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Analysis

Litecoin Pops as Investors Grow Weary of Bitcoin Cash

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Litecoin (LTC) spiked above $50.00 on Thursday, as demand for Bitcoin Cash (BCH) cooled amid growing concerns that it is heading for another crash. According to Bitcoin analyst Tuur Demeester, the next BCH selloff will likely push Litecoin prices sharply higher.

The Bitcoin Hedge?

Demeester refers to Litecoin as the “real Bitcoin hedge” due to its SegWit scaling solution. This means it can easily incorporate other technologies before they make their way to Bitcoin (the Lightning Network is one such example). Litecoin also has many similarities with Bitcoin, which makes it the logical choice for Bitcoin enthusiasts looking to hedge against volatility.

While this concept obviously doesn’t have much data behind it, market participants will have plenty of opportunity to test it. That’s because Bitcoin Cash is seen as increasingly volatile, even by cryptocurrency standards.

Since Bitcoin Cash branched off from its parent on Aug. 1, prices have struggled to demonstrate steady upward momentum. BCH spiked following the hard fork before losing more than half its value a few days later. Prices struggled up until last week, when the market turned higher.

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At the time of writing, BCH controls more than $11 billion in assets, placing it third among world cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin takes the top spot at $69.1 billion. Ethereum is second at less than $30 billion.

Litecoin Sees Large Upside

Litecoin’s latest upsurge took prices to a high of $52.91, according to Bitstamp. Prices were last down around 1% at $52.30. At current values, the LTC market is worth roughly $2.7 billion.

The LTC/USD has further upside in store, based on the short-term oscillators. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed above 60 and the MACD shows continuing upward momentum. Prices are up around 18% over the past month and have returned more than 1,100% year-to-date.

Ripple Spikes and then Falls Again

Litecoin isn’t the only digital coin on the rise. Ripple (XRP) spiked 70% overnight on Wednesday as volume crossed $2 billion. Once again, trading on the Korean peninsula is largely responsible for the dramatic increase. South Korea has been a major driver of the cryptocurrency market as of late amid speculation it will become the second Asian country to regulate the digital payment arena.

Ripple pulled back sharply on Thursday to trade at $0.2492. That represents a drop of 8.5%, according to CoinMarketCap. The coin saw roughly $1.6 billion in volume over the past 24 hours.

Crypto Market Cap Reaches New High

The total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies topped $152 billion on Thursday, a new record high. The latest record comes despite Bitcoin and Ethereum both trading well off their peak levels.

There are now 11 cryptocurrencies valued at $1 billion or more. Monero is the latest addition. As of Thursday, it is valued at nearly $1.4 billion. BitConnect is also approaching the $1 billion milestone, and was last valued at roughly $831 million.

Total Cryptocurrency Market Cap (CoinMarketCap)

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 455 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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3 Comments

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  1. bananatrue

    August 24, 2017 at 11:19 am

    If you ever tried making a real payment using Litecoin you’d realize it’s always been way more reliable than Bitcoin since months. It’s no surprise that merchants switched to BTC to LTC because of transaction time and fees. The fact that LTC price isn’t exploded yet reflects the actual short-term speculation rather than long-term investment market IMO.

    BTC’s November fork will be another great test for LTC, let’s see how it goes.
    I know it’s not safe as a trader but I went almost all-in on Litecoin so I hope to be right.

    • Chris G

      August 24, 2017 at 3:32 pm

      Absolutely agree – in fact, much of the time I am trying to move bitcoin in wallets and market platforms, I convert it to litecoin and transfer as litecoin. It’s faster, more reliable etc.

  2. Chris G

    August 24, 2017 at 4:04 pm

    I took profit on LTC at 53, had been waiting for months for the price to move – now I’m largely moved to ETH in the hopes of hitting the 360 target

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Analysis

Europe Drags Stocks Lower while Trade War Fears Return

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The risk-off shift of Friday continued today throughout the major financial markets, with the German political standoff on migration weighing on investors sentiment as well, besides the emerging market troubles, and the trade skirmish between the US and China. All of the major US indices opened the week lower, with Europe clearly underperforming and Asian equities also being under pressure.

As Chinese announced retaliatory tariffs are after last week’s US steps the week could bring upon another round of measures by the Trump administration and with that, the escalation of the trade tensions is very much a possibility again.

S&P 500 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Despite today’s losses, the leading indices, especially the Nasdaq and the small-cap Russell 2000, are still just a tad below their all-time highs, while the relatively weak benchmarks are 5-10% below their yearly highs. The balanced S&P 500 is also shy of its all-time, but the short-term uptrend remains intact, and incredibly enough, the benchmark still didn’t leave the range of the early-February crash which unfolded in just 3 days.

Euros Stoxx 50, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The divergence between the leaders and the rest of the global market, continues to point to the fragility of the rally, and as emerging market currencies are sill clearly in trouble, we don’t expect a broad march to new highs in the coming weeks and we remain defensive towards global risk assets.

Commodities Smacked Lower amid Risk-Off Shift

DXY (Dollar Index), 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Currencies settled down after their crazy central bank loaded week, with the Dollar pulling back slightly off its highs against the Euro and the Yen, while holding its ground compared to the other majors. The Dollar index broke out of the consolidation pattern as we expected and it is now challenging the multi-month highs set in May.

USD/CAD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Dollar is now trading at a 12-month high against the Canadian Dollar, as the pair left behind the 1.30 level as we expected, while the Aussie is also close to hitting levels not seen since last summer, as Friday’s drop in commodities put pressure on the already weak AUD.

WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Commodity traders are licking their wounds after Friday’s rout, although crude oil staged an impressive rebound off the two-month low hit in early trading below $64 per barrel with regards to the WTI contract.

That said, the short-term trend is clearly negative, and     new lows are likely in the coming days, although the much-awaited OPEC meeting later on this week could cause wild swings in the key commodity, with speculation already being rampant about the possible output change by the cartel.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Consolidate Above Support but Downtrend Still Intact

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It has been a very quiet weekend for the major cryptocurrencies so far, as the predominantly bearish week ended with range trading and a collapse in volumes across the board. Most of the top coins failed to gain back the ground they lost during the steep selloff, with only Binance Coin and VeChain showing meaningful bullish momentum.

The relatively strong Ethereum, EOS, and Ripple remained stable, with ETH hovering around the $500 level, EOS trading north of the key $10 support despite the network’s technical issues, and Ripple being stuck in a narrow range just below the widely-watched $0.54 resistance level. The total capitalization of the market has been virtually unchanged at $280 billion, as both Bitcoin and Ethereum flatlined.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Bitcoin is trading right at the short-term support level near $6500, holding up just above the April low, with the crucial long-term support zone near $5850 that is vital for the whole segment. The coin is clearly in a short-term downtrend, while also being relatively weak on all time frames. The oversold short-term momentum readings are now cleared and that could point to a test of the lows in the coming days.

 

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum also cleared the short-term oversold readings, but it failed to leave the vicinity of the $500 support/resistance level. Despite the coin’s undoubted relative strength, and the still bullish long-term setup, the short-term trend signal remains a sell, and the declining trend is intact. Traders should still not enter new positions here, while investors could add to their holdings on the short-term selloffs. Strong resistance is ahead between $555 and $575, while further support is found at $450, $400, and $380.

Divide Widens between Leaders and Laggards

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Although short-term correlations skyrocketed during last week’s decline, the divergence between the relatively strong and weak coins got even more pronounced, with the likes of Litecoin, Dash, and Monero severely lagging the broader market. Litecoin got stuck below the $100 level after the breakdown last week, and it is below the long-term base pattern, as it failed to show relative strength during the weekend. Immediate support is found at $90, but new lows are likely in the coming days, as the short-term downtrend remains dominant. 

BNB/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

As a positive outlier, Binance Coin remained bullish amid the broad decline, holding on to the relative strength that it has been showing for several weeks. The coin’s stability is encouraging, and it’s nearing its rally highs with today’s surge, while having a good chance of resuming its uptrend, even as another segment-wide selloff could cause a jump in volatility again.

For now, the market is torn between bullish and bearish forces, and investors should focus on the technicals of BTC and ETH, while also keeping an eye on the leaders of the rally for signs of sutained strenght.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 276 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Long-Term Cryptocurrency Analysis: Bull Market in Jeopardy

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As the crucial rally attempt that we pointed out in our previous long-term analysis failed, and the major coins sold off heavily afterwards, the segment is now in a difficult situation. While Bitcoin and especially Ethereum are still in bullish setups, the most valuable coin is now close to a major breakdown that could lead to structural bear market as we laid it out back in January.

Some of the weaker coins are already below the large-scale consolidation patterns that developed after the year-end run-up, and as the divergence between the leaders and the laggards widens, the path of the two dominant coins even more importance.

BTC/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

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Bitcoin failed to trigger a short-term buy signal throughout the Ethereum-led rally in May and early June, and that technical weakness still persists, as BTC is now trading right at the April low, testing the key long-term base pattern.

A break below the strong support zone near $5850 would be the first similar event since the beginning of the bear market in 2014, and it could lead to an extended period of bearish bias for Bitcoin after the spectacular bull run of 2017. For now, the bull market is intact, with support found near between $6000 and $6275, at $5850 and below that at $5500, while resistance is ahead at $6500, $7000, $7350, and $7650.

ETH/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Although Ethereum is clearly stronger from a technical perspective compared to Bitcoin, the coin is struggling to hold the key $500 level, as it is resumed its short-term downtrend. The April lows are well below the current price level and the long-term setup is bullish, so long-term investors could still add to their positions during the selloffs. Resistance above $500 is ahead between $555 and $575, while strong support is near $450, $400, $380.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 276 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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