Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH/USD is a Sitting Duck Under $100; with Jitters Heading into Constantinople Upgrade

  • ETH/USD is subject to further downside, as the price produces another range-block.
  • There is some nervous anticipation across the community heading into the Constantinople upgrade.

ETH/USD is a sitting duck underneath the big psychological $100 mark. Just like every other cryptocurrency, Ethereum (ETH) remains firmly on the back foot. Over the past five weeks, the price is down a chunky 63%, from the pick up in downside pressure on the 7th November. Despite a minor form of stabilization over this past few days now, ETH is still very much vulnerable. It has been moving within consolidation mode, as seen across the board, a range-block formation can be observed. This behavior suggests that is susceptible to a breakout south.

Constantinople Upgrade Jitters

Following the Ethereum developers confirming the Constantinople upgrade, there has been some concerns. It was last week noted after a developers call that this will take place in mid Jan 2019, as covered via Hacked . Across the community things appear to be somewhat jittery heading into the upgrade. One thing that has raised eyebrows is the reward for miners. This is anticipated to be brought down to 2 ETH from 3 ETH. Given the fact also the plummet in the Ethereum price this year, this in addition does not help things. There is also speculation that, should there be much disagreement, the network could even split, as an extreme case.

Technical Review – ETH/USD

ETH/USD 4-hour chart

Looking via the 4-hour chart view, price action has narrowed over the past four days. This coming after further intensity hit ETH/USD to the downside. As we have seen time and time again, such price behaviors following excessive movements. It tends to be exhaustion from the sellers, allowing time for consolidation of the price, before going in for the kill.

Price action is moving within a range-block, which is subject to another explosive move lower, as it currently appears. The psychological damage of ETH sitting below the big $100 mark does not help sentiment either.  Support to the downside within the current range, should be noted at $84. Near-term resistance is seen at the $100 mark.

ETH/USD weekly chart

As described, the major near-term support is seen at $84. A break to the downside could open the door to another wave of sellers. The weekly chart view looks worrying, as should a breach occur at the mentioned support, the price could plummet. Eyes would next be on the $65 territory; ETH/USD last traded her at the start of May 2017.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Author:
Ken has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.