Articles Ethereum and Bitcoin Weekly Price Analysis Published 2 years ago on March 12, 2017 By Jim Fredrickson Ethereum Ethereum continues to exceed expectations. As these words are being written, Ethereum’s daily chart is sitting at the All Time High set last June. It seems highly likely to break that ATH soon. Having said that, it should come as no surprise when/if at some point shortly thereafter it comes back down to test support at that point. But assuming that support holds, this trade will likely get rather fun. Regular readers will know I have been suggesting to readers for the past week or two that ETH is the trade to watch (see here and here) , and that has certainly been proven to be the case so far. I realize that many traders do not accept the possibility that geometry and other esoterica can be useful as a trading system. But regardless, it is still interesting to look at today’s markets through the lens of the work of some of the greats of the past. I typically use the Gann square (as developed by Eduardo Altmann) to model support and resistance. But in today’s column I will use a variety of other geometric tools to look at where price might go. This Fibonacci Vortex (developed by Erik Beann) correctly forecasted the resistance at $13.5, and again more recently at $20. As you can see, price has broken through the resistance pretty hard. Barring an unexpected reversal later in the day with a close back below resistance, the next resistance shown on this setup is quite a bit higher. A long-term Andrew’s Pitchfork correctly forecasted several recent support and resistance points in the current rally, as marked by the red arrows. What is more interesting is that the area highlighted in yellow marks forecasted support from the recent swing low. This point was clearly identified as a buying area. But it is the green highlighted area that is the most interesting, in my opinion. The “0 line” which caused so much problems (as expected) has yielded to buying pressure. This is not trivial. Indeed it is a buying signal on the daily chart. A rather successful trader of yesteryear by the name of George Bayer made his fortune with the use of ellipses. My (rather rudimentary) understanding of his work is reflected in the picture above. In this case, the ellipse shown above shows many places, highlighted with arrows, where significant S/R was forecasted by the ellipse. Whether it will continue to do so remains to be seen of course. However, it is worth noting that the top of the ellipse is $35, which happens to be in the same ballpark as the possible target area we identified in a recent column. Suffice to say, we have seen more than enough to recognize that ETH is a market to watch and trade at this time. Bitcoin Bitcoin has seen some wild fluctuations in the past couple weeks. No doubt this was due in part to the anticipated launch (and then rejection of) a Bitcoin ETF. I for one am very happy to hear that the ETF was rejected. In my opinion the existence of such a publically traded entity might have given the FED a narrow window through which they could exercise a degree of regulation over the cryptocurrency space, and that would have been a terrible development. (See here for more on that topic.) In addition, wall street would have used such an ETF as a vehicle through which they would have been able to use fiat currency to (naked) short sell Bitcoin. As the powers-that-be have the ability to create fiat out of thin air, they would for the first time be able to have a cost-free means to disrupt the cryptocurrency space. Of course, malevolent actors such as those found on wall street routinely disrupt the crypto markets already; but they can not do so without cost, as they must either mine, or buy the coins first. It can be argued that they can already buy the coins without cost , since they create fiat out of thin air. That is arguably true, but the problem for them is when they buy the coins in bulk, they drive the remaining coins value ever higher. This inadvertently destroys the illusion that the coins are not a good investment. A classic catch-22. Regardless, I am happy that the ETF failed, though I’m sure opinions differ on this point. Utilizing the Fibonacci Vortex again, we can see that the huge selloff in bitcoin few days back came exactly at forecasted resistance. The red arrows all mark where significant S/R was forecasted in the past, and the big blue arrow at the top shows where the selloff hit the vortex a few days ago. I’m sure there are many traders who bought the top who wished they had seen this picture LAST week… This picture is decidedly bearish. Before seeing this picture I was inclined to think we are looking at a good short-term buying opportunity at present levels. Now I am not so sure. I think I will pass on this trade and stay focused on ETH. Remember: The author is a trader who is subject to all manner of error in judgement. Do your own research, and be prepared to take full responsibility for your own trades. Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink. Rate this post: Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way. (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)You need to be a registered member to rate this. Loading... Jim Fredrickson 5 stars on average, based on 2 rated postsJim has an MBA from the University of Southern California. He has had a long career in both Corporate Finance and IT. Along the way he discovered that trading was a vehicle with great promise, but struggled for a long time without a mentor. After having been knocked down many times and having struggled to get back up, he had an epiphany and realized that geometry was a solution. He shares his experience here. If you do well as a result of suggestions made here, feel free to say thank you :) BTC: 1FUq3GB1Q8zz2JpuBr7YHzVBKnaWoxgmya Follow him on Twitter (@jimfred1276) or email him at jimfred1276 at gmail. Follow @HackedCom Feedback or Requests? Related Topics:Bitcoinbitcoin priceethereumethereum price Up Next Researcher Sees Major Gains Ahead For Bitcoin, Silver And Gold Don't Miss Acquiring Bitcoin: Profiting in a Flash Crash You may like Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH/USD Coming Towards the End of Triangular Pattern, Breakout is Around the Corner Trade Recommendation: NEO/Ethereum Market Update: U.S. Stocks Take the Plunge as China Selloff Intensifies; Crypto Institutional Lending on the Rise Breakout Imminent Ether Price Eyes Potential Upside as Foundation Awards $3 Million in Grants Trade Recommendation: Dogecoin 2 Comments 2 Comments tadej March 13, 2017 at 9:21 am Hi Jim, Can we expect some significant pull back in price of BTC ? What is the bottom resistance on this graph? Friday was not a good day for me and I need to start to make better decision on my trades. btw I love your analysis! Log in to Reply Jim Fredrickson March 14, 2017 at 12:14 am I have been so wrapped up in ETH the past few days that BTC has been on a back-burner for my attention. I suspect that this is the case for a great many traders. I am VERY bullish longer-term BTC, but for the next day or two I personally would not put leverage in that market. I harbor a suspicion that it is not going anywhere until the ETH market peaks, and that is still a day or two away, I believe. Good luck…. Log in to Reply You must be logged in to post a comment Login Leave a Reply Cancel replyYou must be logged in to post a comment. Altcoins “The Core of Any Blockchain Project is Decentralization” – Jack Zhang, Lightning Bitcoin Published 4 days ago on October 15, 2018 By Daniel Mitchell Lightning Bitcoin is a fork of the ‘first-crypto-currency’ Bitcoin about which we decided to take the opportunity recently to speak to advisor Jack Zhang (AKA DianfuDatou / 点付大头 – known best as a Founder of Chainfunder and DAF). Discussion topics include: what makes this project unique, as well as how you shouldn’t get it confused is not to be confused with the Lightning Network upgrade which is being applied to the original ‘Bitcoin’. Who is Jack Zhang Jack Zhang (AKA DianfuDatou / 点付大头) is a Chinese investor, business leader, and entrepreneur whose “portfolio includes XRP, XEM, IOTA, NEO, EOS, TEZOS, VEN”. Zhang proudly describes himself as “one of the leading advocators of Ripple in China” having “translated Ripple into Chinese as ‘ruibobi’” – as well as the co-founder of NEO. Please note that most sources ascribe this latter achievement regarding NEO to an ‘Erik Zhang’ and so this claim requires further confirmation – however this writer sees no reason for him to lie in this respect. He claims that his first experience with cryptocurrency was in 2011, when he entered the industry himself having previously worked as an investment banker at companies such as Zhejiang investment bank. “I bought more than 10 thousand bitcoins at the price of 5 dollars and sold all of them out at the price of 7 dollars. At that time, I remember how I was reading posts on Bitcointalk about blockchain for several months and got fascinated by the genius design of the technology.” Zhang says that the Lightning Bitcoin team members “come from a diverse cultural background, including China, the United States, Canada, the UK, Russia, Germany, and India.” And that: “Currently Lightning Bitcoin has four core developers (listed on the website) with a team of 6 specialists. Eason Zhao is a CTO and H.H.Wang is a leading developer. “Lightning Bitcoin also has an operational team of 8 outstanding and hardworking people managed by Wasley together with a community manager James Vuitton… We have independent leaders for each directions of the business;” What is Lightning Bitcoin? According to Zhang, Lightning Bitcoin is “a coin that takes the best from existing blockchain titans and adds advanced consensus mechanism.” “Lightning Bitcoin forked from Bitcoin blockchain at block height 499,999… Lightning Bitcoin (LBTC) is a fully decentralized Internet-of-value protocol for global payments. “The specific applications include peer-to-peer transactions and exchange platforms. Any users that operate on the LBTC protocol can enjoy instant, secure and nearly free global financial transactions of any size.” Lightning Bitcoin is far from the first (nor will it be the last) fork from Bitcoin. A number of observers have claimed that the correlation between new forks and over inflation of Bitcoin. Jack Zhang however sees it as follows… “Back in 2017, Bitcoin blockchain started to face network congestions, and a lot of other problems, that is one of the reasons why there were so many hard forks popping up. However, all of them changed either size or difficulty adjustment, what in my opinion did not improve the situation. That is a consensus that makes the difference. Pow and PoS are easily centralized, while DPoS represents true decentralization. Moreover, DPoS has the benefit of high efficiency, with little resource consumption.” This mechanism utilises the relatively young Distributed Proof of Stake (DPoS) protocol which this writer has written about in a recent article, despite its basis upon the Proof of Work (PoW)-based ‘Bitcoin’. Zhang states that Distributed Proof of Stake “allows separation of the voting power and block production, with no risks of a hard fork.” In fact, the aftermath of the announcement of DPoS adoption coincided with the company taking on another of its advisors “Stan Larimer a founding partner of Bitshares… we found mutual interests, as a result Stan joined Lightning Bitcoin advisory board.” “Lightning Bitcoin uses DPoS, with the forging interval of 3 seconds, and the block size of 2M. We have achieved the TPS of thousands of transactions. “Anyone can use LBTC, without censorship. The transaction fees are charged only for preventing network security issues, like DDoS attacks. It is not an off-chain solution on top of the Bitcoin blockchain as Lightning Network. I personally believe that Lightning Network will face the problem of centralization eventually.” Furthermore, “Lightning Bitcoin’s on-chain governance system enables LBTC holders to vote for the blockchain improvement proposals and the delegates who maintain the network as Lightning Nodes. It solves the problems of centralization of bitcoin by incorporating all participants in the Lightning Bitcoin ecosystem into the decision-making process.” Lightning Bitcoin vs Lightning Network Due to the similarities in naming, it seems natural that there may be a little confusion on behalf of the public and crypto-investment community with regards to the differences between ‘Lightning Bitcoin’ and ‘Lightning Network’. “There is some confusion, you are correct. When Lightning Bitcoin forked in December 2017, for Lightning Network it was still unclear when it is going to be launched, since it was still at the internal testing stage; only after four months later, in March 2018 when Lightning Network released its beta, both projects started to be confused by users in some countries.” This, according to Zhang, is actually a problem more specific / limited to region, “In other countries, like China, lightning network is not that well-known, as well as it has different Chinese name, that gives us more room for the development in Asia.” Present and Future of LBTC “Currently, Lightning Bitcoin network is stable, we constantly improving its functions and adding more products. “The next big step for LBTC that we are working on right now is the development of on-chain governance, that will allow the network to self-improve and self-upgrade. “In the future, stable upgrades of Lightning Bitcoin network in combination with chain governance, and decentralized transactions will allow cross-chain flashovers and smart contracts… the exploration of the on-chain governance model will become one of the most important tasks in the current stage of LBTC.” Zhang continues to discuss the future for the coin in-detail as well, including that: “In short, after complete integration of on-chain governance, next milestone is the development of new decentralized exchange. It will be an important component of the LBTC payment function. “This exchange will have both basic functionality such as flashovers function of the gateway, as well as a system to guarantee the ease of cross-chain operations. Additionally, it will have the function of early crowdfunding of project under the necessary supervision.” Finally, “After implementing and perfecting the decentralized exchange, the development of intelligent contracts based on the UTXO model will be carried out, and a high-concurrence-based public chain ecosystem will be established to guide the flow of DAPP traffic.” Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink. Rate this post: Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way. (3 votes, average: 3.67 out of 5)You need to be a registered member to rate this. Loading... Daniel Mitchell 4.5 stars on average, based on 12 rated posts Follow @HackedCom Feedback or Requests? Continue Reading Altcoins Encrypgen Offers A Low Risk, High Reward Opportunity Published 3 weeks ago on October 2, 2018 By Chris Matthews Since the start of the year, crypto valuations have been collapsing faster than Kevin Spacey’s career. For investors who entered the market a few years ago, it’s been painful but not deadly. For those who entered the market at or near the highs, this bear market may have turned them off of crypto for a very long time. However, one bright side of the current market is that some incredible values exist. And one day these compelling values are going to make today’s investors boatloads of money. While I’m keeping my eyes on several tokens, perhaps the most exciting crypto company is Encrypgen (DNA). Investors love to claim that projects they are following or investing in are the most likely to succeed. But despite the bear market, many coin price collapses have been the fault of the companies themselves. Many companies have missed their own deadlines and/or adjusted the roadmaps to something less ambitious. Encrypgen has done just the opposite. They are meeting their deadlines and are on the verge of releasing a revolutionary platform in the field of blockchain genomics. It’s well known that small cap healthcare/biotech stocks have the potential of generating the highest returns in the equity markets. Of course, those high returns come with astronomical risk. So what if I told you that Encrypgen could generate those kind of returns with only a fraction of the risk that typically comes with start-up science companies? Well, I fully expect Encrypgen to do just that. I mentioned the risk is only a fraction typically associated with these types of companies because at some point in the 4th quarter (probably much sooner rather than later), Encrypgen will release the full working version of the Gene-Chain. The beta version is already live. The Gene-Chain will allow researchers and scientists to purchase data directly from consumers using Encrypgen’s token, DNA. In addition, a buy-now feature will be implemented in the platform. This is expected imminently. This game-changing functionality will allow researchers to convert FIAT to DNA tokens directly on the Gene-Chain. Researchers will receive DNA tokens and Encrypgen will receive funds that will be converted to BTC so that the company can continue to operate, expand, and enhance their product offerings. Anther reason why I consider the risk to be much lower than usual is that the company has already done a tremendous job of navigating the complicated regulatory hurdles. Because of the sensitive nature of the information being uploaded to the Gene-Chain (consumer genetic data), it certainly is necessary for regulation to exist. Nevertheless, Encrypgen has already dealt with that while other competitors, such as Nebula Genomics, Shivom and LunaDNA, are significantly behind. I always prefer to invest my hard earned money in market leaders rather than followers. And there is no question that Encrypgen is the current leader in this space. Investors should also take note that Encrypgen currently has an ICO cap of approximately $3.1 million. Based on some of the other valuations I’ve seen in the crypto space, that is a significant undervaluation. A $3.1 million valuation for a market leader in one of the fastest growing spaces that is about to release game changing technology doesn’t make much sense to me. I am expecting a sharp and rapid increase once the Gene-Chain is being used by researchers. The opportunity to accumulate at these prices won’t exist for much longer. Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink. Rate this post: Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way. (1 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)You need to be a registered member to rate this. Loading... Chris Matthews 5 stars on average, based on 1 rated posts Follow @HackedCom Feedback or Requests? Continue Reading Articles Trans-Fee Mining: Investigating FCOIN and The Future Published 2 months ago on August 25, 2018 By Daniel Mitchell ‘Trans-fee mining’ is a concept utilised by a growing number of projects and exchanges which has not received much in the way of critical attention recently from either mainstream financial or specialist cryptocurrency publications. The Fall of F-Coin? Thanks to a company called FCOIN, most of the news which has appeared has been negative. Statistical information regarding the exchange can be found at popular aggregate ranking website CoinMarketCap. Despite positive coverage earlier this year from the likes of Forbes’ Andrew Rossow, David Hundeyin of our sister site CCN.com wrote more recently that the exchange had been “Accused of Crippling Ethereum Network for Cheap Publicity” with a supposed aim of gaining publicity. These pundits are joined by community members such as Reddit poster u/ltcisking (along with a large amount of other concurring, Google-topping results), who recently wrote a post aimed at proving such allegations, entitled ‘One of the biggest scams to ever hit Crypto’. Twitter has also seen its fair share of investor complaints as well, including the following… Fuck off fcoin … I have 10000 PKG in my balance which is received in Airdrop and not it's disappeared … It's a scam exchange — Vijendra Singh (@vtanwar001) August 23, 2018 Do something about $FT…@fcoin_asia @FCoinOfficial … there still is a community…But not for long at this pace….take care of the $FT holders… — Kryptodan 2.0 (@dfloor4) August 21, 2018 As well as the replies to this post, Sure, there were hiccups. But now FCoin is growing. And here is the fourth batch of FCoin-certified organization Alliance! These top VC companies are now part of FCoin: https://t.co/ZlqnFkMyoo #FCoin pic.twitter.com/PJNcflpqEM — FCoin Asia (@fcoin_asia) August 19, 2018 What is Trans-Fee Mining? Due to the unusual circumstances in which the ‘trans-fee mining’ sits (being supported by a number of independent projects despite the reputation of FCOIN): it is a difficult methodology to describe. It builds upon the concept of the ‘exchange token’: which is most often associated with coins such as BNB (Binance Coin), which can be used for staking towards a particular crypto in the exchanges ‘community coin of the month’ program. The original FCOIN implementation appeared to build upon this vision at first. The token’s value is derived from the fact that it has a stable value, and that it can be used on-platform (like BNB) as a means of purchasing other tokens whilst offering regular returns on investment for long-term holders of the token. What is FCOIN Doing Now? FCOIN has issued various statements which appear to support the sentiment behind the claims which they have faced. These include a recent August 14th post, with the telling title ‘FCoin community referendum end and recent plan publicity’. Highlights of the piece include new objectives such as “1.Complete and publicize the destruction of the remaining unissued FT. “2. Complete the delivery of all FT warrants and withdraw the FT warrants from the market… “4. As of the end of the referendum, the previous trans-fee refund will remain unchanged (based on the price of the FT related trading pairs before the suspension), and then, all the trans-fee refund will be stopped (including all return plans based on FT issuance). “5. We plan to establish an FCoin mechanism and an announcement cleanup team. The team untied and improved the current FCoin mechanisms and standardized the release of various mechanisms in the future, and made a unified interpretation.” At best, this may be an admission of fault, and at worst: an ambiguous and uninformative piece of messaging which fails to outline the situation with a strong brand or executive voice. This comes in addition to a couple of announcements regarding ‘compensation planning’ with regards to investors who had “participated” in the fundraising of the ‘GU’ and ‘QOS’ tokens through their service. The latter included the assurance that this process “compensation plan is an initiative taken by the platform to protect the interests of community user” concluded with the damning statement that: “The FCoin platform has informed the QOS project parties and urged them to conduct self-examination of market price fluctuations and recent media reports as soon as possible. It is not excluded to take delisting and other related measures. The specific plan will be subject to the subsequent announcement. During this period, QOS will be temporarily suspended.” Torch-bearers of Trans-Fee Mining? Various claims of discrepancy against FCOIN’s actions as a company however, have not discouraged many projects which are attempting to build their own version of trans-fee mining. Whether or not they have been inspired by the short-lived success of FCOIN’s implementation is yet to be confirmed! One of the most recent organisations which has decided to foray into this difficult and all-but-controversial territory is BitMart, an exchange founded by current CEO Sheldon Xia. Their approach is branded ‘Mission X’, and utilises their proprietary ‘BMX’ token. “All transaction fees from the BMX market will go directly to the users who supported the project. In addition, successful projects will enter BitMart’s main trading markets. “This program gives users the ability to decide which projects they want to be listed on the exchange, creating a self-regulated market.” The platform piqued this writer’s attention upon noticing a disparity between public consensus and professional news coverage. Whilst the latter has published next to nothing with regards to the platform, a quick search of social media and communities such as forums seem to illustrate a positive and transparent image. CoinEx was recently reported to have achieved unprecedented growth following the release of their token – however, like FCOIN have been called out for discrepancies. This time regarding the faking of volume metrics. Final Thoughts It appears that trans-fee mining as a concept is a long-way from earning this writer’s confidence, however it must be noted that there are many promising aspects. Time will tell whether talent will shine through or if trans-fee mining will fade out at the hands of opportunists. What is important to note is that it is not the technology or idea, but the hands that are operating the machine incorporating it. This writer cannot directly recommend the concept in its current state, but believes that the original idea is solid and if implemented in a viable way: would thoroughly warrant the full attention of any potential investor. Until then, watch the community and keep an eye on the media – as well as word-of-mouth as this flawed-yet-promising idea is if nothing else, highly interesting! Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink. Rate this post: Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way. (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)You need to be a registered member to rate this. Loading... Daniel Mitchell 4.5 stars on average, based on 12 rated posts Follow @HackedCom Feedback or Requests? Continue Reading Recent CommentsKen Chigbo on Monero Price Analysis: XMR/USD is Stable and Gunning for Potential Gains on “Bulletproofs” Technology Update DayAceBreakz on Monero Price Analysis: XMR/USD is Stable and Gunning for Potential Gains on “Bulletproofs” Technology Update DayChris G on Crypto Update: Altcoin Market Cap on the Verge of Trend Reversaldavidstewartkim on “The Core of Any Blockchain Project is Decentralization” – Jack Zhang, Lightning BitcoinDaniel Won on ICO Analysis: Dusk Network Tron (TRX) Progressing Faster Than Anyone Predicte... Breakout Imminent Trade Recommendation: Stellar Ripple Price Analysis: XRP/USD Subject to Pullback... Crypto Update: Coins Extend Losses as Bulls Fail t... Market Update: U.S. Stocks Take the Plunge as Chin... 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