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Exciting Times

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It’s gonna be a huge day for all markets!!!

Stocks, Currencies, Commodities, Cryptocurrencies, and even Alt-coins have big announcements coming up.

There is a huge conference happening at the moment in Chengdu China. Unfortunately, representatives from our Shanghai office couldn’t make it this time and apparently neither could Vitalik.

Blockchain technology is growing incredibly quickly and even the bureaucratic EU is getting in on it. Just recently, they’ve put together a task force to explore new non-financial applications of the Ethereum network.

Exciting times indeed.

Mati Greenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures, and graphs are valid as of June 14th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

Last week’s election results were a disaster for Theresa May and her Tory party. At this point, they’re 8 seats shy of a government, and the far right Northern Irish DUP is holding 10.

We were expecting some kind of deal yesterday between May and the DUPs but the meeting concluded with DUP leader Arlene Foster leaving out the back door and no announcement.

It’s a tough walnut to crack. Some within the Tory party are saying that this could lead to a breakdown of the Northern Ireland peace treaty.

Arlene says that she’s confident there will be a deal sooner rather than later.

It seems that the markets believe her though and the Pound is up sharply this morning. If you’re trading the Pound. Keep your ears on Sky News. They seem to have the scoop.

 

Fed Day!!

The US federal reserve is due to announce their interest rate decision at 2:00 PM on Wall Street.

Today’s announcement could be a real thriller!

They have been getting pretty aggressive lately. At the moment, we’re off the floor but still pretty low. Here we can see the interest rate in the US since the financial crisis.

At the moment the market is pricing in a 94% chance that there will be a 0.25% increase today. However, many economists are saying that there’s a high probability for them to disappoint.

The jobs numbers are good and unemployment has come down. However, wage growth and inflation are well below what you would expect for Fed aggression to continue.

The biggest market moves usually come when there’s a sudden announcement that changes things, especially interest rates, so watch the Fed. If there’s no change, expect fire works!!

Oh Goldmen

Due to high demand from their clients, Goldman Sachs has finally put out their first technical analysis on Bitcoin.

Guess what… they’re bearish…. but not too bearish.


Here we can see the chart put out by their analysts, Elliot waves and all.

What they may not realize is the fundamentals of this market and certainly, they are not taking into account that we may be on the cusp of the financial revolution.

All in all, I do agree with the possibility of a massive retracement, even just in the short term. Most of the volumes we’re seeing are quite speculative and speculation money has a way of panicking pretty easily.

Of course, in the long term, if we are looking at the tipping point in Japan, the market cap of bitcoin would need to be at least 50 times its current value to support even a fraction of Japanese commerce.

Personally, I’m glad Goldman is acknowledging this asset even if they’re not trading it. I can’t wait to one day see a bitcoin ticker at the bottom of Bloomberg television. Then we’ll be in business.

Have an amazing day ahead!!

This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 152 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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Altcoins

XRP Price Analysis: Explosive Breakout from Pennant Confirmed; SBI Holdings CEO Bullish on XRP

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  • XRP/USD is enjoying three consecutive sessions of gains, having jumped around 17%.
  • SBI Holdings CEO believes XRP market capitalization will be higher than bitcoin’s.

Ripple’s XRP price has been enjoying a decent move to the north over the past few sessions, as life flows back into the bulls. XRP/USD is currently running at a third consecutive session in the green, having gained around 17% within this period. The explosion of buying pressure came after the price managed to escape a bullish pennant pattern.

XRP/USD: Price Recap

XRP/USD had initially been cooling since the big bull run at the back end of 2018. The price rallied on 24th December up to a high of around $0.4670, before quickly losing upside momentum. It was then forced to trade within the confinements of a descending wedge pattern. XRP lost over 30% in value before it was able to break out from the wedge.

On 8th February a chunky push higher from the bulls was observed, resulting in a breach of the upper acting trend line. XRP/USD jumped around 10% on this day but then eased south to retest the trend line for a few sessions. During the cooling period, price action has formed a pennant structure which saw an eventual big breakout to the upside, as described earlier.

SBI Holdings CEO Bullish on XRP

The SBI Holdings CEO, Yoshitaka Kitao, was recently speaking on XRP and said this year is a significant one for the so-called banker’s cryptocurrency. He believes that the market capitalization of XRP is likely to dwarf bitcoin’s at some point in the future. Kitao has firm belief in the future sucess of XRP and can see it being adopted on a global scale. He was quoted saying:

“Because XRP is already beginning to become international, xRapid will be used for fund transfers in 2019. By increasing the so-called XRP’s plastic use, we anticipate that the XRP market capitalization will easily exceed the market capitalization of bitcoin.”

SBI has many joint ventures set up with Ripple across the blockchain industry; it’s therefore not too surprising to see such comments. The organization will also be launching its very own cryptocurrency exchange called VCTRADE, scheduled for March. Deposits and withdrawals for bitcoin, XRP, and Ethereum (ETH) are already available on the platform.

Technical Review – XRP/USD

XRP/USD daily chart.

Given current upside, eyes must now be on the next likely barriers of resistance for the bulls. A supply area noted from $0.3450 up to $0.3600 is the next target; XRP has not traded comfortably above this region since 10th January. A break above this zone should put the bulls in an excellent position to retest the $0.4000 area. On several occasions, this price territory has caused issues for the bulls in their attempts to push further north. In terms of support, this is seen back down at the psychological $0.3000 mark. If that fails to hold, then there is a demand which runs from $0.3000 down to $0.2500.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 124 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Altcoins

Targeted Marketing: How to Sell Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency to the Masses

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According to recent data from data management platform Lotame, advertisers have abandoned their usual broad-stroke marketing efforts in favour of more specific methods.

The ‘parent’ demographic once ranked as the highest possible target an advertiser could aim for – get the parents and you get the entire household. But that’s changed in recent years, and advertisers now aim for ‘advanced demographics’.

Such advanced demographic markers vary wildly, and advertising spending has been re-allocated to reflect newly identified buyer groups.

This has seen advertisers increase their spending by 451% to attract ‘animal lovers’. One advertiser increased its spending 98% to target the hispanic population – the largest racial minority in the U.S. Others boosted their budgets by various amounts in order to snare millennials (32%) and ‘young Gen-X’ (29%)

The Problem with Blockchain and Crypto Marketing?

If advertisers can see the wisdom in laser-targeted marketing, why shouldn’t blockchain marketers take the same route?

In my experience, most current blockchain marketing is stuck on a small scale. The general public is not being marketed to. Instead, PR is mostly directed towards other people already in the space, such as journalists (No, Ms. Xhu, I can’t publish an ad for your new coin).

I went to the discord server of a prominent altcoin recently, and the ‘marketing’ channel was full of coordinated attempts to ride the coat-tails of prominent twitter personalities and their tweets. ‘This tweet’s getting traction…jump on it and promote our coin!’

Marketing efforts are directed at ICO reviewers, YouTube personalities and cryptocurrency news outlets. In other words, marketers are only doing enough to get noticed by people who are already here. Most of this is done with the simple goal of making it successfully out of the ICO stage – like an independent movie producer pulling every dirty trick they can just to get a strong opening.

Can Targeted Marketing Help the Crypto Space?

As things stand, the default sales pitch of Bitcoin and/or cryptocurrency is that it has the potential to bring down the banksters, revolutionize the financial system, and put financial control in the hands of the people.

Maybe I’m not the best salesman, because when I explain it to people they rarely display the kind of enthusiasm described in the field-manual.

My point is not everyone wants to be a revolutionary – or even a libertarian. Rather than market the full terrifying potential of Bitcoin and cryptocurrency to one and all, wouldn’t it be wiser to break it up into chunks and spread it around various advanced demographics?

Advanced Demographics of the Crypto Space?

Well, the animal lovers demo might already be sewn up by Cryptokitties; and it seems like Dentacoin has dentists covered for now.

But what about the demographic difference between the young and old? Rich and poor? Can cryptocurrency serve working class people more than middle class people? We know Bitcoin is adopted by people desperate to avoid taxes, but so too is it used by those who give to charity.

To push the point further, one can imagine immortal enemies Alex Jones and George Soros being equally enthusiastic about cryptocurrency, but for radically different reasons.

I suspect the early battles in the blockchain revolution will be won in the front end of the shop, through careful targeting of the everyday needs of specific individuals. The internet didn’t spread to everyone in equal time – its outreach never exceeded the applicability it held for whatever individual was next in line to use it.

The goal of cryptocurrency marketers must be to find those applications in the real world and magnify them to such an extent that they can’t be ignored.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 146 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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Altcoins

Crypto Markets are Up $16 Billion Since Sunday; What’s Behind the Rally?

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Cryptocurrency prices are flashing green on Tuesday, as bitcoin and the major altcoins extended an early-week rally that was brought on by a sudden surge in trade volumes. The market’s performance over the past two days suggests that the big buyers are absorbing selling pressure following weeks of mostly lateral moves for the majors.

Market Update

The combined value of all coins reached $135.8 billion on Tuesday, the highest since early January, according to CoinMarketCap. The total market capitalization has increased by nearly $16 billion since Sunday.

At the time of writing, the top 30 coins were all reporting gains. Double-digit gainers included EOS (+15.3%), bitcoin cash (+10.6%) and Stellar (+11.6). Each of these top cryptocurrencies were considered severely oversold during the latest bout of selling pressure that extended into February.

EOS is tracking weekly gains of 30% and has moved well north of $3.60. The cryptocurrency had been firmly capped below $3.00 since November amid the wider market downturn and fallout from the ICO bust. EOS currently has a market capitalization of more than $3.3 billion, inching closer to its ICO value of $4 billion.

Oversized gains for EOS pushed Litecoin back down to the no. 5 spot in the crypto market cap index. Litecoin is currently trading below $49.00, having gained 5.3%.

Bitcoin, the market’s primary bellwether, reached an average aggregate price of $4,010.15, according to CoinMarketCap. That represents a gain of 5% over the past 24 hours. The bitcoin price traded as high as $4.083 on Bitfinex. More on this story: Bitcoin Blows Past $4,000 as Volume Surges to 10-Month High.

Volumes Tell a Story

An eye-popping surge in trade volume across all exchanges and cryptocurrencies was the primary catalyst behind the rally. But what’s driving volume, and why was the burst so sudden? A closer look at exchange-based volumes reveals that market activity has been rising steadily since at least October. In fact, data from Flipside Crypto reveals that the volume pump may have originated last summer when long-dormant bitcoin accounts began transferring funds onto exchanges.

Bitcoin’s circulating supply has been rising since last July, with the most dramatic surge occurring over a 30-day stretch between December and January. As Hacked reported at the time, “It’s clear that many of these dormant account holders are preparing to become active traders once again.”

Volumes have been consistently higher throughout the year. Ethereum, the market’s no. 2 cryptocurrency by total capitalization, recently printed its largest-ever volume on Bitfinex. Over a three-week period ending Feb. 15, so-called “smart money” absorbed selling pressure to the tune of 13.627 million ETH. That was equivalent to $1.8 billion at the time. As Hacked analyst Kiril Nikolaev noted, “Whales had to commit such an amount to keep prices from falling further. Even for rich people, this is a huge investment.”

Related: Ethereum Price Analysis: Volume Spike Pushes ETH/USD to Monthly Highs.

Trade volumes across all exchanges and cryptocurrencies topped $36 billion on Tuesday. During long stretches of ‘crypto winter,’ daily trade volumes were in the $10-$12 billion range. Since the new year, daily turnover has averaged more than $15 billion.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 772 rated postsChief Editor to Hacked.com and Contributor to CCN.com, Sam Bourgi has spent the past nine years focused on economics, markets and cryptocurrencies. His work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Avid crypto watchers and those with a libertarian persuasion can follow him on twitter at @hsbourgi




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