Crypto Update: Altcoin Crash Continues, Ethereum Hits $250 as Bitcoin Holds Up

The cryptocurrency segment endured another ugly overnight session, with the major altcoins plunging by double digits across the board yet again. The total value of the market is now handily below the $200 billion mark after the latest selloff, and despite the deeply oversold momentum readings, there is still no sign of even a short-term bottom, and our trend model continues to flash red too.

While Liteocin and Monero provided a glimmer of hope for bulls during the initial phases of the current leg lower, the coins that are among the laggards from a long-term perspective followed the broader market below support later on. With no bullish leadership forming, the strong downtrend is still dominant and traders should still remain defensive, despite the already heavy losses in the segment.

That said, in time, a more durable bottom is likely close, thanks to the negative sentiment and the oversold environment, but percentage-wise, further steep losses could be ahead.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum is still in the epicenter of the decline, with a more than 15% daily decline, as the coin quickly got below the $275 level just after violating the $300 support, and even touched 4250 in early trading. The second largest coin fell through key zones without even a blink, and that points to forced liquidations in the market.

The coin is still on sell signals on both time-frames and traders still shouldn’t enter new positions. Support is now found at $260 and $230, while resistance is ahead between $275 and $280, and near $300.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While sellers have been trying to push Bitcoin below the $6000 level amid the altcoin rout, the coin always managed to bounce back so far, and it continues to hold up clearly above the structurally important $5850 level.

The coin is still in a bullish secular trend and while the long-term picture is overwhelmingly bearish in the segment, the strength of the largest coin might be the basis of a coming recovery.  That said, the short-term downtrend is clearly negative in the BTC, and traders shouldn’t enter new positions. Resistance is still ahead at $6275, $6500, $6750, and $7000, while initial support is at $6000, while further support is found between $5000 and $5100.

Relentless Selling in Altcoins

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple still resembles a falling knife, similarly to most of the majors, and the coin continues to slide lower, as last week’s break-down led to a series of support breaches. The coin is now down by 40% in a bit more than a week, and it is currently testing the strong support zone near $0.26 after spiking briefly below it overnight. Should XRP hold above the spike low, traders could be looking for signs of a bottom, but for the coin is still on a clear sell signal.

XMR/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

With the smaller coins also being hammered lower, there is no real hiding place beside BTC in the segment, and yesterday’s slightly strong coins also broke down overnight. Monero violated the key long-term support near $80, which served as a base for the late-2017 run-up, and the coin is trying to hold its ground above that after the spike lower. While the downtrend is clearly intact, and the short- and long-term sell signals are in place, a recovery above $90, could point to the exhaustion of sellers.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Author:
Trader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.
Comments
  • Thanks for your great updates Matt. Your analysis is always spot on. Get out of most of my positions well before this crash and once again enjoying watching prices get cheaper instead if watching my balance get destroyed. Good to find honest analysis instead of most of the other guys out there just telling people what they want to hear.

  • Any recommendations? Do you sell all coins? What coins will survive? I’m doing research but just wondering what you think will happen? Is this an extinction level event for altcoins? Which ones/

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