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Analysis

Crypto Update: Ripple Breaks Support as Market Ticks Lower

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Choppy trading continues in the cryptocurrency segment, with most of the major still stuck in narrow trading ranges, with little changes in the technical setup. Ripple is back in the center of attention after a period of lower trading activity in the third largest coin. XRP moved below short-term support, triggering a short-term sell signal in our trend model while staying in a broader consolidation pattern that developed after the coins recent surge.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple is clearly below the $0.51 support after today’s dip, and now the coin only has support near in key long-term zone near $0.42-$0.46, while several strong resistance levels are towering in the $0.51-$0.57 area. That said, the long-term buy signal remains in place, but given the still hostile segment-wide trends, traders and investors should be cautious with new positions.

The other majors also turned lower today in early trading, but after yesterday’s late-day rally, the major support levels are holding up in the likes of Ethereum, Bitcoin, and Litecoin. That said, some of the smaller altcoins are in weaker positions, and all-in-all the broader negative trends are clearly intact, and sellers are in control of the market.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin spiked above $6600 in late trading yesterday, but now it is back near the $6500 support that has been in the center of attention for a month now. The most valuable coin is still trading in a larger-scale triangle pattern, and that is clearly affecting the whole segment, causing choppy conditions and low volumes across the board.

We still expect a strong momentum move in the near future in the coin and the whole segment, and given the bearish broader trend, a negative outcome is more likely. Support levels are still found at $6275, $6000, and near $5850, while resistance is ahead near $6750 and $7000.

Ethereum Little Changed as Altcoin Weakness Persists

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum is still trading in a very narrow range, and although it got close to testing the $235 resistance again, the coin remains on a neutral short-term signal, while being relatively weak from a long-term perspective.

ETH is below the declining short-term trendline, but clearly above the primary support zone near $200. Further support is still found near $180 and $160, while resistance is ahead at $260 and in the $275-$280 zone, with the broader declining trendlines converging near $270 too.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Litecoin also ticked lower today and after trading as high as $59 yesterday, the coin dipped below the $57 level, with the test of the $56 support now being very likely again. The coin is on short-, and long-term sell signals in our trend model, despite the recent period of relative strength, with the declining long-term trend clearly being intact.

Traders and investors shouldn’t enter positions here, with strong support levels found at $51 and near $44, while resistance levels are ahead near $59 and $64.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 416 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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3 Comments

3 Comments

  1. homelanD

    October 6, 2018 at 10:44 pm

    i’ve been a subscriber for nearly a year and im sorry to say that loads of your (Hacked as a whole) market predictions are inaccurate and I feel now the publications market understanding is pretty limited. Trade recommendations throughout this bear market have been wrong alot and I strongly recommend traders think twice before acting on them. Do not base investment decisions on this publication.

    • davidstewartkim

      October 8, 2018 at 2:48 pm

      You should use his advice as a cross reference for your own analysis of indicators, support/resistance levels and overall trends. Be your own trader.

    • davidstewartkim

      October 8, 2018 at 2:50 pm

      I have also been a subscriber for a similar amount of time as you.

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Analysis

Forex Update: Dismal Chinese Data Causes Turmoil in Markets

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Forex Market Snapshot

Asset Current Value Daily Change
EUR/USD 1.1302 -0.47%
GBP/USD 1.2571 -0.68%
USD/JPY 113.35 -0.21%
AUD/USD 0.7179 -0.66%
GOLD 1,243 -0.20%
WTI Crude Oil 51.16 -3.18%
BTC/USD 3,180 -2.54%

We continue to have an unusually active December in traditional financial markets, as the recent bearish shift, the continued Brexit woes and the slowing global economy add up to a very nervous trading environment. Volatility is especially high in stock markets compared to seasonal averages but currencies are also having very active days, with the Dollar clearly being in focus.

Today we had negative headlines in China with both industrial production and retail sales missing the consensus estimates by a mile, and the history of manufactured economic releases from the country makes that even scarier.

It’s no surprise that the Chinese stock market is leading the way lower globally, while the Chinese Yuan is also among the weakest currencies globally, even amid the improving trade-related sentiment. Risk-on currencies got it hard today, and the Dollar is defying its bearish seasonality, trading very close to its recent lows, confirming the broad risk-off shift.

Technical Analysis

GBP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Great British Pound continues to trade with pronounced relative weakness, and as Prime Minister Theresa May was sent home empty-handed from Brussels, with the leaders of the EU refusing to renegotiate the draft Brexit plan, the currency’s position just got even shakier.

From a technical standpoint, the Cable confirmed the key breakdown with a failed pullback in the past couple of days, and with no major support found above the generational lows near 1.20, long-term odds now favor a test of that zone, and bulls shouldn’t enter positions below the key 1.27 level.

EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The EUR/USD pair dipped below the 1.13 level after yesterday’s the dovish growth and inflation forecast by the European Central Bank and today’s strong US Retail Sales report. The US economy continues to perform relatively well compared to its global peers, and although we think that the slowdown will eventually reach the US, the fiscal stimulus and the labor momentum could keep the engines going for a while.

That only adds to the buying pressure which is pushing the USD higher, and the troubles in the European financial system are also mounting, which could lead to another leg lower in the common currency next year. The main technical levels to watch are still the 1.12 support and the 1.1440 resistance, and with the broader downtrend clearly being intact in the most traded currency pair.

AUD/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The AUD/USD pair fell below the bearish wedge pattern on the negative Chinese news as we expected, and it’s now testing the 0.7165 support zone. A move towards the 0.70 level is likely in the coming weeks, should the pair violate the support zone, and the short-term trend change is close to being confirmed, while the broader downtrend is clearly intact, with strong resistance ahead near 0.7250 and 0.74.

WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Another rally attempt faded away today in crude oil, and the crucial commodity continues to trade in a bearish consolidation range following the series of dead-cat-bounces. The top of the range is found near the $54.25 per barrel price level, while strong support is found in the $49.50-$50 per barrel range.

Given the deeply oversold long-term momentum readings, bulls can open speculative long positions near the bottom of the range, despite the clearly intact long-term downtrend, while bears should wait for a larger scale bounce to reenter the market.

Key Economic Events on Monday

ChartBook

Forex

USD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EUR/GBP, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EUR/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

AUD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

GBP/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

USD/CHF, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

USD/CNH, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Commodities

Gold Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Copper Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Major Stock Indices

S&P 500 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

DAX 30 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Nikkei 225 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Shanghai Composite Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 416 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

XRP Trading Sideways as UAE Exchange Adopts Ripple for Overseas Payments

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Ripple (XRP) is trading around $0.3030 on Friday, without any major changes, reports Dmitriy Gurkovskiy, Chief Analyst at RoboForex.

The price tested the midterm descending channel resistance, and now is finishing its short term sideways correction. The XRP is trying to break out the local support, which would allow the price to go down to reach the major channel support at $0.2630. The major midterm target, however, is the fractal support at $0.2365. The resistance is meanwhile at $0.3135.

Fundamentally, UAE Exchange is ready to start running overseas payments based on the Ripple platform. This will be launched in early 2019, mostly in Asia.

This news was first mentioned in Feb 2018, when UAE Exchange highlighted blockchain’s powerful opportunities, but also noted this needed a lot of development before implementation. Blockchain really offers a medley of opportunities to the exchange, as it will help it become a leader in the Middle East. At first stage, however, UAE is going to work with just one or two Asian banks.

In 2017, the overall amount of overseas payments in Asia was at least $613B, with the major part coming from the Middle East, from where employed people sent their money to their home countries.

Ripple will be using RippleNet for overseas payments, which will allow the exchange to boost the transaction speed, thus quickly conquering the mobile and online payment market.

Ripple already succeeded in similar projects over the last few months, in Malaysia and South Korea. The Middle East is even more attractive, though, with lots of opportunities awaiting.

Disclaimer

Any predictions contained herein are based on the authors’ particular opinion. This analysis shall not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex shall not be held liable for the results of the trades arising from relying upon trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 21 rated postsHaving majored in both Social Psychology and Economics, I went on to continue my education in post graduate. Later I worked as a team lead of a tech and fundamental analysis lab in the Applied System Analysis Research Institute. This helped me to acquire all necessary skills and experience to become a successful trader and analyst, as well as a portfolio manager in an investment company. I'm a pro in the financial field and the author of articles for various international media. I also hold the position of Chief Analyst at RoboMarkets.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Majors Testing Lows Following Broad Selloff

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The major cryptocurrencies have been once again under pressure in the past 24 hours and most of the coins got very close to their recent lows, even as the losses are limited for now. While the top coins avoided a breakdown, given the overwhelmingly bearish long-term picture and the steep short-term trend, odds continue to favor new lows in the coming weeks, so traders and investors should still remain defensive.

Dash/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The continued technical weakness in the lagging coins, like Dash, and the lack of a relatively strong leadership is still apparent, and it reinforces the bearish overall picture. That is true even as the long-term momentum indicators are showing deeply oversold readings and investors sentiment remains very negative which could lead to a larger scale correction after a short-term trend change. That said, traders shouldn’t enter new positions here until we see meaningful short-term technical improvements.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin failed to regain momentum despite the weekend bounce and the coin is back near its recent low trading near the $3250 level today. The key $3600 level is out of reach for the most valuable coin, and with that in mind, our trend model remains on clear short- and long-term sell signals.

The current weakness of BTC is a negative sign for the whole segment, and a test of the key long-term $3000 level is more and more likely. Further string resistance is ahead between $4000 and $4050, and traders and investors shouldn’t enter positions here.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum has been trading in a very narrow range in recent days, and the coin is still stuck below the key $95-$100 zone, as it failed to show relative strength despite being among the most oversold majors. ETH also faces strong resistance near $120 and $120, with the next major support zone found between $73 and $75, and traders and investors should still stay away from the coin.

Litecoin Breaking Down Again?

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Litecoin is threatening with another break below support today, with the $23 support level looking very weak now, and the steep short-term downtrend remains clearly intact in the coin. LTC continues to be relatively weak from a short-term standpoint, and traders shouldn’t consider even ultra-short term positions here, despite the deeply oversold broader picture.

The next major support zone is found between $20 and $20.50 and odds favor a test of that zone as soon as in the coming days, with strong resistance found near $26 and $30.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple continues to hover around the $0.30 level, still being very weak on the short-term time-frame, and being on sell singles both short- and long-term in our trend model. XRP faces strong resistance near $0.32, $0.3550, and $0.3750, while primary support is found at $0.28, with the prior bear market low being at $0.26. We expect at least a test of the lows in the coming weeks, despite the still relatively strong long-term technical setup and new low bear market lows are also likely in Ripple.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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2 votes, average: 4.00 out of 52 votes, average: 4.00 out of 52 votes, average: 4.00 out of 52 votes, average: 4.00 out of 52 votes, average: 4.00 out of 5 (2 votes, average: 4.00 out of 5)
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4.7 stars on average, based on 416 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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