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Investment Recommendations April 19th

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EUR/USD: Short-Term Sell

 

EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The pair index seems to be developing a declining trend, although yesterday’s surge pushed the Euro above the short-term resistance. The French election is expected to weigh on the common currency in the coming days, and the brief jump provides a possibly great entry position to capitalize from the flight to safety.

A narrow stop-loss order might be used near the 1.0750 level, while the initial target of 1.0610 looks optimal. Long-term resistance lies ahead at 1.09 while the 1.0575 level provides support for the Euro. A negative outcome of the French election could open the way for a re-test of the 1.0350 zone.

Bitcoin: Long-Term Buy (update)

 

Bitcoin, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin bounced lower off the 1215 resistance, as we expected, but the uptrend remains clearly intact, and the declining trend-line that defined the deep correction is now broken, suggesting at least re-test of the all-time highs near $1300.

The cryptocurrency still has to fight its way through the strong resistance zone just above the current rate, and a dip below $1170 would warn of further consolidation. The most important support zone still looks to be near the $1100 level, but a more aggressive stop-loss level could be placed around $1135 now.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 280 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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  1. titaniumdave

    April 20, 2017 at 2:13 am

    Mate,
    I’m new to hacked.com. What time-frame constitutes a “short term” buy or sell on a 4-hr chart? Are you looking ahead days, weeks?

    • Mate Cser

      April 20, 2017 at 3:03 pm

      Hi Dave,

      welcome to the team! Our short-term picks are based on the 4-hour chart, with the “swings” and trends of that time-frame being used as triggers. Here is an article from our Trading 101 series in the topic. This means that the positions are usually held for a few days to a couple of weeks. Of course, we are always trying to catch larger trends, so holding on to a part of your position after the initial target is hit is a great option. The long-term recommendations are based on the daily charts. If you have any more questions please feel free to ask anytime!

      Mate

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Trade Recommendation: Short SGD/JPY

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The Singapore Dollar/Japanese Yen Pair began to look bearish in December 2015 when it generated a lower high of 88.372. Things went from bad to worse when the pair broke support of 82.70 in February 2016. This triggered the large head and shoulders reversal pattern on the weekly chart.

The breakout ignited a selling frenzy that saw the pair drop to as low as 72.371 in June 2016. In about seven months, the Singapore Dollar lost over 18% of its value against the Japanese Yen.

At this price level, the target of the head and shoulders pattern was already achieved. SGD/JPY then went into base-building mode until November 2016 when volume and price surged. This ignited a rally that pushed the pair above 82.70 resistance in September 2017. However, it appears that the pair is not yet ready to start a bull run.

Technical analysis reveal that SGD/JPY is creating a head and shoulders reversal pattern on the weekly chart. This view comes after the pair generated a lower high of 83.014 in May 2018. The price action serves as a confirmation that the 82.70 resistance is still intact. More importantly, it trapped bulls who bought the breakout. Breach of 79.80 support should start a waterfall event that would drive the market down to our target.

The strategy is to short SGD/JPY when it breaks below 79.80. Once the market is below this level, participants will cut their losses which may send the pair to our target of 74.

The process may take three months.

Weekly Chart of Singapore Dollar/Japanese Yen on OANDA

As of this writing, the Singapore Dollar/Japanese Yen pair (SGD/JPY) is trading at 80.965 on OANDA.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: Short the market when it moves below 79.80.

Target: 74

Stop: Move above 81 after the breakout.

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.7 stars on average, based on 181 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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Trade Recommendation: WAVES/Ethereum

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The WAVES/Ethereum (WAVES/ETH) pair appeared to have broken out of a cup and handle pattern on April 29, 2018 when it went as high as 0.01334997. Unfortunately for buyers at this level, the pair was not yet ready to start a bull run. Those who bought the bottom at 0.006 early this year used it as an opportunity to take heavy profits. As a result, the pair broke below 0.01 support on May 4.

The false breakout ignited a selling frenzy as those who bought the breakout raced to get out of the market. WAVES/ETH then broke support of 0.009 on May 5. The pair has been dropping ever since. However, the bottom appears to be in sight.

Technical analysis show that WAVES/ETH is about to hit support of 0.006. The support level is our target as a false breakout usually sends a market to a key support or resistance level. In this case, the bull trap above 0.01 is driving the pair down to 0.006 support.

Also, we can see that the RSI is about to hit oversold territory. We expect a selling relief once the pair flashes oversold readings which is around 0.006. This should provide an opportunity for bottom fishers to spark a rally.

Lastly, 0.006 is the pair’s last support level. We expect bulls to defend it to keep the market stable.

The strategy is to buy as close to 0.006 as possible. If bulls continue to preserve the support, the market will most likely bounce to our target of 0.009. We’ll revisit the trade once the target is hit.

The process may take a month.

Daily Chart of WAVES/ETH on Bittrex

As of this writing, the Waves/Ethereum pair is trading at 0.00609735 on Bittrex.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: As close to 0.006 as possible.

Target: 0.009

Stop: 0.0059

 

Disclaimer: The writer owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.7 stars on average, based on 181 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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Trade Recommendation: GBP/PLN

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The British Pound/Polish Zloty (GBP/PLN) pair started its downtrend in June 2016 when it took out support of 5.40. This triggered the rounding top reversal pattern on the weekly chart. The breakout ignited a selling frenzy and drove the pair to as low as 4.58032 in August 2017. In about a year, the British Pound lost over 18% of its value against the Polish Zloty.

At this price point, GBP/PLN was flashing reversal signals. First, a bullish divergence was seen on the weekly MACD. On top of that, the 4-day, 8-day, and 21-day moving averages were all detached from the weekly candle. This suggested that the market was due for a bounce.

GBP/PLN eventually came to life in September 2017 when it surged to as high as 4.94096. The market has been showing signs of strength since. This could be your chance to buy the breakout.

Technical analysis reveal that GBP/PLN is positioning to take our resistance of 5.00. This view comes after the pair posted above average volume since May 2018. This indicates a significant increase in demand, which is responsible for pushing prices up. In addition, the 4-day, 8-day, and 21-day moving averages are all trending up.

The strategy is to buy the breakout at 5.00. Once breakout is complete, the pair will likely consolidate above 5.00 before moving to our target of 5.40.

The process may take more than six months.

Weekly Chart of British Pound/Polish Zloty on OANDA

As of this writing, the British Pound/Polish Zloty pair (GBP/PLN) is trading at 4.91586 on OANDA.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: Buy breakout at 5.00.

Target: 5.40

Stop: Move below 4.94 after the breakout.

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.7 stars on average, based on 181 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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