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Exciting Times

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It’s gonna be a huge day for all markets!!!

Stocks, Currencies, Commodities, Cryptocurrencies, and even Alt-coins have big announcements coming up.

There is a huge conference happening at the moment in Chengdu China. Unfortunately, representatives from our Shanghai office couldn’t make it this time and apparently neither could Vitalik.

Blockchain technology is growing incredibly quickly and even the bureaucratic EU is getting in on it. Just recently, they’ve put together a task force to explore new non-financial applications of the Ethereum network.

Exciting times indeed.

Mati Greenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures, and graphs are valid as of June 14th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

Last week’s election results were a disaster for Theresa May and her Tory party. At this point, they’re 8 seats shy of a government, and the far right Northern Irish DUP is holding 10.

We were expecting some kind of deal yesterday between May and the DUPs but the meeting concluded with DUP leader Arlene Foster leaving out the back door and no announcement.

It’s a tough walnut to crack. Some within the Tory party are saying that this could lead to a breakdown of the Northern Ireland peace treaty.

Arlene says that she’s confident there will be a deal sooner rather than later.

It seems that the markets believe her though and the Pound is up sharply this morning. If you’re trading the Pound. Keep your ears on Sky News. They seem to have the scoop.

 

Fed Day!!

The US federal reserve is due to announce their interest rate decision at 2:00 PM on Wall Street.

Today’s announcement could be a real thriller!

They have been getting pretty aggressive lately. At the moment, we’re off the floor but still pretty low. Here we can see the interest rate in the US since the financial crisis.

At the moment the market is pricing in a 94% chance that there will be a 0.25% increase today. However, many economists are saying that there’s a high probability for them to disappoint.

The jobs numbers are good and unemployment has come down. However, wage growth and inflation are well below what you would expect for Fed aggression to continue.

The biggest market moves usually come when there’s a sudden announcement that changes things, especially interest rates, so watch the Fed. If there’s no change, expect fire works!!

Oh Goldmen

Due to high demand from their clients, Goldman Sachs has finally put out their first technical analysis on Bitcoin.

Guess what… they’re bearish…. but not too bearish.


Here we can see the chart put out by their analysts, Elliot waves and all.

What they may not realize is the fundamentals of this market and certainly, they are not taking into account that we may be on the cusp of the financial revolution.

All in all, I do agree with the possibility of a massive retracement, even just in the short term. Most of the volumes we’re seeing are quite speculative and speculation money has a way of panicking pretty easily.

Of course, in the long term, if we are looking at the tipping point in Japan, the market cap of bitcoin would need to be at least 50 times its current value to support even a fraction of Japanese commerce.

Personally, I’m glad Goldman is acknowledging this asset even if they’re not trading it. I can’t wait to one day see a bitcoin ticker at the bottom of Bloomberg television. Then we’ll be in business.

Have an amazing day ahead!!

This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Extend Weekly Losses as Altcoins Still Glued to Support Levels

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We are having another broadly negative session so far in the cryptocurrency segment, with most of the majors sporting limited losses, and with only a few coins showing relative strength. While the picture is far from being disastrous, we have seen some technical deterioration in the top coins, as Ripple is still bleeding lower, and as Ethereum fell below the $200 price level again.

DASH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The likes of Litecoin, Dash, EOS, IOTA, NEO, and ETC are still weak from a technical perspective, and although some of the minor coins are still faring somewhat better, at least short-term, the overall picture remains overwhelmingly bearish.

Bitcoin’s stability is still a plus for bulls here, but with no sign of meaningful bullish momentum among the top digital currencies, traders should remain defensive even with regards to the relatively stronger coins.


BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The most valuable coin is trading slightly lower amid the segment-wide drift lower, but the $6275 support is still well below the current level, and the volatility in BTC’s market continues to be very low. A move below would warn of a test of the $6000 and $5850 levels, and for now, the short-term sell signal is still in place in our trend model despite Bitcoin’s stability.

The next major support zone below $5850 is found between $5000 and $5100, while resistance is ahead at $6500, $6750, and $7000.

Ripple’s Weakness Casts a Shadow on the Market

XRP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple hasn’t been able to hold last week’s gains, and the coin moved below $0.46 this week, warning of a coming test of the $0.42 level, and a possible resumption of its broader downtrend after its surge in September.

Below $0.42 support levels are found near $0.375 and $0.355, and further weakness could soon lead to a downgrade in our trend model with regards to the long-term outlook, with strong resistance levels still ahead near $0.51, $0.54, and $0.57.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Litecoin has been one of the stronger coins so far today, but from a broader perspective, it remains relatively weak and the $51 support level looks more and more vulnerable. A break below primary support would likely lead to a test of the bear market low near $47, with the next major support zone below that found at $44.

The broad declining trend is clearly intact, in the coin and traders and investors shouldn’t enter new positions here, with our trend model being negative on all time-frames, and with strong resistance levels ahead near $56, $59, and $64.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum continues to show relative weakness, and although remained stable in recent days, the broader setup hints on a likely test of the bear-market low. The coin drifted below the $200 level today, but volatility remains low, and trading activity is still very light.

The currency remains on sell signals on all time-frames, even as the immediate outlook is rather neutral, with key support found near $180, $170, and $160, and with strong resistance zones ahead near $235 and $260.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 380 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

Zcash (ZEC) Price Analysis: Market Cap Growth Continues, More Updates Coming Soon

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  • Zcash moves up to rank 19 on the top cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.
  • The Sapling upgrade just a few days away, as Zcash team suggest there could be more announcements soon.

Zcash (ZEC) continues to jump up the ladder, with its growing market capitalization. Last week it managed to creep into the top 20 cryptocurrencies, by market cap. Most recently, it has now moved up to rank 19. At the time of writing, it is seen at $624.5 million, ahead of VeChain (VET) with $612.6 million.

Countdown for Sapling Upgrade

It is just under 6 days now until the anticipated Sapling upgrade from the Zcash foundation. According to the firm, ‘Activation block 419200 will be mined October 29, 2018 01:31 UTC+00:00 assuming 150 seconds/block.’ The build-up of this is something that has appeared to be very supportive in the elevation of the ZEC price.

The Sapling is a network upgrade that boasts increased efficiency for transactions of which are shielded. They will facilitate broad mobile, exchange and vendor adoption of the Zcash shielded addresses. Zcash’s goal is to also see increased speed with these shielded transactions; it is touted that transactions can be shielded in less than 1 second.

New Announcements Coming Soon?

The Zcash team via their Twitter account have continued to count down their upcoming upgrade, tweeting “Is your product is #Sapling-ready? Or you would like to learn more about supporting the #Zcash Sapling upgrade? Reach out and let’s connect!” Within the tweet, they covered existing Salping-ready services listing; Bithumb, BitGo, Coinomi, Lamassu, Ledger, Suprnova, Trezor and WinZEC. They noted “MORE COMING SOON!” implying there are potential pending partnerships and integrations in the works.

Technical Review – Daily Chart

ZEC/USD daily chart

ZEC/USD bulls are on the hunt for an extended breakout north, as a vital trend line is being tested. A break of the mentioned resistance is seen tracking at $126. If a breach and daily close above, should open to door wide open to some buying pressure. The bulls will be met right away by some supply running from $130-133. As a result, sellers have knocked the price down throughout October, within this territory. Finally, for upside targets, a rally up to $145, would like then come into play. The price last traded here on 28th September.

In terms of support, this is seen all the way back down at $110. A lower supporting trend line can be observed tracking here. This has been active since mid-September. Furthermore, a buying area is noted from $100-95.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 33 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Altcoins

Binance Listing Announcement Triggers 29% Growth For Decred (DCR)

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Yet another coin just felt the beneficial effect of a listing on Binance – the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by adjusted volume.

Following Tuesday’s announcement by the Binance team, Decred will be listed on the exchange starting Wednesday, October 24th.

The previous month has been one in which the power of a listing on a major exchange has made itself obvious. Just two weeks ago Ravencoin (RVN) gained a Binance listing and shot to 351% growth. Meanwhile Basic Attention Token (BAT) gained close to 50% in the last week based on the mere speculation that the Coinbase exchange would be listing it soon.

DCR/USD Surge

As you can see from the chart below, it seems very few people knew about the DCR listing until it was announced by Binance.

The early morning spike hit just as the blog post was tweeted out, and over the next few hours DCR went on to record 29% gains – climbing from a price of $38.79 to $50.35.

The coin’s trade volume increased by a factor of 2,260% as it rose from the $500,000 range up to the current sum of $11.8 million. The majority of those trades have come in the form of the DCR/BTC and DCR/KRW pairs, with Bittrex, Huobi and Upbit housing most of the action.

With the morning’s spike, DCR bypassed weekly and monthly highs, while the quarterly high of $70 is still some distance away.

The project began development in 2015, and the coin remained below the $3 price range for nearly two years, up until it was carried along with the rest of the market in 2017’s surge.

Binance Picks Up Decred

The Binance blog post published on Tuesday morning states:

“Fellow Binancians, Binance will open trading for DCR/BNB and DCR/BTC trading pairs at 2018/10/24 04:00 AM (UTC). Users can now start depositing DCR in preparation for trading.”

The Decred team on Twitter followed this up with a celebratory tweet thanking Binance and its founder CZ for the listing on the exchange:

“Thank you @cz_binance & @binance, we’re honored to have $DCR listed on your exchange!”

Binance’s own informational on Decred emphasizes its use as a transactional currency, and notes that the coin will never experience the issue of having to hardfork, stating:

“Decred is similar to Bitcoin. There will only be 21M coins created, ever. The big difference: Decred uses advanced and innovative technology that solves blockchain governance. No hard forks needed. Exchanges will never have to deal with customer requests for splits. The general public will never have to sift through contentious forks or be fooled by claims of a “better Decred.”

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 82 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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