? The United States has become this celebrity-obsessed culture, and everyone’s all about, oh, we’ll gain access. That’ll be great, and we’ll make money off of it, everybody thinks this.”

It is against this backdrop that Sun’s alleged acquisition is taking place. The TRON projects alleged goal is to “decentralize the web.” Owning one of the most recognizable brands aligned with these goals would be a major coup for the ambitious CEO.

This is due to the fact that the most likely use case of uTorrent by TRON would be to simply parlay its user base into usage of the TRON blockchain.

Since a huge part of TRON’s model relies on advanced content search for media files, simply making use of the uTorrent brand but integrating it with Tron’s decentralized search would instantly transform TRON into one of the most actively utilized blockchains on earth.

The information stems from the fact that BitTorrent changed their company name recently to Rainberry according to their chief product officer. “Rainberry Inc is the official name of the company; it was changed right around the start of 2017.” He stressed that it was a purely corporate decision and that none of the existing product brands would change.

Despite this blanket denial, it seems like the acquisition was proceeding swiftly, and was even overcoming some initial hurdles. BitTorrent had already tried to find a better acquisition offer during the first round of negotiations, to the point that Justin Sun took them to court in an attempt to stop them from negotiating with other buyers.

However, it seems that these initial roadblocks have been overcome, as a new company called Rainberry Acquisition, (BitTorrent recently changed their official company name to Rainberry) was formed and registered directly to Justin Sun. How Sun plans to integrate the platform with Tron is an open question, but it is likely to result in some interesting synergies.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Long-Term Cryptocurrency Analysis: Correction Deepens but Leaders Remain Stable

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As the major cryptocurrencies got hit hard this week, losing around 20% on average, the long-term picture in the segment got close to an entry point for investors. The overbought readings that developed during the late-April rally are now cleared and although the short-term trends are still clearly negative, we still expect the coins to resume the recovery. With that in mind, long-term investors could start accumulating the relatively stronger coins.

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On a negative note, even the leaders violated key support levels during this week’s selloff, but the secular long-term trends are not yet in danger. The prior leaders Ethereum, EOS, and IOTA are still in the center of attention, as we expect them to form a bottom soon. Bitcoin and the other relatively weak coins, like Litecoin, Monero, Dash, and NEO are still lagging the form a technical perspective, but they are also well above the support levels that would indicate an end of the secular bull market.

BTC/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

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Bitcoin is below the key $7650-$7800 support level and it remains the biggest drag on the market, despite a brief period of relative strength this week. The upper boundary of the base pattern that we identified in April is found near $6150, with a weaker zone around $6500, and with the short-term trend clearly being negative, the latter might be tested before a bottom forms. Further resistance is ahead at $8400, $8700, and between $9000 and $9200, and traders and investors still shouldn’t enter positions here.

ETH/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Ethereum is testing the $555-$575 support zone after violating the $625-$645 range, with the declining short-term pattern being intact. A bottom near the $500 would still keep the recovery intact, but the correction low might already be in, and investors could already add to their holdings here. Further resistance zones are ahead between $735 and $780 and near $845, while support is found near $450.

(more…)

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 257 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Bitcoin

John McAfee Just Made Some Bold Predictions for Bitcoin, Bitcoin Private

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Technologist and crypto bull John McAfee has made a series of eyebrow-raising predictions concerning bitcoin and bitcoin private. While McAfee is no stranger to gutsy calls, his new forecast sees bitcoin prices doubling in a matter of weeks. And yes, the forecast came after the Wednesday price collapse.

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McAfee Raises the Stakes on Bullish Bets

In a Thursday tweet, McAfee predicted the market will “turn” before June 12, which was the original date of the planned summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un of North Korea. McAfee’s algorithm expects a Korea deal to get signed on that day even as Trump signaled on Thursday for the cancellation of the meeting.

According to the post, McAfee expects bitcoin to surpass $15,000 in June before dipping again in July. Bitcoin bottomed below $7,300 on Thursday. It was last seen trading at $7,563.

Bitcoin private, the so-called meta currency that ‘merge-forked’ from bitcoin and Zclassic, is expected to hit $200  by the end of July. At the time of writing, BTCP was trading at $25.61, having gained more than 33% over the past 24 hours.

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BTCP entered circulation in early March as a fork from Zclassic, which itself forked from bitcoin. Bitcoin private is therefore seen as a ‘fork of a fork of a fork.’

McAfee also expects EOS to jump to $32 by the end of July from its current level of $12.48. EOS has skyrocketed to the No. 5 spot on the market cap rankings with a total value of $11 billion.

Institutional Demand

Earlier this week, McAfee heralded the arrival of institutional money to the cryptocurrency market, arguing that it will spark the next leg of the rally.

“Institutional investors are preparing to enter the cryptocurrency market with a vengeance” he tweeted Monday. “They are generally long term investors and will be pumping billions into the market. Expect the top ten coins to go through the roof fairly quickly. The bulk of alt coins will soon follow.”

Digital currency exchange Coinbase has expressed the same opinion and has launched a suite of products to ease institutional money’s transition to crypto.

Crypto analyst Tom Lee has also appealed to institutional demand to justify his bullish outlook on bitcoin in the face of multiple declines. In a recent interview with CNBC, Lee said institutional interest in crypto has only just begun and that demand will continue to grow once regulatory uncertainties are ironed out.

Lee maintains a price target of $25,000 for bitcoin.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 415 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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