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Analysis

It’s All About The Tokens And How You Play Them

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A definite good short-term buy-call is to get your hands on some NEO, because on September 10th, the Red Pulse ICO is going to kick off. When that happens, we’re going to see a spike in the price of NEO, because Red Pulse is only selling for NEO – a sage move, really.

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In this article, the author would like to establish that chains like NEO and Ethereum ultimately have no true value on their own. They are required to be valuable to mine order to support valuable applications, and so people are leveraged into paying fair prices for these base tokens. In the case of NEO, those who buy and hold are in the short-term rewarded with GAS, but not as much, perhaps, as can be earned through picking up the RPX token, by comparison.

Therefore, it’s safe to say – it’s all about the tokens and how you play them.

Up to now, the author has really been looking for the next breed of unicorn in the ICO market. But as it turns out, the real truth of it is just something no one wants to acknowledge: while some people will make lots and lots of money long-term in this whole ICO scheme, a lot of others won’t, and still more will have made profit in the short-term.

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So we’ve got to take our profits when we can.

That doesn’t mean there aren’t good long-term positions that come up from time to time, and this author will be more keen to point those out when they do appear. But as for now, it would be good to have a daily piece regarding short-term plays. So what do we pick today? Well, today we recommend you invest the time to investigate RPX, Red Pulse, and everything NEO. Because if the revolution will be tokenized, it’s going to take more than one blockchain to do it.

RPX won’t be the last. NEO has enough GAS to give the platform some runway – incentive for people to hold it without just getting rid of it – and so other tokens will follow in the path of RPX. It’s hard to same from here what applications they will represent, but if the other blockchains eventually mirror Ethereum in the long-term, then there will be applications built on NEO intended to disrupt every aspect of the business world. Following that, the government and finally consumer finance. This is the order of things. In the meantime, it’s all about jumping from tree to tree, getting the low-hanging fruits.

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9 Comments

9 Comments

  1. Tdasselaar

    August 29, 2017 at 4:00 pm

    NEO just dropped 18% following the news from Red Pulse that Chinese will not be able to participate in its ICO due to Chinese government regulations that Red Pulse cannot/will not comply with at the moment. Any thoughts?

  2. Titanbooker

    August 29, 2017 at 4:03 pm

    Likely this was drafted just before the “China potentially banning ICOs news”. What implications does that have on RPX, NEO and maybe even Ethereum in your opinion?

  3. alejandro.uribe

    August 29, 2017 at 4:04 pm

    Waiting to see answers on these previous comments?

  4. Tarik

    August 29, 2017 at 4:24 pm

    @Titan,
    Based on what I read, Chinese government never said “banning ICOs”, but “suspending ICOs” until regulations are clear and in place.
    Please share articles where you read ‘banning’.

  5. Tarik

    August 29, 2017 at 4:34 pm

    @Tdasselaar
    does it mean RedPulse will still run the ICO but keeping Chinese out??

    • Tdasselaar

      August 29, 2017 at 5:29 pm

      Yes, that is my understanding, please refer to this screenshot of Red Pulse team on Twitter: https://i.imgur.com/AjvScnq.png They only mention that Chinese citizens will be disallowed, so I’m assuming that non-Chinese citizens are still able to participate.

      I bought some extra NEO at USD 34. Should NEO find a way to comply with Chinese regulation, it will boost again.

  6. alejandro.uribe

    August 29, 2017 at 4:44 pm

    Authors have never answered questions in threads I’ve been involved with. They do answer praises quickly…

  7. Tarik

    August 29, 2017 at 6:06 pm

    As far as I know, NEO was always ‘supported’ by China… problem here is not NEO nor blockchain, problem is that ICOs are fund-raising, which is regulated and must be pre-approved (from the country finances perspective), and being an ICO is still a cherry over the cake and still not discussed.
    As far as the ICOs get regulated and fund-raising get approved, everything should move smoothly.
    The road became bumpy, but still long way NEO!!

  8. hoodun

    August 31, 2017 at 1:57 am

    So is it still a good time to buy NEO, before the Red Pulse ICO? Its much cheaper now…

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Analysis

Cryptocurrency Analysis: Ripple Continues Rampage as Litecoin and Ethereum Enter Correction

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Ripple remained in the center of attention in the segment after breaking out to a new all-time high yesterday, and the coin almost doubled in value, climbing above the $0.80 level. The currency concluded a 6-month long consolidation pattern with the move after being the only major on a long-term buy signal in our trend model.

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XRP gave a short-term sell signal today, while turning neutral regarding the long-term setup. Investors now shouldn’t add to their positions, although further gains are still possible, and reducing holdings somewhat is a good idea here. Major support is still found at the prior high near $0.4250 and in the $0.30-$0.32 range.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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While Bitcoin stagnated, and Bitcoin Cash jumped, Ethereum, Litecoin, Dash, and IOTA has been drifting slightly lower, although the recent gains are still mostly intact, and the basic setup in the segment is unchanged.

Litecoin fell below the $300 level after yesterday’s consolidation, and the coin faced strong selling pressure in the latter half of the session. The currency remains extremely stretched regarding the long-term momentum indicators, and although the short-term uptrend is still intact, a deeper correction is likely in the coming weeks, with key support levels found at $125 and $100, and weaker levels at $260 and $170.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Analysis

Daily Analysis: Dollar Falls, Gold Jumps after Yellen’s Final Move

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Wednesday Market Recap

Asset Current Value Daily Change
S&P 500 2668 -0.02%
DAX 13125 -0.45%
WTI Crude Oil 56.65 -0.68%
GOLD 1258.00 1.35%
Bitcoin 16,100 -6.32%
EUR/USD 1.1842 0.73%

The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates as expected today, and although the central bank’s monetary statement was slightly more hawkish than expected, the market’s reaction didn’t reflect the much-anticipated move. The worse than expected Core CPI reading that underlined the low-inflation narrative weighed on the recently strong Greenback, while stocks were unchanged after decision and bonds gained ground as yields retreated.

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EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The major indices are hovering near their all-time highs with the DOW leading the way higher, hitting a new record for the second day in a row. While volatility Is expected to remain low as we approach the end of the year, market internals and valuation levels are still concerning from a long-term perspective, and stocks outside the US are also negatively diverging. The action in crude oil could be slightly more interesting as the commodity is starting to act in a slightly bearish manner after a grinding multi-month rally.

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WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Brexit process is still in the center of attention in Europe, although volatility took a nosedive on the old continent as well, and it’s unlikely that the Christmas period will be much different, given the predictable drop in volumes and trading activity. The date of the next election in the financially and politically troubled Italy has been set to March 4th next year, and the early date caused some turmoil in the countries assets, which dragged the Euro Stoxx 50 lower today, together with the DAX and the other major indices.

Cryptocurrencies

As the total market cap of the crypto-market crossed the incredible $500 billion mark, Ripple, NEO, and Ethereum made headlines with lofty gains in the face of the severely overbought readings elsewhere in the segment. While XRP and NEO are still not overbought from an investment perspective, Ethereum reached our final target for its break-out and triggered a long-term sell signal.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The previously surging IOTA continued its correction, Litecoin consolidated in a relatively narrow range, while Dash, ETC, and Monero scored marginal new highs before turning lower together with BTC. The most valuable coin that has lost some of its momentum “mojo” in recent days fell back below last week’s highs, and that could mark a failed break-out and a start of the deeper correction that seems more and more likely.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Key Economic Releases on Wednesday

Time, CET Country Release Actual Expected Previous
11:30 UK Average Earnings 2.5% 2.5% 2.3%
11:30 UK Claimant Count Change 5,900 3,300 6,500
11:30 UK Unemployment Rate 4.3% 4.2% 4.35
15:30 US Core CPI 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
15:30 US Crude Oil Inventories -5.1 mill -3.6 mill -5.6 mill
21:00 US Fed Rate Decision 1.5% 1.5% 1.25%
21:00 US FOMC Statement

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Volatility on the Rise Again, as Ripple and Ethereum Hit Targets

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Ripple has been the star of today’s session in the cryptocurrency segment, as the only major coin on a long-term buy signal in our trend model continued yesterday’s break-out, and surged to a new all-time high. The currency cleared the $0.425 level that marked the top in May, and after the more than 6-month long consolidation phase, it promptly neared the $0.50 level.

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While the short-term momentum indicators are now stretched, the coin is still in an encouraging long-term setup, although the best period to buy already passed. The coin could be dragged lower in the case of the expected broad correction in the segment, but we expect XRP to outperform in the coming period, with support levels found at the prior high and below that in the range between $0.30-$0.32.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Ethereum has been the other top coin on the rise, as the second largest digital currency surged past the final range projection target of the break-out two weeks ago at $685 in the aftermath of the launch of the BTC futures on Monday. The ETH token is now also on a sell signal on all time-frames, and we advise investors and investors to wait for the next major correction to establish new positions. Support levels are now found at $575, $500, $480, and $400.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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