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Shhhh, Don’t Wake the Sleeping Markets

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All the stock markets really want to do is focus on the upcoming earnings season. Unfortunately, it seems that politics are once again getting in the way of profits.

Several analysts see the latest update from Washington as a game changer that will very likely impact the time frame for healthcare reform, which in turn would delay the much awaited tax cuts and infrastructure spending.

However, while this drama is certainly weighing on the stock markets there hasn’t been any crash. There hasn’t even been a major correction in more than a year and a half.

It seems like the catalyst still hasn’t come yet. As long is there is no major shock to the financial markets, no surprising piece of news that completely changes the way people think about the health of the economy, stocks might just keep going up forever.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures, and graphs are valid as of July 12th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

If the negative pressure is indeed coming from questions surrounding the Trump family and the White House, then why are the US markets flat while the rest of the world is down about 0.5% over the past 24 hours?

The US Dollar is definitely taking a beating. Here’s a graphical representation from finvizthat show the relative performance since the beginning of the year.

The strongest performing currency is the Euro. No surprises there. Election outcomes from France, the Netherlands, and even the United Kingdom have helped propel the Single Currency forward.

So, it’s time to zoom out on the chart and see what the long-term outlook could be.

The Red line shows the recent low of 1.0339. Uncertainty was mounting around the Italian Referendum last December.

The spotted yellow line is the declining trend that’s been in place since the ECB announced they would be ramping up their QE program in September 2014.

The yellow line was broken strongly on Macron’s sweeping victory in France.

The Blue Line represents the psychological resistance of 1.1800.

Everything within red and blue represents the current range that has been holding steady since early 2015.

The rise since the beginning of the year has been pretty steady. The most likely outcome on a technical level is for the strong range to hold. However, a break of that blue line could easily send us back to pre-2015 values of around 1.35.

Canada on Board

Today, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz is expected to do something he’s never done before and raise interest rates.

It’s a dangerous move for sure. Canadian citizens have been borrowing money a lot since the interest rates are so low. Raising them now would very likely put pressure on homeowners.

However, we mustn’t keep rates on the floor forever. All the central banks of the world seem to be making a significant effort to tighten up the loose money system that’s been in place since 2009 and Canada has always been a team player.

It will be important to hear Poloz’s remarks today to see if this is a wholehearted move and whether or not to expect more of the same going forward.

Testify Ms. Yellen

The Fed Boss will most likely do everything in her power not to call too much attention to herself. This will not be an easy task. Congress has a lot of questions for the institution that holds awesome powers over all money on this planet.

Sometimes, true power is best demonstrated by restraint, which is exactly what Janet will try to prove in her carefully worded comments.

As we’ve been talking about in the daily updates, the Fed has amassed a gargantuan balance sheet that now stands at $4.5 Trillion. Lately, they’ve been mulling the thought of selling some of those assets.

For the Fed, creating money to buy assets is quite an easy task. Selling those assets is likely to be a lot more tricky.

The VIX volatility index has been seeing record lows over the past few months. Spikes on the chart indicate the market may be about to roar back into action but it would likely take a strong external force to wake groggy investors during this particularly hot summer. Yellen would prefer to let them slumber.

As always, feel free to reach me directly with any questions, comments, or feedback. My handle is @MatiGreenspan

Have a superb day ahead!

This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 122 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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Altcoins

Encrypgen Beta Launch Sends Token Soaring

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Encrypgen (DNA) provides customers and partners best-in-class, next generation, blockchain security for protecting, sharing and re-marketing genomic data. Although the company has only been around for a few years, it appears to be a major player in the genomic blockchain security space. Security breaches at Ancestry.com and privacy concerns at 23andMe have created a void that Encrypgen hopes to fill.

Price Action

Earlier this week, Encrypgen reached a significant milestone after launching its Gene-Chain beta platform. DNA token is soaring by 20% since the announcement on Wednesday evening.

Encrypgen Price Chart

Encrypgen is far ahead of schedule since the initial expectation was the end of August. The company expects the final live version of the Gene-Chain to be available by the end of September. DNA is a utility token so platform usage will determine its value. DNA is inching its way closer to the finish line and traders appear to be backing it.

Since August 1, DNA is one of the best performing ERC20 tokens. I created a list of the top 50 ERC20 tokens and analyzed their returns since August 1. None of them have a positive return. In comparison, DNA has generated a 7% return during the same period. While the return is negligible compared to the fall 2017, it’s still a positive development. Especially since the price rise coincides with a major development milestone.

Encrypgen Value Proposition

Genetics is playing an increasingly pivotal role in the world of drug discovery. Researchers use genetic data to help them understand how diseases start and how they progress. One of the main reasons that Encrypgen caught my attention is that it is attempting to fill a real world void as a few of the largest non-crypto companies are facing serious issues. Two of those companies are Ancestry.com and 23andMe.

Ancestry.com is the most popular genealogical and family tree tracking company. Unfortunately, it appears that popularity comes at a cost. In December, a server on the company’s RootsWeb service exposed a file that has usernames, email addresses and passwords of 300,000 registered users. The stolen information was then leaked and posted online in plain text.

Another popular company in the industry, 23andMe, has its own issues regarding privacy. Lawmakers and consumers are expressing concern regarding privacy after a consumer submits their genetic test to the company. This is especially true in light of the recent $300 million collaboration deal that GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) struck with 23andMe.

Encrypgen’s Gene-Chain platform appears to be the answer to the problem. Consumers will be able to upload their genetic data via Encrypgen’s secure portal which then goes into the company’s database. That data will then be secured with the company’s Gene-Chain. One of the most interesting parts is that consumers get paid when researchers want to purchase their data. According to a recent article from Reuters, consumers can expect an average payment of $130 each time that researchers buy their data. This is an excellent way for consumers to generate passive income.

Conclusion

Investors need to keep their eyes on Encrypgen as the company finalizes its Gene-Chain platform. With the recent price action, the coming catalysts, and the compelling value proposition, the DNA token may be one to begin accumulating.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Altcoins

Four Altcoins Rebound +50% Over Twenty-Four Hours

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Most coins and tokens in the market cap one hundred are glowing green for the day of Friday, August 17th, but it’s the altcoins further down the list that have felt the strongest bounce.

Such a bounce may have been inevitable after the bloodletting of August which saw many altcoins lose north of 50% over the course of the month. The coins that suffered the worst have now benefited the most after surging to gains in excess of 50% over the past day.

Ontology (ONT)

On the afternoon of August 16th, Ontology (ONT) was priced at $1.44 after climbing from five month lows over the previous few days. Overnight the token saw a trebling of its daily volumes and the price surged to a daily peak of $2.16  – marking a growth of 50% by 03:30 UTC.

When the surge cooled off the price sprung back to around the $2.00 range, where it has hovered since daybreak this morning.

The recovery by Ontology is in proportion to the losses it experienced earlier in the month, after losing 50% between August 8th and August 14th.

VeChain (VET)

VET coins are up 53% for the day after jumping from $0.009955 to a peak of £0.015232 at 07:30 UTC this morning. Market cap statistics for VeChain have been reset after the coin underwent a token swap which saw VEN tokens changed to VET.

Like Ontology, the VET price has since stabilized after the surge, with the $0.0015000 range being maintained for the last six hours. Over 96% of VET trades have come on Binance where BTC and USDT trades dominate the majority.

Nano (NANO)

Nano’s peak was later in coming and peaked 13:30 UTC today, just a couple of hours before publication. From a low of $1.21 yesterday afternoon, NANO coins saw their value increase by 60% en route to a price of $1.94 – an over two week high that returns Nano to a July valuation.

Once again Binance finds itself host to the overwhelming bulk of the trades today, with NANO/BTC pairs alone making up 81% of the daily total. Overall daily trades have climbed from $5 million to $17 million over the last twenty-four hours – Nano’s highest daily volume since early June.

Cortex (CTXC)

Cortex saw a trade influx of over 300% today, with the $21 million daily volume not being seen since mid-July. Over the last day the coin price ascended from $0.253153 to a peak of $0.503776 – marking 99% growth over twenty-four hours.

Unlike the other coins and tokens on this list, Cortex isn’t listed on Binance and instead finds the majority of its action coming from Huobi, where BTC, ETH and USDT trades make up over 70% of the total.

Most cryptocurrencies are growing green today, although Bitcoin and Ethereum have only notched up growth within the range of 1-3%. Further down the rankings the altcoins are feeling the bounce, presumably due to the proportional extent of their losses earlier in the month.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 38 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Ripple Leads Oversold Bounce

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The major cryptocurrencies are holding on to their recent short-term gains, as the oversold bounce that followed the early-week liquidation continues. One of the most oversold top coins, Ripple is leading the way higher as it broke out above the $0.30 resistance and rallied to $0.32 in early trading. The total value of the market reached $215 billion, but as Bitcoin and Ethereum are still capped by the $6500 and $300 levels respectively a broad short-term trend change is not confirmed in the segment.

Monero is also among the relatively stronger coins today, extending its bounce above the $90 level, and getting close to the key $100 zone in the process. Litecoin, which has been also showing early signs of strength, failed to build on the rally, and as the leadership is still weak, correlations are high, and the downtrends are intact with regards to most of the coins, traders should remain defensive until further signs of strength in the segment emerge.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple is trading in the strong $0.30-$0.32 zone, after the overnight rally, being the only major that triggered a short-term buy signal. Despite the signal, the long-term bearish setup is still clearly in place, and the coin continues to face strong resistance at $0.32, with a weaker level also ahead near $0.35, and traders should only treat the current move as a counter-trend rally. Support below $0.30 is found near $0.28, with a stronger long-term level at $0.26, and the coin already cleared the oversold short-term momentum readings.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

We are still looking at Ethereum as the most important gauge of the state of the market, as ETH has been in the epicenter of the recent steep selloff, and now it is trying to gain ground above the key $300 level.

Despite the relative stability of the coin, it failed to follow Ripple higher, and also failed to trigger a short-term buy signal, as the declining trend clearly remained intact, even as the steepest trendline has been broken. The coin faces strong resistance just above the current price level and near $335, while support is found between $275 and $280 and near $260.

Bitcoin Still Stuck Below Resistance

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

BTC has been trading in a narrow range below the $6500 level as altcoins attempted to rally, but the relatively strong coin still failed to show bullish meaningful momentum. The coin remains on a neutral short-term trend signal, and with the key long-term $5850 level not being in danger, the long-term outlook is also neutral.

A move above $6500 could still trigger a short-term buy signal, but the rest of the segment will likely need further consolidation for a trend change, and further strong resistance is ahead at $6750 and $7000, while support is found at $6275 and $6000.

EOS/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While a few coins are showing promising short-term signs, most of the majors remain deeply wounded from a technical perspective, with the likes of NEO, IOTA, DASH, and EOS all managing only a weak bounce, despite the clearly oversold momentum readings. With that in mind, the odds of a re-test of the lows are still high, and volatility might increase again in the coming days.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 320 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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