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The Dollar Beat Down Party

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Hi Everybody,

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Earlier this week, we commented on a controversial situation that is currently playing out in Poland. Indeed, since eToro has opened our platform in Polish this has become a region of interest. Thanks to several comments on hacked.com, I have been enticed to revisit the matter.

Today, the Economist reports that the European Commission is planning to pursue legal action against Poland, seemingly regardless of the fact that the bills in question were never passed.

Indeed, the issue is a bit more complicated than the EC, the USA, and the Economist makes it seem. In fact, the overhaul of the Polish Judicial System actually represents a very positive step towards cleaning out a system that has been quite corrupt for far too long.

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Is this the correct way to do it?

Well, we’ll need to let the Polish people decide that. From my part, I’m very glad to see the people excited about cleaning up the system and hope that they end up providing a good example for all of Eastern Europe.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

Draghi Yellen or Trump

Breakouts in Euro and Pound

Cryptos Affected?

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of July 27th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

Poor Super Mario. The President of the European Central Bank just can’t seem to catch a break. The more he tries to cool down the Euro the more it zooms for the sky.

Many thanks to Aleksandra for her clever comments on Central Bank actions lately and for the steady returns in her account so far. At this point, I’m not sure which is more enjoyable. 🙂

However, even though @RainbirdFx is short on the EURUSD along with 74% of other eTorians who are currently trading the pair, I just wanted to point out that we’ve just seen a breakout.

Thanks to Draghi and Yellen, and probably President Trump, the Euro is now at the highest level against the buck since January 11th, 2015.

Though the Euro may be the most notable it’s not the only one gaining. Even the British Pound is joining in the Dollar Beat Down Party with a breakout of its very own.

Now that the psychological resistance of 1.30 (yellow line) is well behind us, we’re able to see a nice solid rising support line (green) for the first time since the referendum.

Cryptos Affected?

Just like almost every other asset on the planet, cryptocurrencies are frequently priced in Dollars.

For the moment, the Crypto industry stands at a value of about $90 Billion.

The question is, how much of this recovery, from July 16th (reds circle in the charts above and below) until today, was due to the Dollar falling?

I want to take this opportunity to express my extreme gratitude to all clients, colleagues, and people of the Internet who have been providing constructive and positive feedback on these daily updates as well as the videos we’ve been doing lately. Your participation is not only appreciated, it is essential.

Have a spectacular day ahead!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.

The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Featured image from Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Litecoin and Bitcoin Hit New Rally Highs

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Another day, another round of bullish developments in the cryptocurrency segment, even in the face of a risk-off shift in traditional markets. Following the lead of Ethereum Classic, just like in the previous leg higher, Litecoin also pushed to new rally highs today in early trading following the LCC hard fork.

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BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

This time around, Bitcoin also joined the two undoubted leaders of the market, despite the still slightly overbought short-term momentum readings, while the also relatively strong Monero is still in its short-term correction. Boosted by positive news out of South Korea, the major coins reached the $515 billion mark in market capitalization, although several currencies, most notably Ethereum and Ripple are still underperforming.

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LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

We expect trading activity to pick up today, as US markets return to action, and that could cause more volatile moves than in the last few days. As correlations between the majors continue to decline, the individual charts are more and more important, and we expect rotation to continue between the coins.

Ethereum Classic Hits another Target, Up 200% off the Low

ETC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

ETC broke-out of its short-term correction yesterday, staying ahead of the rest of the market in this cycle, and it rallied up to the next major resistance zone near $43, with only the all-time high remaining ahead as an obstacle before a new record high.

As we noted yesterday, the coin now is now not in the optimal long-term buy range, and it got downgraded to neutral in our trend model as well after turning bullish on the 2nd of February. That said, further gains are likely, and traders should still play the trend, but long-term investors could already cash in on some of the gains.

Apart from ETH and XRP, Bitcoin Cash, Cardano, IOTA, and EOS are also lagging the leaders today, while NEO also failed to substantially move above its short-term correction, despite yesterday’s strength.

Given the positive signs, we expect the rally to continue in the segment, even if several altcoins continue the current correction in the coming days.

Stay tuned for our detailed technical analysis later on today.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 99 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

Litecoin Touches New Five-Week High in Wake of Hard Fork

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litecoin

Litecoin hit fresh five-week highs Tuesday, as the coin continued to generate momentum in the wake of a hard fork that produce Litecoin Cash (LCC). Although holders of the original Litecoin were credited with the new token, project founder Charlie Lee has warned investors that LCC has nothing to do with the original cryptocurrency.

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LTC/USD Price Levels

Litecoin jumped around 9% to a session high of $244.11, putting it on track for its best close since Jan. 15. At press time, the LTC/USD exchange rate was valued at $240 for a gain of 8%. The currency has added more than 53% over the past five days, but is still trailing its year-to-date high by about 25%.

With recent gains, Litecoin has moved back into fifth place on the active list of cryptocurrencies with a market cap of $13.5 billion. The coin was previously overtaken by Cardano, a lesser known altcoin that has seen huge gains this year.

The latest rally has also been accompanied by an upsurge in trade volumes involving LTC. More than $1.1 billion worth of Litecoin trades were placed over the past 24 hours, according to data provider CoinMarketCap.

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Hard Fork Produces Litecoin Cash

Litecoin Cash came into existence on Sunday following a hard fork of the original LTC protocol at block 1,371,111. The official split occurred around 11:00 p.m. GMT. Investors who held the original Litecoin at the time of the hard fork received the new LCC at a ratio of 10:1.

The hard fork introduces bitcoin’s SHA-256 algorithm into the blockchain. The original uses Scrypt to verify transactions.

Earlier this month, Litecoin founder and chief visionary Charlie Lee warned investors that the planned hard fork was not affiliated with his company. In a Feb. 4 tweet, Lee issued the following statement from his @SatoshiLite handle:

“PSA: The Litecoin team and I are not forking Litecoin. Any forks that you hear about is a scam trying to confuse you to think it’s related to Litecoin. Don’t fall for it and definitely don’t enter your private keys or seed into their website or client. Be careful out there!”

A hard fork is generated when the original cryptocurrency splits into two, usually as a result of changes to the original blockchain’s code. Bitcoin went through two hard forks last year that produced bitcoin cash (BCH) and bitcoin gold (BTG).

As for the newly created Litecoin Cash, prices surged more than 400% following the Sunday fork. At the time of writing, LCC was valued at $7.63 for a gain of 150%. The coin peaked at $9.25.

Though largely influenced by the LCC fork, Litecoin’s recent bullish streak has also benefited from the planned launch of LitePay, a new payment processor that will help e-commerce businesses accept cryptocurrency payments. LitePay is scheduled to go live Feb. 26.

Litecoin’s popularity is also growing on the dark web and among those who are more concerned with privacy. A recent study published by Recorded Future found Litecoin to be the second-most popular cryptocurrency among criminals, behind bitcoin.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 152 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Tests Weekend High as Consolidation Continues

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The major cryptocurrencies entered a shallow correction during the weekend, and most of the coins are still trading below their prior rally highs, with only Ethereum Classic registering new highs. BTC is also very close to its Saturday high, as it is still leading the market higher, outperforming both Ethereum and Ripple.

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Bitcoin is still slightly overbought form a short-term perspective and the correction could still continue in the coming days, with key support zones found near $10,000 and between the $9000 and $9200 levels. That said, the price action in the most valuable coin and the broader segment is still in line with the bullish scenario, and we expect the trend to continue after the correction. Above the $11,300 level further resistance is ahead at $13,000 and $14,250.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Among the other relatively strong coins, Litecoin and Monero are also holding up well, while NEO is also showing short-term strength, diverging slightly from Ethereum which it has been correlating with in recent weeks.

Monero is also trading close to the weekend highs, as is working its way through the overbought short-term momentum readings. The coin is well above the previously dominant trendline, in clear short-term uptrend. Traders and investors could be looking for entry points during the correction, with strong support at $300, $280, and $240.

XMR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 99 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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