Earlier this week, Tai Lopez, the highly regarded investor and philanthropist, revealed that a $100 investment in bitcoin in 2010 would have led to a $75 million profit.
If you had invested $100 in bitcoin in 2010, you would have $75 million today.
— Tai Lopez (@tailopez) October 3, 2017
Within eight years, bitcoin has evolved into the most valuable and secure decentralized financial network in history, achieving a $72 billion market cap. No other decentralized technology has ever secured such a large market cap.
Factors Behind the Exponential Growth of Bitcoin
In general, the demand for bitcoin and cryptocurrencies is increasing at a rapid rate. Particularly, casual, professional, and institutional investors are beginning to adopt bitcoin as a safe haven asset, digital currency, and a store of value. Because it is decentralized, governments and authorities are limited in what they can restrict and regulate.
As prominent venture capitalist and NBA’s Golden State Warriors owner Chamath Palihapitiya stated:
“Absolutely not [bitcoin is not a fraud]. It cannot be a fraud. What countries can constrain today is how it [bitcoin] is effectively traded but it cannot be controlled. It is a fundamentally distributed system that exists peer to peer. And so to the extent that you can basically eliminate the will and the actions of every single person in the world, you can eliminate it. But in the absence of that, the genie is fundamentally out of the bottle.”
Outside the realm of early-stage investors in bitcoin such as Tim Draper and Palihapitiya, investors who were previously skeptical toward bitcoin and condemned the digital currency have started to acknowledge the growing demand for bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.
Most recently, Mark Cuban confirmed that he has purchased several bitcoins through a bitcoin exchange-traded note (ETN) in the Swedish stock market. XBT Provider, one of the few bitcoin ETN providers, has been operating in the Swedish Nordic Nasdaq, providing liquidity to professional traders and institutional investors.
“It is interesting because there are a lot of assets which their value is just based on supply and demand. Most stocks, there is no intrinsic value because you have no true ownership rights and no voting rights. You just have the ability to buy and sell those stocks. Bitcoin is the same thing. Its value is based on supply demand. I have bought some through an ETN based on a Swedish exchange,” said Cuban at the Vanity Fair New Establishment Summit in Los Angeles.
Many analysts, traders, investors, developers, and entrepreneurs remain certain that as bitcoin continues to evolve as the leading decentralized financial network, its market cap would surpass the $1 trillion mark and challenge existing financial systems such as fiat money, reserve currencies, and assets such as gold.
Earlier this year, Dennis Porto, a bitcoin investor and Harvard academic, told Business Insider that the bitcoin price can very likely reach $100,000 if it follows the Moore’s law.
“Moore’s law specifically applied to the number of transistors on a circuit but can be applied to any digital technology … Any technology that is growing exponentially (i.e., ‘following Moore’s law’) has a doubling time,” noted Porto.
Based on bitcoin’s maximum supply of 21 million, the price of $100,000 per bitcoin would lead to a $2.1 trillion market cap for bitcoin.
Kay Van-Petersen, a senior analyst at Saxo Bank, who accurately predicted the bitcoin price surge in early 2017 when the bitcoin price surpassed $2,000, also stated that there is a strong case for bitcoin reaching a value of $100,000.
“Volumes are going up, volatility is going down. A lot of people talk about the volatility, but if you are in Zimbabwe or Venezuela, this volatility is nothing. This is the interesting thing to me. I think in the West, a lot of people view it is as speculative, but emerging markets will get it, their needs will be different,” Van-Petersen explained.
Acknowledging that bitcoin is still at its early stage in development, adoption, and scalability, newly emerging investors in the cryptocurrency market are not late in investing in bitcoin and understanding the technology behind the cryptocurrency.
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Grinds Higher as Records Tumble in Altcoins
The historical surge in the segment, which is the second such move this year, continued today, with another round of break-outs in some of the major altcoins and tepid gains for BTC investors. Ethereum, Ripple, Dash, and first and foremost Litecoin was leading the charge, with the recent star LTC topping $300, just after a day of hitting the $200 mark.
Litecoin defied all odds after reaching extremely overbought readings, and the coin rode the speculative wave, turning exponential, not unlike IOTA and Bitcoin previously. With the coin being stretched in an unprecedented way on all time-frames, investors could even consider selling their core positions at the current levels, as a deep correction is almost granted in the coming period. The first meaningful support level is found at $125, and a re-test of the $100 level is probable during the next major correction.
LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Ripple finally ended a long period of relative weakness today, and the only major on a long-term by signal jumped over primary resistance at $0.26 and crossed the $0.30-$0.32 too in the euphoric sentiment. As the coin is not long-term overbought following the 6-month long consolidation, the buy signal in XRP remains intact, with the only major resistance level being found at the all-time high near $0.425.
XRPUSDT/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Technical Analysis: Litecoin Continues Surge as Bitcoin Tests Highs
With the crypto world being focused on the historical futures launch, the major coins all enjoyed buying following a hectic weekend, and a volatile week as a whole. BTC itself got another boost from the widespread publicity and the volatile correction of the recent days ended, with the most valuable coin bouncing back towards its all-time high.
While the long-term picture remains severely overbought, the short-term picture is not stretched and further gains are possible even amid the elevated correction risk. That said, investors should wait for a more favorable entry point to ad dot their holdings, while traders should control position sizes in the light of the long-term setup. Major support levels are now near $13,000, $11,300, and $10,000, with stronger levels still at $8200 and $7700.
BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
The major altcoins are all up today, but only Monero and Litecoin are still within short-term uptrends, and the segment as a whole is still dangerously overextended, and a deeper correction is very likely in the coming weeks. LTC continued its recent break-out, getting close to the $200 level, and joining the extremely overbought group regarding the long-term momentum, and triggering a long-term sell signal in our trend model. Key support levels are found $100 at $75 and $64, with a weaker primary level at $125.
LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Long-Term Analysis of the Silver Market
The silver market has once again caught investors’ interest as the price is nearing areas not seen since late 2008.
2017 started at a low point for silver, and it seems it will end the year that way as well, meaning investors who bought at the beginning of the year haven’t suffered nor gained much.
This doesn’t mean, however, that the price hasn’t moved during the year. After the low start of the year, silver quickly tacked on about 18% to a top of $17.50 per ounce.
In terms of fundamentals in the silver market, things look a bit complicated for 2018. There are multiple forces pulling in different directions for the price of silver going forward:
- A sharp stock market correction can be expected to occur some time in 2018. Most likely, this will happen sooner rather than later. Stock market crashes always trigger a flight to safety, meaning gold, silver, and quite possibly bitcoin, can benefit.
- We are seeing signs that inflation may be starting to rise again, although this is not confirmed yet. Rising inflation is always good for precious metals.
- If the US federal budget deficit widens as a result of the new tax reform, the US dollar may suffer as a consequence. Goldman Sachs put out a note to investors in November 2017 saying that the US debt is “on track” to reach an “unsustainable” level in coming years. Fed Chair Janet Yellen has also said about the US debt that it is “the type of thing that should keep people awake at night.” Rising debt levels creates uncertainty about the economy, which is generally good for gold and silver.
- Central banks around the world seem committed to raise interest rates in 2018. Rising interest rates are bad for precious metals because it would make it more attractive to put money in the bank.
- The cryptocurrency bull market is on track to continue, diverting attention and capital away from precious metals as a traditional store of value. However, this one is uncertain, as it may also be considered a positive in the way that the rise of cryptocurrencies brings the inflationary and unsustainable nature of fiat currencies into focus.
- The US dollar may have hit a bottom in 2017 and trade higher compared to other major fiat currencies going into 2018. A stronger dollar is always bad for precious metals, which are priced in dollars.
When looking at the chart, we can see that silver is back down to were it started the year, which coincides with a major support area where it has turned several times in the past few years.
From a technical perspective, silver has been trading in a triangle pattern on the longer-term weekly chart, with the price now trading very near the lower end of the triangle, adding confluence to our bias that silver will trade up from here.
Silver failed to live up to our prediction from early 2017, and is now even trading well below the level from that time.
A low price by any measure combined with two major technical support levels adds confidence to our trade and makes silver a low risk and potentially high reward trade for 2018.
Depending on your own strategy and investment style, you may want to wait for the price to break out from the current triangle pattern it has been trading in for the past year and a half. You would then give up some of the potential return for an even safer trade. After that, major resistance is found around $17.50 and $18, with lots of upside potential if we can finally break through those levels.
Featured image from Pixabay.
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