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Stellar Lumens Price Analysis: One More Pullback Before Big Bull Action?

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  • XLM/USD is observing a pullback after the recent bull run, gaining over 25%.
  • The small near-term correction could be the big incentive for bulls to really pile in to send XLM/USD to the north.

Stellar’s native token Lumens has been making solid ground for its larger path to recovery. XLM/USD was contained within a triangular pattern formation since July. It proved to be very stubborn indeed. Given the crafting of this pattern coming after a deep market fall, it could have been perceived to be a bearish pennant. The bulls however defying this with the breakout observed.

On 31st October, XLM/USD saw a daily candlestick closure with a hammer, indicating of a reversal, following the firm trend lower it had previously exhibited. Playing by the textbook with that candlestick, the price has since been running to the upside. Between the 31st October and 5th November, the price gained around 25%.

Pullback in Play

XLM/USD daily chart

Resistance was encountered between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci. Sellers pilling in after the 6th November high print, $0.2725. This was the highest level that had been seen since 24th September, where the price hit and was rejected by the upper trend line of the triangular pattern. XLM/USD was forced to treat at the time, back down towards the lower supporting trend line.

Given the decent breakout to the upside from the above-mentioned pattern, collating big gains within a short time frame, the pullback isn’t too surprising. Typically, after such moves are observed, the pullback or profit taking is usually followed. In this current case, XLM/USD is heading for the retest of the pattern, following the breach.

Near-Term Technical Road Map

Should the market bears complete the pullback, this would see XLM/USD back south around $0.2350, in proximity to the 38.2% Fibonacci. A failure to hold and complete this technical set up could see the price easily slipping back down to the $0.2000 territory. The bottom seen between 11-15 October could be a likely initially destination.

To the upside, post a potential bounce, the bulls would need to break down $0.2600 (50% Fibonacci) and then $0.2830 (61.8% Fibonacci). These are the only major barriers in the way of $0.3000 being reclaimed. The price last traded here on 23rd September, which was very much short-lived, as the sellers pilled in.

In conclusion, this pullback which appears to be very much underway, could further trigger some larger bullish momentum to come. A firm clearance of the big psychological $0.3000 mark can open up the door to greater upside. $0.3540 the high print seen on 25th July, may come back into the picture in the near-term.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 60 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Altcoins

Zcash Price Analysis: ZEC/USD Flood Gates Open After Breakout and Retest from Pennant

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  • ZEC/USD licking its wounds with deep double-digit losses as the market continues to take a beating.
  • Next major areas of support are eyed at currently levels around $89.50 and then $75.

Zcash has been under chunky selling pressure, no thanks to the larger weakness seen across the broader crypto market. The ZEC/USD exchange rate is nursing deep losses, running at two consecutive sessions firmly in the red. At the time of writing, the price has dropped over 25% in the last two sessions. This extended downside comes after a breach and retest from a pennant pattern.

ZEC/USD daily chart

ZEC/USD had moved within the above-mentioned technical set up since 12th September. The formation of this set up took shape following a deep market sell-off from the back-end of July to mid-September. Price behavior was very much consolidation mode, forming this pennant. Playing out to the textbook, a breakout from the set up was seen.

Further on the above, the firm daily breach came on the 14th November. The few daily sessions that followed this were within consolidation mode. Subtle retests underneath the broken pennant were seen. The Monday session saw the extension further south after the brief retest period. The bears smashed through the big psychological $100 mark, leading prices to the downside.

As a result of the above price developments, ZEC/USD selling pressure has forced a move on the current daily candlestick below a vital demand area. While the $105 – 95 range has proven to see buyers sweep in, sellers are proving to be too much to handle. This area previously served as a strong safety net, on 12th September, where decent buying came into play.

Support Levels

ZEC/USD weekly chart

Viewing the weekly chart, the bears are currently testing the lowest levels seen since May 2017 to the downside. This is seen just below the $90 level. Looking further south, the next major downside target is seen at the $75 area. This is a weekly support level, which was last in play back in April 2017, when the price started to pick up bull momentum.

A breach of the above-mentioned areas could be catastrophic. Eyes would then be on ZEC/USD potentially free-falling a further 50%, down within $40. This would be the next major consolidation area that could provide some firmer footing. The price last traded here in March 2017. This would be the very extreme scenario but cannot be ruled out.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 60 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Altcoins

Bitcoin Cash Price Analysis: BCH/USD Hard Flops as Price Moves Within the Abyss

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  • Bitcoin Cash price falls into uncharted territory, struggling to find a bottom.
  • Weekly chart still points to further downside, RSI not within oversold territory as of yet.

The Bitcoin Cash price remains heavily on the back foot, the standout under-performer across the major altcoins. BCH/USD is currently running at three consecutive sessions of losses. The streak could have been much longer, however the price was given a breather ahead of a pick up in downside intensity. In the past two weeks, BCH/USD has dropped over 60%.

As covered in an article earlier in the month, BCH/USD failed to break down a key area of supply. This was seen within the $650 territory; the price had faltered here in early September. It was forced back down to the south, to then retreat at some neckline support, $410.

BCH/USD daily chart

The most recent occurrence within the above-mentioned supply zone was seen between 6-8 November. Heavy sellers piled in, forcing the price initially down to the neckline support, $410. Between the 15-19th November, BCH/USD had breached, retested and consolidated around this area, before a resumption of further bloodshed.

Downside Targets

Looking via the weekly chart, the BCH/USD exchange rate demonstrates that the price is literally falling into the abyss. This fall is very much uncharted territory, so the bears are free to drive this a far south as it needs to be taken. In terms of the RSI, this indicates that there is still some room for this to be driven lower. It has not quite reached oversold territory yet.

BCH/BTC weekly chart

When observing BCH/BTC, at the time of writing the price is testing the previous session’s low. This area is significant as it provided much needed support in October 2017. A break here and close below 0.04775 could be punishing. This again is movement into an unknown realm of price action, so it remains unclear where the bottom will be at this time.

Upside Targets

In terms of upside barriers, given the recent price action, new areas of resistance have been formed. Firstly, around the $370 level, as this was the former acting support during the consolidation between 15-18th November. Furthermore, eyes would then be on a retest of the breached neckline former support, $410. Lastly, should both these areas be conquered again, the supply from $600-650 would be next up.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 60 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Altcoins

Litecoin Price Analysis: One Last Safety Net Ahead of $20 Territory

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  • Litecoin has been further slammed, dropping 35% over the past two weeks of trading.
  • Should near-term demand area of $35-33 fail to hold, it will be very punishing.

The Litecoin price remains firmly on the back foot, one of the standout under-performers in this current bear market, against some of the other major altcoins. LTC/USD has dropped a chunky 35% over the past going on 2 weeks now. Market bears have been pilling in since the big rejection, after trying to escape out of a bearish pennant pattern. This was attempted on 7th November, the upper trend line of the pennant proved to be too tough.

LTC/USD daily chart

Just a few sessions ago, LTC/USD collapsed through the lower support on the above-mentioned pattern. This was seen around the $49 mark, where the bears came pilling through to further crumble Litecoin. The price plummeted through a strong prior acting demand zone. It was tracking from the big psychological $50 area, down to $47 territory. Bulls had propped LTC/USD on occasions in August, September and October, leading the price on to make decent gains from the noted zone.

LTC/USD 4-hour chart

Between 15-18th November, price action did enter a temporary form of consolidation. As mentioned in the previous article , LTC/USD was trading within a range block, which was very much vulnerable to a breakout south, having since proved to be the case. It was eyed also as a bearish flag pattern set up, where sellers took a deep breather, ahead of the continued deep move south. LTC/USD lost over 15% from that consolidation area to current levels.

Key Support

LTC/USD weekly chart

Looking to the downside, eyes are locked in on the price range of $35 down to $33. The LTC/USD pair had consolidated within this area from June to August 2017, before being off on its journey north. In September 2017 this demand area proved required support for the bulls to continue their stampede higher. A failure to hold here will be very punishing to say the least. LTC/USD could be forced back down to $29 territory. The price was last seen here in June 2017.

Upside Barriers

There are now some big challenges ahead for LTC/USD, if it wants to return to heightened levels. During this bear market observed throughout this year, price action has formed new areas of resistance. It has all been uncharted territory, and unlike the 2017 bull run, there will be barriers that need to be broken for greater upside. The gains seen last year were not too challenging to achieve, as there was no history there for the bulls to deal with.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

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4.5 stars on average, based on 60 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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