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Goldilocks and the Three Investors

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You may have heard a similar story before but I assure you this is something completely different.

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There once was a young millennial named Goldilocks. One day she looked at her bank account and realized that the money sitting there was not earning her any interest and that due to inflation she was actually losing money every year.

So she naively wandered into the world of investments. A world that is full of hungry wolves who would just as soon eat Goldy than help her.

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Finally, after a ton of research, she spotted a broker that she felt she could trust. But the broker had so many assets to trade that Goldy’s head started spinning as soon as she walked in the door.

First, she tried the cryptocurrencies. But this market was too young and way too volatile.

Next, she tried the stock markets. But the markets were way too high and Goldy had no way of getting into this market without grossly overpaying for the shares she wanted to buy.

Finally, she tried the bond markets. But the Fed had already bought all of the good bonds and there was nothing left at a reasonable price for poor Goldilocks.

I forget how the story ends but I hope it’ something along the lines of all the investors coming back to their senses, valuations slowly returning to normal, and Goldilocks living happily ever in peace and harmony with the financial markets.

Mati Greenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures, and graphs below are valid as of July 10th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

Pheww. The G20 meetings are over without any drastic headlines. In fact, the leaders of the world seem to be surprisingly on the same page. They were even able to put out a unified statement.

The G20 reaffirmed their commitment to the Paris Climate Accords, even while noting the US’s planned departure from the deal. The statement contained no mention of North Korea. So it seems that issue is safely under the rug for now.

The Trump-Putin meeting produced some interesting headlines as well. Most notable, that Trump asked Putin if Russia interfered in the US elections. Putin said no. Some are now considering this issue as a closed case as well. Of course, we’ll wait until special investigator Robert Mueller gives the final word.

The Jobs Report last Friday was also quite eventful. The US economy managed to add an astonishing 222,000 jobs. The job market is certainly running hot at this point, some might say it’s running too hot.

The only issue is that despite the diminishing labor force wages don’t seem to be rising. Over the past year, average hourly wages grew by just 0.2%.

The market did much of nothing. First it went too high, then too low and ended up finding something that was just right… where it started.

The stocks on the other hand, were very happy about this report and we can see the Dow Jones rose sharply on the news.

Of course. it doesn’t take much to please the stock markets these days.

Gold reversal

According to an article on Bloomberg this morning, over the past month investors have gone from extremely bullish to extremely bearish.

The reason seems to be the expectations of rising rates in the United States. However, this doesn’t make much sense. The expectation of rising rates has been happening for months. It’s not some new piece of information that now needs to be priced in.

The following chart was posted by a guy named Mark Baillie and shows the price of gold over the last hundred years compared to the supply of US Dollars in the market.

So, it does appear that we’re seeing some sort of long-term divergence in the market over the past 4 years.

Less than $100B

The Crypto market is currently seeing the most pressure it’s seen since 2013, and arguably the most pressure ever as we see yet another completely red day for this industry.

Of the top 30 most valuable cryptos only 3 are currently in the green. This as the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies has dropped significantly below $100 Billion.

Still, if we look at the last three months it’s quite clear that we’re still up exponentially since April.

As with gold, one of the best strategies I’ve seen for the crypto markets is to think long term. Don’t be surprised or startled by short-term movements.

Buy low sell high, and always have sufficient diversity in your account.

Have an amazing week ahead!

This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation. 

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Hit 6-Week Highs as Rally Continues

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Bullish price action is still dominant in the cryptocurrency segment today, despite the recent lofty gains, and the overbought short-term picture in the ace of most of the majors. Correlations continue to break down, as more and more coins are in confirmed uptrends, with the total value of the market hitting $400 billion for the first time since early March.

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The top digital currencies are mixed today in the generally positive environment, with Bitcoin Cash, IOTA, Ethereum Classic, Dash, and Monero showing relative strength, in the face of the slightly overbought short-term momentum readings. While this is not the best moment to enter new short-term trades with regards to the majority of the coins, the long-term setup favors further gains in the coming weeks.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Altcoins have been leading the market higher in the last couple of weeks, and Bitcoin is still stuck below the $9000 level, as it continues to slightly lag behind from a short-term perspective. The coin ran into the strong resistance zone between $9000 and $9200 after breaking out of the broad declining trend.

Now a pullback is likely, given the slight weakness, with a possible test of the prior swing high at $8400. In case of a bullish move, the next target is at $10,000, and long-term investors should still add to their holdings on the short-term dips.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum kept on creeping higher to marginal no rally highs in the last couple of days, nearing the $650 level despite the overbought short-term picture. Short-term traders should still not enter new positions here until the overbought readings are cleared, while long-term investors could still add to their holdings during the pullbacks.  Resistance zones are ahead near $735 and $780, while primary support is between $555 and $575.

Altcoins Diverging but Bulls Remain in Control

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

As we noted, the correlation between the coins is lower than during the downswing, and that confirms the bullish price action in the segment. Ripple is trading in a consolidation pattern near the $0.84 level, and although the overbought momentum readings are not yet fully cleared, the trend is clearly bullish and a new short-term buy signal is likely in the coming days.

Among the other recent leaders, IOTA triggered short-term sell signal, reaching the strong resistance zone near $2.2. EOS, Stellar, Cardano, and NEO are consolidating their gains, while Dash, Monero, and ETC are trading slightly above last week’s highs, but traders shouldn’t chase them higher here, as a short-term correction is likely soon.

Stay tuned for our detailed long-term technical analysis coming out later on today.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 228 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

EOS Remains Fifth-Largest Cryptocurrency Following Airdrop

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EOS continues to hold the fifth spot on the cryptocurrency world rankings, as the coin overcame post-airdrop fatigue en route to steady gains. The cryptocurrency has even gone as far as outshining many of its peers over the last two weeks, giving rise to further optimism about the upcoming eos.ios platform.

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EOS Price Levels

The value of EOS rose 5% on Sunday to $11.39, where it remained the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market cap. The total EOS market is valued at $9.3 billion, which is roughly $900 million higher than Litecoin, the No. 6 coin.

Trading at nearly three-month highs, EOS has rebounded 177% from its bear market low Mar. 18. Unlike other major cryptocurrencies, EOS overcame the recent swing low culminating on Apr. 6. Nevertheless, the coin has gained more than 95% since that date.

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Nearly $1 billion in EOS tokens exchanged hands on Sunday, according to data provider CoinMarketCap. That made EOS the fourth most actively traded currency worldwide, with Asian exchanges Huobi, OKEx and Bithumb processing the largest share of transactions.

Interestingly, EOS was on one side of roughly 13% of USDT trades. USDT is the native token of Tether, the so-called stablecoin that claims to be backed by U.S. dollars.

EOS, which also trades against other major cryptocurrencies, was last valued at 0.001297 BTC (-0.2%) and 0.018146 ETH (-2.8%).

Democratizing Blockchain

As an operating system, EOS is being designed to give developers the tools to build decentralized applications (DAPPs) through the delegated proof-of-stake mechanism. This system seeks to democratize the development process using a voting system that is equivalent to the number of coins each party retains. Only voted block producers can participate in the production of blocks and be rewarded by the network.

Given its proof-of-stake mechanism, EOS generated significant buzz earlier this month when it announced a lucrative airdrop event for Apr. 15. The terms of the airdrop stipulated that each EOS holder with 100 or more units would receive an equivalent number of eosDAC tokens.

eosDAC is an ERC-20 token that will migrate to the EOS platform once it is launched in early June. In time, it is probably that eosDAC tokens will also provide DAPP- and utility-based services that can be used by network members. A full ICO review of the eosDAC project can be found here.

Anticipation for the Apr. 15 event triggered a huge spike in the value of EOS, which is not uncommon when airdrops are deployed. The sustainability of the rally post-airdrop suggests EOS is generating significant interest ahead of the platform’s launch.

Brought to life by Dan Larrimer, EOS is widely considered to be Ethereum’s next big challenger. Both platforms will compete in DAPPs and infrastructure development, potentially bringing blockchain further into mainstream discourse.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 343 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Altcoins

Cryptocurrency Market Approaching $400 Billion as Bitcoin Tests $9,000

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The cryptocurrency market extended its bullish rally on Sunday, as bitcoin and the major altcoins continued to test multi-month highs. Buy orders accounted for the overwhelming majority of transactions, giving rise to expectations of a more sustained upswing in prices.

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Cryptocurrency Rally Continues

The combined value of all cryptocurrencies peaked at $397.2 billion on Sunday, the highest since Mar. 8. At press time, the market was valued just below $394 billion.

Transaction volumes ebbed on Sunday, with daily turnover amounting to $20.8 billion. Volumes were up around $25 billion on Saturday.

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In terms of individual currencies, bitcoin crossed the $9,000 mark for the second time in as many days. The digital currency was last seen trading at $8,932, having gained 4.8%. However, its share of the total market decline to around 38%.

All major altcoins contributed positively to the rally, with Ethereum gaining nearly 5% to $632. The value of Ripple XRP rose 2.6% to $0.886. Bitcoin cash also extended its bullish rally, climbing nearly 7% to $1,226.

Since bottoming at $249 billion on Apr. 6, the cryptocurrency market has added nearly $150 billion in value. Since the market crash of early February, coins have crossed the $500 billion mark on only one occasion, and that was roughly two weeks later. The total market has been capped below $400 billion since early March.

Bulls in Firm Control

The dramatic recovery in cryptocurrency prices can be summed up in one vital statistic: nine out of every ten trades have been buy orders. That figure was as high as 92.9% on Thursday, according to TurtleBTC.

Cryptocurrency trading is largely governed by investor sentiment, especially among speculators entering the market for a quick profit. This environment, when combined with thin volumes, often generates sporadic trading conditions that are characterized by extreme volatility.

Sentiment has been overwhelmingly positive over the last two weeks as investors looked to capitalize on extreme oversold conditions. Traders have seemingly shrugged off negative news headlines concerning India’s crackdown on cryptocurrency trading as well as the state of New York’s inquiry into exchanges.

There’s strong reason to believe that South Korean traders are playing a major role in the price recovery. According to the most recent volume rankings, three South Korean exchanges are among the top-five in total trading volumes.  They are: OKEx ($1.8 billion in daily volume), Upbit ($965 million) and Bithumb ($751 million).

With the recent spike in volume, cryptocurrencies are once again trading at a large premium in South Korea. This is generally the norm during bull cycles due to high demand and supply constraints. These premiums drew negative attention to exchanges last year as government officials began equating cryptocurrency trading with gambling.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 343 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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