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Crypto Update: Chainlink Shows Parabolic Potential

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The Chainlink/Bitcoin pair (LINK/BTC) came off lows of 2,276 satoshis on July 24, 2018. At that price level, the market was down by over 76% from the 2018 peak of 9,850 satoshis. Though LINK/BTC suffered immense losses this year, its recovery over the last few months has been more than impressive. It is up by over 222% from this year’s low and is showing no signs of slowing down.

In this article, we reveal why we believe LINK/BTC has the potential to go parabolic.

Strong Trend Reversal

For those who are not familiar with the term, a parabolic market is one that experiences an exponential rise in value. It moves up rapidly and ignores overheated signals. If you can spot a parabolic market, you have an opportunity to earn serious gains.

Now that we provided the definition, let’s go back to Chainlink.

LINK/BTC has breached resistance of 6,200 satoshis on October 23. This triggered the breakout from the large inverse head and shoulders reversal pattern on the daily chart. The breakout looks really strong. On that day, the market generated volume that’s over 490% of its daily average. Pushed by heavy volume, LINK/BTC rallied to as high as 7,704 satoshis today, October 31.

Daily chart of LINK/BTC

This was a strong statement from bulls. Technical indicators show that they are flexing their muscles. The RSI is on a strong uptrend as it moves within an ascending channel. The continuous development of higher highs and higher lows reveals a rapidly growing bullish momentum. This is one of the reasons why we believe LINK/BTC may enter a parabolic state soon.

Bullish Pattern on the Weekly Chart

With the breakout from the inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart, we expect LINK/BTC to pull back for some time to allow for profit taking. The market must create a new base at 6,200 satoshis to keep its uptrend healthy. However, those who will be giving up their positions now might miss out on something big. We believe that the recent breakout is just the beginning.

Once the correction is over, LINK/BTC will likely go on a bullish rampage and take out the market’s heaviest resistance of 7,800 satoshis. If and when it does happen, Chainlink will break out of a large cup and handle structure on the weekly chart. It is at this point when Chainlink has the highest potential to go parabolic.

Weekly chart of LINK/BTC

In addition, we can see the weekly RSI starting to take the shape of a parabola. It is climbing so fast with shallow dips. As the RSI measures bullish momentum, many traders believe that it precedes price action. In other words, price follows the movement of the RSI. If that’s the case, then we may see LINK/BTC turn parabolic soon.

Bottom Line

LINK/BTC is up by over 222% from the bottom and it is showing no signs of stopping its ascent. It recently broke out of an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart. On top of that, the weekly chart shows that it is threatening to break out of a cup and handle pattern. These signs tell us that LINK/BTC may enter a parabolic state in the near future.

 

NOTE: a satoshi is the smallest unit of Bitcoin, which equals to 0.00000001 BTC.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.7 stars on average, based on 271 rated postsKiril is a CFA Charterholder and financial professional with 5+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. Lakshmana

    October 31, 2018 at 10:57 pm

    Looks like it’s happening. 🙂

  2. fermera_dany

    November 1, 2018 at 9:34 pm

    It is actually happening. Thanks a million, for that.
    Now a reasonable question – where to sell ?
    Would you mind give us a targets?
    Thank you in advance.

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Altcoins

Zcash Price Analysis: ZEC/USD Flood Gates Open After Breakout and Retest from Pennant

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  • ZEC/USD licking its wounds with deep double-digit losses as the market continues to take a beating.
  • Next major areas of support are eyed at currently levels around $89.50 and then $75.

Zcash has been under chunky selling pressure, no thanks to the larger weakness seen across the broader crypto market. The ZEC/USD exchange rate is nursing deep losses, running at two consecutive sessions firmly in the red. At the time of writing, the price has dropped over 25% in the last two sessions. This extended downside comes after a breach and retest from a pennant pattern.

ZEC/USD daily chart

ZEC/USD had moved within the above-mentioned technical set up since 12th September. The formation of this set up took shape following a deep market sell-off from the back-end of July to mid-September. Price behavior was very much consolidation mode, forming this pennant. Playing out to the textbook, a breakout from the set up was seen.

Further on the above, the firm daily breach came on the 14th November. The few daily sessions that followed this were within consolidation mode. Subtle retests underneath the broken pennant were seen. The Monday session saw the extension further south after the brief retest period. The bears smashed through the big psychological $100 mark, leading prices to the downside.

As a result of the above price developments, ZEC/USD selling pressure has forced a move on the current daily candlestick below a vital demand area. While the $105 – 95 range has proven to see buyers sweep in, sellers are proving to be too much to handle. This area previously served as a strong safety net, on 12th September, where decent buying came into play.

Support Levels

ZEC/USD weekly chart

Viewing the weekly chart, the bears are currently testing the lowest levels seen since May 2017 to the downside. This is seen just below the $90 level. Looking further south, the next major downside target is seen at the $75 area. This is a weekly support level, which was last in play back in April 2017, when the price started to pick up bull momentum.

A breach of the above-mentioned areas could be catastrophic. Eyes would then be on ZEC/USD potentially free-falling a further 50%, down within $40. This would be the next major consolidation area that could provide some firmer footing. The price last traded here in March 2017. This would be the very extreme scenario but cannot be ruled out.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 60 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Analysis

Bank Sector Likely to Show Steadiness as 2020 Presidential Election Cycle Looms

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About a month ago, we analyzed the financial sector where individual banks were considered for investment. This time, we are back to this sector again, since in the current conditions it cannot be ignored. This time, however, we are going to analyze ETFs that include financial sector papers.

When analyzing the S&P 500, there are doubts about its further growth, unless there’s a correction towards 2,400. But in order for such a correction to take place, some significant event must occur that will scare off investors and force them close their positions for a while, locking in profits. The S&P 500 reacts sensitively to the presidential elections and programs adopted by new US leaders.

For example, Barack Obama took over as president during the mortgage crisis, and he had to solve the problems of growing debt, which later exceeded 100% of GDP, and look for new ways to develop the economy after massive bankruptcies of companies. At that time, the S&P 500 lost 67% in 18 months and reached its 2002 lows, which was the result of the dotcom crisis. Later, however, Obama’s administration managed to find a solution by quantitative easing stimulus. The conditions for regulating the financial market, the crisis driver, were tightened, the financial service users protection was strengthened, and measures to reduce taxes, taken under Bush Jr., were prolonged.

As a result, investors calmed down, unemployment began to gradually decline, and the S&P 500 went up to conquer new highs, which continued throughout the 8 years of Barack Obama’s leadership. The only significant correction occurred a year before the start of Obama’s second term, as investors might have decided to hedge and cash off. Nevertheless, once it became clear that Barack Obama would step in for a second term, the S&P 500 rally continued. Thus, during Obama’s administration, the index went up by 314%.

In early 2015, however, the rise ended with a strong resistance at 2,130, which the S&P 500 was able to overcome only after the presidential elections won by Donald Trump. One of Trump’s campaign promises was a substantial tax cut that would allow the US economy to grow more rapidly. Such a strategy means an increase in companies’ profits through tax cuts in order to ensure the release of money for investment in new developments that make the US businesses more efficient and competitive in the global market. At the moment, we can see its positive results: the unemployment rate in the US has fallen to its 10-year low, the S&P 500 is at its historic highs, while the company earnings reports are breaking their own records.

In 2020, the next presidential elections will be held and, as history shows, a year before the market is usually uncertain until it receives confirmation that everything will stay the same. Thus, it will be difficult for the S&P 500 to break out 3,000 at once without a significant correction. There is a very big temptation to take a long position at current prices, as fundamental analysis does not show any negative sentiment in the markets. The companies’ reports, however, have been issued adjusted since Q2 2018, and, besides, as told above, tax cuts are a great contribution to an increase in profits. In this situation, it is important to pay attention to the rise in sales, and not to profits as such, since the earnings do not show how the companies are truly doing. Earnings and profits are worth taking into account only after Q2 2019 when it will be a year after the new accounting system has been implemented.

Take Facebook for example: the stock price has been down since the Q2 report, while the earnings hit the record high. In the Q3 report, the revenue was even higher, but the stock is still down, just because high profits are no longer a positive indicator. The investors want to see many more new users, while the number is actually decreasing.

Thus, over the next 6 months, the S&P is likely to trade rangebound. Then, the presidential elections will be drawing nearer, adding more pressure to the market because of the uncertainty.

Overall, the financial sector looks less risky, as, with good earnings, it will feel great, but even in case the earnings are not so good, companies will still have to pay their debts to the banks. In addition, the Fed is very likely to continue rate hikes, which will lead to an additional profit flow.

An unexpected crisis may be the only negative factor here, but in this case any investment will be in the red.

Among financial ETFs, one may consider a few funds with over $1M managed money.

iShares US Financial Services ETF (IYF), $1.77B managed, 35% in the banking services sector, 12% in the investment banking sector.

If we break down the banking sector, the top three are JPMorgan Chase (7.13%), Bank of America (5.00%), and Wells Fargo (4.47%).

In the investment banking, 8.32% accounts for the Warren Edward Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Fund.

The next one is iShares US Financial Services ETF (IYG), with $1.7B managed. The banking sector accounts for 52.83% of the fund’s portfolio. The top three are JPMorgan Chase (12.36%), Bank of America (8.66%), and Wells Fargo (7.75%).

Yet another fund one may pay attention to is Fidelity MSCI Financials Index ETF (FNCL), with $1.27B managed. The banking sector accounts for 51.71% of the fund’s portfolio. The top three are again JPMorgan Chase (9.84%), Bank of America (7.05%), and Wells Fargo (6.42%). This fund, as well as the iShares US Financial Services ETF (IYF) has a Berkshire Hathaway investment in its portfolio (7.30%).

By Dmitriy Gurkovsky, Chief Analyst at RoboMarkets

Disclaimer
Any predictions contained herein are based on the authors’ particular opinion. This analysis shall not be treated as trading advice. RoboMarkets shall not be held liable for the results of the trades arising from relying upon trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 18 rated postsHaving majored in both Social Psychology and Economics, I went on to continue my education in post graduate. Later I worked as a team lead of a tech and fundamental analysis lab in the Applied System Analysis Research Institute. This helped me to acquire all necessary skills and experience to become a successful trader and analyst, as well as a portfolio manager in an investment company. I'm a pro in the financial field and the author of articles for various international media. I also hold the position of Chief Analyst at RoboMarkets.




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Analysis

Pre-Market Analysis And Chartbook: Risk-Off Trade Still On as Stocks Plunge Globally

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Tuesday Market Snapshot

Asset Current Value Daily Change
S&P 500 2,640 -2.17%
DAX 30 11,054 -1.68%
WTI Crude Oil 54.04 -4.81%
GOLD 1,223 -0.15%
Bitcoin 4,604 -2.75%
EUR/USD 1.1392 -0.52%

The broad risk-off shift that we have been following in recent months continues to be the dominant force in global financial markets, and today, global stock markets and the majority of risk assets are deep in the red again.

With no progress in the main issues, such as the Brexit process, the US-China trade talks, and the Italian budget debate, the major benchmarks are near or at their October lows, while currencies continue to trade in corrective patterns, due mainly to the dip in US Treasury yields.

DAX 30 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The German DAX index and the Nasdaq are still in the center of attention, being among the weakest major benchmarks, and the prior leaders of the US bull are all under heavy selling pressure. The DAX is testing its October lows as we speak following the release of the strong German Producer Price Index (+0.3% on a monthly basis), with the all-time low in the shares of Deutsche Bank (DB) weighing heavily on the index.

A sustained new low, with a move towards 10,000 would cement the bear market in the key benchmark, and it would be another warning sign for bulls globally, even if a year-end feel good rally materializes in equities.

XHB, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

US stock futures suffered heavy losses overnight, extending yesterday’s intraday trend and in the case of the Nasdaq and the Dow, violating key support levels in the process. The homebuilder sector was once again in the center of attention in pre-market trading, with Building Permits and Housing Starts both coming out before the opening bell, the two measures ticked higher, in line with expectations, and that’s already something to cheer about in the sector following yesterday’s dismal NAHB Index.

The sector’s main ETF fell sharply this year, but thanks to the recent dip in Treasury yields, it started to show early signs of stability, and now, a period of relative strength could be ahead, which could reset the bearish sentiment, even as the long-term outlook is still plagued by the decade-long highs in mortgage yields.

Dollar Attempts Rally of Key Levels as Pound Continues to Struggle

GBP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The US Dollar bounced off yesterday’s lows amid the deepening risk selloff, but for now, it remains well below its recent highs against the Euro and especially compared to the safe-haven assets such as the Yen and gold. The Pound, which has seen heightened volatility in recent weeks is hovering above last week’s lows near 1.27 against the Greenback.

The pair looks ready to test that level in the coming days, with the Pound, and British assets in general showing weakness due to the uncertainty surrounding the Brexit process.

WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The risk-off shift has also been hurting crude oil today, and the weak bounce following last week’s crash is fading away, despite the still deeply oversold momentum readings.

We continue to expect a larger scale bounce in the commodity, even as the WTI contract is already testing the lows from last week due to today’s sharp selloff. With that in mind, opening short positions is not advised here, although until a short-term trend change bulls should also stay on the sidelines.

ChartBook

Major Stock Indices

S&P 500 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Nasdaq 100 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Dow 30 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

VIX (US Volatility Index), 4-Hour Chart Analysis

FTSE 100 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EuroStoxx50 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Nikkei 225 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Shanghai Composite Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EEM (Emerging Markets ETF), 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Forex

EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

USD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EUR/GBP, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

AUD/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Commodities

Gold Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Copper Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Featured image from Shutterstock

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 399 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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