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New Diversification

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One of the keys to sustainability in any investment is diversification. Even if you’re dealing with extremely risky assets, just having an even mix of them is enough to bring your level of risk down drastically.

This is why index funds and ETFs work so well. They invest in lots of different assets within a specific sector so as long as that part of the economy keeps growing at a normal pace, you’ll see decent returns.

After the recent “Tech tantrum” that saw the Nasdaq fall 238 points in a single day, investors want to take this opportunity to find out how to strengthen their respective portfolios.

Mostly, what they’re finding is that the big tech names have been dominating investment portfolios. Such that a single investor may have lots of different investments that all hold the same four stocks as their main holding.

For clients in eToro who have many different types of investments in copytrading and copyfunds, Every once in a while, it pays to check for unnecessary correlations in your portfolio. You can do this quite simply by using the portfolio pie chart, which is available at this link: etoro.com/portfolio/chart/

Take a look at your allocation and risk. Let me know what you find.

Mati Greenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of June 20th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

Wall Street is celebrating the return of the tech stocks after their recent fall and are now booking in new record highs for the Dow Jones and the S&P 500.

This as volatility remains near all time record lows.

Watch out for China?

The MSCI has a lot of ETFs in it, most of them are quite stable and steady. One, that is specifically for emerging markets will face a big decision today.

You can find the index at: etoro.com/markets/eem

The decision is simple, whether or not to add stocks from mainland China inside this index. Chinese stocks have been performing well lately, so adding them into the diversification pool could be seen as a good thing.

However, Chinese stocks have a way of reporting back to the Chinese government, who tends to exert a certain amount of pressure on the companies themselves. They also are exposed to currency risk related to the Renminbi.

“I think that this would not be a good decision for the MSCI to make. Adding these Chinese stocks may be good in the short term but it will make the entire index more risky for long term investors.”

Macy Ma
eToro, China Analyst

Bitcoin Scale-ability

The big debate about bitcoin may be coming to a head. A solution that was agreed on in New York called, you guessed it, the New York Agreement has recently reached a milestone of 70% of miners who agree to implement it. Once 80% consensus is reached, the protocol will begin locked and loaded and begin to take effect.

The idea is similar to the segwit solution that was implemented on Litecoin recently and hopefully will be strong enough to process 8000 to 10,000 transactions per block in the chain.

The great news is, that if this happens, the hard fork will likely have no impact on regular bitcoin users. The main bitcoin that we know today will continue to exist as normal, and any miners who did not signal for segwit2x will be forked off the network.

The price of Bitcoin is reacting nicely to this news and is up up up today. If we see a break above $2,700, we could certainly see a fresh wave of interest from all sorts of new and old investors.

This is going to be interesting to watch. Wishing you an amazing day ahead!!

This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 152 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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Altcoins

Tron Price Analysis: TRX/USD Bulls Hunting for a Potential Charge Back Above Broken Critical Trend Line

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  • Tron bulls continue to push the price north maintaining a firmer path of recovery.
  • TRX/USD has gained a significant 10% over the past four sessions, moving to its highest level in five days.

TRX/USD: Recent Price Behavior

The TRX/USD bulls have been enjoying some upside relief over the past few sessions now, picking up much pace in the session on Monday. The price managed to move to its highest level  in over seven sessions. Over the past four days, Tron has gained just shy of 10% as the price looks set for recovery following a breach last week of critical support.

An ascending trend line initially supported TRX/USD to the upside, providing exceptional comfort in its move north. The running support had been in play since the back-end of December 2018; however, after a decent run, the bears managed to force a breach. Sellers were able to regain control after the move below, to then see four consecutive days of selling, dropping around 10% in total.

Between 14-15th February, TRX/USD managed to find its feet after what could have very much been a free-fall to the deep south. Daily support came into play around $0.023550, which has provided needed comfort on several occasions already this side of the year. The recovery has been in play since this decent bounce occurred.

Tron Crypto Card

TRON recently detailed more information about its upcoming crypto card. The date of pre-order for the GRID X BitTorrent crypto card is going to be live on 18th February 18 2019 at 8 PM UTC. The GRID crypto card will be a prepaid card that can be topped with TRX in three amounts of 15,000, 50,000 and 100,000. Holders of the cards will be rewarded with BitTorrent (BTT) tokens as part of monthly BTT airdrops.

GRID will be one of two crypto cards built via the Tron network. The first, TronCard, was introduced as a tangible TRX wallet. Both TRX and TRC10 tokens can be stored on the TronCard similarly to a virtual wallet. These mentioned tokens are tokenized assets which would be leveraged via decentralized applications (dApps) via the Tron Network. A QR code feature can also be scanned by users for access to the public key. A physical card will then be able to integrate with the virtual wallet.

Technical Review – TRX/USD

TRX/USD daily chart.

The major challenge for the bulls as detailed above is seen underneath the breached ascending trend line; this is tracking at around $0.027500. Should the bulls manage to break back above this prior acting support, then expect a strong wave of buying pressure to come into play. Further to the north, eyes will be on the $0.03000 area. TRX/USD has not comfortably traded above this price region since August 2018. Once broken down, there isn’t too much in the way of a return back up to $0.04000 territory.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 124 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Ethereum Leads Second Phase of Rally

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The major cryptocurrencies are all significantly higher today amid the US market holiday, with most of the top digital currencies also hitting their highest levels in a month. Today’s leaders also took out the highs set during the Litecoin-led spike 10 days ago, and the new swing highs mean that the counter-trend move continues. The negative long-term forces a

Our trend model is still on short-term buy signals in most cases, with the relatively weak Ripple still being the most important exception, but for now, the bearish long-term picture is unchanged, and traders should still use strict risk management strategies, as, despite the rally, bear market rules still apply. That said, investors could hold on to their smaller speculative positions, since the short-term break-out patterns in the segment remain intact, despite the still dominant negative long-term forces.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum built upon its recent short-term relative strength, surging past the $120 and $130 resistance levels, outperforming its closest peers and leading the way higher for the whole segment. With the new swing high, a new short-term uptrend is established, and our trend model remains on a short-term buy signal, but the long-term trend remains bearish.

The long-term outlook is still negative for ETH, but the coin could test the $160 resistance level, which marked the top of the previous counter-trend move in the coming days. The coin is currently trading near the $145 resistance level, and although it’s slightly overbought from a short-term perspective, the next resistance level could be reached in the coming days.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While Bitcoin has been slightly lagging behind Ethereum during the current rally, it not just recaptured the $3600 support/resistance level, but also managed to rally up to the next key zone near $3850. BTC remains on a short-term buy signal in our trend model despite its relative weakness, but from a long-term perspective, it’s still in a clearly bearish setup.

With that in mind, investors should still expect a move towards the $3250 and $3000 support levels following the current counter-trend move, but traders could still hold smaller, speculative positions in the coin. Further strong resistance is ahead between $4000 and $4050, while below $3600, support is found just above $3450.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple continues to be relatively weak compared to the broader market, and although it topped the $0.32 level amid today’s broad rally, it’s still only neutral in our trend model even from a short-term perspective. Also, the long-term setup is still hostile for bulls, and the test of the $0.28 and $0.26 levels still seems likely in the coming weeks, with strong resistance levels also ahead neat $0.3550, and $$0.3750.

Litecoin Hits Marginal New High as EOS Soars

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

LTC haven’t been able to retain its leadership during today’s move, and although it scored a new marginal swing high, ending the short-term correction, the momentum of the current upswing is not convincing. Should LTC form a failed break-out pattern, our trend model will switch to neutral, but for now, the currency remains on a buy signal.

From a long-term perspective, Litecoin is still clearly in a bearish trend, so traders and investors should only consider short-term positions, but for now the break-out remains intact. The next level of resistance is ahead near $51, while is now found near $44, $38, and $34.50.

EOS/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EOS was also among the relatively stronger coins during the recent week, and after a failed move, today it surged to a significant new swing high, hitting the $3.50 resistance in the process. Our trend model remained on a short-term buy signal, during the recent consolidation, and although traders could take some chips off the table near the $3.50 level, the short-term trend is now bullish.

That said, the bearish long-term forces are still dominant in the market of EOS, and although the coin might test the $4.50-$5 zone, odds still the retest of the bear market low near $1.55 in the coming months. That said, traders could still to their short-term positions, following strict risk management rules, with support now found near $3, $2,80, and $2.55.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 466 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

Crypto Update: 5 Altcoins to Watch This Week

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All of the five altcoins included on last week’s list moved within our expectations. Ark (ARK/BTC) led the way as it retested the range support before hitting both of our targets in one week. It is followed by Dash (DASH/BTC), rallying strong after recovering a key support area as predicted. In addition, Litecoin pulled back as expected but it managed to show bullish signals towards the end of the week. Talking about retesting supports, Monero (XMR/BTC) retested a support as well while showing signs of stability.

The only non-mover on last week’s list was Ripple (XRP/BTC). The market continues to trade at our range support while printing a double bottom pattern.

This week, we put our attention on altcoins that are showing strong bullish signs. With Bitcoin (XBT/USD) stuck in a range, this week might be the chance for many coins to fly. Here are the five altcoins to watch this week.

Ethereum (ETH/BTC)

Ethereum bulls have recently been flexing their muscles. They continue to defy expectations as they push Ethereum close to our range high of 0.0418 with significant volume. With yesterday’s strong rally, the market is now trading above its 200-day moving average.

Daily chart of ETH/BTC

However, Ethereum is now trading in overbought territory. Thus, a brief pullback is needed to allow technical indicators to cool down. So instead of letting the fear of missing out influence your trading decisions, wait for the correction before entering the market. A good target is our current range midpoint of 0.0339.

Once the retracement is complete, we believe Ethereum will continue its ascent to our initial target of 0.0418.

EOS (EOS/BTC)

EOS is looking pretty bullish. After it nearly touched our range midpoint of 0.00828 on February 12, 2019, the market showed signs of short-term bullish exhaustion. More often than not, failure to take out the range midpoint leads to a retrace down to the range low. EOS wants to part of this trend.


Daily chart of EOS/BTC

However, the market refuses to revisit the range low of 0.000073 as it flashes bullish signals. First, we can see the 200-day MA acting as support. Second, there’s a golden cross between the 50-day MA and the 100-day MA. With these signs, we won’t be surprised to see EOS flip 0.0000828 resistance into support this week. Should that happen, the next target is 0.0000926.

Mainframe (MFT/BTC)

After failing to take out our range high of 0.000001 on February 11, Mainframe unravelled as it posted five red candles in seven days. Nevertheless, the market is starting to look attractive to bottom-pickers.

Daily chart of MFT/BTC

On February 16, Mainframe went below our range midpoint of 0.00000085. It then retested this level as a resistance on February 17. Should the market recover this support soon, we could expect Mainframe to rally to our range high of 0.000001. Otherwise, we can expect it to retrace all the way down to our range low of 0.0000007.

Komodo (KMD/BTC)

Komodo is a market that wants to range higher. Bulls are working hard today, February 18, to finally take out our current range high of 0.0000239. However, bears have no intentions of making it easy as they continue to dump positions. As a result, the daily candles in the last two days have wicks above their bodies.


Daily chart of KMD/BTC

Looks like Komodo is flipping 0.0000239 resistance into support. The market already rallied to our target of 0.0000279 today. However, Komodo may still go back down to 0.00001968 should 0.0000239 not hold as a support.

VeChain (VET/BTC)

VeChain has been range trading between 0.00000102 and 0.00000127 for about three months. Recent price action tells us that it might be ready to break out of its range.

Daily chart of VET/BTC

Just like EOS, Vechain also refused to revisit its range low of 0.00000102. The high volume rally on February 16 tells us that the market is intent on flipping resistance of 0.00000115 into support. If it does, we expect VeChain to climb to our range high of 0.00000127.

Bottom Line

With Bitcoin stuck in sideways trading, altcoins have some room to grow. We believe that Ethereum and EOS will lead the charge this week. Mainframe, Komodo, and VeChain will likely follow their lead. Looks like we have an exciting week of trading ahead of us.

 

Disclaimer: The writer owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.9 stars on average, based on 328 rated postsKiril is a CFA Charterholder and financial professional with 5+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and funds, as he does his own crypto research and is a Product Manager at Mitre Media. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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