Connect with us

Analysis

Crypto Update: Worst Seems to be Over for Stellar and Cardano

Published

on

With so many cryptocurrency pairs losing as much as 90% of their value from this year’s high, it may seem that altcoins are deep in bear territory. Even if you’ve been following our bullish breakout series, the pullbacks in the last two few weeks would have made it easy for you to doubt our claims. However, we stand by our assertion that the overall crypto sentiment is slowly becoming bullish. The altcoins that we cover today serve as additional evidence.

In this article, we show how the worst appears to be over for Stellar and Cardano.

Stellar/Bitcoin Analysis

The last two weeks have been very difficult for Stellar/Bitcoin (XLM/BTC) investors. The pair appears to have breached the uptrend line when it dropped to as low as 0.00002933 on September 11, 2018. At that price level, XLM/BTC lost over 56% of its value from the 2018 high of 0.00006789.

Those who cut their losses after the pair breached the uptrend support would have been badly whipsawed. Stellar/Bitcoin eventually managed to recover the support.

Weekly chart of Stellar/Bitcoin

With the recovery of the support, the outlook is bullish for XLM/BTC. First, the false break of the support is bullish. In most cases, this can ignite a rally to the top end of the range or the resistance.

In addition, the weekly RSI appears to have broken out of its own falling wedge. This is a very good sign that bulls are gaining momentum. Keep in mind, the RSI has been trapped inside this falling wedge since April 2018.

Lastly, the recovery of the support marks the end of the E wave, which is often the last wave down. With bulls taking back the support, we have a convincing case that the worst is over for XLM/BTC.

Cardano/Bitcoin Analysis

Just like XLM/BTC, the last two weeks have also been difficult for Cardano/Bitcoin (ADA/BTC).The pair came off lows of 0.00000969 on September 12, 2018. At that point, the market was down by almost 90% from the 2018 high of 0.00008788.

To many crypto investors, ADA/BTC may be fighting to stay alive. Bears have given their best shot and it may have appeared that the market was down for the count. However, just as ADA/BTC looked hopeless, the market bounced back like a true champion.

Weekly chart of ADA/BTC

As if on cue, ADA/BTC bounced as soon as it hit the support trendline of the falling wedge. This price action emboldened bottom fishers to enter long positions. The increasing demand coupled with decreasing supply due to bearish exhaustion are creating the ideal conditions for a bullish reversal.

As of this writing, ADA/BTC is taking out resistance of 0.000011. Breach of this support will enable the market to reverse its trend and bid goodbye to bear territory.

Bottom Line

Cryptos are slowly stepping out of bear territory. The last few weeks have been difficult but overall, altcoins are becoming bullish. This seems to be the case for both XLM/BTC and ADA/BTC. The worst appears to be over for the two altcoin pairs as they prepare to finally reverse their trend.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
2 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5 (2 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

3.7 stars on average, based on 253 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




Feedback or Requests?

Analysis

Pre-Market Analysis and Chartbook: Stocks Plunge as Chinese Rally Fades

Published

on

Tuesday Market Snapshot

Asset Current Value Daily Change
S&P 500 2,713 -1.59%
DAX 30 11,282 -2.06%
WTI Crude Oil 67.72 -2.11%
GOLD 1,241 1.38%
Bitcoin 6,393 -0.20%
EUR/USD 1.1469 0.05%

The major global stock indices are all significantly lower today just after the US open, with several European benchmarks hitting new multi-month and multi-year lows after the recent bounce. Chinese stocks turned south after the strongest two-day rally in years, and although the local markets remain above their recent bear market lows, the shift weighed heavily on sentiment across the globe, with the Nikkei also getting below last week’s minimum level.

DAX 30 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

In Europe, the DAX is the weakest major index again, and German stocks confirmed the long-term breakdown that we have been following in recent weeks. Today, chemical giant Bayer is pushing the benchmark lower, but the weakness in auto-makers also continues to drag equities lower together with the struggling financial sector.

Spreads between Italian and core Eurozone government bonds are still wide, as the budget debate continues to pressure Italian assets, and despite the relative stability of the Euro, European equities are in deep trouble.

EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Euro is hanging on a thread above its monthly lows against the US Dollar, while the broader Dollar index hit a marginal new 2-month high today. All eyes are on the European Central Bank and Italy this week, and with the US midterms approaching, things can get wild in currencies in the coming days, especially given the rising volatility in equities, and the general risk-off shift.

While the EUR/USD pair is trading below the 1.15 level, the Dollar failed to show momentum against the common currency with buyers consistently stepping in near 1.1440. That said, the broader downtrend is clearly intact, and a test of the support zone near 1.13 still seems like the most likely scenario in the coming weeks.

S&P 500 Hits New Correction Lows as VIX Eyes 25 Level

S&P 500 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

US index futures had an ugly overnight session before the pre-market earnings dump, with the Asian selloff dragging the major indices lower. While the Nasdaq is holding up above its recent lows, the Dow and the S&P 500 plunged well below their multi-month lows, and the small-cap Russell 2000 also opened deep in the red, below its correction low as well.

Short-term technicals continue to scream sell in the US, with the weak bounce clearing the bulk of the oversold momentum readings with regards to the key benchmarks, and with market internals still being very negative. For now, we would still not buy the dip here, especially as we see no major positive divergences in global markets either.

VIX (US Volatility Index), 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Looking at the Volatility Index (VIX), the regime change that we were speculation on at the start of the correction seems to be confirmed, with the VIX getting back very easily above the line-in-the-sand 20 level. The index neared the 25 level pre-market, and although the panicky 30 level is still well above the current zone, a concerted move below the lows could spark a renewed surge in the VIX as early as today.

This leaves a protracted correction as the best-case scenario for US stocks, but as usual with bearish trends, violent counter-trend rallies are expected along the way, punishing late shorts and resetting the negative sentiment.

ChartBook

Major Stock Indices

Nasdaq 100 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Dow 30 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

FTSE 100 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EuroStoxx50 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Nikkei 225 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Shanghai Composite Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EEM (Emerging Markets ETF), 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Forex

USD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

GBP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EUR/GBP, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

AUD/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Commodities

WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Gold Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Copper Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Featured image from Shutterstock

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 380 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Extend Weekly Losses as Altcoins Still Glued to Support Levels

Published

on

We are having another broadly negative session so far in the cryptocurrency segment, with most of the majors sporting limited losses, and with only a few coins showing relative strength. While the picture is far from being disastrous, we have seen some technical deterioration in the top coins, as Ripple is still bleeding lower, and as Ethereum fell below the $200 price level again.

DASH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The likes of Litecoin, Dash, EOS, IOTA, NEO, and ETC are still weak from a technical perspective, and although some of the minor coins are still faring somewhat better, at least short-term, the overall picture remains overwhelmingly bearish.

Bitcoin’s stability is still a plus for bulls here, but with no sign of meaningful bullish momentum among the top digital currencies, traders should remain defensive even with regards to the relatively stronger coins.


BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The most valuable coin is trading slightly lower amid the segment-wide drift lower, but the $6275 support is still well below the current level, and the volatility in BTC’s market continues to be very low. A move below would warn of a test of the $6000 and $5850 levels, and for now, the short-term sell signal is still in place in our trend model despite Bitcoin’s stability.

The next major support zone below $5850 is found between $5000 and $5100, while resistance is ahead at $6500, $6750, and $7000.

Ripple’s Weakness Casts a Shadow on the Market

XRP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple hasn’t been able to hold last week’s gains, and the coin moved below $0.46 this week, warning of a coming test of the $0.42 level, and a possible resumption of its broader downtrend after its surge in September.

Below $0.42 support levels are found near $0.375 and $0.355, and further weakness could soon lead to a downgrade in our trend model with regards to the long-term outlook, with strong resistance levels still ahead near $0.51, $0.54, and $0.57.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Litecoin has been one of the stronger coins so far today, but from a broader perspective, it remains relatively weak and the $51 support level looks more and more vulnerable. A break below primary support would likely lead to a test of the bear market low near $47, with the next major support zone below that found at $44.

The broad declining trend is clearly intact, in the coin and traders and investors shouldn’t enter new positions here, with our trend model being negative on all time-frames, and with strong resistance levels ahead near $56, $59, and $64.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum continues to show relative weakness, and although remained stable in recent days, the broader setup hints on a likely test of the bear-market low. The coin drifted below the $200 level today, but volatility remains low, and trading activity is still very light.

The currency remains on sell signals on all time-frames, even as the immediate outlook is rather neutral, with key support found near $180, $170, and $160, and with strong resistance zones ahead near $235 and $260.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 380 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Altcoins

Zcash (ZEC) Price Analysis: Market Cap Growth Continues, More Updates Coming Soon

Published

on

  • Zcash moves up to rank 19 on the top cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.
  • The Sapling upgrade just a few days away, as Zcash team suggest there could be more announcements soon.

Zcash (ZEC) continues to jump up the ladder, with its growing market capitalization. Last week it managed to creep into the top 20 cryptocurrencies, by market cap. Most recently, it has now moved up to rank 19. At the time of writing, it is seen at $624.5 million, ahead of VeChain (VET) with $612.6 million.

Countdown for Sapling Upgrade

It is just under 6 days now until the anticipated Sapling upgrade from the Zcash foundation. According to the firm, ‘Activation block 419200 will be mined October 29, 2018 01:31 UTC+00:00 assuming 150 seconds/block.’ The build-up of this is something that has appeared to be very supportive in the elevation of the ZEC price.

The Sapling is a network upgrade that boasts increased efficiency for transactions of which are shielded. They will facilitate broad mobile, exchange and vendor adoption of the Zcash shielded addresses. Zcash’s goal is to also see increased speed with these shielded transactions; it is touted that transactions can be shielded in less than 1 second.

New Announcements Coming Soon?

The Zcash team via their Twitter account have continued to count down their upcoming upgrade, tweeting “Is your product is #Sapling-ready? Or you would like to learn more about supporting the #Zcash Sapling upgrade? Reach out and let’s connect!” Within the tweet, they covered existing Salping-ready services listing; Bithumb, BitGo, Coinomi, Lamassu, Ledger, Suprnova, Trezor and WinZEC. They noted “MORE COMING SOON!” implying there are potential pending partnerships and integrations in the works.

Technical Review – Daily Chart

ZEC/USD daily chart

ZEC/USD bulls are on the hunt for an extended breakout north, as a vital trend line is being tested. A break of the mentioned resistance is seen tracking at $126. If a breach and daily close above, should open to door wide open to some buying pressure. The bulls will be met right away by some supply running from $130-133. As a result, sellers have knocked the price down throughout October, within this territory. Finally, for upside targets, a rally up to $145, would like then come into play. The price last traded here on 28th September.

In terms of support, this is seen all the way back down at $110. A lower supporting trend line can be observed tracking here. This has been active since mid-September. Furthermore, a buying area is noted from $100-95.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.5 stars on average, based on 33 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

A part of CCN

Hacked.com is Neutral and Unbiased

Hacked.com and its team members have pledged to reject any form of advertisement or sponsorships from 3rd parties. We will always be neutral and we strive towards a fully unbiased view on all topics. Whenever an author has a conflicting interest, that should be clearly stated in the post itself with a disclaimer. If you suspect that one of our team members are biased, please notify me immediately at jonas.borchgrevink(at)hacked.com.

Trending