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These stocks can extend their uptrend

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The S&P 500 has broken out to new lifetime highs and has closed above the critical psychological resistance level of 2500, albeit marginally. Nevertheless, the index is likely to gain momentum from here on, extending its aging bull market gains, as the shorts will be forced to cover.

Key points

  1. The S&P 500 has broken out of the critical overhead resistance level of 2500
  2. Stronger stocks are likely to outperform if the index continues higher
  3. However, at these elevated levels, traders should enter stocks only if the risk to reward ratio is attractive
  4. Allocate less than 50% of the normal position size while trading pure momentum plays

Therefore, this week, we have selected a few stocks that have broken out to new highs and are likely to extend their gains along with the index. However, traders should keep in mind that the markets are richly valued at the current levels and can quickly turn down from here. Therefore, please close the long positions if the stop loss is hit.

Also, as the stocks rally, please keep trailing the stop loss higher to protect the paper profits.

BA – Buy 250, SL 236, Target 265 and higher

Weekly chart

Boeing started an uptrend in end-2016 after consolidating for about three years. It gained momentum once it broke out to new highs in 2017. Since then, the stock has been in a vertical rally, outperforming the index, which has pushed the RSI into the overbought territory.

Nevertheless, after consolidating for the past few weeks, the stock again broke out to new highs last week. We expect the uptrend to continue, therefore we want to piggyback on it for quick gains. Let’s look at the critical levels to watch out for.

Daily chart

Boeing broke out to new highs on Friday. The consolidation of the past few weeks has corrected the extreme overbought conditions on the RSI. With the latest breakout, we expect the stock to resume its uptrend and rally to $265 levels. The stock can easily surpass its target if the momentum sustains. Therefore, traders can enter at $250 and keep a stop loss of $236. This trade offers a risk to reward ratio of 1:1.

NSC – Buy 128, SL 120, Target 140

Weekly chart

The stock bottomed out in February of last year and rallied until February of this year. Thereafter, the stock entered a period of consolidation that lasted for almost seven months. Last week, the stock broke out of the stiff overhead resistance of $125, which shows that the bulls have regained their strength. We now expect the stock to resume its uptrend.

Daily chart

On Monday of the previous week, the stock broke out of $125, which had been acting as a stiff resistance. Thereafter, it extended its gains during the remainder of the week. This shows that the bulls are willing to buy at higher levels. We can buy the stock at $128 and keep a stop loss of $120. We don’t want to hang on to the stock if it falls back into the range. The first target objective is $140. This trade carries a risk of $8 and a probable reward of $12, if it performs according to our expectations.

MED – Buy 57, SL 54, Target 68

Weekly chart

The stock has a history of vertical rallies, as shown on the chart. This time too, the stock has embarked on a similar sharp up move. Therefore, we want to hop on this ride, expecting it to continue higher. If proven correct, this can be a rewarding trade. However, historical evidence shows that the stock falls sharply once the uptrend ends. Therefore, please strictly adhere to the recommended stop loss.

Daily chart

The stock rose vertically from $42.12 on August 08 to $56.41 on August 18. Thereafter, the stock entered a shallow correction, which was arrested just above $54 levels.

If the stock breaks out and closes above $57, the next leg of up move can carry it to $68 levels. As this is a pure momentum play and has a history of correcting sharply from its highs, we don’t want to keep a deep stop loss. Our stop loss should be below the recent swing lows, at $54. Please trail the stops higher as the stock continues its journey northwards. The risk is $3, while the reward is $11. However, this is a risky play, therefore, please trade it with only 50% of the normal allocation size.

MYOK – Buy 48, SL 40, Target 70

Weekly chart

In the past two months, the stock has almost tripled in value. This shows a very strong momentum in its favor. As a result, the RSI has become extremely overbought. However, the correction only lasted for two weeks, which shows that the bulls are piling on the stock on every small dip. The stock is likely to resume its uptrend once it breaks out to new highs.

Daily chart

After being range bound for most of 2017, the stock broke out with a huge gap up on August 07 and has never looked back. It has almost tripled in value since then, which shows the strong momentum behind it. After a shallow correction, which was arrested just above $40 levels, the stock is on the verge of a breakout to new highs once again.

The stock can be purchased at $48 and the stop loss should be maintained at $40. We don’t want to hold the stock below this level. On the upside, the stock can rally to $70 levels if it can build up momentum once again. However, we recommend trailing the stop loss higher once the stock moves up as it is a high-risk trade. Also, please keep the allocation size small, about 50% of normal.

PEGI – Buy 26.3, SL 23, Target 31

Weekly chart

The stock has not broken out to new lifetime highs; however, it is quoting at its 52-week highs. We like the stock because it has broken out of a bullish ascending triangle pattern, which has a target of $31.59. The stock offers a decent risk to reward ratio, therefore, we want to buy it.

Daily chart

Usually, a breakout pulls back and retests its earlier resistance level, which in this case is $25.13. However, sometimes, the breakout continues higher and never looks back. If the markets remain bullish, we might not get a pullback.

Therefore, we want to buy the stock at $26.3 and keep a stop loss of $23. We don’t want to hold the stock if it falls and sustains below $25 levels. Our target objective is $31. The risk is $3.3, while the probability of reward is $4.7. This is not a momentum play; hence, this is likely to rise slowly.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 9 rated postsRakesh Upadhyay is a Technical Analyst and Portfolio Consultant for The Summit Group. He has more than a decade of experience as a private trader. His philosophy is to use technical analysis for momentum trading and fundamental analysis for long-term positions. Rakesh likes to keep himself fit by lifting weights and considers himself to be a spiritual person.




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Trade Recommendation: Bread

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The cryptocurrency markets, especially altcoins are facing a brutal week. So many pairs are either in oversold or extreme oversold territory. While it may look scary to enter long positions at this point, it’s actually a good idea to be a contrarian. The immense selling in the past few days puts bulls in a good position to annihilate short positions.

In line with that, we believe Bread/Bitcoin (BRD/BTC) is poised for a strong rally.

Technical analysis show that BRD/BTC looks ready to break out of a large falling wedge on the daily chart. Yesterday’s pin bar candlestick supports this assumption. This shows that bottom pickers are buying the support.

In addition, we can see a bullish divergence on the daily RSI. This also affirms the idea that the market is gaining bullish momentum.

Lastly, the pair appears to be at the apex or at least near the apex of the falling wedge. With a bounce underway, bears would be hard-pressed to generate a lower high that’s so close to the support.

The strategy is to buy the breakout at 0.000055 after the pair prints volume of more than 2.3 million Bread units. Bears will try to put up a fight to keep market control. BRD/BTC needs buyers to absorb the selling pressure.

Once breakout is complete, the ensuing rally would likely take the pair to our target of 0.000075.

The process can take less than one month.

Daily Chart of Bread/Bitcoin on Binance

As of this writing, the Bread/Bitcoin pair is trading at 0.00004612 on Binance.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: Breakout at 0.000055 with volume of 2.3 million Bread units.

Target: 0.000075

Stop:  0.0000524 after breakout.

 

Disclaimer: The writer owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.6 stars on average, based on 223 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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Trade Recommendation: Monero

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The Monero/US Dollar pair (XMR/USD) climbed as high as $469.50 on December 20, 2017. This marked the end of an impressive bull run that saw the pair grow by more than 700% in four months. From this point, the XMR/USD has been in a downward spiral. The good news is that a significant bounce is on the horizon.

Technical analysis reveal that XMR/USD is showing signs of a potential rally. First, we see the pair about to hit the apex of the large falling wedge on the daily chart. This pattern is so large that it is also visible on the weekly chart.

A quick look at the falling wedge shows that the market always bounces when it drops to the support. The market is currently sliding down the support side of the wedge. This gives us reason to believe that a bounce is in play.

On top of that, XMR/USD is also about to touch its long-term support. This trend line has existed since March 2017. The strength of this support should make it difficult for bears to push the price further down.

Lastly, we can see a bullish divergence on the daily RSI. This tells us that XMR/USD is gaining momentum. This signal also affirms our arguments that the support will hold and that will lead to a significant bounce.  

The strategy is to buy as close to $80 as possible. Should bulls hold on to this key support, they will likely inspire a rally to our target of $125.

The process may take less than a month.

Daily Chart of Monero/US Dollar on Kraken

As of this writing, the XMR/US Dollar pair is trading at $82.59 on Kraken.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: Buy as close to $80.00 as possible.

Target: $125

Stop: $75

 

Disclaimer: The writer owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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2 votes, average: 3.00 out of 52 votes, average: 3.00 out of 52 votes, average: 3.00 out of 52 votes, average: 3.00 out of 52 votes, average: 3.00 out of 5 (2 votes, average: 3.00 out of 5)
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3.6 stars on average, based on 223 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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Trade Recommendation: Aeternity

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The Aeternity/Bitcoin (AE/BTC) pair surprised investors when it went as high as 0.0006333 on April 29, 2018. Before that move, AE/BTC was trading at a low of 0.000159 on March 18. This means that those who bought at the low grew their investments by over 300% in less than a month.

Unfortunately for buyers at 0.0006333, participants exploited the pump. The market has been dropping since. Nevertheless, it appears that AE/BTC is ready for bottom picking.

Technical analysis show that AE/BTC is trading inside a large falling wedge. The pattern is about to hit the apex just as it is about to touch the line in the sand of 0.000165 support.

Call it coincidence, market psychology, or manipulation. What’s important is that we know that 0.000165 is an area where demand exceeds supply. This is the staging ground that kickstarted the bull run earlier this year when the market surged to 0.0006333. This tells us that the “smart money” likes to buy at this price level.

The strategy is to buy as close to 0.000165 support as possible. If our assumption is true, then the “smart money” or the “whales” will start buying at this level. They will also defend on the support to protect their positions. This should spark a rally to our initial target of 0.0002532.

The process can take less than one month.

Daily Chart of Aeternity/Bitcoin on Binance

As of this writing, the Aeternity/Bitcoin pair is trading at 0.000176 on Binance.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: As close to 0.000165 as possible.

Target: 0.0002532

Stop:  0.000159

 

Disclaimer: The writer owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.6 stars on average, based on 223 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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