Connect with us

Bitcoin

Pessimism Spreads and Blocks Out Opportunities for Bitcoin, Ripple and Ethereum

Published

on

  • BTC/USD is in a key technical scenario.
  • The dominant pessimism is likely to turn upside down.
  • ETH/USD rejects leadership again and the market languishes.

The weekend is approaching without significant changes among the main protagonists of the Crypto board. I am reviewing the dominant emotional state in social networks and pessimism rules. The gloom sets an optimal atmosphere for a change in the direction of the market.

Extreme pessimism is the antagonist of the blind euphoria we saw exactly a year ago. This melancholy crushes the psyche of the HOLDers, but should not do so in the minds of traders. For a trader, the direction of the market must be secondary.

This extremely depressing environment covers with anxiety the ability to look at the market and make the right decisions. The task of an analyst is to provide a clear picture of the current scenario that will help investors in the process of managing their portfolios.

Seeking to offer this service, today I will analyze the graphs of Bitcoin, Ripple and Ethereum represented in logarithmic scale. This type of representation helps analyze very volatile assets with wide ranges.

BTC/USD Daily Logarithmic Chart

BTC/USD trades at the price level of $3,362. The price has reached the trend line that governs the movement of the BTC/USD for years, and therefore we are facing a decisive moment. We can see if we review the graph. In recent years the price of Bitcoin has moved below the line on several occasions, to return to rising above it again.

Below the current price, the first support level is at $3,275 (price congestion support and very long-term uptrend line). The second support level is at $3,177 (long-term bearish trend line). The third support level is at $2,890 (price congestion support). Regarding this third level of support, I find it very improbable that it can be reached in the next few days because it would take an extraordinary sales force to break the two intermediate supports.

Above the current price, the first serious resistance level is at $3,925 (price congestion resistance). The second resistance level is at $4,390 (price congestion resistance). The third resistance level is at $4,693 (EMA50), a critical level from which we could start to speak of an upward turn.

The MACD in the daily range shows a perfect profile for an upward movement. After moving to extreme harmful levels, it draws a bullish divergence and crosses over to the upside. It is bullish according to the manuals, but the current situation can generate even more extreme movements.

The DMI in the daily range shows the bulls increasing their activity since the arrival of the price to the current zone. It is, therefore, a shopping area. The bears, on the opposite, should think the same as they have been decreasing their strength to approach the current levels.

XRP/USD Daily Logarithmic Chart

XRP/USD is currently trading at the $0.306 price level after failing to conquer the first resistance level at $0.32 yesterday. After this failed attempt the XRP/USD came down for support at the $0.30 price level and found it. These are now the warning levels for this pair.

Above the current price, the first resistance level is $0.32 (price congestion resistance). The second resistance level is at $0.345 (price congestion resistance). The third resistance level is at $0.370 (price congestion resistance) and is very important if the XRP/USD beats it, which would allow an attack on the EMA50 at $0.394 and enter into a neutral scenario at least.

Below the current price, the first support level is $0.30 (price congestion support). The second support level is $0.271 (price congestion support). The third level of support is at $0.258 (price congestion support and annual lows).

The MACD in the daily range shows such a perfect bullish cross profile that I doubt it can be real and work. It is likely that we will see a downward rejection of this indicator in the next few days.

The DMI in the daily range shows us how neither bulls nor bears have changed their expectations when reaching this price range. The ADX shows a loss of trend strength in the last few sessions.

ETH/USD Daily Logarithmic Chart

The ETH/USD trades at the $89.3 price level. Yesterday it tried to breach the $95 resistance level but failed. The Ethereum has all the attention on it for his condition of the leader in bull markets and his current weakness worries analysts.

Above the current price, the first resistance level is at $95 (price congestion resistance). The second resistance level is at $125 (price congestion resistance). The third resistance level is at $144 (EMA50).

Below the current price, the first support level is at $80.5 (price congestion support). The second support level is at $69 (price congestion support). The third level of support is at $53 (price congestion support).

The MACD in the daily range also shows a bullish manual structure. I am amazed at the clarity of the structure when compared to the perceived pessimistic environment.

The DMI in the daily range shows bulls unconvinced of a possible upward change in the price path. The bears, for their part, have decreased a little in intensity but remain at very high levels.

To sum up the situation, if you have reached these levels without being pushed to sell, there is nothing right now to tell us that this market is irrecoverable — nothing to give us reasonable cause.

If you are thinking about buying, the levels are adequate not for the price but because the loss of any support level can give us the signal to execute stops and conserve capital to enter lower prices if we get to see them.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
1 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 5 (1 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

3.3 stars on average, based on 6 rated posts




Feedback or Requests?

Bitcoin

MIT and Stanford Professors are Creating the Answer to Bitcoin’s Scalability Issues

Published

on

Researchers from America’s most prestigious universities are coming together to create a new cryptocurrency that will overcome bitcoin’s greatest technical challenge: scalability. Although academics have a poor track record of solving real world problems, the researchers have teamed up with Pantera Capital to develop a cryptocurrency that could serve as a viable payment network in the future.

Academics Designing ‘Better Bitcoin’

According to Bloomberg, professors from seven U.S. universities have joined hands to create a new cryptocurrency capable of achieving faster processing speeds without sacrificing decentralization – a core tenant of the blockchain revolution. The so-called Unit-e cryptocurrency is the first project to be carried out by Distributed Technology Research, the non-profit group uniting the academics.

Among the schools represented are the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Stanford University and University of California. They are joined by hedge fund Pantera Capital, which has an impressive track record in generating stellar crypto market investments. Read: How Pantera Capital Engineered a 10,000% Return Investing in Cryptocurrency.

Although several initiatives are underway to boost bitcoin’s transaction speed and scalability, the researchers say the cryptocurrency’s design has inbuilt restrictions that impede on its usefulness as an everyday payment system. The goal of Unit-e is simple but highly ambitious – namely, use blockchain technology to develop a cryptocurrency that can process transactions faster than Visa.

Unit-e is scheduled to go live in the second half of 2019. When released, it will process as many as 10,000 transactions per second, according to DTR. By comparison, Visa processes roughly 1,700 transactions per second.

The Bitcoin Scalability Debate

The issue of scalability is one of the biggest impediments facing bitcoin, so much so that dozens of alternative cryptocurrencies have been designed specifically to address this problem. Some proponents of the original cryptocurrency believe the debate over scalability could be put to rest once Lightning Network achieves full potential. The highly-touted bitcoin scaling solution has seen notable improvements in recent months, including a double-digit percentage gain in processing capacity.

As of Thursday, Lightning Network’s capacity has increased to 529.21 BTC, which is equivalent to just over $1.9 million at today’s prices, according to 1ML. That represents a gain of more than 3% since the last time we covered Lightning Network’s processing power on Dec. 26. At the time, the network saw a 13% surge in processing capability.

Lightning Network has achieved 20,586 channels, an increase of 31.8%. The number of nodes is up nearly 20% to 5,472.

At the core of Lightning Network is the desire to boost bitcoin’s transaction speed while lowering the cost of payments. This is done by creating a second-layer scaling solution that operates as a bidirectional payment channel. Basically, this creates a ‘running’ tab between two accounts, which eliminates the need to record every transaction on the blockchain.

Lightning Network has its fair share of detractors who claim the protocol promotes centralization and suffers from inefficiencies that could allow hackers to target channels holding a high volume of bitcoin. Bitcoin advocate Andreas Antonopoulos addressed some of these concerns in a YouTube Q&A last February. Click here for more.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.7 stars on average, based on 739 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Price Clings to $3,600 as the Search for a Bottom Continues

Published

on

Bitcoin’s price continued to drift sideways on Thursday, as a lack of trading catalysts kept markets subdued following an active start to the week.

Stuck in a Range

After breaking out to the upside at the start of the week, bitcoin has managed to trade within a narrow range over the past 48 hours. The leading digital currency by market cap is currently valued at $3,628.23, down 1.3% from the previous day. Trading volumes remain elevated near $5.2 billion despite a sharp drop off in volatility.

Bitcoin’s 30-day volatility index, courtesy of bitvol.info, declined to 4.25% on Wednesday. Volatility has been in firm retreat since December, when it peaked at nine-month highs.

That being said, bitcoin’s narrow trading range reflects a lack of direction in the market as opposed to newfound stability. A failure to break above $3,700 in the short term could put BTC on the backfoot and vulnerable to fresh waves of selling. This is fairly consistent with the trading patterns we’ve observed since the onset of the bear market last year.

At current values, bitcoin has an overall market capitalization of $63.4 billion. Its dominance rate has strengthened to 52.4%, which reflects broad pressures on altcoins and tokens.

Read: Bitcoin’s Year of Accumulation

Search for a Bottom Continues

Although some analysts have already called bitcoin’s bottom, others are convinced that new lows are likely before the market makes a definitive turn. Jani Ziedans, an analyst at Cracked Market, believes bitcoin is demonstrating a lethargic base, which signals weak underlying demand. This continues to be the case insofar as bitcoin struggles in the mid-$3,000 range.

Morgan Creek Digital’s Anthony Pompliano has also stated that bitcoin will probably fall below $3,000 before the bottoming process finally concludes. This comes despite a more than 30% bounce from the December low near $3,100. Read more: Crypto Markets Search for Catalysts as Bitcoin Lightning Network Sees a Surge in Capacity.

Nevertheless, 2019 looks to be a year of accumulation for bitcoin as prices consolidate in the $2,000-$4,000 range. The anticipated influx of institutional investors, combined with the sharp rise in circulation on virtual exchanges, means trading in BTC is likely to grow as the year progresses. According to analyst Willy Woo, these and other factors may put bitcoin on the path to recovery by the third quarter.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.7 stars on average, based on 739 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Analysis

Crypto Update: Sideways Drift Continues but Sellers Still in Control

Published

on

While the bounce on Monday gave some hope to crypto bulls that last week’s plunge was just a correction in an ongoing broader counter-trend move, so far, we haven’t seen meaningful follow-through. That means that the bearish short- and long-term trends are still dominant in the segment and sellers are clearly in control of every major top coin.

Also, while volatility is relatively low, correlations are still elevated, and volume patterns are bearish as well, so our trend model remains on sell signals with regards to the overwhelming majority of coin on all time-frames. Traders and investors are still advised to stay away from entering new positions, as we have no evidence the bear market is over, and at least the test of the lows is likely in the coming months.

That said, a quick recovery above the primary resistance levels would be a positive sign here, but until we see signs of technical strength, the defensive approach is warranted as bearish risks remain very high here.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin’s relative stability is still the only positive sign among the top coins, but BTC also lacks bullish momentum and it failed to leave the close vicinity of the key $3600 support level. The $3850 resistance is out of reach, for now, and given the clearly bearish long-term setup, traders and investors shouldn’t enter positions here.

A move above that level would be a positive sign for bulls, with further zones between $4000 and $4050, and near $4450, but we still expect a move towards the support levels near $3250 and $3000 in the coming weeks, even if a broader bottoming process might already be underway.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While Ethereum spiked higher again towards the $130 resistance level today, the move failed again and bulls failed to make technical progress, with the recent low still being in danger. A sustained push above $130 could still signal a failed break-down pattern, but the lack of bullish momentum points to a continuation of the decline.  Key support is found near $120 and between $95 and $100, while further resistance is ahead at $145, $160, and near $180.

Altcoins Unchanged and Bearish After Choppy Day

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The volatility compression continued in all of the major altcoins as well, but the broad selling pressure is still apparent in the segment. Litecoin failed to get close to the primary resistance zone near $34.50 despite the early-week rally attempt, and it continues to threaten with a move below the key $30-$30.50 support zone.

A breach of support would likely trigger a move towards the $26 level, with the oversold short-term momentum readings now being cleared in the market of LTC. Further strong resistance is ahead near $38 and $44 and with support found near $23, and traders and investors still shouldn’t enter positions here.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple has been showing signs of relative weakness again today, after the brief period of stability and the technical picture continues to be negative on all time-frames, and our trend model is also on short- and long-term sell signals. The $0.32 price level is still in focus, and we still expect a move below $0.30, with strong support found near the $0.26 level, with resistance ahead near $0.3550 and $0.3750.

DASH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Dash remained among the relatively weaker majors as well, and it still hovering around the $70 price level after bottoming out close to $67.50. A test of the bear market low near $56 seems very likely in the coming weeks, and only a move above the strong resistance zone between $76.50 and $80 would change the short-term outlook for the coin.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
2 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5 (2 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.7 stars on average, based on 443 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Recent Posts

A part of CCN

Hacked.com is Neutral and Unbiased

Hacked.com and its team members have pledged to reject any form of advertisement or sponsorships from 3rd parties. We will always be neutral and we strive towards a fully unbiased view on all topics. Whenever an author has a conflicting interest, that should be clearly stated in the post itself with a disclaimer. If you suspect that one of our team members are biased, please notify me immediately at jonas.borchgrevink(at)hacked.com.

Trending