Cryptocurrency Analysis: Sell-Off Accelerates as China Bans ICOs
The crypto segment lost $30 billion in market cap since last Friday’s all-time high, as the correction that we have been expecting started in earnest. The latest news regarding a Chinese ban on ICOs delivered a huge blow to the already fragile market and the most important coins are all substantially lower, with NEO being especially hard, given its exposure to China. Bitcoin is holding up well amid the sell-off, which is particularly heavy in the Ethereum ecosystem, with double-digit losses across the board. Ethereum is now trading back near the previously important $285 level, after quickly breaking below the $330 and $300 supports. We expect more corrective price action in the coming period, with a likely target zone between $230 and $250.
ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
NEO is down by more than 35% amid the negative news, but the recently surging Litecoin is also down by almost 20% thanks to the broad selling pressure. Monero and Dash are still well above their prior all-time highs, but they are already in a 30+% correction top-to-bottom. Ethereum Classic and Ripple retraced their recent break-outs but they remain promising at the current levels, being in different phases of the market cycle than the rest of the majors. Investors are still advised to wait until the long-term overbought condition is cleared, but given the steep initial decline, the correction might unfold quicker than the previous one which took several weeks to complete. Let’s see how the short-term charts look amid the massacre.
BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Bitcoin dipped below primary support today in early trading, confirming the deeper correction that we have been expecting. The coin is still in overbought territory despite the more than 15% decline, and traders and investors should expect more downside movement and elevated volatility in the coming period. Crucial support levels are found near $4000, $3800, $3500 and near $3150.
LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
LTC fell sharply together with the market, and it’s now back near the previous crucial resistance at $64. The coin remains overbought, but the majority of the price decline might be already concluded, and a volatile sideways period could be ahead. That said, the $60, and $56 levels are still below as possible targets, and traders should wait with new positions until an uptrend is established.
DASH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Dash is trading near the $300 price level that has been a crucial support/resistance line in the recent move higher. The coin cleared the short-term overbought readings, but a re-test of the $265 support is still likely, as the long-term momentum still needs time to get back to neutral. The long-term uptrend is not in danger, but traders should be cautious with new positions here.
XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Ripple retraced almost all of its break-out gains amid the broad correction and it now trades below $0.20 yet again. The long-term picture still looks positive for the coin, but short-term volatility could be very high, and short-term traders could face more downside. Support is found at $0.18 and $0.16 while resistance in the zone around $0.22 and at $0.26.
ETC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Ethereum Classic is also back near the crucial $16 level after touching its prior all-time high during the weekend. We still expect a strong move higher after the current correction, and the current levels are attractive for long-term positions, although more short-term losses are also in the cards. Support is found around the $14 level while resistance is ahead near $0.18 and $0.23.
XMR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Monero fell back to the $100 level as we were expecting, but the coin is still well above the prior highs after the monster rally of the previous period. We expect more correction in the coin in the coming weeks, with a possible re-test of the $80 level. Below that strong support is found near $72 and around $58. Resistance is now ahead at $125 and near the prior highs above $150.
NEM/BTC, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
NEM continues to trade in the same broad range pattern as before the sell-off compared to BTC. We still expect the coin to outperform the most valuable cryptocurrency and test the 0.00009 level in the coming weeks. Support levels are found near 0.0000575, and 0.000048 while resistance is ahead at 0.000065 and at 0.000075.
NEO/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
NEO got hit hard by the news on the Chinese ban, and the coin fell well below $30, and outright crashed below the $22 support as well today, almost reaching the next support zone near $16. While the long-term impacts of the ban are not clear yet, we expect high levels of volatility as the market assesses the damage. The long-term picture remains bullish and the current levels look attractive for investors, despite the uncertain short-term outlook.
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