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Crypto Update: 5 Altcoins to Watch this Week

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Out of the five altcoins included on last week’s list, four made interesting moves. Ethereum (ETH/BTC) was the star as it defied overbought signals and rallied by as much as 14.73% last week. On the other hand, both Decred (DCR/BTC) and Bitshares (BTS/BTC) bounced while Stratis (STRAT/BTC) breached immediate support to the delight of bargain hunters.

This week, we continue to look at altcoins that are ripe for a rally. Here are the five altcoins to watch this week.

Ripple (XRP/BTC)

Ripple’s performance last week was unforgettable. The market had an opportunity to break out of the rising wedge on the daily chart. However, it generated a large red weekly candle that drove the price down to the diagonal support. The next 24 hours are crucial for the market.

Daily chart of XRP/BTC

The good news for the bulls is that Ripple is oversold on both the 4-hour and 1-hour charts. In addition, the volume is still thin indicating consolidation rather than a bearish breakdown. These signals tell us that Ripple is due for a rally. If it does, it might finally take out the diagonal resistance and break out of the wedge.

On the other hand, failure to bounce here might ignite panic selling and send the market down to the 100 moving average on the daily chart.

Stellar Lumens (XLM/BTC)

Stellar Lumens has spent last week trading near support of 0.0000295. The market’s ability to stay above this level is bullish as it shows accumulation. More importantly, XLM/BTC appears to be forming a durable bottom with a double bottom pattern on the daily chart.

Daily chart of XLM/BTC

With this setup, we can expect the market to rally to immediate resistance of 0.00003303. Take that out and the next resistance is 0.00003835.

On the off chance that Stellar Lumens breaches support of 0.0000295, the market will likely turn extremely bearish.

ChainLink (LINK/BTC)

On our December 31, 2018 trade recommendation, we spotted the formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern on ChainLink. We expected a breakout and a rally to between 0.00011 and 0.00012. These calls played out beautifully as the market rallied to our target a few days after our recommendation.

Currently, ChainLink is pulling back. This gives those who missed the chance to enter at a lower price. You can set bids between 0.000085 and 0.000090.

 

ChainLink’s 1-hour chart

With the 50 MA and 100 MA acting as resistance on the hourly, the market can rely on the 200 MA that is likely to act as support.

SONM (SNM/BTC)

Just like Stellar Lumens, SONM appears to be carving a tradeable bottom. It has spent most of December in 2018 range trading between 0.00000515 and 0.00000606. For bargain hunters and bottom pickers, these are good levels to accumulate positions.

Daily chart of SNM/BTC

A quick look at the daily chart shows that SONM appears to be creating an inverse head and shoulders pattern that may reverse its trend. The key level to break out is 0.00000734. Take that out and the market may rally to as high as 0.00000938 in the near-term.

A breach of 0.00000515 support is extremely bearish. Have tight stop losses if you plan on entering the market.

KyberNetwork (KNC/BTC)

KyberNetwork is in the same boat as Stellar Lumens and SONM. The market seems to be bottoming out at support of 0.0000356. In the process, it looks to be creating an inverse head and shoulders pattern.

12-hour chart of KNC/BTC

If our read is correct, we can expect KyberNetwork to take out range midpoint of 0.00004291 and rally to 0.000005038 soon. Otherwise, it will revisit support of 0.0000356.

Bottom Line

All five altcoins included on this week’s list are trading near key support levels. We think these markets are in an accumulation phase, which suggests possible rallies in the coming days.

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.8 stars on average, based on 309 rated postsKiril is a CFA Charterholder and financial professional with 5+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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Analysis

3 Things You Need to Know About the Market Today: Trade Rally, Pound Pullback, Tesla Worries

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1, Trade Optimism Drives Rally in Stocks, Oil

Shanghai Composite, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The US government is mulling to lift or ease some of the trade tariffs on Chinese goods, at least according to the reports that surfaced yesterday, and although the rumors were promptly denied by the Treasury, risk assets have been pushing higher ever since. Global stocks are trading at 1-month highs, with understandably, the major US indices and China leading the way higher. We expect further gestures by the two sides in the coming weeks, as the talks progress, but a final agreement could still be months away.

The most affected commodities, such as copper and oil are also up today, and but as we noted this weekend, the oversold rally in risk assets is stretched now. Also, even as the weaker global benchmarks, such as the Shanghai Composite have joined the party, the clear economic slowdown and the bearish technicals make the current environment hostile for bulls

2, Pound Retreats After Hitting 2-Month High Above 1.30

GBP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Besides the Trade War saga, the likely delay of the Brexit deadline has been making waves all week long, and Pound bulls seem to like the idea of a possible “soft” deal with the European Union. The currency hit its highest level against the Dollar since mid-November, topping the 1.30 level, while British stocks are also trading near their 2019 highs.

Prime Minister Theresa May pledged to include the opposition parties following Wednesday’s no-confidence vote, but for now, even starting the talks is challenging, even though the government labeled the first talks “constructive”. In any case, with the chances of a no-deal Brexit being low right now, the Pound could enjoy further gains, especially as long as the global risk rally lasts.

3, Tesla Disappoints With Guidance, Cuts Workforce by 7%

Tesla (TSLA), 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While it held up very well during the recent tumroil in the stock market, Elon Musk’s crown jewel, Tesla (TSLA) has been down by as much as 8% today in pre-market trading after warning investors that the electric car maker will likely turn a smaller-than-expected profit in the coming quarter. Tesla is struggling to ramp up the production of the Model 3, while also facing difficulties to hit its cost goal with regards to its “mass” product.

With the traditional car makers slowly but surely closing in on the company, and given the looming cash flow issues, the coming quarters will crucial for the Musk. The company just avoided bankruptcy in its early days, and some bears think that the fierce competition and the production issues could lead to a crisis yet again. The company’s workforce skyrocketed in recent years, and today CEO Musk also announced that it will lay off 7%, approximately 3000 workers, to cut costs after the expansion. He stated that,

“We unfortunately have no choice but to reduce full-time employee headcount by approximately 7%, we grew by 30% last year, which is more than we can support, and retain only the most critical temps and contractors (…)”

While today, earnings reports will be few and far between, Netflix (NFLX) will also be in focus after reporting yesterday in after-hours trading, and for now, the streaming giant is also trading lower despite the broad overnight rally in stocks.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 443 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

Stellar Price Analysis: Grayscale Announces XLM Based Trust; XLM/USD Stuck Within Bearish Structure

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  • Global digital asset management firm, Grayscale, has announced an investment vehicle based around XLM.
  • XLM/USD is moving within the confinements of a bearish pattern structure, subject to a breakout south.

XLM/USD has been subject to very narrow and choppy trading, which has been going on for the past eight sessions now. Price action is moving within a range-block formation, which is seen across the board with several of its peers. This type of behavior does indicate of some potential vulnerabilities to the downside.

The current consolidation mode taken up came into play after a prior period of range-trading, which saw a deep breakout on 10th January. XLM/USD had plummeted by a hefty 20% to its lowest levels seen since 17th December. Despite the mid-December bull run, which was seen to the end of the month, it has not escaped the bear market. Therefore, bull rallies continue to be sold with some force by the bears.

Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust

Grayscale Investments, a global digital asset management organization, has announced the launch of an investment vehicle based on Stellar Lumens (XLM). This is aimed at giving investors exposure to the cryptocurrency XLM. It is the sixth largest by market cap, just over the $2 billion mark, at the time of writing.

The asset management company tweeted via their official account, “We are excited to announce two big developments! First, today marks the launch of Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust! Investors can now gain exposure to the price movement of XLM through a traditional investment vehicle.”

Grayscale’s Managing Director, Michael Sonnenshein, noted that this Stellar product that they have introduced was brought in on the back of investor demand. Furthermore, he details that Grayscale’s push to offer investors exposure to “established blockchain projects with substantial traction and resources.” Sonnenshein lastly concluded by noting he is bullish on Stellar and the real use cases that it brings.

Technical Review – XLM/USD

XLM/USD daily chart. Price action is moving within triangular structure.

Price action is currently moving within a triangular pattern structure. XLM/USD has been trading within this since the start of December. The lower support was tested to the downside on 14th December at around $0.094000-$0.093500 prior to the big bounce. Life kicked back into the bulls, forcing the rally up to the tracking resistance, around $0.131500. Furthermore, the pattern has further been confirmed, with several tests to the lower and upper acting trend lines.

Lastly, in terms of the described structure, it can also be perceived as a bearish pennant formation, which again point to downside. Support is currently tracking around the $0.107000 area, and a failure to hold will see the December low retested to the downside, $0.093500. Immediate resistance can be observed at $0.120000-$0.1215000.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

 

 

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 110 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Altcoins

XRP Price Analysis: XRP/USD Behavior is Demonstrating Strong Downside Vulnerabilities

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  • Ripple’s XRP was trading up with modest gains in the latter part of Wednesday, just some 0.60%.
  • XRP/USD continues to move within a narrowing range-block formation. The price is subject to a breakout, with risks pointing to the downside.

Recent Price Behavior

Ripple’s XRP is seen holding very modest gains of 0.6% in the latter part of Thursday’s session. Price action remains limited, given the narrow trading range, in which it is moving in. There is a lack of commitment from both sellers and buyers, and as a result a range-block formation can be eyed. XRP/USD has been within the confinements of this for the past seven sessions now. Currently, there aren’t any technical suggestions of the bulls recovering and picking up the mid-December momentum again.

Given the above-detailed price behaviour, risks point to the downside. One of the key reasons for this is XRP/USD moved into consolidation mode after a recent hard fall on 10th January. Prior to the drop, the price was trading sideways, which was seen from 19th December, apart from the freak spike to $0.46 on 24th December. A technical breakout was then observed, as mentioned on 10th January, where XRP/USD dropped a huge 20%. Keeping in mind the described recent journey for the price, similar movements are currently playing out.

Range-block

XRP/USD 4-hour chart.

A breakout is imminent, given that price action is getting tighter. It is worth noting the key levels around this range-block. In terms of the lower support, this should be noted at the $0.3200 mark, the recent low area of 13-14th January. The upper part of this technical formation is eyed at $0.3450, the high from 11th and 14th January.

If the bears manage to force a breach of the above-described, then XRP/USD will quickly be forced to give up the psychological $0.3000 mark. A large area of demand is seen tracking from $0.3000-$0.2500. This has proven to find strong buyers on several occasions – December 2017, August and September 2018.

Furthermore, to see XRP/USD fly the way it has in the past will require a serious amount of upside momentum. Given all of this sideways trading and consolidating, the price is building new areas for itself to have to break down. In terms of upside resistance, this should be noted running from $0.3500 up to $0.4000. Lastly, the price as mentioned earlier, was ranging here between 19th December to 10th January.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

 

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 110 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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