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Modern Pricing is Getting Aggressive

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Over the weekend, the world’s favorite cryptocurrency has crossed a very important milestone of $9,000 per coin. It didn’t stop there though and many speculate that it could cross the even rounder psychological barrier of $10,000, possibly very soon.

Here are but a few posts from the some of the more established traders on the eToro network. Feel free to leave your prediction at this link.

 

Long term predictions are getting a lot more aggressive as we’ll discover below.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of November 27th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Crypto Reminder

I remember the first time I saw an interview on Bloomberg television speaking about Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies, though I don’t recall the exact date I believe it was around April of this year. It was so exciting to finally see some coverage from mainstream financial media.

By now it’s become a thing to include crypto in almost every segment of every show and to get the opinion of just about every guest they have on. Today I even saw a quick price alert from the Financial Times noting Bitcoin’s rise above $9,000. Exciting times indeed!

Though it’s easy to get lost in crypto-land, I would like to gently remind everyone that this is still an extremely risky investment class. Though the industry is seeing massive expansion, blockchain technology is still highly experimental and has not yet stood the test of time.

Therefore, it is prudent to allocate your portfolio accordingly. Most advisors say to keep only a very small portion of your total investments in high risk assets. This is why I keep including ‘boring things’ like geopolitics and other markets in these daily updates.

Market Overview

Still, the crypto-market is still small enough to fly under the radar of traditional markets. At present, it is estimated that the total number of bitcoins in circulation is valued at about 2% of the total amount of gold in the world.

Stock markets are doing great. Not crypto-great but the larger the market the more money needed to push the needle. However, the increasingly low volatility and the markets seeming inability to even pull back a little is no less astounding.

Commodities are also seeing one of their most stable years of recent times. Take a look at gold, which has largely remained within $75 an ounce of the $1,250 level (yellow).

Of course, if and when inflation finally enters the market, gold has a long way to go before coming near the all time highs set at the peak of the financial crisis in 2011.

Oil has also been advancing steadily. OPEC will be meeting this Thursday to try and push the price up even further. Though with Western producers likely to ramp up their output, OPEC will likely settle for even keeping it where it is.

Like many other things. The fundamentals of this market have changed drastically in the last few years. To see $110 again would certainly be a dream come true for many participants but given the recent price action seems increasinly likely to happen.

Thinking Long-term

As the entire cryptocurrency market crosses $300 Billion this morning, the rate of growth continues to accelerate. Over the past week, the rise has averaged $9.5 Billion per day.

All traditional methods of gauging price movements are now off the table. Bitcoin was trading in a very normal looking channel (yellow lines) for most of the year but in the beginning of November it broke out the top of the channel.

Even still, for most of the month, it managed to keep to the laws of nature and formed a resistance (dotted blue) line but even that has been smashed in the past 48 hours.

So, we must search for other ways to look at things. This post on Twitter caught my eye. It was published by a guy who goes by @parabolictrav who claims to have been toying with these type of parabolic charts his entire life. Take a good look…

The implications are self-explanatory. If we continue with this type of price action and nobody finds some inherent flaw, we could be looking at $180k by the end of next year.

Let’s have an awesome day!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.
The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 134 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. masterjoe

    November 27, 2017 at 4:01 pm

    I would love to heard hacked.com’s perspective on potential manipulation going on right now, particularly the situation with Tether/Bitfinex and other exchanges which use the Tether token as a placeholder for USD (USDT). I am still fairly new to crypto and have a few other coins, and a small chunk being in BTC. But before I put any more in, this definitely needs to be clarified for my own sanity. Thanks! Happy new member 🙂

  2. Lukasz

    November 27, 2017 at 8:28 pm

    Hey hacked team, sorry but throwing chart from random tweet is bit overdone. Looking at chart we can see somebody trying to draw parabolic chart on parabolic scale?! It means it is double parabolic. I wish we had that, however probably a non realistic dream and mistake of chart maker one yours for republishing.

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Analysis

Long-Term Cryptocurrency Analysis: Bear Market Continues With Major Technical Breakdown

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After months of choppy consolidation, yesterday, we saw the largest move in the cryptocurrency segment since April, which took the majors below key technical levels. Bitcoin’s drop is the most important event, since the most valuable coin violated a structurally important base support for the first time since its historic bull run to $20,000 started.

As we warned repeatedly, the market didn’t show signs of healing during the sideways drift, since no leadership developed, and the coins failed to show follow-through following the, sometimes explosive rally attempts, so our trend model remained overwhelmingly bearish throughout the consolidation.

The top altcoins completed their structural breakdowns well ahead of BTC, and the stability of Bitcoin was the most encouraging sign for crypto-bulls, so now, the broad selloff confirmed the next lower in the bear market.

BTC/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

After violating the primary support at $6275, Bitcoin’s selloff accelerated below the weaker $6000 level and the key zone near $5850 wasn’t enough to support the coin. The structural breakdown will likely lead to a test of the $5000-$5100 zone, while an unlikely recovery would be a very positive development. Primary resistance is now ahead near $5850, while further major support zones are found near $4500 and $3600, and traders and investors still shouldn’t enter new positions here.

ETH/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Ethereum fell to a marginal new bear market low, outperforming Bitcoin from a short-term technical perspective, but that’s not enough to warrant optimism with regards to the long-term setup. ETH is still in a clear long-term downtrend despite the lengthy consolidation phase, and a test of the $160 level is likely in the coming period.

The coin is still on sell signals on both time-frames in our trend model, and traders and investors should stay away from new positions, with further support found near $130 and with resistance levels ahead near $200 and $235.

(more…)

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 394 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s Double-Digit Loss Has Investors Searching for Answers

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After crashing to its lowest level in over 12 months, bitcoin is showing little signs of recovery Thursday. The 24-hour price ticker continues to show double-digit percentage losses as volumes on virtual exchanges surged.

BTC/USD Update

Bitcoin continues to vary markedly across exchanges, with Coinbase reporting a price-per-coin of $5,439. The San Francisco-based exchange quoted a BTC price of $5,391 earlier in the session.

On Bitfinex, the BTC/USD exchange rate is currently seen hovering just below $5,650. The exchange quoted a daily high of $5,940.

Bitcoin’s average price is reported to be $5,532 on CoinMarketCap, a decline of 12% over the past 24 hours.  Trade volumes across all exchanges surged to $8.3 billion as investors rushed to liquidate their positions.

At the time of writing, virtually all major cryptocurrencies were nursing significant losses with the overall market cap situated below $182 billion. Bitcoin and the broader market are showing little signs of recovery for the time being as investors continue to process Wednesday’s brutal drop.

No Clear Catalyst

There doesn’t appear to be a single known catalyst for the violent market-wide drop experienced on Wednesday. Although volatility in the market was observed prior to the decline, most notably for bitcoin cash and in the rival ABC/SV futures, there was no single event that caused the market to capitulate.

As Hacked previously reported, bitcoin usually exhibits weakness following prolonged periods of narrow trading ranges. A failure to break out of those ranges often invites a wave of selling pressure in subsequent weeks followed by a recovery later on. As a whole, this cycle has kept the bitcoin price elevated above $6,200 in the latter half of the year but upside remained firmly capped below $6,800-$7,000. It was only a few days ago that bitcoin’s 30-day volatility index fell to more than two-year lows.

Although manipulation cannot be ruled out, it’s possible that the latest drop reflects technical re-positioning in the market. It’s also possible that bitcoin cash’s “civil war” had an oversized impact on the broader market as investors await the outcome of the highly contentious software upgrade.

Despite these concerns, bitcoin’s fundamental picture has improved significantly this year as institutions continue to take aim at cryptocurrency. Intercontinental Exchange is set to launch its Bakkt trading platform next month, which offers institutional traders the opportunity to trade physically-backed bitcoin futures products. Meanwhile, VanEck has expressed confidence that its physically-backed bitcoin ETF will gain regulatory approval at some point in the future. The general consensus appears to be that an ETF is coming eventually but not likely in the near term. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is set to deliver a verdict by Dec. 29.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 664 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Altcoins

Crypto Market Flash-Dips 12%; Bitcoin Price Hits New Yearly Low as ETH, TRX Bleed Out

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The global cryptocurrency segment experienced a market-wide sell-off on Wednesday afternoon, losing $25 billion, or 12% of the overall market cap.

The bulk of the losses struck in a brief one-hour window, between 15:30 and 16:30 UTC. The sudden flash dip came as a surprise to say the least, and followed this morning’s $7.5 billion sell-off which, without the benefit of foresight, seemed significant at the time.

Just When We Thought We Were Out…

Now the altcoin setup looks radically different, with several coins threatening the yearly lows of August-September once again following an entire quarter of recovery.

All of Bitcoin Cash’s recent gains have disappeared, with BCH sinking 30% in the last week alone, and close to 20% in the last day. The same pattern persists among all the recent market growers, as yet another great correction unfolds.

BTC/USD Hits 13-Month Lows

Bitcoin did however strike new yearly lows, or thirteen-month lows to be precise, after BTC/USD fell to $5,765 – a level not witnessed since October 2017. That puts BTC on 9.8% losses over less than twelve hours, after falling from this morning’s $6,395.

Of Bitcoin’s $6 billion volume at time of writing, you have to look eleven places down the charts to find the first cryptocurrency that BTC has been significantly traded against. The top ten most concentrated trades are all against either fiat currency (USD and KRW), or dollar-pegged stablecoins – specifically Tether (USDT).

Ethereum Sinks Along With Mining Profits

As covered earlier on Hacked, Ethereum’s initial fall below the $200 mark resulted in Ether mining no longer being profitable. However, the $189 price quoted in the article continued to fall further, landing on $179.49 and resulting in a 14.4% crash for Ethereum from last night’s high of $209.78.

That’s still slightly above the $170 valuation recorded during the dip of September this year, and saves ETH from notching up a new yearly low along with BTC.

Tron (TRX) Threatens Yearly Lows

The value of TRX fell 16% from $0.022358 to $0.018757 for Wednesday, pushing the coin closer to the lows of August when TRX hit the eery number of $0.016666 before rebounding.

This time the price rebounded to the $0.019 level, which is a hopeful sign for the altcoin, although TRX losses now stand at 22.5% for the last seven days.

All of the coin growth surrounding BitTorrent, record transaction volumes, coin listings and everything else that came out of Tron HQ in recent months has now effectively been wiped out.

Few coins were spared the bloodletting, and even the stablecoins were shaken by the sudden sell-off as Tether dipped to the $0.97 range once again. Despite the numbers quoted above, the worst of the losses came from the lesser altcoins, with recent gainer Basic Attention Token (BAT) now down more than 40% for the week.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 89 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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