Monero Price Analysis: XMR/USD Bulls Eyeing Explosive Move Out of Current Range Block


  • XMR/USD is moving within a range block, having been stuck within for the past 5 weeks, subject to a breakout.
  • Buying pressure would likely be triggered above $115 and heavy sellers below $100. 

XMR/USD has been trading steadily for going on five weeks now, moving within a $15 range. The price has produced a bottom at the psychological $100 level. The top observed at $115. Therehas been a lack of excessive volatility observed in either direction, for the time being. This price behaviour is coming despite the breakout of a key supporting trend line. It had been providing comfort initially since mid-August, until the breach and retest between 7-11 October.

Monero Related News Flow

Noriel Roubini, also known as Dr Doom, recently further spread FUD within the market. This week, the economist via Twitter, was speaking on anonymity and how the FEDs are coming for Monero. “So much for privacy, anonymity & censorship resistance: there is NO anonymity in crypto. Law enforcement authorities prefer transactions on crypto because it is easier to trace transactions & who is behind them than in banks.  Wake up crypto zealots. & Feds will crack Monero too.”

This isn’t the first time the economist has expressed his strong dissatisfaction for the cryptocurrency market in general. Last month, he was speaking at a hearing to the U.S. Senate Committee on Banking. During this him testifying, he noted, “Crypto is the mother or father of all scams and bubbles.” He was very much doing his best to try and sound the alarms to the committee on the market in general.

Technical Review – XMR/USD

XMR/USD daily chart

As earlier mentioned, a range block has been formed within the past five weeks of trading. Given this current form, a breakout would be expected to be imminent. Looking via the daily chart view, for now it remains unclear, in terms of next direction. The move will likely be chunky, it is just as matter of where. What can be noted is that the current bottom of the range is observed at $100, any break lower here, would likely be a huge incentive for sellers.

Should a breach occur at the psychological $100 mark, a very forceful push lower would likely be seen. The next major area of support is observed down at $85-75 range, where a demand zone is sitting. This last came into action on 14th August, after heavy selling pressure hit XMR/USD from the back end of July. The price had dropped a whopping 48%, over that period, falling from around $149 down to $76 territory.

Looking to the upside, buyers would likely apply heavy pressure should a breakout be seen from the upper part of the mentioned range. This would be a breach of $115, opening the door for a retest of the breached ascending trend line. An initial target would be seen at $140, then further north, $145-150 range. This area is a known supply zone, XMR/USD has not been convincingly above here since June.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Ken has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.