Is This Carnage?

Hi Everyone,

Well… things are not pretty. Some are even using the word “carnage” to describe current state of the stock markets. However, even though this is one of the worst months of the decade for stocks, if we take a step back, things aren’t all that bad.

The Dow Jones is now sitting almost exactly where it started the year.

In fact, even though volatility is extremely high, some analysts, including Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, are saying that now is the time to buy the dip. Of course, Tom is also saying that bitcoin could end the year at $22,000. So we might need to take his words with a grain of salt.

In any case, the best strategy for such times is usually to not panic. Remain diversified and be nimble. There are plenty of opportunities out there but we do need to choose them carefully.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

  • Gone are the Gains
  • Can Draghi Calm the Markets?
  • Crypto More Stable than Stocks

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of October 25th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Traditional Markets

While Asian and European stock indexes have extended the slide this morning, US futures are teasing with green numbers. So a major rally off the lows would not surprise me today.

Gold also took a hit this morning, as did the Japanese Yen, which could mean that the flight to safety is abating.

The US Dollar, on the other hand, is gaining against most of its rivals. Most notably is the Chinese Yuan. Just now we saw the USDCNH popping higher as it inches closer to the $7 level. If that red line is reached it could likely draw comments from the American White House

Draghi Day

The Euro is also dropping today, this ahead of the all-important ECB rate decision. Nobody expects any major policy changes from the European Central Bank today, and likewise, now is not exactly the time to start throwing surprises at the market.

In fact, I’m rather hoping that Mario Draghi’s smooth monotonous voice will go a long way to calm investors nerves today.

Crypto is Less Volatile

Now, I know that this is considered “cherry picking” data, but I do like a good cherry every once in a while…

As you can see that for this precise moment in time crypto is not the most volatile asset class. This is really the best possible thing we can see for this industry.

The fact that the current stock market rout has not had any effect whatsoever (positive or negative) on the cryptoassets is an extremely positive sign. This is a prime example of how crypto’s are uncorrelated and it only serves to increase their use case as a powerful tool for asset management.

Wishing you a pleasant day ahead.

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.

The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Cryptocurrencies can widely fluctuate in prices and are not appropriate for all investors. Trading cryptocurrencies is not supervised by any EU regulatory framework.

Best regards,
Mati Greenspan
Senior Market Analyst

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