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President Trump Delivers First State of the Union Address

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U.S. President Donald Trump delivered his first State of the Union address on Tuesday, where he vowed to beef up infrastructure spending and seek bipartisan support on immigration. Although the annual presidential has become more akin to political theater, it nevertheless divulges key information on the current administration’s priorities.

Trump’s Agenda

In his first State of the Union, President Trump applauded the improving economy and took ownership of the surging stock market. The speech touched on infrastructure spending, national security and immigration, highlighting the Trump administration’s focus over the next 12 months.

After a rocky start, the Republican-controlled Congress scored its first major legislative victory in December by delivering a $1.5 trillion tax reform bill. The GOP had previously struck out on healthcare, followed by several failed attempts at replacing the tax code.

Despite an unconventional presidency, Trump avoided controversy on Tuesday and even pledged to work with Democrats on key issues. He also advanced his pledge for more border security, and said such measures would support American workers.

Trump’s proposed infrastructure plan, though not yet announced, is expected to add up to more than $1.5 trillion through a combination of government and private spending.

According to analysts, expectations of an infrastructure boost could be the next leg in the bull market, now in its ninth year.

U.S. stock futures were trading higher following the State of the Union address, with the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq mini contracts all moving in the positive direction.

Focus Shifts to Federal Reserve

Rate-hike jitters helped fuel back-to-back selloffs on Wall Street this week, as investors turned their attention to the Federal Reserve’s first meeting of 2018. The central bank will hand down its rate decision Wednesday afternoon, and while no change is expected, the official statement could provide clues about the future of monetary policy.

This week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will be the last chaired by Janet Yellen. Beginning next month, Trump appointee Jerome Powell will take the helm as Fed boss. Powell is expected to continue down the path set forth by Yellen, but could tweak the Federal Reserve’s forward guidance strategy as it relates to interest rates.

Last month, Fed officials predicted three interest rate hikes this year on the back of a stronger economy fueled by President Trump’s tax cuts.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently predicted U.S. GDP growth of 2.5% for the year, unchanged from its previous forecast.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

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4.7 stars on average, based on 743 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH/USD Sellers are Stepping Up Downside Pressure; Explosive Breakout is Imminent

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  • ETH/USD is very much close to a breakout of the recent range-block formation.
  • Diar reports that on-chain transaction value on the Ethereum network was seen at an all-time-high in December 2018.

Over the past three sessions for ETH/USD, a pick-up in downside intensity has been demonstrated by the market bears. The price had been moving within a narrowing range-block formation for going on 12 sessions, but this appears to be coming to an end. Sellers are stepping up the pressure, looking for a breakout of the sideways movement seen of late.

Ethereum On-chain Transaction Value at All-Time-High

Source – Diar

Diar in their latest report detailed that on-chain transaction value hit an all-time-high on the Ethereum network. Diar provide weekly institutional publications in addition to data analysis of digital currencies. Further within this latest publication, the on-chain transaction levels had hit 115 million in December 2018. This marked an all-time high, which excludes the activity after a hard fork caused by the DAO hack in 2016.

In terms of monetary value, Diar stated that the total US dollar value on-chain last year was seen at $815 million. This was down from the previous $1.1 billion, reported in 2017. As a result, this was a 97% drop in the on-chain transaction value. The drop from peak in January versus December 2018 was “by and large the cause of an 80% drop in Ethereum’s price”.

Commenting on fees, Diar detailed that they are unlikely to have been a laggard on the growth for the Ethereum network. It already has some of the lowest fees that are observed for transacting on-chain. They added, “the Constantinople upgrade, now pushed back, will bring down fees a great deal further for certain types of transactions that would allow for better storage use”.

Technical Review – ETH/USD

ETH/USD daily chart.

Key daily support eyed around $117.50 has been penetrated in the past few sessions. Signs are starting to show of a gradual shift again in favor of a bearish bias. The price is running towards its third consecutive session in the red, with the critical support earlier detailed under threat. ETH/USD did have a quick spike of around 15% lower on 20th January before retracing back within the range-block. A firm breach and close of the mentioned $117.50, the lower part of the range-block, could be punishing. Eyes will then be on a retest of the big psychological $100 mark.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 112 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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GBP/USD Price Prediction: Bulls Reclaim 1.2900, Eyes Locked on Another Retest of 1.3000

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  • GBP/USD bulls pick up momentum to the upside, following generally positive tone to Theresa May’s Plan B statement.
  • Next upside targets for the bulls should they firmly breakdown 1.2900 again, will be the psychological 1.3000 mark.

GBP/USD throughout the session on Monday remained very much elevated. This came as market participants were somewhat maintaining an optimistic view. All of which heading into the British Prime Minister Theresa May’s speech to the House of Commons, on her Brexit plan b. Of course, this had to be drafted again, given her humiliating defeat at the vote last week, on the initial EU withdrawal plan.

Theresa May Plan B

In terms of her details this time round, she will be going back to Brussels, to seek some amendments to her initial agreement. This needs to be done in order to get a plan through another vote in the commons. Looking at some of the GBP bullish takeaways from this statement; she guaranteed rights for EU citizens at several angles, scraping the application fee EU nationals registering in Britain, discussing the backstop with the DUP this week.

To conclude, PM May appears keen in her language to ensure of a soft-Brexit, rather than one that is hard. All of which supported GBP in its push to session highs, at the time, briefly moving back above 1.2900. The price had given up this area on 18th January, when the bears were reversing the run observed on 17th, where GBP/USD touched to big psychological 1.3000 mark again.

Technical Review – GBP/USD

GBP/USD 60-minute chart. Near-term resistance eyed at 1.2900, with bulls locked in on a retest of 1.3000.

GBP/USD at the time of writing continues to trade around the 1.2900 territory. This price did see a brief period cooling, on touted profit-taking post the statement. Near-term resistance can be seen within this price region, but if convincingly broken down again, then there is decent upside potential. Aside from the supply observed here, there isn’t much in the way of the 1.3000 price region.

Given the renewed optimism around Brexit now, this has assisted in maintaining momentum to the upside for GBP. In terms of support to the downside, a strong area of demand should be noted at 1.2850-25 price region. As can be seen via the 60-minute chart view, this has supported the price since 15th January.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 112 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Bitcoin Cash Price Analysis: BCH/USD Rejected Again by Long-running Descending Trend Line

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  • BCH/USD bulls attempted moving above vital descending trend line capping upside; however , they were dealt another rejection.
  • A recent study suggest Bitcoin Cash is not using anywhere near its full block capacity.

 Bitcoin Cash Bulls Fails to Break Big Resistance

Bitcoin Cash price on Monday is trading in minor negative territory, nursing losses of just some 0.5%, at the time of writing. Over the past three sessions, BCH/USD has traded very closely to a descending trend line. The price continues to face rejection when attempting to break above the aforementioned line; however, the bulls do not have enough momentum. This trend line has been in play since 6th November, right at the start of the pick up in downside, at the back end of 2018.

While BCH/USD was confined below the above-mentioned resistance, it fell a chunky 88%. It had dropped from around $650, down to a low of $73.50 on 15th December. Given the current failure to press ahead and break above, the price once again could be knocked back south.

Bitcoin Cash Block Capacity Failure of Use

There is now 500 days’ worth of data to analyze the capacity of Bitcoin Cash when looking at its block size. A recent study conducted by LongHash suggests that the Bitcoin (BTC) blocks on average have been 30x larger than Bitcoin Cash.

Looking at the figures, in terms of Bitcoin Cash, the block size on average has reported to have been just 171 KB since the fork back in August 2017. In real terms, this represents just 2.1% of the total block capacity for BCH. On just one day there the BCH blocks have been more than half full. Back on 15th January 2018, the blocks were able to average 59% of their total capacity, as covered by the recent study.

The study from LongHash further goes on to say, that some will believe that the BCH blocks not nearing their full capacity is a potential positive sign. However, this can also be seen as a lack of interest in Bitcoin Cash, which is somewhat concerning. Most recently, over the past 30 days, the blocks of BCH have averaged just a small 34 KB, which is just around 3.7% of the roughly 923 KB blocks of Bitcoin over that same period.

Technical Review – BCH/USD

BCH/USD daily chart.

Keeping in mind the earlier described rejections for the price, eyes should now note the coming key areas support. Firstly, just ahead of the big psychological $100 mark, at $105, which is an important daily support. The price had last traded around this level between 6-10th December, as it sought comfort at the time, before resuming its move south. If this fails to hold, then a retest of the December low and 2018 low at $73.50 would likely be on the cards.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 112 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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