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Ethereum Could Take Half of Bitcoin’s Market Share in Five Years: Analyst

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Advancements on the Ethereum blockchain could see bitcoin lose half its market share over the next five years, according to technology analyst Ian McLeod.

Bitcoin vs. Ethereum

Despite falling to 16-month lows, the Ethereum blockchain is poised for a strong rebound this year and could eventually challenge bitcoin for market dominance, McLeod said. In a recent interview with MarketWatch, McLeod suggested that ether’s price has already bottomed, which means its value will grow as the utility of its ledger grows.

“Not only do we think it will rebound considerably before the end of 2018, I believe that over the longer time it will significantly dent bitcoin’s dominance. In fact, I think we can expect bitcoin to lose 50 percent of its cryptocurrency market share to Ethereum, its nearest rival, within five years.”

McLeod believes that the utility of smart contracts solves “authenticity and provenance issues,” making Ethereum a more attractive option in the long-term. And while Ethereum is currently bogged down by technical issues, they pale in comparison to bitcoin’s scalability problems, says McLeoad.

“Unless bitcoin does more now to tackle scalability issues, and improves the technology it runs on, we cannot see how it can catch up with Ethereum over the next five years or so, when the crypto market will be even more mainstream.

The Ethereum network is considering several initiatives to improve the system, chief among them being the proposed transition from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake.

Bitcoin’s dominance rate currently sits at 55.4%, according to CoinMarketCap. Bitcoin’s share of the overall market rose above 57% last week, the highest since December. Ethereum’s share of the overall market has fallen from a high of 21% in early February to less than 11% today.

Ether’s Recent Struggles

McLeod’s positive outlook is a welcome sign for Ethereum’s supporters, which have seen the cryptocurrency plummet nearly 90% from peak-to-trough. The decline appears to have culminated last week after prices dipped below $170. Ether’s price peaked above $1,400 earlier this year.

Ethereum is facing what some consider to be an existential crisis as its reservation demand continues to dwindle. As the market for initial coin offerings (ICOs) continues to slow, investors have felt less compelled to hold ether. After all, the Ethereum blockchain is responsible for some 80% or more of token offerings. If this market dries up, so too does the impetus to hold ETH as a reservation currency.

Companies that successfully launched their token sale on Ethereum are now looking to sell their supply of ETH to begin funding operations. The large-scale cash-out over the past month suggests fewer startups plan to utilize Ethereum’s smart contracts anytime soon.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 698 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Majors Testing Lows Following Broad Selloff

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The major cryptocurrencies have been once again under pressure in the past 24 hours and most of the coins got very close to their recent lows, even as the losses are limited for now. While the top coins avoided a breakdown, given the overwhelmingly bearish long-term picture and the steep short-term trend, odds continue to favor new lows in the coming weeks, so traders and investors should still remain defensive.

Dash/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The continued technical weakness in the lagging coins, like Dash, and the lack of a relatively strong leadership is still apparent, and it reinforces the bearish overall picture. That is true even as the long-term momentum indicators are showing deeply oversold readings and investors sentiment remains very negative which could lead to a larger scale correction after a short-term trend change. That said, traders shouldn’t enter new positions here until we see meaningful short-term technical improvements.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin failed to regain momentum despite the weekend bounce and the coin is back near its recent low trading near the $3250 level today. The key $3600 level is out of reach for the most valuable coin, and with that in mind, our trend model remains on clear short- and long-term sell signals.

The current weakness of BTC is a negative sign for the whole segment, and a test of the key long-term $3000 level is more and more likely. Further string resistance is ahead between $4000 and $4050, and traders and investors shouldn’t enter positions here.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum has been trading in a very narrow range in recent days, and the coin is still stuck below the key $95-$100 zone, as it failed to show relative strength despite being among the most oversold majors. ETH also faces strong resistance near $120 and $120, with the next major support zone found between $73 and $75, and traders and investors should still stay away from the coin.

Litecoin Breaking Down Again?

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Litecoin is threatening with another break below support today, with the $23 support level looking very weak now, and the steep short-term downtrend remains clearly intact in the coin. LTC continues to be relatively weak from a short-term standpoint, and traders shouldn’t consider even ultra-short term positions here, despite the deeply oversold broader picture.

The next major support zone is found between $20 and $20.50 and odds favor a test of that zone as soon as in the coming days, with strong resistance found near $26 and $30.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple continues to hover around the $0.30 level, still being very weak on the short-term time-frame, and being on sell singles both short- and long-term in our trend model. XRP faces strong resistance near $0.32, $0.3550, and $0.3750, while primary support is found at $0.28, with the prior bear market low being at $0.26. We expect at least a test of the lows in the coming weeks, despite the still relatively strong long-term technical setup and new low bear market lows are also likely in Ripple.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 416 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Bear Market Lows in Jeopardy After Latest Failed Bounce

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The cryptocurrency segment switched directions yet again, as, after a weak bounce on Wednesday, the major coins are headed back towards their recent bear market lows today. While the losses are not significant, for now, given the bearish long-term picture and the vicinity of the lows, another leg lower in the downtrend could soon begin, despite the deeply oversold long-term momentum readings.

The majors are all in the red amid the broad selloff and only a few of the battered altcoins are showing some relative strength in the face of the apparent selling pressure. The total value of the market is back below $110 billion, and a dip below the $100 billion mark is possible as soon as the coming days, with Bitcoin being among the weakest top coins in the past few days.

Volatility has been steadily decreasing ever since last week’s breakdown, but we expect trading activity to pick up somewhat ahead of the weekend, and traders should remain cautious here given the still broadly negative technicals.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin is trading just above its recent lows despite yesterday’s rally attempt, and the coin is showing relative weakness hinting on an imminent test of the lows. That said, with the long-term momentum readings clearly being oversold, we could still be in for a larger scale bounce in the coming weeks, but traders should wait for signs of short-term strength before entering new positions.

Our trend model remains on sell signals on both time-frames, with strong resistance levels zones ahead near $3600 and between $4000 and $4050, and with key long-term support found near the $3000 level.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum is still stuck below the key $95-$100 zone as yesterday’s bounce faded but the coin is trading above its bear market low, performing in line with Bitcoin and the majority of the segment. ETH is still in short- and long-term downtrends, and our trend model is on sell signals on both time-frames as well, despite eh oversold long-term picture.

Odds still favor a move towards the next key support zone between $73 and $75, and traders and investors shouldn’t enter positions here, with further strong resistance zones ahead near $120 and $130.

Altcoins Drift Lower Across the Board

IOTA/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

We are still not seeing signs of meaningful relative strength even among the smaller altcoins, as although some of the most oversold currencies are, in fact, holding up well above their recent lows. IOTA is still a prime example of the long-term weakness, as it got stuck below the resistance zone surrounding the $0.24 price level despite the recent bounce attempts, while also remaining in a clear broader downtrend. For now, the prior low just above $0.20 is safe, but new lows are still likely in the coming weeks.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple has been trading with very low volatility in the last couple of days, hovering around the $0.30 level. The coin failed to show relative strength amid the bounce attempts, and break below last week’s lows and a test of the bear market low near $0.26 still seems likely, with the sell signals being in place in our trend model on both time-frames.  XRP faces strong resistance near $0.32, $0.3550, and $0.3750, while primary support is found at $0.28

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 416 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Another Rally Attempt in Crypto-Land

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The major cryptocurrencies are all trading slightly higher today, following two bearish days that brought them back to last week lows, and for now, another breakdown has been avoided, despite the overwhelmingly bearish broader picture. The modest bounce left our trend model on sell signals across the board, and odds continue to favor new lows in the coming period, so traders and investors should remain defensive here.

The top coins are trading well below the weekend bounce-highs and without new swing highs, the short-term trend also remains clearly bearish, even considering the deeply oversold long-term momentum readings and the abysmal sentiment. So while a larger scale bounce remains possible in the coming weeks, perhaps following a failed breakdown pattern, bulls should still be patient until we sell clear technical improvements in the segment.

With that in mind, traders and investors shouldn’t enter positions even in the slightly stronger coins, and odds still favor the continuation of the bear market, with new lows likely in the coming days. That said, a successful test or a failed breakdown could trigger a larger scale correction, with the broader picture still being deeply oversold and with investor sentiment still being very negative. For now, there is no sign of an imminent rally, with all eyes on the $3000 in Bitcoin.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin rallied as high as $3450 today, but it failed to get close to the $3600 resistance and the weekend high, so the short-term downtrend remains intact despite the bounce. For now, our trend model is still on sell signals on both time-frames, and traders should stay away from entering new positions here, with the long-term picture also being clearly bearish.  Further resistance is ahead in the $4000-$4050 zone, while key long-term support is found near the $3000 price level.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum is stuck below the key $95-$100 zone even following today’s bounce, keeping the coin on a short-term sell signal in our trend model. Odds still favor a move towards the next major support zone between $73 and $75, and only a quick recovery above the primary resistance zone could change the short-term trend.

The steep long-term downtrend is clearly intact in the coin, and traders and investors should still not enter new positions here, with further strong resistance zones ahead near $120 and $130.

Altcoins Avoid Breakdown but Strong Resistance Zones Lie Ahead

Dash/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Despite yesterday’s weakness, last week’s lows held up even in the relatively weaker majors, and although that’s an early sign of stability, it’s not enough to warrant upgrades in our trend model. With still no bullish leadership present in the segment the continued technical weakness in the lagging coins, such as Dash reinforces our bearish long-term view.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple only experienced a weak bounce, and although it continues to trade near the $0.30 level, the coin is still among the relatively weak coins from a short-term perspective and the renewed long-term sell signal is also in place.

We still expect a move towards the prior bear market low near $0.26, with a weaker support level found above that near $0.28, and traders and investors shouldn’t enter positions here, with resistance levels above $0.30 ahead at $0.32, $0.3550, and $0.3750.

Litecoin/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While Litecoin managed to hold up above its recent swing low and the $23 support level, it remains in steep short- and long-term downtrends, and we would need to see significant technical strength for even a short-term trend change.

Our trend model is on sell signals on both time-frames, and below $23, the next major support zone is found between $20 and $20.50 with strong resistance ahead near $26 and between $30 and $30.50.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 416 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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