Connect with us

Market Overview

Daily Analysis: Pound Skyrockets as Theresa May Calls For UK Election

Published

on

Tuesday Market Recap

Asset Current Value Daily Change
S&P 500 2341 -0.15%
DAX 12043 -0.54%
WTI Crude Oil 52.80 -0.27%
GOLD 1283.50 0.22%
Bitcoin 1210 2.71%
EUR/USD 1.0690 0.44%

 

Global stocks are slightly lower today following the long Easter weekend, as political news have been dominating headlines. The North Korean tensions continue to build, while the controversies regarding the Turkish referendum and today’s announcement by PM added more uncertainty to the mix. Turkish assets are still slightly higher than their pre-election levels, as investors fear that the current situation is far from stable. European stocks continue to underperform their US peers in the short-run, while the Japanese Nikkei is still the weakest major benchmark, as the Yen remains strong.

The Pound rocked the forex market today with a powerful bullish move after the shocking May statement. All European currencies are trading higher following the news, but the shines the most, being almost 1.5% higher than the USD and close to 1% higher than the Euro. The currency already found relative strength before this week, but the snap election gave another boost to the Pound. Gold got close to the $1300 level yesterday amid the political fears, but the Shiny Metal entered a correction following a bounce in stocks, with crude oil also drifting lower after a blowout week.

GBP/USD 1-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum is still among the most promising cryptocurrencies today, as it continues to flirt with the $53 resistance, probably preparing for a major move higher. Bitcoin also seems to give another try to the $1215 resistance after getting close to $1150 over the long weekend. A break-out above last week’s highs could quickly lead to an assault on the $1300 level. Dash also built up some relative strength last week after its deep correction, and it’s now back near the $75-$78 resistance zone. Litecoin is still below its prior high as, continuing its sideways consolidation, similarly to Monero.

Ethereum 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Technical Picture

S&P 500, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The S&P 500 continues to trade in the broad consolidation pattern that started in early March, with the 2350 level still being in focus. The low volume breakdown on Friday was followed by a bounce yesterday, as the lows from March are still holding firmly. Bears are slightly running out of time here, as the declining trendline is approaching a current price. If the bearish momentum fades, we could see a rally towards the prior all-time highs as early as next week.

Key Economic Releases on Tuesday

Time, CET Country Release Actual Expected Previous
14:30 US Building Permits 1.26 million 1.25 million 1.22 million
14:30 US Housing Starts 1.22 million 1.25 million 1.30 million
15:15 US Industrial Production 0.50% 0.50% 0.0%

 

Key Economic Releases on Wednesday

Time, CET Country Release Expected Previous
11:00 EUROZONE Final CPI 1.50% 1.50%
16:30 US Crude Oil Inventories -2.2 million
Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 380 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




Feedback or Requests?

4 Comments

4 Comments

  1. Ershad

    April 18, 2017 at 5:27 pm

    Hi mate,

    What price should we wait for before entering the ethereum market? And what price should we sell at?

    Kind regards

  2. Mate Cser

    April 18, 2017 at 6:04 pm

    Hi Ershad,

    The long-term trend in Ethereum looks safe above the $38 support if you are holding a core position. Short-term it’s still a range market with a potential break-out above $53. Buying a break-out and easing up around $60 is a plausible strategy. As always, be careful with position sizing, altcoins can have violent corrections, make sure that a 10-15% stop-loss might be required to keep you in the “game”.

  3. miguelangmoli

    April 19, 2017 at 4:48 am

    Hi mate, could you please advise on Ripple? Looks like the 666 crypto is trying to deceive us on a downward direction prior to go upwards 4000 in a short-time period. It happens always like this. I think with this one, you can’t really use any prediction apart from Fibonnaci.

    • Mate Cser

      April 19, 2017 at 3:56 pm

      Hi Miguel,

      Ripple is tricky currently, and you ae right with the recent volumes, manipulation is a clear risk. A brief spike down below $0.03 (3000) would be a good point of entry, but things can get wild. The market followed Fibonacci levels very nicely, so I would pay attention to the 0.025 (2500) level, the 78.6% retracement of the break-out. I wouldn’t trade into this sideways mess though, rather wait for a spike lower or a break-out. Be safe out there!

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Market Overview

Ethereum Co-Founder Puts to Rest Speculation of Crypto Armageddon

Published

on

Blockchain pioneer Joseph Lubin, who is at the helm of blockchain startup ConsenSys, isn’t swayed by this year’s downturn in the crypto market. In fact, Lubin has been a voice of calm in the crypto space all year, emphasizing the development side of the equation while cryptocurrencies have been in the doldrums, not the least of which has been the currency of the project he co-founded, Ethereum (ETH). He told CNBC:

“Digital currencies are not on the edge of a collapse. We’ve seen lots of boom and busts in our ecosystem over the last nearly 10 years and our ecosystem has never been stronger.”

Lubins’ barometer for success in the crypto industry is the number of projects and people that have been drawn into this space, including entrepreneurs and developers. “It’s orders of magnitude bigger than it was and the foundational infrastructure is getting built out,” he noted.

That foundational infrastructure is exactly what is going to deliver the kind of scalability that networks like Bitcoin and Ethereum need to go from what an Andreessen Horowitz General Partner recently described as “dial-up” days to mainstream adoption. Meanwhile, Lubin recently pointed out that the amount of activity on the Ethereum blockchain today outpaces where it was a year ago when the market was approaching its peak.

Industry Regulation

While U.S. regulators have been dragging their feet to develop  a framework for cryptocurrencies like bitcoin, they’ve been more keen to embrace the blockchain and according to Lubin “regulators are getting a very good understanding of the value of the technology.” When pressed, Lubin said he expects “lots of self-regulatory activity” in the crypto space” but he is quick to distinguish ether more as a crypto commodity or as a crypto fuel for the Ethereum network than a cryptocurrency, though it has some features of the latter.

Incidentally, while the broader cryptocurrency market is currently trading flat, one of the best-performing cryptocurrencies of late is Basic Attention Token (BAT), which is an Ethereum-based coin that is up approximately 50% in the last week amid speculation it will be Coinbase’s next listing.

And then there’s regulated crypto exchange Bakkt, whose parent company is the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). Bakkt announced today that it will launch its bitcoin futures contract on Dec. 12, which is slightly behind the original plan for a November launch. In a nod to foundational infrastructure, it’s been about a year since the CME and CBOE launched the industry’s first bitcoin futures products.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
1 vote, average: 4.00 out of 51 vote, average: 4.00 out of 51 vote, average: 4.00 out of 51 vote, average: 4.00 out of 51 vote, average: 4.00 out of 5 (1 votes, average: 4.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 69 rated postsGerelyn has been covering ICOs and the cryptocurrency market since mid-2017. She's also reported on fintech more broadly in addition to asset management, having previously specialized in institutional investing. She owns some BTC and ETH.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Market Overview

Market Update: U.S. Stocks Dragged Lower by Financials, Energy Companies; China Rebounds

Published

on

U.S. stocks finished mostly lower on Monday, as brisk selloffs of financials and energy shares offset modest gains in the technology and communication sectors. A large relief rally in China failed to ignite a similar revival in Europe and North America as concerns over global growth dampened investors’ appetite.

U.S. Stocks Sputter

The S&P 500 Index opened in positive territory before wobbling during the morning session and eventually turning lower in in afternoon trade. The broad index settled down 0.4% at 2,755.88, with a majority of sectors finishing in the red. Energy and financials were the biggest decliners, each falling more than 1% as a sector.

Modest gains in tech pushed the Nasdaq Composite Index to higher ground. The benchmark rose 0.3% to close at 7,468.63.

Dow industrials declined 126.86 points, or 0.5%, to 25,317.48. DowDupont Inc. (DD), American Express Co (AMX) and Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS) were among the biggest decliners.

European markets also headed for losses on Monday, with all major continental bourses finishing in the red. The Euro Stoxx 50 Pr index closed down 0.7%,

China’s Biggest Rally in Three Years

Chinese markets exploded higher on Monday, with the mainland indexes posting their biggest single-day advance in almost three years following reassuring comments from government officials last week.

The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index surged 4.1% while the CSI 300 Index closed 4.3% higher, its largest advance since November 2015. Hong Kong’s Heng Seng Index rose 2.3%.

Government officials ranging from the Vice Premier to the heads of the People’s Bank of China talked up the domestic economy last week, reassuring investors that the ongoing trade war with the United States would not have a material effect on the nation. President Trump has implemented tariffs on more than $250 billion worth of Chinese imports, making whole on a campaign promise to hold Beijing to account for its unfair trade practices. According to the International Monetary Fund, the trade spat will result in both economies growing 0.2 percentage point slower next year. This will also lead to a downshift in global growth.

Last week, China reported annual GDP growth of 6.5% during the third quarter, the slowest since 2009. On Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor is expected to release preliminary Q3 GDP figures.

Lackluster Session for Cryptocurrencies

Risk-off sentiment in global equity markets in hasn’t translated into higher demand for bitcoin and other digital assets. On Monday, cryptocurrency prices traded slightly to the downside, erasing minor gains made during the previous session. At the time of writing, the total market capitalization of all coins was just over $209 billion, according to CoinMarketCap.

The bitcoin price swung back below $6,500, though losses were generally well contained. Ethereum, XRP and bitcoin cash all traded slightly lower on a 24-hour basis.

Digital currencies are experiencing a downshift in volatility as well as in trade volumes, with investors unwilling to commit to either direction. Recent history has taught us that prolonged periods of lateral moves are usually followed by sharp declines in subsequent sessions.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 649 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Market Overview

Cautiously Flying

Published

on

Hi Everyone,

It’s only Monday and already it seems to be one of the most exciting weeks of the year for the financial markets. Asian stocks are flying this morning (the reason for this below) despite some clear signs that investors are still cautious.

One of these signs is the price of gold, which has spiked during the sell-off two weeks ago (purple circle) but is now showing signs that it may be ready to stretch higher (yellow rising support line).

The fact that gold is trading near its highs is not necessarily any indication in and of itself. The upcoming Diwali Festival in India is traditionally a time when gold prices tend to rise.

As we’ll see below, investors are still happy to pour money into this market but they are doing so very carefully right now.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

  • Chinese Support
  • Mark’s Market
  • Even more stable crypto

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of October 22nd. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Traditional Markets

As we mentioned above, Chinese stocks are flying. The China 50 index is up an astonishing 5.3% as of this writing. This is largely due to strong support from President Xi Xinping…

We’ve seen these type of stunts before from President Trump but this behaviour does seem to be new for the Chinese leader.

The timing is impeccable here too. As we’ve been watching, the Chinese stock markets have been on the ropes after retreating more than 30% since the year’s highs. However, the Xi’s gambit may have fallen short of the mark.

As we can see below, the red line being defended on the China50 is just above 10,500 points. Whereas, to break out of the current range to the upside we’d need to see levels above 12,000.

Cautious Like an Oak Tree

For legendary investor Howard Marks, the markets are not so binary. The co-founder of Oaktree Capital does see the current markets as expensive but adds that this doesn’t mean we’re about to see a crash. The economy is doing well and therefore it pays to be in the market, but defensively.

We all know that markets are cyclical. They go through bull times and bear. However, not every rise is a bubble and not every decline is a crash. In fact, most market moves are a lot more moderate.

Marks’ theories are always fascinating even if they sometimes differ from my own, especially when it comes to bitcoin. I’ve been enjoying his email alerts for a while now, but this interview on Bloomberg opened my eyes in a new way.

Crypto Markets

Crypto markets remain steady and are showing even more signs of stability. Tether seems to have regained most of its composure and is now trading within 2 cents of the $1 mark, right where it should be.

In the meantime, volumes on other stable coins have stepped up to further stabilize the market. In this graph from theblockcrypto.com we can see USDT’s dominance of the stablecoin market dropping sharply since the incident on October 15th.

As we see more stable coins join the market, the safer the market will become. According to CCN there are more than 50 active stablecoins at the moment with more coming out all the time. At the moment, it seems that the one eating into Tether’s market share is Paxos, which is both regulated and rising quickly in volumes.

Wishing you an amazing week ahead!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.

The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Cryptocurrencies can widely fluctuate in prices and are not appropriate for all investors. Trading cryptocurrencies is not supervised by any EU regulatory framework.

Best regards,
Mati Greenspan
Senior Market Analyst

Connect with me on….

eToro: @MatiGreenspan | Twitter: @MatiGreenspan | LinkedIn: MatiGreenspan | Facebook:MatiGreenspan

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 133 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

A part of CCN

Hacked.com is Neutral and Unbiased

Hacked.com and its team members have pledged to reject any form of advertisement or sponsorships from 3rd parties. We will always be neutral and we strive towards a fully unbiased view on all topics. Whenever an author has a conflicting interest, that should be clearly stated in the post itself with a disclaimer. If you suspect that one of our team members are biased, please notify me immediately at jonas.borchgrevink(at)hacked.com.

Trending