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ICO Analysis: Propy

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Doesn’t matter how innovative things get, the blockchain can’t move the levers of the government. The blockchain can’t move deeds and property titles, it just can’t. There’s no solving this. In anything related to real estate, you’re going to have multiple levels of government interference. In a sense, in some respects, government is really a primitive form of blockchain which acts as a ledger for property titles, fiat currency, social norms in the form of laws, and more. We have to establish this before we talk about Propy, because otherwise people may get distracted and forget this basic fact or they may think it’s a fatal flaw we’ve missed.

As the blogger Luke Stokes reminds us, people would get off track and forget to care about whether this thing is legally possible or not.

Right now, I think the answer is obvious. Very few people care. Many don’t even read a white paper before jumping into an ICO. It’s all about quick gains. Who can blame them. Rationality can’t stand up against reality when the reality of returns is real in this speculative, quickly growing ecosystem.

We basically rated Eros.Vision as a scam on those grounds, but we’re not predicting anything close to that level of negativity here. It’s just that when you talk about property swaps, you’re not talking about something that I can actually give to you, even though it’s mine. I can grant you access and everything, vacate the place, let you occupy it, et cetera, but it’s not really your property until the government has registered it as yours, and at that point, it becomes your liability. So when we’re talking about Propy, which proports to make property swapping all the easier through the miracle of the blockchain, we’ve got to be cognizant of this fact.

Yet, we must start out on a positive note: the disruption of the property market is going to be a lucrative endeavor, anyway you look at it. We don’t mean, through this statement, to imply, necessarily at least, that Propy will be doing that. But we do mean to imply that property-related ICOs are the kind to be on the lookout for, and as such, we’re covering a few this week.

Propy begins their whitepaper with some fairly obvious statements that justify our previous paragraph but do nothing to establish what Propy is. A whitepaper is meant to describe something that will be created or is being noticed as a trend, among other purposes, but it’s not meant to be a literary elucidation of historical fact like this:

Today, the global real estate market is worth $217 trillion and makes up more than half the value of all mainstream assets worldwide3. One great differentiator between real estate and other major asset classes is liquidity. Compared to exchange-traded securities such as equities and government bonds, real estate markets are not as organized or efficient as other markets, with incredibly slow transaction times and less efficient price discovery mechanisms. As a result, substantial capital is trapped in less liquid investments, often concentrated in certain geographic areas devoid of domestic investment opportunities. While many investors with excess liquidity would welcome the opportunity to invest in foreign real estate assets, there are currently substantial impediments to such investment activity.

We infer from the above that what we’re getting into is in fact international real estate, in some cases at least. Well, again, this can be problematic on many levels, and a monumental task in legal terms. We have to have a very healthy skepticism of the project as a result.

We can hope that investors will keep the thing afloat until it succeeds – because we believe that such a thing can succeed – but we don’t have a lot of faith in our fellow funders. Everyone’s looking to cash out as soon as it’s profitable to do so, after all, which is why we seek ideas that have incredibly high ceilings on their profit, so everyone can make something. And while we may have that in Propy, in a sense, what we don’t have, on the face, is something that we can envision actually happening. But let’s look a bit deeper into how it works, then into the token, and deliver a verdict on Propy.

Propy aims to solve the problems facing international real estate transactions by creating a novel unified property store and asset transfer platform for the global real estate industry. Initially the Propy Registry will mirror official land registry records in which transfers of real estate are recorded. Ultimately, however, Propy’s vision is that jurisdictions will adopt the Propy Registry as their official ledger of record such that the transfer of a property on the Propy Registry constitutes the legal transfer of the property and the legal registration of that transfer. By leveraging Propy Registry and Propy’s smart contracts platform, unnecessary delays and impediments inherent to legacy property rights registrations systems could be eliminated. The Propy platform seeks to enhance the security of transactions while reducing inefficiencies through its innovative use of mobile, cloud and blockchain technologies linking buyers, sellers, investors and registries around the world.

Let’s repeat a piece of the above before moving forward: Propy’s vision is that jurisdictions will adopt the Propy Registry as their official ledger of record such that the transfer of a property on the Propy Registry constitutes the legal transfer of the property and the legal registration of that transfer.

In short, Propy wants to become the de facto deliverer of governments from the woes of legacy controls. Controls that they establish and have full dominion over. Is there some inherent benefit to governments from increased transparency? Of course there isn’t. The opaque nature of governmental operations is what allows them to extract as much from the populace in the form of taxation as they wish, and to waste the funds as freely as they wish. While it would benefit said populace to bring transparency to government land registries, it would benefit the governments very little, for the most part, although there is an efficiency argument which is astutely made in the selfsame whitepaper:

Propy’s engineering team has designed a real estate transaction tool powered by smart contracts, combining solutions from the legal, blockchain and payments industries. Using blockchain technology, Propy has prototyped some of the core technology that will become the Propy Registry as a DApp that allows each party to a real estate transaction — including the broker, buyer, seller and title agent/notary—to sign off on a transaction for properties located in California, which is Propy’s intended first market.

There’s more to be said on the transparency in government angle, which is that there are political gains to be made from promoting transparency. That they’re targeting California seems legitimate, but again, we have huge doubts about this whole thing.

It should be noted that Propy already has a working application.

Now let’s examine what the token does and deliver a verdict.

Propy Token (PRO)

The PRO token has an interesting value proposition that means this token will have real value if the platform actually gains traction. This is to say, if a jurisdiction actually were to adopt the Propy platform (imagine that!), then this token will have significant value because it will be required to actually sell property – it will therefore become built into real estate costs, and will be extremely affordable since through the real estate platforms that can be built on top of Propy, we will see a reduction in the need for middlemen such as real estate agents, and with their fees disappearing plenty of market room will be made for the cost of the PRO token. But all of this, again, depends on a jurisdiction somewhere actually adoption this platform and not one brought in through some manner of cronyism.

The PRO tokens are designed to be used to unlock a smart contract for title transfer in the Propy Registry. PRO tokens are built on the ERC-20 token standard, which allows for simple integration into users‘ wallets. The essential and obligatory steps for a real estate acquisition on Propy Registry includes the execution of the Deed Contract and Title Contract, which are necessary for the transfer of property title and the recording of the change of ownership. The Propy Registry, will require the use of PROs to pay the associated “Registry Fees” to record these modification on blockchain.

The Verdict

We feel that any potential adoption of the Propy platform will be mired down in numerous legal hurdles, including security audits. Additionally, the cronyist nature of governments means that competing platforms will have a leg-up depending on the jurisdiction. This is to say that even if Propy takes off, it will never be the only such platform for property transfer. That the whole thing relies so heavily on government movement really makes the thing unattractive to us.

Risk

  • Relying on governments and regulators to eventually choose Propy as the default platform. -3
  • Cronyism creates impossible competition in various places, displacing Propy significantly enough to lower the token’s value. -0.5
  • Unlikely to have real-world value in the short-term. -0.25
  • HUGE AMOUNT OF TOKENS NOT ON MARKET IMMEDIATELY. -0.25

Growth Potential

  • Could disrupt real estate market, and free up lots of cash currently going to broker fees for a marketplace of such tokens. However, very unlikely to be the first major player or the only player, ever. +5
  • Identifies a great opportunity on a global level in the ability to swap real estate and other assets over the blockchain. Successful execution will be incredibly lucrative. +2

Disposition

We come upon a 4 (7-4) as far as numerical dispositions go with Propy. It’s got a long-term value proposition that depends on a lot of factors which are hard to predict, so we’ll say you’ve got a 40% chance of really making a huge buck on it. Hype around it has been positive and copious, however, so getting in at ICO prices might yield short-term profits.

Investment Details

100 million tokens are currently being generated, with 65% being held away from sale. The rather confusing and slanted distribution looks like this:

It appears that funds will be raised until September 15th, and the amount raised will be dispersed among the 35 million tokens in terms of how much they are valued.

Visit https://tokensale.propy.com before then if you are interested in participating in the PRO ICO.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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5 stars on average, based on 2 rated postsP. H. Madore has covered the cryptocurrency beat over the course of hundreds of articles for Hacked's sister site, CryptoCoinsNews, as well as some of her competitors. He is a major contributing developer to the Woodcoin project, and has made technical contributions on a number of other cryptocurrency projects. In spare time, he recently began a more personalized, weekly newsletter at http://ico.phm.link




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  1. jusdavi

    August 24, 2017 at 1:18 am

    Check out CPROP https://cprop.io

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Analysis

Pre-Market: Trade War Optimism Sparks Another Bounce in Stocks

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Global stocks are markedly higher today before the US open, Donald Trump’s quite aggressive negotiating seem to be paying off, at least with regards to China, as in the wake of the pronounced weakness in Chinese assets, and the notable slowdown in the economy, the country wants to reopen the talks with the US.

Shanghai Composite, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Shanghai Composite hit a new bear market low overnight before recovering above support into the close, and the Dollar’s rally also ran into resistance, thanks to the Yuan’s bounce of its fresh 13-month low. Emerging market assets are also somewhat higher today, with the help of the Turkish Lira’s continued bounce, but the segment is still deeply wounded technically, and more pain is almost inevitably ahead, as the negative trends still stand.

 

DAX Index, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Walmart’s great earnings report also fueled the pre-market rally in US futures, as the retail segment in the largest economy still seems to be doing just fine, despite the global woes. The major US indices are after an orderly looking correction, in stark contrast with their European and Asian peers, which are stuck in broader downtrends or even full-blown bear markets.

Nasdaq, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Yesterday’s tech selloff, which was triggered by the weak report of Chinese giant Tencent has almost been erased after the better than expected numbers of Cisco restored confidence in the market-leading segment. Nvidia (NVDA) will also report after the market close, and as the earnings season is drawing to a close, we can conclude that corporate profits had a blowout quarter in the US, even as cracks in the global economy appeared.

Momentum is still clearly on the side of the FAANGS and the whole US tech sector even after discounting Facebook’s recent plunge, but should the tightening cycle of the Fed continue to drain liquidity from financial markets and should the rising trend in rates persist, we expect valuations to suddenly matter soon.

Dollar Pulls Back

Dollar Index (DXY), 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The possible resumption of the US-Chinese trade talks sparked a, so far, weak correction, which also due from a technical standpoint, with the EUR/USD pair finding support near $1.13, and with the broader Dollar Index running into resistance near the 97 level. The rally in the reserve currency is no danger by any means, as the break-out is clearly intact, but a deeper pullback would help risk-assets in the coming days.

WTI Crude oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Commodities are slightly higher thanks to the relief rally in emerging markets and the dip in the Dollar, but the previously stronger crude oil is just holding up above the $65 support, while gold is clearly below $1200, and copper couldn’t get back anywhere near yesterday’s break-down level close to $2.70.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 320 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Market Stabilizes but Bulls Not Out of the Woods

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The cryptocurrency segment looks much better than any time in the last 10 days, as the major coins managed to hold up above the liquidation lows hit on Tuesday. While the bounce stabilized the market, there is still substantial fragility following the steep selloff, and until further bullish moves, traders shouldn’t enter full positions.

That said, finally, there are signs of relative strength among the top coins as correlations are slightly lower, and some of the bearish leaders managed to recapture key resistance levels. Litecoin is trading right at the crucial $56 level, while Monero is above the $90 level, and as we noted before the exhaustion of their downtrend is a positive sign or the whole segment.

XMR/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The bounce and the following stability triggered a few upgrades in our trend model after spending almost 1 month in the sell zone, but there are still no majors on a buy signal as the segment-wide downtrend remains intact. Bitcoin remains the strongest coin from a technical perspective, while Ethereum and Ripple, which showed weakness for weeks, are also in better shape, even as they face very strong resistance levels.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum managed to hold up above the $275-$280 level during the overnight pullback, and now it faces the $300 resistance level again, trying to build on the recent rally. While the short-term downtrend is intact, and the oversold longer-term momentum readings could fuel a rally in the coming weeks, but now the coin is in a structural bear market after the break below $400.

The coin is now neutral from a short-term standpoint, but a move below $275 would point to another test of the lows. Further resistance is ahead at $3335 and $360, while strong long-term support is at $260.

Bitcoin Still Below $6500 as XRP Nears $0.30

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Not much has changed for Bitcoin in recent days, but relatively speaking the largest coin showed significant strength. That said, until BTC doesn’t show bullish momentum, traders still shouldn’t enter positions, as the structurally important $5850 level is still not far below the current price level. A move above $6500 would trigger a short-term buy signal, but further strong resistance levels are ahead at $6750 and $7000, while support is still found at $6275 and $6000.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple and Ethereum are in very similar technical setups, and XRP is also facing strong resistance at $0.30 after finding support overnight near $0.275. After the panicky spike below $0.26, the odds of a durable increased, and should the coin stay above the overnight lows, the coin could avoid another short-term sell signal. While traders should still stay away from entering full positions here, a bottoming process might already be underway.

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Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 320 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Ethereum Takes Baby Steps to Recovery as Global Markets Surge 10%

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Following the first serious rebound from the last week’s carnage the global market gained 10% overnight, pushing back through the $200 billion barrier after a brief dip to $190 billion yesterday.

Ethereum Price Recovery

The rebound was not distributed equally, with many of the altcoins which had previously lost the most now benefiting in turn. Ethereum made a strong push in the last twenty-fours as it climbed from a near year-long low of $254.56 up to the current range in the $280’s, where it sits at the time of writing.

The 11% gains for the day sound good, but amount to relatively little in dollar value considering how much the coin lost in recent weeks. At one point during the night ETH climbed to a unit price of $290 – but that’s as far as it could go during this particular twenty-four stretch.

The sudden surge over the last twenty-four hours wasn’t enough to take Ethereum to the £300 mark, although that could be achieved following another 5% growth. The current $284 price per ETH is still one of the lowest witnessed in the last 11 months, so there’s still plenty of scope for investors to jump on board.

Predictably, USDT trades are the most popular today, making up close to 20% of the daily total as a significant portion of ETH becomes un-tethered. Wash-trades, or transaction mining on multiple exchanges once again comes close to equalling the actual recorded daily volume of $1.8 billion.

Global Surge Re-Rearranges Altcoins

While nothing could be termed normal in the crypto world, several coins have returned to their former market cap positions from before the dip. EOS is back in 5th place after temporarily being ousted by Stellar, and Cardano has returned to 8th spot after briefly giving up its place to Tether.

TRON and IOTA are still lingering outside the top ten, with Monero holding strong in the 10th spot previously occupied by TRON, and then IOTA in recent times.

Correlation and Causation

You’ve probably seen the Google Trend charts which show an alignment between ‘cryptocurrency’ Google searches, and the total cryptocurrency market cap. Right now the search volume is as low as it has been since before the surge of 2017 – but that isn’t necessarily an indicator of a lack of interest. It just means that people aren’t typing the word ‘cryptocurrency’ (or Bitcoin, which has an immensely larger search volume) into Google any more.

It says nothing about the number of people checking CoinMarketCap every day, and it doesn’t let you know how many people have suddenly become interested again after seeing prices drop to such long-time lows.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 38 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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