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Let’s Take the Power Back!

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It seems clear by now to many of us that the next leap in the evolution of technology will be that of decentralization.

The innovation of distributed ledger technology “blockchain” has shown us that centralized money, power, and data are inherently weak and that by spreading out these things over an entire network we can strengthen all of them and make them more effective.

Why then do the entire industry and the cutting edge cryptotraders, all rely on the same stupid centralized website to get our information and pricing?

I’m as guilty as everyone else on this and find myself logging into coinmarketcap.com several times a day to check pricing. I’ve seen them cited over and over again in articles as if they’re some kind of authority and it’s gotten out of hand.

CMC caused the market to crash on Monday. Whether this was intentional or not remains to be discovered. For myself and all of you reading, I propose that we boycott this website effective immediately.

I’m sick and tired of their banner adds that intentionally promote scammy ICOs and sick and tired of them having total authority over a market that should be free, especially where there are so many other great websites that can give us the information we need just as quickly and just as efficiently.
 
@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

  • Action in The Bonds
  • Japan Exiting?
  • Ethereum is the Safer

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of January 10th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Traditional Markets

Usually, the bond markets are the most boring market to be involved in. As an incredibly low risk asset, the volatility is often times non-existent.

Yesterday however, there was some sudden sell off in US treasury bonds. Here we can see the TLT 20 year bond, which is trading on eToro.

What bond traders like to watch are the yields, which trade inversely to the price. Seeing the Yield on the US 10 Year spiking above 2.5%, for the first time since March, was enough to raise a few eyebrows on Wall Street.

Nevertheless, with eyebrows raised investors kept plowing into buy positions on the stock market. The S&P500 has closed with a record high every day this year making it one of the strongest starts for stocks ever.

What caused the bonds to sell-off?

Many analysts are pointing to “monetary tightening.” The central banks of the world are in the slow process of raising interest rates and gradually trying to reverse the “loose money” policy that has been in place since 2009.

The Bank of Japan, who until now has been the most aggressive champion of quantitative easing, showed a tiny sign that they might be reducing their monthly bond buying practices.

In their monthly purchases yesterday they bought a total of ¥190 Billion, instead of the ¥200 Billion that they bought last month.

That’s it. A tiny difference, less than $90 million difference from one month to the next has the entire bond market in a tizzy.

Though the Stocks don’t seem to be affected much, the currency markets certainly have been.

The USDJPY fell quite quickly below the current range (dotted blue line) and below the psychological level of 112 Yens to the Dollar.

Finally some action!!!

Let’s Talk about Crypto

The crypto market is also seeing somewhat of a selloff. The overwhelming gains we saw in Ripple’s XRP token’s over the few weeks are being rapidly clawed back. It looks like XRP has found some sort of floor at $1.50 but we’ll see how that develops.

It should be noted, that even if XRP retraces all the way to $1.10, it will still be worth 5 times what it was a month ago.

For those of you who got in early and are still hodling, awesome!! For those of you who got in late and are now hurting, I feel you and I’ve been there before. Next time please try to be more diverse in your investments and try to take a more long term approach to the markets.

The pullback isn’t just in XRP though. In fact, the only cryptocurrency that seems to be in green today is Ethereum. As we’ve noted several times in past updates, Ethereum is acting as the safe haven in this market.

Bitcoin Mining

It seems we have an update on the status of bitcoin mining in China. Official documents from the Chinese authorities obtained by the Financial Times indicate that China will in fact be cracking down on Bitcoin miners.

This is particularly concerning because most mining is still done in China. Though many other countries have plans to ramp up their operations, these things take time and none are fully operational just yet.

This news comes at a particularly bad time for the world’s first cryptocurrency as the backlog of unconfirmed transactions known as the mempool just does not want to clear. Even though the number of transactions processed by the bitcoin blockchain is coming down, there are still about 170,000 unconfirmed transactions at any given time.

The thing to watch is the hashrate. To bitcoin’s benefit, the computing power of the network has grown drastically over the last few months. If it starts to falter now it will be a very bad sign for bitcoin indeed.

The SegWit solution could still save bitcoin but the possibilities of this happening seem increasingly slim. Alas, only 10% of miners have gotten onboard so far.

Even though I love bitcoin, the amount of energy it currently uses to facilitate the blockchain is quite excessive. If the protocol cannot be updated to make it more efficient, perhaps it’s best that the way be cleared for other more efficient cryptos.

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation. The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro. Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose. Cryptocurrencies can widely fluctuate in prices and are not appropriate for all investors. Trading cryptocurrencies is not supervised by any EU regulatory framework.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 138 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. Chris G

    January 10, 2018 at 7:04 pm

    I’m with you on CMC

  2. Parentesi

    January 10, 2018 at 10:12 pm

    CMC sucks. yes! I barely go there, only to look at the Market Cap mainly or to get info on a token, to see website info, what markets it is on. But now after they kicked out some asian platforms, it lets me think they are somewhat doing whatever they please and not e reliable source at all. Good to read others think the same.

    As of Etherium staying stable sort fo and other going down. NEO is doing very well too, OMG too and a lot of others. Just the focus in the West is very much on the big five and some surroundings.
    ETH, XBT, BCH, LTC, XRP ect…
    If you do not look at them, but rather for real applications possibility’s, your swings become lower and more stable.

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Zcash Price Analysis: ZEC/USD Shaping Up for Another Potential Fall; Coinbase Giving Zcash Away

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  • Zcash saw a decent bounce on Wednesday, jumping over 6%, but technical there are still some vulnerabilities.
  • Coinbase as part of their ‘12 days of Coinbase’ campaign, will be giving away ZEC to families in need in Venezuela.

ZEC/USD enjoyed a string of gains on Wednesday, jumping as much as 6% in the session. This appears to be somewhat of a consolation move for the bulls, as the sellers look to be exhausted. There has been little direction since the heavy pressure to the downside slowed down and stabilized on the 7th December. The price through the month of November dropped a hefty 63%, with that being carried through into December.

Coinbase Giving Away ZEC

Just a couple of weeks ago the popular U.S. cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase announced the listing of ZEC. They are now facilitating ZEC trading via Coinbase Pro, the proprietary trading platform. The service was made available for Coinbase Pro users in the U.S, U.K, the European Union, Singapore, Australia and Canada. On the back of this, ZEC/USD had jumped as much as 20% over the course of the day, following the announcement.

Most recently, Coinbase launched a Christmas campaign, which entails a series of announcements, dubbed “12 days of Coinbase.” Today was the second day, in which they detailed a gift in aid for distressed families in Venezuela. To provide help to these families, Coinbase will be donating $10,000 in Zcash to GiveCrypto.org. This is a nonprofit organization, which distributes cryptocurrency to people within poverty struck living conditions. $1.00 USD worth of ZEC will be deposited into crypto wallets of over 100 families in Santa Elena every day for three months.

Technical Review – ZEC/USD

ZEC/USD 4-hour chart

As touched upon above, ZEC/USD had been provided with a relief bounce in the session. However, price action is still moving within a bearish pennant pattern structure. This has been forming since the 7th December, within this consolidation mode. Price action is narrowing following the steep drop just some days ago. Technically, it does typically spell further potential trouble when behavior is as such currently seen – generating a calm before a further potential storm caused by the rampant bears.

ZEC/USD weekly chart

Given the above-mentioned pattern formation, ZEC/USD is vulnerable to another steep drop. Near-term support of this pennant should be noted at around $54.60. Should the bears manage to force a break, then expect the flood gates to open. A further wave of selling would likely follow, with the next major area of support, not seen until the $30 territory. The price was last down at these levels in February 2017. A demand zone can be seen running from $35 down to $26.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 80 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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EOS Price Analysis: Cardano Founder Charles Hoskinson Warns of Regulatory Action Against EOS

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  • Charles Hoskinson projects some form of action from the SEC on EOS.
  • EOS/USD enjoys a relief rally on Wednesday, as price moves further north following recent bounce.

The EOS price hasn’t done much but decline of late. Back in August, EOS/USD entered into a very stubborn narrowing range. The price had been confined within this mode of trading right up until November. The range was seen from the $6 territory down $4 area. On the 19th November, EOS/USD bears had finally pushed for a breakout to the downside, from this mentioned range-block. Following this fall, the price plummeted over 60%, over the course of 3 weeks.

Cardano Founder Hoskinson Expresses EOS Regulatory Concerns

The Cardano (ADA) founder, Charles Hoskinson, has beliefs that EOS chief developer of the network is likely to face strong action from regulatory bodies. The SEC would be a potential regulator that investigates their $4bln ICO, as he has described as “egregious.”

Speaking at a press conference in Edinburgh, Charles Hoskinson has made a projection that the Securities and Exchange Commission will look at taking firm measures against Block.One. He believes that this would be done due to the way it had run and hosted the EOS ICO.  Hoskinson further detailed how the EOS token sale sits within the remit of the regulators for them to review the potential for harm of retail investors in the United States.

Charles Hoskinson Anticipating SEC Action on EOS

Hoskinson predicted that the SEC will likely bring punitive measures against Block.One for the way it ran the EOS Initial Coin Offering. The IOHK leader explained that EOS’ token sale falls well within the regulator’s remit to take action against any financial activity which harms US retail investors.

There were several fundamental issues with the EOS ICO, which clearly raise red flags, from Hoskinson’s view. He expressed for particular focus on the amount they had raised over the course of a year, in addition to their “utter lack of respect” for investors. Hoskinson said, the SEC “needed” to take action.

Technical Review – EOS/USD

EOS/USD daily chart

Most recently, the price has managed to stabilize, which could be due to sellers exhaustion. A bounce was seen on 7th December, after falling to a low of around $1.55. The bulls are attempting to make a convincing push back into the $2 territory. Demand in the near-term should now be observed from that recent low, $1.55 up to $1.80.

It is interesting to note the area of which EOS/USD received some comfort on 7th December (this is a known acting support). Back in November 2017 during the big bull run, the price consolidated within the mentioned demand zone for a brief period. This came before continuing its strong move to the north.

Downside Observations

EOS/USD daily chart

Should the near-term area of support fail to hold, then there could be some devastating moves to the downside. A breach of the $1 mark could very well be seen. The next major demand area will be within the depths of $0.90 region. EOS/USD had last traded down here again within the early part of Nov 2017 bull run.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 80 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Stellar Price Analysis: XLM/USD on the Road to Losing the $0.10 Mark; Coinbase Can’t Save XLM for Now

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  • XLM bears are pressing hard for a drop below the big $0.10 mark, as markets remains down across the board.
  • There could be room for another 8% price drop if support is broken, looking via the XLM/BTC chart view.

Stellar’s XLM is subject to giving up the big $0.10 level. Across the board there have been a several key psychological price breaks. Cryptocurrencies are being forced to give way, due to strength of the current bear market. When prices drop below these closely looked at levels, it only seems to spark further worry and panic. A fresh wave of selling pressure is then invited. Over the past five weeks, XLM/USD has fallen a chunky 63%, from the $0.29 territory, down to a recent low of $0.1010.

Consolidation Mode – Bears Rubbing Paws Together

XLM/USD daily chart

Over the past four sessions, there has been some stabilization following the deep push on 6th December, where XLM/USD fell to $0.1010. The price is moving within consolidation mode, something that is seen across the market. Technically, this only spells more danger – a calm before the storm potentially for cryptocurrencies. This type of behavior has been seen over and over again during this aggressively stubborn downward trend.

What if $0.10 is Breached?

As noted on numerous occasions, this move is uncharted territory already, falling from the heights seen at the start of the year. Market participants are already fueled with a serious amount of FUD, so such technical breaks will only cause more damage. This isn’t due to anything fundamental relating to the Stellar foundation, as their developments continue to remain very much sound and strong. One must gauge how further this can fall, via XLM/BTC chart view.

Technical Review – XLM/BTC

XLM/BTC daily chart

XLM/BTC continues to flirt with a critical area of support, and a failure to hold will be catastrophic. This zone held in the most recent fall on 7th December; despite the long lower wick below, the price still managed to close above. XLM/BTC has not been and closed below 0.000035 territory since September 19th. Should a breach occur, which if the current pace of momentum maintains its course could very well happen, another 8% drop may follow.

Lastly, it is worth keeping an eye out of the potential formation of a head and shoulder pattern. The left shoulder and head have been crafted via XLM/BTC daily chart. There is certainly a possibility that the bulls come back to life, forcing a bounce at the above-mentioned support. A right shoulder could then move towards heights back within the $0.00004000-4500 range. This is where the next major of supply can be observed.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 80 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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