Connect with us

Analysis

Investors Getting High on Cannabis

Published

on

By Dmitriy Gurkovskiy, Chief Analyst at RoboMarkets

A year ago, you would hardly find even the most financially illiterate person in the world that had not heard of Bitcoin or cryptocurrency. Regardless of whether they know what it was — at least they know you can earn money with it!

Opportunities to earn easy money sometimes do appear, but they do extremely rarely, and in this light the crypto boom is often compared to the tulipmania that happened in the 17th century. At that time, speculators with no experience joined the tulip futures trading, which eventually led to a sharp increase in flower bulb prices, while a year later the overheated market collapsed, bringing huge losses to all.

The chance to earn huge profits for people who do not have a close connection with the markets does not appear so often. But for those who work with stocks, such opportunities arise almost every quarter.

The price of bitcoin at the peak of its popularity, when almost everyone knew about it, went up by 2,000%. In the stock market, some companies can yield a return of 1,000% within a week or a month, and there is no need to wait a whole year around.

The last sharp increase in share prices after an IPO, which broke all records this year, was shown by Tilray. Since the IPO on July 19 this year, the stock yielded a return of 1,300% over 2 months, and for those who follow the IPO, there was plenty of time to buy this stock, as the price was at about $20 for about a month.

Tilray is a Canada-based company specializing in cultivation and sale of medical marijuana to consumers and pharmaceutical distributors.

When a stock experiences such a rise, however, it usually falls afterwards, and Tilray was no exception as it lost 50% of its maximum value, although it continues to trade at 600% higher against the initial IPO price.

2018 was a landmark for marijuana manufacturers, as in January California legalized the use of marijuana for recreational purposes. Currently, medical marijuana products can be consumed in 29 US states. It is expected that, by 2022, the marijuana market in the US and Canada will have grown by more than three times.

Tilray is a clear indicator of investors’ interest in such companies. However, it’s not just traders who are interested in marijuana producers. Constellation Brands, one of the largest beer producers in the US, announced its intention to invest $4B into Canopy Growth, another Canadian company. This will allow it to increase its share in Canopy Growth from 8.70% to 38.00%. In the next 3 years, the US company will get the right to buy another 139.7M shares for $3.5B, thereby increasing its stake to the controlling one.

Meanwhile, Microsoft has partnered with the Kind Financial, a US based startup company which develops software for government agencies that control the production and sale of marijuana.

On September 17, rumor had it that Coca-Cola was negotiating with Aurora Cannabis to create a beverage containing cannabis. Most likely, this drink will be used to reduce inflammation, seizures, and as an anesthetic.

All this confirms the interest of large companies and investors in marijuana manufacturers. At this rate, finding a marijuana company and investing your money in it could seem a good idea, but there is a risk of high volatility, just like in case of Tilray, which can put your deposit under serious threat. An easier way would be investing in an ETF with the same companies stocks.

The most interesting ETF in the marijuana industry is ETFMG Alternative Harvest (NYSE: MJ).

According to some sources, since August 22, this fund recorded a cash inflow of $112M, which is about 20% of the total value of its entire portfolio. With the money supply growing, the trading volumes increased up to 10M shares, which is 3 times higher than the volume in July.

The interest towards this ETF was especially frantic when California passed the law early this year: at that time, ETF MJ price rose from $29 to $39. Then, in March, the price tried to go up further, but the volumes stayed low, so the price had to get back and even sank a bit. It was only in August when $27 got broken out, and then the price went well up to reach $45, this time also with increased trading volumes. Currently, the support levels are at $34 and $39. Given the increased volatility, the price is quite likely to go down to $34.

ETF investment has always been considered less risky, and in case we are now on the brink of a marijuana boom, this ETF is certainly going to be the best investment vehicle.

 

Disclaimer

Any predictions contained herein are based on the authors’ particular opinion. This analysis shall not be treated as trading advice. RoboMarkets shall not be held liable for the results of the trades arising from relying upon trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
3 votes, average: 4.00 out of 53 votes, average: 4.00 out of 53 votes, average: 4.00 out of 53 votes, average: 4.00 out of 53 votes, average: 4.00 out of 5 (3 votes, average: 4.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.7 stars on average, based on 30 rated postsHaving majored in both Social Psychology and Economics, I went on to continue my education in post graduate. Later I worked as a team lead of a tech and fundamental analysis lab in the Applied System Analysis Research Institute. This helped me to acquire all necessary skills and experience to become a successful trader and analyst, as well as a portfolio manager in an investment company. I'm a pro in the financial field and the author of articles for various international media. I also hold the position of Chief Analyst at RoboMarkets.




Feedback or Requests?

Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Analysis

Litecoin Update: Wyckoffian Accumulation Complete

Published

on

From a technical perspective, Litecoin (LTC/USD) has effectively ended its bear market. This statement may sound unbelievable to many; even to some bulls. We’ve decayed in a crypto winter for so long that many of us have forgotten what a bull market looks like. We’re so used to seeing bounces fade and eventually get dumped on, that we’ve grown skeptical of rallies.

However, this time it’s different. It truly is, and we have multiple reasons to back up this claim. In this article, we explore the signals that show how Litecoin completed its Wyckoffian Accumulation.

Smart Money Accumulation Complete

A bear market often does not end due to exhaustion. It usually ends because a big player has entered the market to stop the bleeding. This individual or entity, which we’ll refer to as the smart money, absorbs the intense selling pressure of a capitulating market while keeping the price relatively stable. During this period of the market cycle, the smart money accumulate positions.

We believe that Litecoin has already completed this market phase. Its daily chart shows many similarities to a Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic.

Wyckoff Accumulation (Source: Stockcharts)

Preliminary Support

The first similarity is the establishment of a preliminary support (PS). According to the Wyckoffian theory, the PS offers some semblance of support after a prolonged or substantial move down. In Litecoin’s case, it registered a PS of $27 on November 24, 2018. During this time, Litecoin showed signs of stability after weeks of massive selloffs led by Bitcoin’s (BTC/USD) break below $6,000.

LTC/USD Preliminary support

Selling Climax

The second similarity is the presence of a selling climax (SC) or capitulation which occurred on December 7, 2018. On that day, Litecoin recorded lows of $22.24 while generating volume that’s over 115% of its daily average. The heavy volume points to the emergence of a big player. Also, notice how Litecoin managed to stay above $22 for about a week. This is another indication the smart money protected the bottom.

LTC/USD Selling Climax

Automatic Rally

The third similarity is the automatic rally (AR) after the selloff. The AR happens due to the selling relief provided by the conclusion of the SC. With reduced selling, buyers can easily push the price up. In the case of Litecoin, the AR drove the price to as high as $36.78 on December 24.

LTC/USD Automatic Rally

Secondary Test

The fourth similarity to the Wyckoff Accumulation is the secondary test (ST). During this stage of the accumulation, the price revisits previous lows to test the supply and demand. In Litecoin’s case, the ST coincides with the PS at $27.

LTC/USD Secondary Test

Last Point of Support

Like clockwork, Litecoin printed two last points of supports (LPS). The LPS is described as a previous resistance that was flipped into support. For instance, the first LPS was posted on January 13, 2019 when the market was trading at $30. Notice how the market struggled to go above this level between December 17 – 20, 2018. On January 13, Litecoin flipped this into support.

LTC/USD first last point of support

The second LPS of $32 was printed on February 2, 2019. Notice how Litecoin struggled to go above $32 from January 13 to February 1. When the market conquered this level, it did not look back.

LTC/USD second last point of support

Signs of Strength

Lastly, Litecoin showed signs of strength (SOS) on February 8 when it took out resistance of $40 with heavy volume. The volume printed on that day was over 390% of its daily average. To put that into perspective, that was Litecoin’s highest volume in one year.

LTC/USD signs of strength

With so many striking similarities with the Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic, we believe that Litecoin has completed this phase of the market cycle. Next comes the markup, which is most commonly known as the uptrend or the bull run. For this cycle, our minimum target is $110.

Bottom Line

Claiming that Litecoin is ready for a bull run may sound absurd to many. However, we dissected the market’s movement over the last few months and discovered that it has most likely completed a Wyckoffian Accumulation phase. If that’s the case, our minimum target for the markup is $110.

 

Disclaimer: The writer owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
1 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 5 (1 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

3.9 stars on average, based on 332 rated postsKiril is a CFA Charterholder and financial professional with 5+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and funds, as he does his own crypto research and is a Product Manager at Mitre Media. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Altcoins

Litecoin Price Analysis: LTC/USD on a Potential Launchpad for Another Rocket to the North

Published

on

  • The Litecoin (LTC) price remains elevated, as the bulls look at continuing the strong recent run higher.
  • Coinbase Wallet announces support for Litecoin, joining the likes of bitcoin (BTC), bitcoin cash (BCH), Ethereum (ETH) and Ethereum Classic (ETH).

LTC/USD: Recent Price Behavior

The LTC/USD bulls have resumed upside momentum, following brief and minor pullback observed in the session on Thursday. At the time of writing Litecoin is seen trading up in minor positive territory, with gains of around 1.5%. It is worth noting, since 8th February the price has gained as much as 60%, with the high print up at $53.65 produced on 20th February.

The big chunky jump north came after the price managed to escape a narrowing daily range block formation. LTC/USD was moving within the confinements of this for 11 January to 8th February. The breakout higher was very much explosive, given the prolonged period it has traded within. In terms of the initial spike observed on the 8th, it was a gain of around 45% in a single session.

Coinbase Wallet to Support Litecoin

Coinbase, the leading U.S. cryptocurrency exchange, announced it will now support LTC on their native Coinbase Wallet. This will allow users to store their LTC directly on the app. The fifth largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization will be joining the likes of bitcoin (BTC), bitcoin cash (BCH), Ethereum (ETH) and Ethereum Classic (ETH).

Users of the Coinbase Wallet are going to have the ability to download a required update with Litecoin support in the coming weeks via the Apple Store or Google Play Store. Storing LTC will be immediately available upon the completion of the update. Users will need to choose the ‘Receive’ option; this can be observed on the main wallet page to deposit LTC into the wallet.

In the official blog announcement, Coinbase said:

“The new Wallet update with Litecoin support will roll out to all users on iOS and Android over the next few weeks. LTC support is activated by default — all you need to do is tap ‘Receive’ on the main wallet tab and select Litecoin to send LTC to your Coinbase Wallet.”

Technical Review – LTC/USD

LTC/USD daily chart.

The Litecoin price has stabilized at heights above the psychological $50 price mark. A near-term area of demand is seen from the $50-$47 price range, which is helping keep LTC/USD propped up. The next upside targets for the bulls are seen just above a supply zone tracking from $55-$57. It last traded up at these heights back in November 2018. Should the bulls manage to maintain upside momentum, then eyes will be on a return into $65 territory, where the next area of supply is tracking.

In terms of support, as detailed earlier, immediate relief is found within the $50-$47 range. If this fails to hold, then a potential chunky wave of selling pressure would likely come into play. The next demand area to the downside runs from $42.50-$39.50; price last traded here between 9-16th February. LTC/USD had briefly consolidated within this zone before a further squeeze to the north occurred.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

 Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 126 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Hold Their Ground as Bulls Take a Breather

Published

on

The major cryptocurrencies settled down following yesterday’s Litecoin-led pullback, and as the coins respected the key trendlines and support levels, odds favor the continuation of the short-term uptrend. The leaders of the rally remained strong amid the shallow correction, and although the long-term setup remains clearly bearish, the traders could enter smaller speculative positions, still using strict risk management rules.

While the top coins haven confirmed the short-term swing lows yet, the coming days could see new highs, with all eyes on the $4000-$4050 zone in Bitcoin and the $160 price level in Ethereum. The majors still have to form a pattern of higher highs and higher lows on the long-term charts to change the long-term outlook, so our trend model remains on sell signals on that time-frame. That said, the overbought short-term momentum readings are quickly being cleared, so the short-term outlook remains positive.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin has formed a bullish consolidation pattern in the past day, and the $3850 level has been clearly supporting the coin, leaving the relatively weak short-term uptrend firmly intact. The MACD indicator is still pointing to an ongoing correction, but our trend model remained on a buy signal on the short-term time frame, and the uptrend could soon resume.

Despite the positive immediate outlook, the $4000-$4050 resistance zone is still very strong, and further consolidation is also possible before a successful break-out. A move above that zone could open up the way towards the $4450 level, but even that wouldn’t change the bearish long-term setup in the most valuable coin’s market.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple has been trading near the $0.32 support level in the past 24 hours, still being relatively weak compared to its major peers.  The coin remains stuck below the dominant declining short-term trendline that it tested during the recent upswing, and our trend model continues to be on a short-term sell signal.

Below the primary support zone, further levels are found near $0.30, $0.28, and $0.26, while short-term targets for a possible break-out are still ahead near $0.3550, and $0.3750, but traders should still stay away from XRP

Litecoin, Ethereum, and EOS Look Ready to Lead Again

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While Litecoin entered a correction after touching the $51 resistance level yesterday, the pullback has been contained so far and even the steep short-term uptrend line remained intact. Given the extent of the recent move higher, even a test of the $44 level would leave the break-out intact.

A move above the primary resistance zone could lead to a rally towards the $56 level, and as Litecoin has been leading the market during the current counter-trend advance, its performance should be monitored closely. Below $44 further strong support is found near $38, and $34.50, and our trend model is back on a short-term buy signal while being bearish from a long-term standpoint.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum is still trading in a bullish short-term correction pattern near $145, working its way through the overbought short-term momentum readings. The short-term uptrend is clearly intact, and although a deeper pullback is still possible traders could already enter new positions here.

With the long-term downtrend in mind, strict risk management rules are still essential here, even as Ethereum is one of the strongest majors from a short-term technical point of view. Support levels below $145 are still found near $130 and $112, while above $160, the next major resistance zone is ahead near $180.

EOS/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EOS is still the strongest major from a short-term technical standpoint, and although it continues to be overbought according to the key momentum indicators, aggressive traders could enter positions here. Buying pressure is apparent in the coin, but a deeper pullback towards the $3.50 level is still in the cards. Support is also found near $3.80 and $3, while resistance is ahead near $4 and $4.50.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
1 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 5 (1 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.7 stars on average, based on 470 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Recent Posts

A part of CCN

Hacked.com is Neutral and Unbiased

Hacked.com and its team members have pledged to reject any form of advertisement or sponsorships from 3rd parties. We will always be neutral and we strive towards a fully unbiased view on all topics. Whenever an author has a conflicting interest, that should be clearly stated in the post itself with a disclaimer. If you suspect that one of our team members are biased, please notify me immediately at jonas.borchgrevink(at)hacked.com.

Trending