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Gold Price Is Getting Crushed as Dollar Reaches New 2018 Highs

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Gold’s brisk selloff deepened Thursday, as investors put higher interest rates on the front burner following two days of testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.

Gold Price Levels

According to Bloomberg data, the price of gold bottomed at $1,212.70 a troy ounce on Thursday, extending a three-month selloff that has shaved 11% from the yellow metal’s value. Gold peaked slightly above $1,360 in March and April before plunging over the next three months.

Bullion is trading at its lowest level in over a year, with technical charts putting the next major support level around $1,200-$1,202 an ounce.

Silver, which often trades in the direction of gold, was off more than 2% Thursday to a low of $15.19 a troy ounce. The grey metal later recovered around $15.30 but was still down more than 12% from January’s settlement high of $17.61.

Dollar Rally Intensifies

A surging dollar has largely underpinned the massive exodus out of gold over the last three months. The U.S. dollar index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the greenback against a basket of currencies, has gained nearly 7% compared to three months ago. DXY is up 3.6% for the year, more than offsetting its worst annual start in decades.

On Thursday, the dollar index rose more than half a percent to a high of 95.65, its best level of the year.

The dollar’s strength combined with Brexit woes triggered a fresh slide in the British pound, which fell on Thursday to its lowest since August.

The Canadian dollar declined sharply on tariff fears, sending the USD/CAD currency pair to its highest level of the month.

A stronger U.S. currency makes the purchase of gold and other commodities more costly for international buyers, which reduces their relative demand. On Wall Street, investors have shown a renewed penchant for stocks in anticipation of a strong earnings quarter.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Thursday wrapped up his semiannual testimony before Congress where he fielded questions on the economy, protectionism and cryptocurrency. Although Powell didn’t strike an overly hawkish tone, he left little doubt about the central bank’s plan to raise short-term interest rates.

On Wednesday, Powell told lawmakers they can expect several years of economic growth under the current policy regime.

“With appropriate monetary policy, the job market will remain strong and inflation will stay near 2% over the next several years,” Powell said in prepared remarks.

The central bank “believes that – for now – the best way forward is to keep gradually raising the federal funds rate” in a way that keeps pace with the economic recovery, he added.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members will next meet July 31-Aug. 1 to set short-term interest rates. No change is expected before September.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 736 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Commodities

Oil Price Gets Support from China Stimulus Push

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China’s pledge to cut taxes and stimulate growth boosted oil prices on Tuesday, as traders looked to the world’s second-largest economy for clues about the future of demand growth in one of the world’s biggest energy-consuming regions.

Oil Rebounds

Crude prices rose across the board on Tuesday, more than offsetting the previous day’s drop. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmark for U.S. crude futures reached a session high of $52.00 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was last up $1.24, or 2.5%, at $51.75 a barrel. ICE Brent, the global crude benchmark, rose $1.13, or 1.9%, to $60.12 a barrel.

Higher oil prices boosted energy shares at the start of New York trading. The S&P 500’s energy index is up 0.3%.

Oil is still in the throes of a protracted bear market but has shown signs of stabilizing since OPEC began slashing its output. Saudi Arabia has also stepped up its effort to rebalance the market by lowering its crude exports this month.

China Responds to Slowing Economy

China’s finance ministry has pledged to lower taxes and boost government spending as part of a cocktail of policies designed to counter a weakening economy. Under the newly announced plan, Beijing will lower value-added tax rates on some businesses and increase fiscal expenditure this year. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has also announced it will make monetary policy more forward-looking and flexible in the future.

Meanwhile, China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) says the economy aims to achieve “a good start” in the first quarter, a sign the government body is prepared to adopt new measures to stimulate growth.

China’s exports plunged in December at the fastest rate in two years, signaling weaker demand in the global market. Imports also fell at the fastest rate in two-and-a-half years. The report follows a string of lackluster data releases that paint a grim picture of China’s near-term growth prospects, which have been further complicated by an escalating trade war with the United States.

German Economic Growth Hits Five-Year Low

Germany’s economy faced strong headwinds in 2018, as the export-driven country struggled with weaker demand and new automotive standards. German gross domestic product (GDP) expanded just 1.5% in all of last year, the slowest rate since 2013, the Federal Statistics Office reported Tuesday.

The economy was expected to grow 1.8% in 2018 after reaching a 2.2% clip the year before. German exports faced disruptions in the third quarter, which led the economy to contract.

The fate of the Eurozone is tied to Germany, which accounts for roughly one-third of the bloc’s economic output. Although the German economy likely avoided recession in the fourth quarter, the latest weak patch could have dire consequences on the currency region at a time when its peripheral members were still struggling.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 736 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Blockchain

Your Guide to Precious Metals on the Blockchain

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Tokenized precious metals create the potential for fractional ownership of gold and greater transparency. Indeed, the world’s largest bank, JPMorgan, is prepared to use its proprietary blockchain to tokenize gold, and the Royal Mint has pursued technologies to achieve the same.

As CCN reported, some venture capitalists believe Bitcoin will replace gold as a store of value. But, what happens if you combine blockchain and precious metals? Financial powerhouses and blockchain startups alike are investigating the intersection between precious metals and blockchain.

Major Players

JPMorgan

JPMorgan, the most valuable bank by market capitalization in the world, intends to use its enterprise version of the Ethereum blockchain, Quorum, to tokenize gold bars.

First announced in October 2016 as part of Ethereum Enterprise Alliance (EEA), Quorum is marketed as a blockchain-powered system that aims to “significantly reduce” the number of parties required to verify global payments, cutting transaction times “from weeks to hours.” JPMorgan’s head of blockchain initiatives, Umar Farooq, elaborated on tokenization:

“They wrap a gold bar into a tamper-proof case electronically tagged, and they can track the gold bar from the mine to endpoint – with the use case being, if you know it’s a socially responsible mine, someone will be willing to pay a higher spread on that gold versus if you don’t know where it comes from. Diamonds is another example.”

He added: “We are the only financial player that owns the entire stack, from the application to the protocol.”

LBMA

The potential for blockchain and gold market was recently underscored when, on October 19, the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA), a wholesale over-the-counter market for the trading of gold and silver, announced its plan to modernize transparency in the industry with blockchain.

While asking its 144 members (the world’s largest gold refiners, banks and dealers) for proposals on how to track gold from mines to its final destination and prevent forgery of gold bars, a common theme became apparent. Of the 26 proposals the association received “from companies ranging from startups to major technology firms” including IBM, “more than 20 of the 26 responses” reportedly used blockchain in their project drafts.

Royal Mint

The Royal Mint, Britain’s official mint, once sought to offer services that let businesses and investors buy and sell digital tokens representing physical gold via blockchain transactions. The U.K. government, to be sure, stopped such plans.

Developed in collaboration with the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and using technology from two blockchain startups, the Royal Mint system intended to transact blockchain tokens called Royal Mint Gold (RMG). The tokens digitally represent one gram of real gold stored at the Mint’s facilities. The RMG price would have tracked the spot price of gold. The Mint planned to issue $1 billion in tokens, and investors would be able to trade RMG digital tokens via an institutional trading platform.

Beyond the abovementioned institutions, many blockchain-focused projects are working on gold-related projects.

The More Established Blockchain Players (Alphabetical order)

DigixDAO (digix.global)

This decentralized autonomous organization, backed by Global Brain Corporation and Fenbushi Capital, created a digital token (DGX) backed by 99.99% gold cast bars from London Bullion Market Association-approved refiners. DGX is built on the Ethereum blockchain.

DigixDAO, whose token peaked at $553.80 according to CoinGecko but currently sits at approximately $20, began trading in late September at less than $1.

Paxos (Paxos Standard)

The New York-based Paxos creates blockchain solutions for financial institutions. Their product Bankchain, is a settlement platform transforming post-trade across capital markets. Paxos Standard remains just shy of the price at which it began trading in October.

Tradewind Markets

The New York-based Tradewind is adding physical silver to its digital trading platform six months after launching its digital gold product. “We are hearing from our network of dealers that there is a growing demand from their customers to include silver on the platform,” Fraser Buchan, co-founder of Tradewind said.

Tradewind is backed by gold industry players, such as IEX Group, an innovative stock exchange; Sprott Inc., a global alternative asset manager; and, Goldcorp Inc., one of the world’s largest gold producers.

Veritaseum

The US-based Veritaseum’s precious metals tokens VeGLD (Gold Token) and VeSLV (Silver Token) are fully redeemable to the bearer and backed 100% by gold or silver. The value of the tokens is reportedly designed to mimic the volatility of major global currencies like CNY, USD, and EUR, reducing long-term volatility.

Precious metals are securely stored and insured with reliable depositories via COMEX approved vaults for global redemption and delivery to anywhere in the world. Veritaseum was founded by Reggie Middleton. Veritaseum purports to enable software-driven P2P capital markets without brokerages, banks or traditional exchanges.

Veritaseum (VERI) reached its peak of $466 on January 8, 2018. It’s currently priced at $15.71.

 

Exchange Traded

Bitcoin Gold (bitcoingold.com) 

Bitcoin Gold spiked to $456 in December 2017 as part of the crypto bubble then, and today sits at $13.05. But, considering how many experts believe that Bitcoin itself is acting less like the “electronic peer-to-peer cash system” Satoshi Nakamoto envisioned, and more like digital gold, Bitcoin Gold seems redundant.

CEDEX

CEDEX wants individual investors to securely and easily trade gold, silver, and diamonds. Sellers could list their precious metals on the CEDEX platform and then deliver them to a custodian, who would release them to the buyer once the transaction is complete.

On September 6, 2018, CEDEX reached its all time high of 18 cents. Its current price is .04 cents.

Darico (DEC)

Based in Zug, Switzerland, the Darico Ecosystem revolves around the Darico Terminal.  The company hopes their tools with allow users to monitor trade, invest and spend cryptocurrencies all from one integrated ecosystem. DEC is currently traded on IDEX and Bilaxy. Five days after DEC trading began on October 1, 2018, the price spiked .08 cents. Its price currently stands at .07 cents.

Eidoo (EDO)

Switzerland-based Eidoo is creating a more stable ERC-20 token by tying it to the gold price. Each token, redeemable for one gram of 99.9 percent fine gold, will be stored in its vaults and audited every 90 days. Its native token is “EDO”.

“People will be able to see the gold stored in the security vaults through a video camera, we will post a link on the website so everyone can control the gold,” Natale Ferrara, the startup’s founder, told CoinDesk. “Each Ekon token will be backed by … [24-karat gold], so we will issue new tokens only if the gold is available and only if the user has completed the KYC and all the legal requirements that the Swiss law requires.” Eidoo raised $27.9 million in a token sale in October 2017. EDO peaked at $6.99 on January 8, 2018. Its current price is around 80 cents.

GoldMint (GOLD & MNT)

The Moscow, Russia-based GoldMint is a blockchain-based platform that uses GOLD digital assets, which are 100% backed by physical gold or exchange-traded funds (ETF).

GoldMint helps traders and investors manage volatility risks and gain competitive commissions on commodities sold via GoldMint to financial institutions, pawn shops, and other business and individual stakeholders. The GoldMint platform leverages the private and individual gold trading market.

The company would also like to manage larger physical stocks like those in central banks and create an electronic payment solution tethered not to the US Dollar like the crypto-network Tether, but instead to physical gold. The company also envisages a gold lending peer-to-peer lending system.

GoldMint depends on two native tokens, GOLD and MNT. The former is an investment tool and completely backed by physical gold and/or an exchange-traded fund (ETF). One GOLD token is the equivalent of one ounce of gold on the LBMA. MTN is GoldMint’s native cryptocurrency and is used to confirm GOLD transactions. GoldMint miners, the amount of MNTs reflects how many assignments or transaction blocks they can accept. GoldMint tokens are available on EtherDelta and YoBit. Listed as MNTP on CoinGecko, this token began trading in June 2018 at .80 cents, and currently is priced at .23 cents.

Global Gold Token (GGT)

Global Gold Token (GGT) began trading in late October for about $1.21, and currently trades for about .44 cents.

HelloGold (HGT) 

The Malaysia-based HelloGold lets users buy and sell instantly, send gold to anyone with a HelloGold account, withdraw your cash and redeem your physical gold on their app. The coin is on exchanges EtherDelta, Coss, and HitBTC. Since a peak price of .22 cents in January 2018, HGT has declined to .002 cents.

KaratGold (KBC)

KaratGold is based in Stuttgart, Germany. Each coin represents a certain weight of gold and can be exchanged into physical gold in the form of CashGold. On July 4, 2019 100 KBC will equal 1g of gold. Exchanges with KBC include YObit.net, Coinbe, Hitbtc, and Coinsuper. After reaching an all-time high of .02 cents in September 2018, KBC has since waned in price. Its current valuation is less than .19 cents.

PureGold (PGT and PGG)

Based in Singapore, puregold.io has two tokens. PGT is for transactions and PGG is a digitized form of physical gold. PGG is the native digital token dedicated for gold-enabled crypto transactions. PGT is available at the Token Store. PGT first traded on October 19, 2018, and, according to CoinGecko, was priced at about .20 cents. It currently is trading at .03 cents.

2019 ICO

GoldFinX (GFX)

GoldFinX (GFX) provides financing to Artisanal Small Gold Mines (ASGM) worldwide and gets in exchange of share of their production. The first production of gold will be delivered by Q2 2019, and will accumulate as well as stored indefinitely to back the value of the GiX coin. Pre-sale started July 1st, 2018 and ended no later than December 31st, 2018. The GiX ICO launches in January 2019.

TruGold ICO

The TruGold ICO is set to take place beginning February 19, 2019. TruGold is an electronic distribution system to digitize the production of gold for peer-to-peer daily transactions–or to redeem for physical gold.

Well-Regarded Projects

Anthem Gold (Anthemgold.com)

Anthem Gold is a cryptocurrency developed by Anthem Vault Inc. Each ANTHEM (AGLD) is backed by one gram of physical gold, securely vaulted with a nonbank operator and fully insured. Anthem Gold is a related to Anthem Vault, which has been buying and selling cryptocurrency for gold since 2011.

EmTech

US-based Emergent Technology Holdings in February 2018 announced its “Responsible Gold” supply chain along with “G-coin,” a digital token allegedly based upon “responsibly sourced gold.” Emtech’s blockchain-powered, gold supply chain platform tracks “responsibly sourced gold from the miner-to-refiner-to-vault.” The company’s partners include key industry players like Valcambi Sa, Asahi Refining and Yamana Gold to structure its G-Coin tokens.

In an interview with CNBC, Emergent’s chief commercial officer, Mitchell Davis, told CNBC that the company’s approach was “fundamentally different” than others in the space because of their focus on “responsibly sourced gold.”

“G-coin,” is reportedly created with NYSE-listed Canadian mining company called Yamana Gold. One coin equals one gram of “responsibly sourced gold,” and is pegged to gold’s spot price. G-Coins are invitation only.

Which Blockchain-based gold projects are best?

The industry seeking to place gold on the blockchain is nascent, and large players are positioned to ensure that, should blockchain become a viable way to manage gold trading, they have the tools and technologies to participate in the market. Its hard to recommend a new gold project when JPMorgan is working on a platform designed to do the same.

Still, projects like Paxos have been around long enough, and made sufficient progress over that time, to be considered a leader in the gold on the blockchain space. Veritaseum and Digix both have enjoyed media coverage and are live for trading at this time, but neither have made so much progress in tokenizing gold to be a sure bet. For now, I will stay on the sidelines of the crypto-gold market. Considering that Bitcoin has long been called “digital gold”, I would participate instead in that market first.

Other Mentions

AgAu
Zug, Switzerland
agau.io

*

Airgead
Ireland
Airgeadcoin.io

*

Cyronium

Indonesia
Cyronium.com

*

DGE
Switzerland
digitalgoldxchange.com/

*

EAU-COIN
Sweden
Eau-coin.com

*

Golden Currency
Singapore
Goldencurrency.world

*

GOLDFUND
Australia
goldfund.io

*

GoldVein
Russia
Goldvein.io

*

Jinbi
UK
Jinbitoken.io

*

Karatcoin
UK
Karatcoin.co

*

Kinesis
Cayman
Kinesis.money

*

Sudan Gold Coin
Dubai
Sudangm.com

*

Tiberius Coin (TCX)
Zug, Switzerland
Tiberiuscoin.com

*

AurumCoin (AU)
Aurumcoin.com

*

Egold (EGD)
London, UK
egold.trade

*

OneGram Coin (OGC)
Dubai, United Arab Emirates.
onegram.org

*

Orocrypt (OCG)
Zurich, Switzerland.
orocrypt.com

*

Pecunio (PGX)
Dubai, United Arab Emirates.
pecun.io

*

The Midas Touch Gold (TMTG)
Seoul, South Korea.
dgex.io

*

Xaurum (XAUR)
Crystal Palace, BTC City, Ameriška ulica 8, Ljubljana, Slovenia
Xaurum.org

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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5 stars on average, based on 1 rated postsJustin O'Connell is the founder of financial technology focused CryptographicAsset.com. Justin organized the launch of the largest Bitcoin ATM hardware and software provider in the world at the historical Hotel del Coronado in southern California. His works appear in the U.S.'s third largest weekly, the San Diego Reader, VICE and elsewhere.




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Commodities

Oil Rises as Saudi Plans to Cut Exports; Long-Term Price Forecast Still Mediocre

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Oil prices rose sharply on Monday, buoyed by speculation that Saudi Arabia is planning to curb petrol exports in a further attempt to balance the market. The OPEC kingpin is looking to bring crude back toward $80 a barrel to have any semblance of a balanced budget this year.

Crude Rallies

U.S. crude extended its recovery to five days on Monday, with the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmark reaching a high of $49.79 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The U.S. futures contract was last seen trading at $49.26 a barrel, up $1.30, or 2.7%.

Brent crude, the international futures benchmark, notched a session high of $58.93 a barrel for its sixth consecutive gain. It was last seen hovering at $57.99 a barrel, having gained 93 cents, or 1.6%.

Commodity markets were aided by a sharp drop in the U.S. dollar at the start of the week. The U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell 0.5% against a basket of currencies to reach 95.72.

Saudis Keen on $80 a Barrel Oil

Saudi Arabia is planning to reduce oil exports to 7.1 million barrels per day in January as part of a broad effort to rebalance the market, The Wall Street Journal reported Monday. That represents a cut of 800,000 barrels per day from November levels. These efforts go hand-in-hand with a decision by OPEC+ in December to reduce production by 1.2 million barrels per day.

The Saudis would like to bring crude prices back to $80 a barrel, the level identified in its 2019 budget, to cover a surge in government spending. Riyadh plans to increase government spending 7% this year. Astonishingly, the budget blueprint assumes a 9% increase in revenue despite massively drop in oil prices in the fourth quarter. According to Ziad Daoud of Bloomberg, the forecast “defies the laws of arithmetic.”

Saudi Arabia wields tremendous power in the energy market but its days of manipulating prices almost singlehandedly are over. The period since the oil-price collapse of 2014 has highlighted the extent to which low-cost producers in the United States have been able to take market share from traditional players. The United States is not only the world’s biggest energy producer, its shale-fracking sites have achieved tremendous efficiency gains in the last five years.

Against this backdrop, Goldman Sachs forecasts only a slight recovery in crude prices this year. The Wall Street mega bank expects WTI to average just $55.50 a barrel in 2019. Brent is expected to see an average price of $62.50 a barrel. Prices are then expected to decline somewhat in 2020.

As per WSJ, Goldman says:

“We expect that the oil market will balance at a lower marginal cost in 2019 given: (1) higher inventory levels to start the year, (2) the persistent beat in 2018 shale-production growth amidst little observed cost inflation, (3) weaker than previously expected demand growth expectations (even at our above consensus forecasts) and (4) increased low-cost production capacity.”

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 736 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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