Crypto Update: Coins Fall After a Quiet Weekend
The cryptocurrency segment stabilized this weekend after a technically important breakdown that shifted the short-term outlook to clearly bearish. While the stability was a small plus for bulls, the lack of bullish momentum and the fact that the majors remained below key resistance levels meant that most of the coins remained on sell signals in our trend model. As for the long-term signals, Monero, Ripple, and Bitcoin are the only majors on neutral signals in the still overwhelmingly bearish market.
XMR/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Bitcoin continued to fare better than the largest altcoins, but although the most valuable coin made the most technical progress, briefly reclaiming the $6275 level, it also remained in a bearish short-term setup. The total value of the market is stuck near the $200 billion mark, and with Ethereum still being in a steep long-term downtrend and with Ripple giving back a large chunk of its recent gains, sellers are still clearly in control of the market.
BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Bitcoin’s relative stability continues to be the most encouraging sign in the segment, but the coin is clearly below the previously dominant broad triangle pattern following last week’s breakdown. The technical deterioration means that a test of the key long-term zone near $5850 is increasingly likely, especially as the weak bounce ran out of steam near the $6275 level.
While a weaker support zone is found near $6000, the short-term sell signal is in place in our trend model, and traders shouldn’t enter new positions here. Further resistance is ahead at $6500, $6750, and $7000, while the next major support zone is found between $5100 and $5100.
Ripple Tests $0.42, Ethereum Capped by the $200 Level
XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Ripple got back up to the key $0.42 level after plunging below $0.38, but the resistance level halted the bounce and, and the coin is still close to falling back to the previously dominant broad declining trend. XRP is trading right at the declining trendline of the triangle consolidation pattern that developed after the September rally, and bulls would need a sustained break-out above the pattern for a renewed buy signal.
Support levels are found at $0.375 and $0.35, while resistance is ahead in the $0.42-$0.46 and near $0.51 and $0.54, and traders shouldn’t enter new positions here.
ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Ethereum is still among the weakest majors, and it couldn’t get back above the $200 level during the weekend. ETH remains on sell signals on both time-frames, since the declining trendlines are clearly intact, despite the recent lengthy consolidation period.
Primary support is found at $180, with further zones near $170 and $160, while resistance above $200 is ahead at $235 and $260, and traders and investors should still stay away from the coin.
LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Litecoin also only managed a weal bounce after the key breakdown below the $56 support, and although it initially respected the $51 level, another test is very likely, and odds favor a break below support given the strong bearish pressures.
A break below the primary support level would warn of the test of the $47 low from August, with the next level of interest being the $44 support, while further resistance above $56 is found at $59 and $64. The coin is on sell signals on both time-frames and traders and investors shouldn’t enter new positions here.
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Disclaimer: The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.