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Overpopulation Will Become Intensely Painful, Urgent Solutions Needed

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It’s very difficult to explain to most people that the world’s population is growing “exponentially.” In a few countries, the population has stopped growing and is shrinking. Most of the times, when politicians frantically try to sell you the idea that population is shrinking, it isn’t – it’s just that the number of people able to pay taxes to the state (and fund politicians’ paychecks) is shrinking.

As an example – retired people generally cost the state money to keep alive. Sick people, ditto. Politicians with a clear economic agenda are by and large not overjoyed with the aged and otherwise unproductive not working. But even in places such as Russia there’s still 0.2% population growth, and any growth doubles the population over the long term. From the perspective of the Russian state and policy makers, 0.2% is insufficient, since the result of such comparatively low growth means Russia is eventually (and for several decades) left with comparatively too many old people.

The unchecked growth of human population on the planet has been nothing short of absurd in the last century. Even a casual glance at a population graph shows us that human numbers have spiked, and are still going up worldwide. We also know that the UN has been adjusting growth numbers consistently upwards in the last few years and is now projecting an eventual world population well in excess of 13 billions, and “population growth not leveling off beyond 2100.”

Under given energy and resource constraints, and with the current biosphere degradation, that’s just impossible. Some people (mostly conservative people) may think indefinite growth is possible, or that “nature will generate it’s own solutions,” but a moment of honest thinking should show anyone that population growth will eventually become an intensely painful issue.

Fertility Must Become Subject to Politics

OverpopulationIn other words – before long the unbridled expansion of human numbers will become politically untenable.

Most people worldwide are used to considering the right to have children as a “sacred” natural right.  But you can already see the tide of public opinion turning. When some arguably irresponsible guy fathers 30 children with various unwed mothers, taxpayers take notice and object. Taxpayers realize that the mothers will need some form of child support, and if the guy in question is not able or willing to provide child support, taxpayers are left holding the bag.

Right now procreative freedom comes with no consequences to “irresponsible” fathers or mothers as shown by the cases of Desmond Hatchett or the Duggar family. But those are two examples of people who make lifestyle choices that eventually will contribute to “intense pain.” It won’t be many decades before voters realize that ever increasing population numbers will cause ever worse living conditions for everyone. We are not there yet. Voters still weigh the right to procreate as sacrosanct. But someday in this century the unrelenting tide of doubling population rates will clash with the natural urges of entitled individuals. There will come a point where intense debates over population growth will start.

Right now in most countries the idea that we as a society might seek to impose constraints on individual rights to procreate is considered as unthinkable and too radical. I can easily show everyone reading this article applicable studies of overpopulation and resulting resource scarcity, and with the unrelenting doubling population rates “every several decades” we are pretty much almost there. Before 2050 individual countries will yield to the concerns of the voters and limit population growth.

In his famous “Known Space” series of novels, Larry Niven explored those conclusions. In his stories Niven described an Earth with 18 billion human beings. On such a world, the population pressure implies actual “intense pain” for the majority of human beings. Larry Niven’s conclusion was fairly simple and self-intuitive – at some point fertility must become subject to politics. Politicians will ration procreation rates, and once politicians are voted into office to limit birth rates, they will immediately try to impose radical policies. That means that the distinction between desirable births and not so desirable births will be made.

There will be a relatively brief flurry of protest over a few decades, but population reduction policies will be enacted, which will be supported by first local and then global consensus. Eventually, all the world will agree that a common authority must be put in place to use state force to limit human births. The criteria for selection of desirable births and elimination of non desirable ones may hinge on the ability of prospective parents to generate income or certain hereditary ailments (vis-a-vis measurable health). Other contributing factors to being granted a license to breed may be certain artistic, scientific or athletic accomplishments.

Solutions Must Be Democratic, Consensual, and Nonviolent

These choices should be inspired by sound science and democratic consensus. The voters will demand an end to overpopulation, and they’ll get their demand met. Politicians will then nestle in the demand niche and seek to come up with what they perceive as constructive policies for the future.

I am well aware that this conclusion may be offensive to many people. The idea that in one or two generations we’ll first see local US and EU laws constraining population growth, and then we’ll see those laws expanded to include the whole world, is still unthinkable and offensive. But public opinion is a very malleable thing, and exponential population growth can’t be allowed to continue for much longer on a planet with limited resources.

The most important question is – given the gravity of this conclusion, how can we as discerning and educated citizens of the most powerful world’s economies start a rational, just and sensible discourse about this problem. How can we guide our political system toward the best possible outcome? There is a lot that we can do at this very moment to start debating the issue democratically, and by doing so to steer policy away from unmitigated tyranny, disaster and the worst fascism the world has ever known.

The goal is to avoid killing people, which has been the default policy of states with regards to overpopulation for several thousand years. Large scale industrial wars are no longer a rational option – even a minor nuclear conflict between India and Pakistan would be globally catastrophic.  We should, therefore, conclude that all solutions to the overpopulation challenge must be democratic, must be consensual, and must be nonviolent.

Images from Perati Komson and Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Khannea Suntzu describes herself as cosmist, cosmicist, upwinger, socialist-libertarian, hedonist and abolitionist. Khannea is transgendered, and currently lives in the Netherlands.




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3 Comments

3 Comments

  1. Hank Pellissier

    December 19, 2014 at 4:43 pm

    Great article – can I post it and promote it on my site Brighterbrains.org? thanks I 100% agree – except I think the last sentence might be wishful thinking

    • CryptoCoinsNews

      December 19, 2014 at 4:45 pm

      Great that you enjoyed the article. You are always allowed to post up to 1/3 of the original article on your site linking back to the original content.

  2. MyGuess

    January 2, 2015 at 10:07 am

    I’m interested in the topic because I agree population growth is a problem. I have a question though, how do limit human births? I would be against abortion to answer that question. Expecting people to follow it voluntarily with birth control would not be 100% effective. I’m not a fan of mucking with women’s hormones as birth control. There is no way to enforce this in a way that is not deleterious to health.

    At least in the United States one alternative we can deal with immediately is to lower the legal immigration rate to at or below replacement levels. Birthrates have dropped to below replacement levels naturally. Politicians should respect the choice of the people. It’s only the overly large immigration rates that cause projected growth and along with it all the projected hardship of finding room for all the additional people in the next 30 or 40 years. Politicians should not try to override the choice of the people by engineering population growth through immigration. We would probably need to cut immigration from over 1 million per year to under 100K per year, to about 10% of current legal levels. There would still be immigration, and the qualification requirements for who to let in should be set high and be strict. It’s just not everyone’s right to come here. This would avert a lot of the population pain in the future, at least here.

    The rest of the world will have to get their own act together.

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EOS Price Forecast: EOS/USD Heading for Another 300% Move?

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  • EOS/USD price action via the 4-hour chart view has formed a bullish flag pattern.
  • The price is moving around levels seen back end of March to early April, before a bull run of over 300%.

The past six sessions for EOS/USD have been erratic to say the least. It has been subject to a high amount of volatility, swinging aggressively in both directions. There has been a lack of commitment from either the bear or bull camps of late. As the market continues to trade with such behavior, it appears to be trying to find its feet, ahead of a potential chunky firm trend.

EOS DApp Hacked Again

An EOS based gambling DApp, EOSBet has been hacked, with $338,000 being reported as stolen. This isn’t the first time; just back in September, hackers managed to get away with a reported 40,000 worth of EOS, which at the time had a value of $200,000. It has been said that they were able to exploit their smart contracts, having found security vulnerabilities.

Technical Review – 4-hour Chart View

EOS/USD 4-hour chart

EOS/USD price action has formed a bullish flag pattern, which began taking shape on 15th October, after the aggressive price behavior stabilized. The bulls at the time ran the price well up into $6 territory. Consequently, it then met the breached ascending trend line, failing to move back above this area. This followed the sharp breakthrough to the downside, which occurred on 11th October. As a result, a drop of over 15% was seen, forcing EOS/USD to retreat in a demand area, within the $5.0000 level proximity.

Looking to the upside, small near-term resistance is seen at around $5.6100, which is the upper trend line of the mentioned bull flag pattern. A breakout will likely open the doors to a retest of the broken ascending trend line, tracking around $6.1100. Support can be eyed at $5.4600, which marks the lower trend line of the flag. Furthermore, should this fail to hold, EOS/USD could likely fall back down to the serving demand area, within the lower $5.0000 territory.

April 2018 Bull Run

EOS/USD April bull run

In April of this year EOS/USD entered a chunky bull run, gaining over 300%. From the back end of March until 11th April, the price had been stuck within consolidation mode. Resulting in the price trading within a tight range, at levels of where the price is currently seen today.

Something quite astonishing started to unfold. Between the period of 11th April to the 29th April, a bull run of around 290% was seen. Over this time frame EOS/USD went from $5.9500 up to a high of around $23.0811. The price is currently demonstrating a similar behavior to that of what was seen during the mentioned period. It is interesting to note that the price did have historical levels to break through, as it had already run higher during the period of December 2017 and came back down. Finally, this is not to say EOS/USD will observe the same bull run. However, it is an interesting observation to be aware of.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 32 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Stellar Price Analysis: XLM/USD Has the Potential for a Short-term Rally, Though Bearish Set-up Eyed

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  • Stellar’s XLM potentially has further room for upside, within the short-term view.
  • Danger still looms for XLM/USD, as the daily chart suggests of a bearish technical pattern set up.

Steller’s native token XLM, has failed to commit to any sustained trend. This has been the case since the start of July. Bull rallies that have been witnessed were quickly sold by the market bears. This led the market to trade within a generally long running form of consolidation. Price action is narrowing, given the unsustainable short-term trend runs that have been witnessed. It comes as somewhat of a surprise, as the Stellar foundation have certainly been busy.

Stellar Developments

It was reported recently, blockchain security company BitGo, announced their support of Stellar Lumens (XLM). Being added to the BitGo’s list, Stellar now receives custody solutions. Their users will be able to generate wallets for Stellar Lumens. This is said to be starting at some point within the next couple of weeks. Elsewhere, as previously reported, the Stellar foundation at the start of this month released their heavily anticipated decentralized exchange, StellarX.

4-hour Chart Technical Review

XLM/USD 4-hour chart

Looking via the 4-hour chart, price action has formed a bullish pennant pattern. This comes after the surge higher between September 20-23. XLM/USD has since entered consolidation mode, trading within a range-bound nature. The price is coming very much towards the end of this technical pattern seen, raising the case for an imminent breakout. Near-term support can be observed around $0.2350 area. This is the lower tracking trend line of the mentioned pennant. A failure of the support could very likely see a fast fall to $0.2050. XLM/USD was last trading in this territory between September 12 – 20. The mentioned period was during a time of consolidation, prior to the mentioned breakout higher.

Resistance is seen just ahead of the current price. The above descending trend line of the pennant pattern is tracking around $0.2460-70. Enough bullish momentum to see the breach would likely force the price running to $0.2650. This is seen as an area of resistance on the 4-hour chart view. Looking further to the north, eyes would be on the supply heading into the $0.3000 mark.

Daily Chart Technical Review

XLM/USD daily chart

Taking into consideration the 4-hour chart view, there is still room for another squeeze higher. Despite this, danger appears to still be looming for XLM/USD. Risks on the daily chart point to the downside. The view of this is that a longer-term bearish pennant pattern is containing the price. XLM/USD support on the daily chart can be seen just sub of $0.2000. A long-running supporting trend line can be seen. The price having required assistance on June 29 and several occasions from September 8 – 12. To the upside, resistance can be seen around $0.2900. XLM/USD was rejected already on a few prior occasions, by the above descending trend line. July 25-2 and then most recently September 23, all saw respective bull runs halted.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 32 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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IOTA Price Analysis: Current Behavior Raises Concerns of Another Drop in the Price

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  • Current technical indications still point to downside risks for IOTA’s MOITA price.
  • Near-term chart view sees a rising wedge pattern. The daily chart observes a bearish pennant formation.

The IOTA price remains at risk for now of a breakout to the downside. It appears more likely that downside pressure will be seen, in comparison to any upside surprises. Despite this, IOTA’s native token has made solid recovery in just over a week of trading. Since 25th September, it has gained 8%. Trending higher has been observed from a low of around $0.5200, up to current levels around $0.5600.

IOTA Developments

Most recently, Bitpanda announced they now offer deposit and withdrawal services for IOTA. Bitpanda is fintech company based in Vienna, Austria. They specialize in selling and buying Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Becoming Europe’s leading retail broker for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin and more, boasting a user base of over 900,000 users. “We are very pleased to announce not only withdrawal and deposit functionalities for IOTA on Bitpanda, but also that Bitpanda now officially supports the latest IOTA tech — IOTA Hub,” as stated in their most recent blog post.

This move goes to show the growing presence IOTA is having across the market. The market acknowledgement of the foundation’s technology. IOTA’s MOITA is currently the 11th largest cryptocurrency by market cap, which is seen at $1.5 billion.

Elsewhere, as covered previously, the foundation is very close to revolutionizing the car insurance industry. They presented a new project in which they have been working on at bIOTAsphere. This was a proof of concept technology, known as Tangle. Full details mentioned in the previous article.

Near-term Technical Review 

IOT/USD 60-minute chart

Looking via the 60-minute chart, current price action has formed a rising wedge pattern. This price behavior makes it susceptible to a breakout to the downside. Should the bears manage to breach the lower support, sellers could pile in. To the downside, support in this view can be seen tracking around $0.5650. Further to the downside, 60-minute support should come into play around $0.5420.

Daily Chart Technical Review

IOT/USD daily chart

For over a month now, price action, as clearly seen on the daily chart view, has been firmly within consolidation mode. The range is getting tighter, building up the likelihood of an imminent breakout. Resistance is sitting just ahead around $0.5850, very close to current levels. Support eyed at $0.5430, a breakout could see the price tumbling. A potential downside target would likely be around the $0.4000 territory, testing 14th August low.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 32 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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