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ICO Analysis: REX

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With recent advances in peer-to-peer data distribution and blockchain technology, Rex will provide universal access to real estate information and streamline the transaction process.

As the author has been saying all week, when industries are disrupted, money is made, and whoever manages to disrupt the liquid asset world is going to be a long-and-short-term winner. However, whoever does that could turn out to be a large conglomerate of smaller efforts. Specialization did not emerge in our capitalist economies by mistake. Thus, we will continue to have a higher burden of proof for firms which claim they will disrupt the whole assets market, but pay particular attention to specialized efforts – like REX and Propy, who are essentially in very congruent markets. Propy’s drawbacks were as follows:

  • Relying on governments and regulators to eventually choose Propy as the default platform. -3
  • Cronyism creates impossible competition in various places, displacing Propy significantly enough to lower the token’s value. -0.5
  • Unlikely to have real-world value in the short-term. -0.25
  • HUGE AMOUNT OF TOKENS NOT ON MARKET IMMEDIATELY. -0.25

Rex takes a different approach to real estate disruption. Instead of betting on the lethargic hands of state actors, they want to decentralize the listings data racket, a racket which many of us in everyday life were previously unaware of. Rex outlines the cronyism in the following passage from the whitepaper, which is published on Github, meaning that its changes are publicly trackable via Git commitments.

Common complaints amongst users include a lack of price transparency, user experience, and dated information. The MLS’ limit the amount of data a “non subscriber” can view.

As whitepapers go, it’s actually good reading, so for best practices, the author encourages people to give it a look. Essentially what we’re talking about is building a Wikipedia-style platform which allows contributors to derive profit from their listing information instead of allowing a single entity to profit from such information that belongs to many other people.

Rex provides a new type of multiple listing service where data is universal and interoperable with other systems. The raw database is decentralized and owned by the listees. Value to the user beyond ownership and control is a reward system that compensates users in REX tokens for participating in the network.

Like all the best disruption efforts, Rex still allows the legacy actors a place to operate. They may even have a huge advantage on the new platform since they already have access to so much data. The reader may wonder who needs the data, and the answer is that real estate brokers use the data. We should clarify that we’re not talking about real estate agents. The difference is mainly a legal one: in some jurisdictions, an agent must be employed by a broker, and brokers must have college degrees and significantly more government certification. Rex intends act as a Wiki-style all-encompassing data hub for real estate brokers around the globe.

On Rex, the user owns the data and are compensated for their contributions: The more listings a user publishes, the more rewards they earn. The more listings on Rex, the more eyeballs. The more eyeballs the more demand for the REX token. Value is driven from listees and they are the beneficiaries. In addition, users can sell and exchange data, such as market studies, inspection reports and advertising space. Finally, a listees exposure will go from local to global. Rex is one large homogenous database that is not bound by countries or borders.

On a last note as the overview goes, Rex does eventually want to tokenize properties, but that’s not their primary goal, nor does their project fail if they cannot reach that goal, and they only intend it to be in the US and Australia. Their plans in this regard feel more solid and seem fully cognizant of the perils that await them in the halls of the regulators. They’re focusing on two jurisdictions, which increases the chances of succeeding at actually getting the thing greenlit by governments. Moreover, they are also inching in by focusing on lease transactions first, which have significantly less regulation than do sales.

This is to say that while RexDex at first will just be a free-to-read database of real estate listings, it could eventually perform the functions that Propy and others intend to perform.

REX Token

The REX token is used to reward those who contribute listing data to the RexDex. Without any more information, it sounds like a no-go, since there’s nor revenue model up front:

Rex’s database will be free and accessible to anyone with a computer and internet connection. In order to be eligible for the listing reward, the user is required to register with Rex. The registration process includes the submission of a user’s name, contact details, firm (if applicable) and real estate license (if applicable). Once registered, the user can start submitting listings and be eligible for the reward. The listing will publish immediately with a 2-week time delay for the listing reward. During the 2-week time delay other users have the opportunity to flag the listing as spam. If the listing is flagged, both users will enter an arbitration period. The winner of the arbitration period will receive the listing reward. The user found gaming the listing rewards contract will lose their verification status and no longer be eligible for further rewards.

Here we see that the token will have some utility, but now we’re approaching a problem that many ICOs face: the token’s value appears dependent on people actually using the nascent product. Brokers would purchase the tokens to verify listings in the manner outlined above, so that they would be working with good data, and ultimately their data would be more verifiable than the competing players, but the whole thing would seem more promising if there were an access fee. We’re talking about professional data, and the market is already paying for this data, so why should we not continue to charge? There’s a lot of room to charge less, especially since the entire process will be automated and decentralized and crowdsourced, but charging nothing is probably a bad idea.

There is also the psychological concept of value in data. Wikipedia is perceived as less valuable information because it is crowdsourced, despite the many Ph.d’s and experts who contribute to its pages, and despite its dedicated community of fact-checkers and editors. Many professional organizations still do not allow citations from Wikipedia, and we can easily foresee various professional broker organizations, in concert with the MLSs they work with (for whatever reason, cronyism being chief), discouraging use of the “free data platform.”

So what we’re left with for a value proposition in the REX token is that it will be valuable to the people who use the platform, and later on it will be value when actual transactions begin to take place on the platform. That’s where the rubber will actually meet the road, and much like Propy, it will be a delicate situation because it relies on many unpredictable human participants.

Distribution

Probably one of the things grinding the gears of this ICO is their complicated token purchase group scheme.

As you can see, only half the tokens are going up for sale to the public. This is problematic, as always, for obvious reasons of accountability.

Notably, in “Pool B,” we see that the listing reward scheme outlined above is paid for. Presumably the company will eventually have to buy tokens back from the market to keep the program going, but now at least we can see a workable future.

Pool C is a bit mysterious. We can’t let it pass: 5% to an “angel investor.” The angel investor is only noted once in the whitepaper. We’re going to guess it’s King himself or his father. We suppose the reader should be very aware of this reality: a 5% negative possibility exists at all times if a single, positioned person decides to move. This is still a better situation than you would have in some ICOs.

Yet, there is an additional 10% that’s in the wind, too:

Pool E consisting of 7% of the Total REX Token Supply. Pool E will be allocated to partners and/or advisors of the REX Project, as well as to participants of Bounty campaigns.

Pool F consisting 3% of the Total REX Token Supply. Pool F will be allocated to corporate affiliates.

They have a compensation pool for employees. Again, if employees were paid strictly in these tokens, or negotiated for the tokens, then the company would be forced to purchase more down the road. This implicit later demand is important.

We suppose the token distribution could be viewed as a way for them to have some runway to build the platform and get going, but they may be asking for a bit too much in this regard.

REX Team

Principal and co-originator/founder Stephen King is the real deal, and he is not to be confused with the horror fiction writer from Maine. Stephen King of New Jersey’s “recent sales are in excess of twenty-five million dollars and include a CVS Pharmacy in Passaic, historic office building at Carnegie Center and a 40,000/SF building in Ewing.” In a 2015 profile about him by a local circular, writer Michele Alperin said of him:

Stephen, one of King’s six children and the only one to follow in his father’s professional footsteps, learned the ropes of commercial sales from Bill Barish at Commercial Property Network. Now on board with his dad, one of Stephen’s first successes was brokering the sale of the Stone House, which sits close to Route 1 just south of the Hyatt Regency on the first 79 acres that his father acquired to develop Carnegie Center.

Other co-founder Russell McLernon is a “technology strategist” (which is probably a real thing in big companies) who claims there is “no software development or integration challenge he can’t handle.” This is good, since there will be plenty of challenges in securely swapping properties across oceans. McLernon will apparently be in charge of gathering the technical staff necessary, which is a chore on its own, especially regarding security.

In keeping with their gradual approach to the ordeal, the pair have yet to hire anyone officially to work on the project. This is not viewed as a drawback, but it could turn into a setback when it comes time to execute.

Verdict

Better than Propy, better than LAT, maybe not the Highlander of real estate ICOs. Much remains to be seen in terms of how valuable the proposed database will be. Building a better mousetrap instead of trying to exterminate the world’s mice (the Propy approach – government integration) is definitely a better strategy. Overall, positive on REX, but funding so far has not been thrilling, thus it may have to find more funding later if they decide to proceed.

Risk

  • The cronyists this will disrupt have all the levers currently, and could negatively campaign against its usage, crippling adoption for a long time. This can be seen as an act of God, in a sense, since there is no way to know how many MLSs will simply decide to use the database instead of fight it. -0.5
  • Failing to charge for access to the data in the same way that current MLS designs do is only acceptable if you’re sure you’re going to be able to build the tokenization of real assets, the “phase 3” of your mission. We’re not prepared to say we’re sure, so instead we deduct another 3 points on these grounds. The token must generate money or it is just a token of appreciation.

Growth Potential

  • Excellent credentials in the founding parties. Well-connected, financed, prepared for success, and unlikely to burn out. It’s not often we see someone in ICO teams who doesn’t need to be there – someone who could just rest on their laurels and wealth. When we do see this, we take note, because such people are much more motivated by their mission than they are by the desire for more wealth, by comparison at least, from a high level view. +3.75
  • The strategic and building approach to creating this product is important. We often see that ICOs seem to assume the world is just going to conform to their desires. In Rex we see that they are aware it will take a lot of doing to operate legally, it’s not something you can write off with a single sentence such as “liability is on the token offerer.” +3
  • Building a better mousetrap (see summary above). +2

Disposition

The author believes this one can win in the long-game. The reader is welcome to run down any doubts they may have, but we feel that even if this project fails to fund completely, it will build up to something very worth your money. We come to a 5.25 numerical rating.

Investment Details

Everyone has another 4 days to review this ICO and make a decision on it. The author would like to educate himself a bit more on the real estate broker world before personally pulling the trigger, but those with more education on the subject are encouraged to offer insights in the comments section. The token address is listed in the Github whitepaper:

Keep note of this. Cybersecurity bad guys are more clever than ever.

More information is available at http://rexmls.com/tokensale.html.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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5 stars on average, based on 2 rated postsP. H. Madore has covered the cryptocurrency beat over the course of hundreds of articles for Hacked's sister site, CryptoCoinsNews, as well as some of her competitors. He is a major contributing developer to the Woodcoin project, and has made technical contributions on a number of other cryptocurrency projects. In spare time, he recently began a more personalized, weekly newsletter at http://ico.phm.link




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Bitcoin Plunges Below $6500 as Heavy Selling Resumes

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The cryptocurrency segment is having another very negative day after a calmer period, as selling pressure intensified yet again. All of the major coins turned sharply lower, with the laggards of the recent period, Litecoin, Monero, and Dash confirming their downtrend and the relatively stronger coins also taking a beating.

The total capitalization of the segment dropped below $270 billion, and from a long-term technical standpoint, several currencies are in precarious positions. With no clear news catalyst behind the move, technicals are playing a very important role, and last week’s lows will likely be in focus in the coming days.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin is still relatively weak both on the short- and long-term time-frames, and it dropped back to the $6275-$6500 zone that has been acting as primary support during the recent leg lower. Given the importance of the long-term zone between $5850 and $6000, a break below $6275 could set up a crucial test in the coming days. For now, traders still shouldn’t enter new positions, while investors should hold on to their coins as the bullish secular trend is still intact.

No Hiding From the Selloff as Altcoins Broadly Lower

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

With the weakest coins leading the way lower again, new swing lows are likely in the majority of the coins, although there is still hope for bulls that a major long-term breakdown can be avoided. Ethereum fell below $500 after touching the declining short-term trendline, and it remains in a bearish trend, even as it’s still in a much better technical position compared to BTC, holding up well above the April lows, and being further away from last week’s swing low as well.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

 That said, we remain negative regarding the short-term outlook for the second largest coin, and traders shouldn’t enter new positions here.  Above the $500 level, strong resistance is ahead between $555 and $575, while primary support is found at $450, with further zones near $400 and $480.

BNB/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

There are no real hiding places for crypto investors from the current selloff even as Binance Coin is still holding up relatively well, within a clear uptrend and above crucial technical support.  That said, as we warned before, given the broad downtrend in the segment, traders should be cautious with new short-term positions.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 279 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Italy Spooks markets Again as Stocks Remain Under Pressure

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European stocks Led the way lower today despite a bullish start in Asia, as equities gave back their gains when Daimler published a surprising profit warning, which was deeply affected by the recent trade war developments, reigniting fears of a tariff-driven downturn in global trade.

DAX, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Old Continent got into more trouble later on, when two anti-EU officials were named in Italy, resurrecting fears of a clash between the systematically crucial country and the core of the Eurozone. Italian yields rose in European trading, and although they are still shy of the levels hit during the May scare, the periphery could be in trouble as the ECB pledged to exit the market by the end of the year.

Nasdaq 100 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The main European indices were smashed lower during the session, with the DAX hitting a two month low, still being very weak relatively speaking compared to its US peers. US stocks sold off heavily following the opening bell and they failed to recover, unlike two days ago, and the major benchmarks traded well below yesterday’s levels just before the close.

The Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 lost some of their recent mojo, pulling back heavily of the all-time highs during the day. All in all, the risk off shift continues to dominate across the board, as we expected and we remain negative on risk assets here, especially regarding emerging markets, even as the Dollar’s rally could be over for a while.

Dollar Pulls back as Pound Surges

USD/CAD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Dollar took a beating as the Philly Fed Index came in much worse than expected, and as the Bank of England sent hawkish signals, pushing the Pound and the Euro higher. The central bank left its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.5%, but a rate hike this year got much closer, with a key member of the bank voicing inflationary concerns.

The Greenback fell more than what the events would imply, so a larger scale consolidation could have already started in the currency following the recent gains and the marginal new high yesterday. With the EUR/USD pair nearing the 1.1450-1.15 support zone, the USD/CAD hitting 1.33 and the AUD/USD touching 0.7350, a meaningful counter-trend move would be timely in the surging reserve currency.

WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Gold continued to drift lower before the Dollar’s reversal and it hit $1262 for the first time since lat December before bouncing back above the $1270 level in late trading. Crude oil also fell sharply in early trading, and the WTI contract traded with a $64 handle before rallying back to $66 per barrel.

The OPEC meeting, which is expected to result in a supply increase by the cartel made the crucial commodity very volatile in recent days, but we expect the bearish trend to continue, with a likely dip to the $60 level in the coming weeks.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 279 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Drift Sideways as Trading Activity Plunges

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Liquidity dried up in the cryptocurrency segment in recent days, as trading volumes have been declining progressively, while the major coins got stuck in tight ranges. Only a few coins show signs of activity, and the bearish short-term patterns continue to dominate the market. With a group of currencies, namely Litecoin, Monero, Dash, and Bitcoin itself clearly dragging the segment down, the short-term trend will likely continue, as the previous leaders are now showing strength either.

While all of the top digital currencies are showing some gains today, and the total value of the market edged close to $290 billion, major resistance levels are still towering above. The fact that the effect of the Bithumb hack faded away quickly is a positive here, but until signs of bullish momentum and a clear leadership forming, the short-term outlook remains bearish.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin continues to trade near the $6750 level, edging ever closer to the declining short-term trendline, in a bearish consolidation pattern. Bulls would need a sustained move above $7000 to negate the declining trend, but for now at least a test of last week’s lows is likely with a possible move towards the key long-term zone between $5850 and $6000.  The short-term zone around $6350 level provides support, while further resistance is ahead near $7350.

Ethereum Nears Trendline as ETC Attempts Breakout

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum has been among the strongest coins in the last few days again, and coupled with its long-term relative strength, the second largest coin is still the best candidate to lead a recovery. That said, the coin still faces strong resistance between $555 and $575, and bullish momentum is suspiciously weak. Primary support is found at $500 with further zones near $450 and $400.

ETC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum Classic has been positively diverging compared to the rest of the market, together with Binance Coin, and to a lesser extent Tron ever since its inclusion to Coinbase, and the coin moved above the key $16 resistance yesterday in late trading.

While ETC is slightly overbought from a short-term perspective, a consolidation above $16 and a subsequent move higher could confirm a trend change. For now, the short-term trend signal is only neutral, and traders should remain cautious given the broad downtrend in the segment

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 279 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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