Monero Price Analysis: XMR/USD Bulls Cooking Up Big Potential Moves

  • XMR/USD price action surprisingly this week has been generally muted.
  • Current price behavior looks more favorable to see upside surprises, rather than any heavy selling pressure.

The Monero price this trading week has been somewhat muted. This comes as quite a surprise given the recent updates from the foundation. The foundation introduced the Maleware Workgroup, a huge step in efforts to protect the Monero community. Elsewhere, the foundation was also finally able to patch the ongoing ‘burning bug’ issue, which was proving to be a big problem. Full details of both developments posted in previous Monero article.

Near-term Analysis (60-Minute Chart)

XMR/USD 60-minute chart

Looking at the 60-minute chart for XMR/USD, it is very much clear to see how tight the trading range is. The vast majority of price action, aside from a couple of spikes here and there, has been swinging between $117 down to $111. This behavior has been observed since the bull run seen on 19th September, which was then paired after 23rd September fall.

Daily Chart View

XMR/USD daily chart

Price action is being supported by an ascending trend line on the daily chart. This has been running from 13th August, proving its strength. XMR/USD is currently stuck in between the 100DMA ($116.795), which is seen above, and the 50DMA ($110.877) below.  The price has seen a bounce on several occasions in September, off the trend line.

Next Move for Monero

The above-mentioned tracking ascending trend line is going to be vital in Monero’s recovery. Market bulls will need comfort, in case of another failed break down of above chunky supply area. This is seen tracking from $140-$150. There were several occasions in July and one in September, where the bulls failed to break this down. On each time the price has come into contact with this territory, it has been hit pretty hard by the sellers.

XMR/USD daily view

A breakout to the upside from the mentioned supply, could see a fast move towards $170, where some resistance can be seen. The price most recently found difficulty within this area at the early part of June. Enough bullish momentum should see it clear this territory, with $200 being reclaimed to the upside. XMR/USD was last trading above $200 back on 21st May.

Looking to the downside, a breach in the ascending trend line to the downside, could be catastrophic. Sellers would likely pile in with a high amount of volatility, sending the price down to sub-$100. The next chunky demand area is seen down within the $90-75 range. XMR/USD traded within this zone on 14th August, where the market managed receive a firm bounce.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Ken has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.