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Cryptocurrency Analysis: Dash Breaks-Out as Bitcoin Price Nears $4500

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The bull market in cryptocurrencies continues to make headlines, as BTC and Dash registered another great day, both hitting new all-time highs. Bitcoin only breached its prior record price by a small margin, while Dash shot up by 15% as its triangle consolidation finally ended. The coin turned lower from a tad below our long-term range projection target, but it remains in a clear uptrend and more gains are very likely in the coming days.

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DASH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum has is also up once again today, just as most of the majors, with only NEO and NEM being meaningfully lower amid the broad rally. Ripple and ETC continue to be the weakest majors, while Litecoin recovered to its uptrend after a brief dip. As the rotation of capital between the majors continues, traders should be looking for buying opportunities in most the majors.

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Bitcoin

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin got close to the $4500 level, despite being severely overbought, as buyers pushed the price of the coin above its prior high in early trading. The currency now has a market cap of almost $75 billion, as the total value of the segment is nearing $150 billion. We still expect a deep correction in the coin, although it could take time to build a top after the monster rally. Major support levels are found near $3800, $3500, and just below $3000.

Ethereum

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

ETH is trading near its prior swing higher after the correction in the beginning of the week, and the coin looks ready for another leg higher in the ongoing uptrend. The MACD indicator just provided a bullish cross, as the token respected the $285 support. Resistance levels are ahead near $330 and above that at $380.

Litecoin

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Litecoin is back on a short-term buy signal after recovering to its uptrend. The coin is trading near the $44 level currently and we still expect a rally to $50, and a test of the all-time highs slightly above $56. Resistance levels are found at $46, and $50, with the strong support at $42 and below that at $38.

Ripple

XRP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple hovering around $0.16 after showing some short-term strength in the last couple of days. The coin is still well inside its declining long-term trend, with the dominant trendline currently being at $0.18. The currency is in neutral territory regarding both short- and long-term momentum, and traders should still wait for a break-out before entering new positions.

Ethereum Classic

ETC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum Classic is right at the mid-point of its key support zone today, trading at $14. The coin is still in a similar situation to Ripple, but the declining trendline is closer, and a break-out above $15 would already trigger a new buy short-term buy signal. As the long-term momentum is still neutral, investors could still add to their positions.

Monero

XMR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Monero is virtually unchanged this week as its holding up above the crucial $46 support level, in a short-term consolidation pattern. The coin is still among the most bullish majors, and a rally towards the all-time high near $58 is likely in the coming weeks. Traders should look for a break-out from the current pattern, as a clue for a new leg higher.

NEM

NEM/BTC, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

NEM is trading in a volatile range against BTC, within the long-term base formation. As we expect Bitcoin to enter a deep correction, the pair should re-test the 0.00009 level, but more sideways action is possible in the coming days. Support levels are found near 0.0000575 and 0.000048, with primary resistance still ahead at 0.000075.

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Remain Under Pressure but Supports Still Hold

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The correction of the post-crash rally is still dominant in the cryptocurrency segment, despite the encouraging bounce on Friday, as Bitcoin is dragging the market lower. The coin turned relatively weak in recent days after an extended period of outperformance, but even BTC is holding up well, with the bearish momentum being far from disastrous.

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Ethereum’s relative strength, on the other hand, is slowly building, as we first noted it during the Thursday sell-off, and the second largest could be spearhead the next leg higher. The early leaders of the rally, Ethereum Classic and Litecoin are also acting bullish, and the overall picture remains in line with the orderly correction scenario.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Bitcoin still hasn’t tested the key $9000-$9200 zone despite several waves of selling that hit the coin, but it’s still stuck below the $10,000 level. We expect a short-term bottom in the coming week, as the momentum of the decline suggests accumulation, and investors should use the dip to add to their holdings, even if a test of the primary support zone is still possible here, with further resistance levels ahead above $10,000 at $11,300, $11,750, and $13,000.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Litecoin put in a higher short-term low during the weekend, retaining its leading position in the rally from a technical standpoint. The MACD indicator already gave a bullish signal after dipping into negative territory, but should Bitcoin continue to struggle, LTC could be in for more consolidation before despite the relative strength. The $200 level is still in focus with a strong resistance zone just ahead between $220 and $235, with the rally high at $250, while further key support is at $180.

Altcoins Mixed in Quiet Trading

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Percentage changes are not significant today following yesterday’s decline, and most of the majors are holding up above or near key support levels, with relatively low volatility and notable divergence between the coins.

As for the recently weaker coins, Ripple is still trading well below the $1 level, while IOTA managed to bounce hard off the correction low reaching back to the $1.9 resistance, and edging closer to a break-out from the still dominant downtrend.

The rest of most established coins are still drifting lower, with no major moves in the last few days, so without notable red flags, we remain positive regarding the long-term setup.

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Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Daily Analysis: Oil Extends Rally as Nasdaq Leads Stocks Higher

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Friday Market Recap

Asset Current Value Daily Change
S&P 500 2749 1.38%
DAX 12,483 0.18%
WTI Crude Oil 63.58 1.29%
GOLD 1330.00 -0.16%
Bitcoin 10,14 -0.09%
EUR/USD 1.2295 -0.28%

US equities built up some bullish momentum towards the end of the week, ignoring the technical damage that the volatility-crash caused, and the major US indices rallied into the close today, squeezing the shorts. The Nasdaq, which led the rally as we expected, took out the key 6850 level in late trading and added another percent to, incredibly enough, finish only a hundred point of the all-time high.

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NASDAQ 100 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Should the tech benchmark retest the high next week, it will be amid very strong negative divergences, but hey, those divergences have been building for months now. The rally in equities was boosted by the dip in Treasury yields, especially at the long end of the curve, while Amazon continued ot lead the charge, closing right at the historic $1500 per share level.

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Russell 2000 (Small Cap) Index, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The advance in the Dow and the S&P 500 is much less convincing and with small caps also lagging the tech-behemoth juggernaut, we remain skeptical regarding the sustainability of the move. That said, if the broader indices stay above the key levels, we will be trading the long side in equities, even as from an investment standpoint, valuations are still way above acceptable.

Forex Markets and Commodities

The lackluster performance of European and Asian stocks adds to the negative divergences, especially as the Euro stopped appreciating against the Greenback, and that should be helping stocks of the old continent. Of course, the DAX and the EuroStoxx 50 could play catch-up next week, barring another surge in the common currency.

EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The most-traded forex pair remains in a short-term downtrend, as it failed to recapture the previously broken rising trendline, and the commodity related risk-on currencies also remained under pressure. The Canadian Dollar did bounce back off yesterday’s 8-week lows, boosted by the much hihger than expected inflation release and the jump in the price of crude oil.

USD/CAD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Oil benefited from the positive shift in sentiment, while the Syrian situation, which took a backseat in the headlines, still supports the rally. The Japanese Yen and gold were stable amid the risk-rally and that adds to our suspicions regarding the upside potential form these levels.

Cryptocurrencies

The segment started out the day with a strong bounce that carried the major coins higher by around 10%, but given the recent steep short-term pullback, even that wasn’t enough to turn the tide, and the day ended with an (almost usual) sell-off after the US close. Despite the recent volatility, the overall picture is still encouraging, with most of the majors being safely above the crash lows, likely in a new bullish cycle that has the potential to last for several more weeks or even months.

While new all-time highs are it guaranteed following the 60-70% declines among the largest coins, but even without those, plenty of upside potential is left for investors. With that in mind, investors should hold on to their coins and even add to their holdings on the short-term dips like the current one.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Majors Stage Rally but Strong Levels Still Ahead

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The cryptocurrency segment has recovered from a broad correction today in early trading, with the most valuable coins all turning into green during the session, despite the bearish start to the overnight session. With bottom-to-top gains of up to 15%, the rally helped in easing the worries of bulls, especially in the case of the relatively weaker coins.

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Bitcoin and most of the largest altcoins remained stable during the selloff, and BTC recaptured the $10,000 level quickly after trading as low as $9600 overnight. The initial rally topped out near $10,400, and the coin is trading back near the $10,000 level, as the bullish momentum faded away somewhat.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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That said, we expect the uptrend to continue even if the correction could still carry Bitcoin lower. Further strong support is found between $9000 and $9200, while targets are ahead at $11,300, $13,000, and $14,250.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum showed strength during the bounce again after yesterday, together with the early leaders of the rally, and although the coin dipped below the $845 level in the second half of the session, the signs remain positive for bulls. Support levels are now found at $780, $740, $625 and $575, while resistance is ahead near $910 and $1000.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 115 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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