Crypto Update: Coins Turn Lower After Choppy Weekend
The major cryptocurrencies are slightly lower today in early trading, as Sunday’s modest rally faded away without major technical progress. Most of the coins are stuck in narrow trading ranges, and last week’s spike well above the current price levels, as buyers failed to take control of the market.
That said, we haven’t seen strong negative momentum either, and although the bearish long-term setups remain intact, there is no immediate danger of new bear market lows in the segment.
Patience is still the name of the game for crypto investors, since there is no evidence of a broader trend change that would justify a more constructive investment position. Our trend model is on sell signals across the board on both time frames, and the bearish pressures are still apparent on the charts, even considering the lengthy consolidation period. Given the negative long-term trends, odds still favor a test of the lows in most case, particularly in the light of the lack of bullish leadership.
IOTA/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
While most of the majors are still above the lows hit just before the Tether-turmoil, there are several relatively weak coins that could lead the market lower in the coming weeks. Especially Ethereum, Liteocin, Dash, and EOS point a negative picture of the market, while Ripple and Bitcoin are still the most encouraging form a bullish standpoint, even as they also failed to signs of bullish momentum.
Bitcoin is back near the $6400 level today, after drifting towards the $6500 resistance during yesterday’s rally, but the coin is still well clear of the $6275 support level, trading clearly within last Monday’s range. Our trend model continues to be on a short-term sell signal, while the long-term picture is still neutral for the largest digital currency.
Traders and investors still shouldn’t enter positions here with further resistance levels ahead near $6750 and $7000 and with support levels below $6275 found near $6000, $5850 and between $5000 and $5100.
Altcoins Slightly Lower as Stellar Fails to Break Out
XRP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Ripple and Stellar have been showing some positive signs last week, but they both failed to make significant technical progress, confirming the segment-wide selling pressure. Ripple is threatening to move below the $0.42-$0.46 level, despite the rally above its triangle consolidation pattern, and a break below $0.42 would likely trigger a test of the $0.355 support.
For now, the short-term sell signal remains in place due to the lack of follow-through, and traders should be cautious with new positions. Strong resistance is still ahead at $0.51, $0.54, $0.57, while further, weak support is found near $0.375.
Stellar/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Stellar is trading very close to the key long-term support zone near $0.24 that has been dominating trading for several weeks, and despite the rally attempts, the coin is still not out of its bear market. That said, should a broader trend change occur, Stellar would likely be among the leaders of renewed advance, but for now, traders and investors should still stay away from the coin.
The declining long-term trend is intact, with strong resistance levels ahead near $0.265 and $0.2835, while support levels are found near $0.235, $0.21, and $0.1935.
ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Ethereum is still stuck in a very narrow range after the weekend, with the $200 support/resistance level still being in the center of attention. The bearish broader setup is unchanged in ETH’s market, with the coin still being relatively weak among the majors.
Traders and investors shouldn’t open new positions her, with further support found near $180, $170, and $160, and with strong resistance zones ahead near $235 and $260.
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Disclaimer: The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.