Crypto Update: Damaging Crash Continues, Bounce Likely Ahead
The cryptocurrency segment continues to trade under heavy selling pressure, and yesterday’s lows weren’t able to hold up the top coins, and the market entered another waterfall decline today. Bitcoin and Ethereum both fell below their next major support zones today in early trading amid a spike in trading volume, and given the deeply oversold momentum readings in their markets, together with the panicky sentiment, a stronger counter-trend move seems likely in the coming days.
That said, the long-term picture is overwhelmingly bearish, with the exception of the still very strong Ripple and Stellar, and traders should only consider very short-term trades with active risk management against the dominant trend. Until at least a confirmed short-term trend change, new lows remain likely in the coming weeks, but given the extent of the plunge, a violent short-covering rally is in the cards.
BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Bitcoin fell as low as $4250 today, overshooting below the $4450-$4500 support zone in the process, possibly forming a short-term panic bottom after the sharp two-day selloff. Now, holding short positions is risky, from a short-term perspective, and a rally up to the $5000-$5100 zone is possible in the coming days.
Despite that, traders and investors shouldn’t enter new positions here, with the exception of ultra-short-term traders, as volatility is expected to remain very high, and odds favor further new lows in the coming weeks. Further short-term resistance is ahead at $4700, $5350, and $5600 while primary support is found between$4000 and $4050.
ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Ethereum also spiked below the next major support level near $130 in Asian trading amid the selling panic, and now the third largest coin is hovering near that level, trying to form a swing low similarly to Bitcoin. Given the current sentiment, a bounce towards the $150 is likely, and a choppy consolidation phase could follow the strong momentum move and the initial bounce.
The bearish long- and short-term trends are intact, and despite a likely bounce traders and investors should still stay away from the coin, with the next support zone found near $118 and with further resistance ahead at $160.
Ripple Turns Volatile Amid Crash, but Support Zone Still Holds
XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Ripple has been dragged lower by the latest round of the segment-wide crash, and the now clearly second largest coin briefly spiked below the key $0.42-$0.46 long-term support zone. The fact that XRP managed to stay above the lower boundary of the zone is a plus for bulls here, but the short-term picture remains bearish, and it is far from being safe to enter new positions here.
That said, long-term investors should hold on to their positions, with further support levels found near $0.375 and $0.355, and with resistance ahead at $0.51, $0.54, and $0.57.
LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Litecoin not just hit the $34.50 level as we expected, but it spiked down to $30 amid the rout and now, the coin is deeply oversold from a short-term perspective. A counter-trend move is now likely in the coming days, but again, only very short-term trades should be considered in the coin with strict risk management in the extremely volatile environment. Further resistance is ahead at $38 and $44, while support is found near $28 and $23.50.
EOS/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
EOS entered a freefall in Asian trading, plunging as low as the support zone near the $3.50 level which has been a crucial level for the coin in the past. The coin is now deeply oversold from a short-term perspective, similarly to the majority of the top coins, and a larger bounce is in the cards in the coming days, with resistance levels ahead near $4 and $4.55.
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Disclaimer: The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.