ICO Analysis: Hedge

When you buy your first cryptocurrency and start trading between pairs, usually you do in accordance with what you have heard from other people or your own research. Thinking that some project is truly good, you expect to make some gains. Yet it is always hard to have an estimation for “some gains”. Unexperienced traders usually get greedy, expecting more profit. This usually ends up with not taking profits and losing some of your investment. More experienced traders sometimes set prices to sell some or all of their tokens, taking profits and moving forward. This way of trading is basically predicting a price to sell cryptocurrencies: If you make a good prediction, then you sell at the peak. If not, either you are not able to sell as the price did not go up as much as you have predicted, or it keeps rising up which would be still a good trade.

Hedge is a platform allowing seasoned traders to sell their predictions. They create Blueprints with the predicted information in the form of a smart contract. They are required to stake HEDG tokens which can be seen as a measure of security, disincentivizing these investors’ spamming Blueprints. Platform users obtain these Blueprints in return for HEDG tokens.

A decentralized oracle then checks whether the prediction is true or false. If true, the predictor gets all staked coins. If not, the predictor loses his or her staked coins and the platform user gets his or her token back. Blueprint creators are ranked in terms of their success rates, streaks and so on. By checking creator’s rank, platform users can buy blueprints from more successful creators. Once you feel confident in your trading skills and predictions, you can create and sell Blueprints yourself on Hedge as well.

Yet a dispute over almost anything is possible. A platform user or a Blueprint creator can create a dispute about the result of his or her prediction. In this case, the disputer has to stake more coins and highly-ranked users decide whether the prediction is, in fact, true or false. If a person is false about his or her dispute, he loses these additionally staked coins as well. All this process, from the creation of a Blueprint to the dispute’s result, is conducted in a decentralized manner.

Token

HEDG tokens are used for the creation of Blueprints, buying these Blueprints and creating disputes. The staking mechanism, a quite common defense mechanism, ensures that spamming Blueprints is not financially viable for the attacker.

As tokens at any sale stage are sold $0.02, the ICO investor does not have much to worry regarding any huge bonus for private investors and so on. 90% of the hard-cap is already sold which is a good reason to think that the project has met interest to some acceptable degree and meeting the hard cap should not be hard.

The initial total supply of HEDG is 1 billion tokens with the following token distribution:

  1. 50% private and public tokens
  2. 10% seed round
  3. 20% team
  4. 12% partnerships and community
  5. 3% advisors
  6. 5% company

Team, partnership and community, and advisor tokens are locked for 36 months, 12 months and 12 months respectively. Once the lock-up period ends, tokens will be released in monthly installments.

There is no information on how the team is planning to use the token sale proceeds at the moment.

Team

CEO David Waslen: Prior to co-founding Chrysalis Capital Advisors Inc., Waslen was the director of finance at Handy, an application to book home services.

Allan Redman: Redman is a senior software developer at Siemens Canada. Before joining Siemens, he was a senior .Net developer at Schneider Electric.

Verdict

Below is a breakdown of the risks and growth potential of Hedge.

Risks

  • No advisors are listed as of September 15th. (-1)
  • In the absence of social media channels such as Reddit and Telegram, it is hard to gauge the community interest in the project. (-1)
  • A more complex prediction system instead of a true/false one could create more interest and diversity. (-1.5)

Growth Potential

  • The project has already met 90% of its hard cap in prior rounds and should not have trouble to hit the cap. (+2)
  • Prediction market cryptocurrency projects tend to do well in terms of return on investment. (+2)
  • Such a taking mechanism is a common, yet a good way to defend against spam attacks. (+1.5)
  • Low hard cap. (+1.5)

Disposition

Hedge is a very simple, yet elegant prediction market cryptocurrency project. It enables seasoned investors to sell their predictions and less experienced traders to buy them with HEDG tokens. Even the adoption of a small community is sufficient for the project to work, which is quite likely as it has already raised 90% of its hard cap, precisely $9,000,000. On the other hand, from the perspective of an ICO investor, it is hard to gauge any potential return on investment as the absence of social media channels makes it extremely hard to gauge the community interest in the project. Implemented staking mechanism defends the platform against spam attacks and gives platform users a reason to use tokens. Investors might think that a binary prediction system isn’t ideal vs. a more sophisticated one. Hedge receives a 3.5/10.

Investment Details

  • Type: ERC20 – Utility
  • Symbol: HEDG
  • Platform: Ethereum
  • Crowdsale: October 17th
  • Minimum Investment: Unspecified
  • Price: $0.02
  • Hard Cap: $10,000,000
  • Payments Accepted: Unspecified
  • Restricted from Participating: Unspecified

For More Information

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