Connect with us

Market Overview

Taking on the Amazon

Published

on

Today mother nature will shed a tear for the country of Brazil who has decided to tear down a massive rain forest.

// -- Discuss and ask questions in our community on Workplace.

President Michel Temer, who has recently been accused of massive accounts of corruption, has given the order to clear the Renca reserve. A lush stretch of vegetation and wildlife ranging 43,000 square kilometers will be cleared in order to access the precious metals and minerals that lie underneath.

The government insists that no native tribes will be displaced. However, when clearing a section of forest roughly the size of Denmark there are bound to be ecological and environmental consequences.

We can’t really blame Brazil for making this choice. A lot of the money raised will no doubt go towards improving the sub par standard of living in the most populated country on the continent. However, the cost not only to the country but to the entire world will be extremely heavy, perhaps even one of the worst of its kind and at a very inconvenient time.

// -- Become a yearly Platinum Member and save 69 USD and get access to our secret group on Workplace. Click here to change your current membership -- //

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of August 25th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

While Wall Street continues the process of determining how much they like Donald Trump and how much that opinion should affect market prices, the Asian markets have decided they don’t care.

The China50 index is flying at the moment with gains of more than 2% reaching it’s highest level in over 2 years!!

Stocks in the country are responding to new policies from the Chinese government that are designed to bring in more foreign investment.

“While the initial movement in the markets speaks for itself it’s still not clear how it will affect the economy in the long term. Going forward, we will need more money to invest in different areas so the effect will really depend on how the new policies are implemented.”

Macy Ma
@Macygogogo
eToro, China Analyst

Growth in many stocks has been stellar so far this year and this recent move in the China50 makes it one of the most profitable indexes in the world with about 22% growth since January 1st.

Wallmart <3’s Google

Just when it started to look like Wallmart’s may be going the way of the dinosaur, a new but well known friend has swooped in to save the gargantuan retailer.

On Wednesday the two companies announced that they will be joining forces in order to take on the likes on Amazon. Though they’ll likely never be able to compete with the convenience of shopping on Amazon Prime the two unlikely partners are planning for a future where voice command and prompts to repeat your purchase will dominate routine shopping habits.

They better move fast though. Amazon is just crossing the Ts and dotting the Is on their purchase of Wholefoods and fully intend to slash prices in the food and drink industry.

This partnership may be more about the battle between Amazon Vs Google more than anything else. They are also reportedly competing heavily to buy Nordstrom at the moment.

Here’s a chart of the three companies’ shares over the past year. Quite plainly the correlation between Google and Amazon may be a bit overdone. Don’t you think?

Crypto-part

Cryptocurrencies are having a grand old time and trading very near to their all time highest levels.

Bitcoin is back up to $4375 a coin as of this writing and the entire market cap of all cryptos is at $155 Billion. A very strong position for blockchain technology.

A former head of Barclays bank was recently quoted as saying that blockchain may just put banks out of business. Check out the video here: https://www.cnbc.com/video/2017/08/24/blockchain-will-transform-banking-says-ex-barclays-ceo.html

Anotony Jenkens was quick to point out that blockchain is still in its early stages and it’s really only the early adopters who are involved so far.

Confidence is also high in bitcoin at the moment due to the activation yesterday of the segwit protocol on the bitcoin network. An upgrade that has been in the works and heavily debated for several years and is now finally up and running.

What else?

Make sure to keep an eye out for speeches today from Janet Yellen and Mario Draghi who will be speaking respectively at 10:00 AM and 1:00 PM Wyoming time.

Have a great day and an amazing weekend ahead!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.
The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 33 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




Feedback or Requests?

Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Analysis

Daily Analysis: No Questions Answered

Published

on

Thursday Market Recap

Asset Current Value Daily Change
S&P 500 2718 0.97%
DAX 12,468 0.31%
WTI Crude Oil 62.61 2.02%
GOLD 1332.00 0.52%
Bitcoin 9780 -8.00%
EUR/USD 1.2324 0.26%

It was a strange day indeed in equity markets, with mixed signals popping up across the board after yesterday’s crazy quasi-FED day. An ugly overnight session, followed by a strong pre-market rally, an early-day pump, and a late-day dump. That is the summary of the day, but under the surface, there is a real struggle between market forces, with still an edge for bears in the battle for control.

// -- Discuss and ask questions in our community on Workplace.

NASDAQ 100 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

It seems that the Nasdaq is still the key, as the relative strength of the tech benchmark is the most reliable gauge of the market direction, at least regarding the intraday trends. That said, at the end of the day, the Nasdaq closed in the red 4 times in a row, at least as far as the normal trading day is concerned, and still, the major indices are trading not far off last Friday’s top, despite the downward drift.

// -- Become a yearly Platinum Member and save 69 USD and get access to our secret group on Workplace. Click here to change your current membership -- //

Forex Markets and Commodities

Adding to the confusion, the Dollar corrected lower after a positive period, and with Treasury yields trading all over the place, investors were left scratching their heads yet again. The Japanese Yen was the clear winner of the day among currencies, as the primary safe-haven got bid heavily during the Asian session, and it remained throughout the up-and-downs of the day, despite the strong bounce in stocks and risk-on currencies.

USD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The EUR/USD pair had a very active and volatile session, but the common currency remained above the lows from two weeks ago, while also halting below yesterday’s highs, so all-in-all, no technical conclusion to draw. As in stocks, the next clear directional day will be crucial, as the tug of war is getting tenser and tenser.

EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Canadian Dollar plummeted during the day, thanks to the dismal Retail Sales figures, but it finished well off its lows, boosted by the stock recovery and the jump in the price of crude oil. The Black Gold was pushed higher by the surprisingly bullish US inventory data, and the WTI contract closed back above $62.50 per barrel.

USD/CAD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Gold continued to follow the Euro, finishing the day slightly higher, but the precious metal showed notable relative strength during the Asian session, and that could be the precursor of a move to new rally highs, should the bearish scenario play out in equities.

Cryptocurrencies

The segment had another bearish session, and the bleeding continued after the US session, with BTC leading the way lower this time around after a long period of relative strength. A crucial test might be ahead of the most valuable coin, as the $9000-$9200 support zone would be a perfect target for the current correction, to keep the uptrend going. That said, that zone is still almost 50% above the prior low, leaving plenty of room for the coin to bottom out.

BTC/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

With all of the major altcoins also sporting significant losses, bulls would like to see more of the early relative strength that some coins have been showing, to establish a leadership that can guide the segment out of the plunge. For now, the crash lows are way below the current levels, and the bullish long-term scenario remains intact.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
11 votes, average: 4.55 out of 511 votes, average: 4.55 out of 511 votes, average: 4.55 out of 511 votes, average: 4.55 out of 511 votes, average: 4.55 out of 5 (11 votes, average: 4.55 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.7 stars on average, based on 111 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Analysis

Pre-Market: Bulls Try to Fight Back after Ugly Overnight Session

Published

on

Following the steep late-day downturn on Wednesday, which followed the not-to-hawkish FED meeting minutes, Asian markets and US equity futures continued lower with a vengeance. The very active overnight trading is another sign of the regime change in traditional financial markets that we have been monitoring for the last two weeks, ever since the “Black Monday of 2018”.

// -- Discuss and ask questions in our community on Workplace.

Dow Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EUR/USD Changing Behavior

The European session brought about an oversold bounce that stabilized markets from stocks to currencies. The EUR/USD pair that has started acting “normally” considering its relationship with US Treasury yields lately, is headed south once again, trading only 0.5% above its recent correction lows after clearly breaking below the rising trendline.

// -- Become a yearly Platinum Member and save 69 USD and get access to our secret group on Workplace. Click here to change your current membership -- //

EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The bull-trap that we identified a few days ago was the start of the current leg lower, and if the regime change will be persistent, the most traded forex pair could be back to the role of the “risk-on/risk-off” indicator that has been the privilege of commodity currencies in the last couple of weeks.

USD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Japanese Yen is showing notable strength after its overbought dip, and the primary safe-haven currency could be in for more gains, should the risk-selloff continue. The Yen also gained ground on the common European currency, following the dovish ECB meeting accounts and the misses in the German IFO business climate indicator and the British GDP, which all question the European growth-monetary tightening narrative.

Canadian Dollar in for a Wild Ride

USD/CAD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

With the Canadian retail sales report and the US crude oil inventory data coming out soon, forex traders should expect sizeable moves in the recently weak currency, while the USD should also be very active during the US stock market session.

All eyes are on Treasury yields again, with the slight correction today helping the bounce in stocks and other risk assets. The Nasdaq could be the motor of a stronger rally on Wall Street, but we wouldn’t bet the house on that, as the short-term technical setup remains bearish, and a re-test of the correction lows is still the most likely scenario for the coming weeks.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
3 votes, average: 5.00 out of 53 votes, average: 5.00 out of 53 votes, average: 5.00 out of 53 votes, average: 5.00 out of 53 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5 (3 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.7 stars on average, based on 111 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Market Overview

Play that Funky Market

Published

on

There’s only one way to explain what’s happening in the markets right now.

// -- Discuss and ask questions in our community on Workplace.

It’s FUNK!

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

// -- Become a yearly Platinum Member and save 69 USD and get access to our secret group on Workplace. Click here to change your current membership -- //

Today’s Highlights

  • More Market Funk
  • No way but Right?
  • More Crypto Vol

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of February 22nd. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Traditional Markets Funk

Everything was going fine on Wall Street, they came back from lunch in a buying mood, but somehow things started to turn sour. By about an hour before the close things started to get downright ugly and by now we’re more than 500 points off the peak of that yellow circle and we’re now 3.82% from the all-time high.

Once again, the movement began in the bond markets, with the yields on the 10 Year spiking to a new high of 2.94% by the end of the day.

And of course, volatility can be seen with the VXX shooting up into the close.

Italian Splinters

It’s been five days since Italy stopped publishing opinion polls ahead of the national elections on March 4th in order to stop them having an influence on polling day itself.

That said, as we learned in Brexit and the Trump elections, polls can’t always predict what’s going to happen and in Italy, even less so. And this one is set to be even more interesting than usual.

Nevertheless, some analysts have come to the conclusion that the only party with an actual shot of winning an outright majority is Forza Italia, led by Silvio (I can’t believe I’m even writing this) Berlusconi.

This is still anyone’s game though, and even though there are 945 seats across two Houses of Parliament, alliances are so fractured that candidates are now battling for every single voter.

For the markets it’s still not clear what the effects might be, but as Europe’s 4th largest economy, and with the EU’s 1st largest economy still in a political deadlock, I’m looking squarely at the Euro.

In this chart, we can see the effect that a decisive election had on the EURUSD on April 23rd (yellow circle). Notice the large gap up that seemingly took the market from flat to flying in a single weekend when it became clear that Marine Le Pen had no chance of victory.

Crypto Volatility Continues

When Wal-mart’s stock dropped 10% on Tuesday it was a really big deal but when Bitcoin dropped an equal percentage on Wednesday, somehow it just doesn’t seem all that significant.

On that thought, here’s a meme I made yesterday. 🙂

That’s just the level of volatility that we’ve come to expect from this market. So please be aware that when I say cryptos are volatile, what I mean is they’re extremely volatile.

One thing that I keep noticing in the crypto-market is that when things are going up, we can expect to see different levels of returns in different coins and general divergence. However, when things are going down the correlation gets stronger and everything falls together.
You should be able to see that in this chart pretty clearly…

As always, let me know if you have any questions or if you need anything further.

Have a groovy day!!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation. The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro. Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose. Cryptocurrencies can widely fluctuate in prices and are not appropriate for all investors. Trading cryptocurrencies is not supervised by any EU regulatory framework.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
5 votes, average: 5.00 out of 55 votes, average: 5.00 out of 55 votes, average: 5.00 out of 55 votes, average: 5.00 out of 55 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5 (5 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 33 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

A part of CCN

Hacked.com is Neutral and Unbiased

Hacked.com and its team members have pledged to reject any form of advertisement or sponsorships from 3rd parties. We will always be neutral and we strive towards a fully unbiased view on all topics. Whenever an author has a conflicting interest, that should be clearly stated in the post itself with a disclaimer. If you suspect that one of our team members are biased, please notify me immediately at jonas.borchgrevink(at)hacked.com.

Trending