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Crypto Pullback – Where’s the Support?

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Looks like we have some panic selling on the top cryptos this morning.

Ripple has slipped below support of $1.5 per XRP and bitcoin has just fallen through $12,000.

The reason for the sell-off is not quite clear but we can see reduced volumes from Japan and South Korea who are usually the ones doing the heavy buying in this market.

In today’s market webinar we’re going to talk about where might be a good place to buy this dip and how to position your portfolio during this kind of pullback.

The webinar will be at 15:00 GMT and is open to everyone.

https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1157869693061562371

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

  • Good Returns
  • Swiss Depreciation
  • Crypto Pullback – How low can you go?

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of January 16th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Traditional markets

Today investors on Wall Street will be coming back from their long weekend in a particularly good mood. The stocks have been flying in Asia so far this year and the Europeans have done a good job recouping the losses from December.

Wall Street herself has been having a record year so far so as long as these trends continue…

Even the bond market, which gave us a bit of a fright last week seems to be cooling down. The US 20 year treasuries have found support at 122.5 and are now holding near their yearly average price.

Swiss Event Today

Thomas Jordan rarely moves the markets but when he does, he does big. Today he will be speaking at the University of Zurich and delivering a speech about how money is created. A subject I’m sure we all would like to know more about.

No doubt he’ll be talking about how the central banks of the world have increased the amount of money in the system over the last decade and how the local banks have leveraged this money.

What he probably should be talking about is how to reduce the money supply from a system that is flooded with capital.

We’ll be watching his speech today with great interest, which will take place at 18:00 Swiss time. Just after our webinar. 😉

For reference, here’s a chart of the Euro against the Swiss Franc. Just about every large movement on this chart, and there are quite a few notable ones, have been created by Mr. Jordan. So it pays to pay attention to what he says.

The Crypto Pullback

The pullback seems to be coming from a lack of volumes in Asia. Cryptotraders in Japan and South Korea tend to dominate this market but so far this year have been notably silent.

Reports from Bloomberg of a further crackdown in China are not helping things but the real story here is Japan.

Japan was the first country in the world to fully legalize bitcoin as a currency last March and investments in BTC have reportedly raised the countries GDP significantly. The digital currency frenzy is also making a blockbuster entrance into Japanese Pop Culture with the new girl band…

So to see Japanese Bitcoin volumes of just 11% of the market at 18:00 Tokyo time is kind of odd.

My best guess is that Japanese and Korean traders are simply tired of paying the premium and are waiting for the market to even out. The price per bitcoin in these two countries is usually more than 25% above the prices in the West. So they might just be taking a step back, waiting for the FUD to blow over and get a better entry price.

The issue is that the markets have gone up so quickly that they didn’t have enough time to build in proper support. Here we can see that bitcoin does have some temporary support at the moment but if it does fall through it we could easily find ourselves below $10,000 pretty quickly and that’s a scary thought for some.

Whatever is causing this pullback it is making a lot of people nervous, which is why we should always remember that even though crypto has been the best performing asset class in history over the last year it’s still incredibly risky. No doubt many will see this dip as an excellent opportunity to get in but anybody who bought at the top is not doing well at the moment.

Hope to see you in the webinar. Let’s have an awesome day ahead!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation. The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro. Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose. Cryptocurrencies can widely fluctuate in prices and are not appropriate for all investors. Trading cryptocurrencies is not supervised by any EU regulatory framework.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 133 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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3 Comments

3 Comments

  1. mkyle13

    January 17, 2018 at 10:31 am

    I clicked the webinar link but it took me to a recording. Is there live one today?

    Thanks,

    Matt

  2. BAGGYSPORT

    January 17, 2018 at 10:36 am

    at last someone trying give a clear reason why this dip in prices.
    well written, thanks

  3. ggonzaga

    January 17, 2018 at 4:57 pm

    I am unable to attend the webinar, but I am interested in the content. Is there any way I can see the recording later today? Please let me know if anyone can help.

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Altcoins

Ravencoin (RVN) Arrives With 118% Weekly Growth Ahead of Mainnet Launch

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Ravencoin (RVN) made its entry into the market cap top one-hundred on Sunday, propelled by a Binance listing, and 118% sustained growth over the course of the week.

Trade volumes for the asset-creation coin hit all-time highs on Thursday, rising an incredible 23,000% from $212,000 to $49 million within the space of ten days.

Ravencoin has been around since 2017, and the upcoming mainnet launch on October 31st marks the one year anniversary of the coin’s creation. It also marks the ten year anniversary of the release of the Bitcoin whitepaper by Satoshi Nakamoto.

RVN Rising

Ravencoin was going relatively unnoticed until it gained a Binance listing on October 11th. As you can see from the chart below, the Binance listing completely changed the coin’s fortunes.

Indeed, if we look at the source of today’s $49 million worth of trades we see that Binance has housed just under 85% of the total.

In the past week the coin rose 118% in value, climbing from $0.017300 up to Sunday’s peak of $0.037732. Since the date of the Binance listing the coin is up 172% in value, and finds itself among the market cap top-eighty.

What Is Ravencoin?

The Ravencoin protocol is open-source and available to the public, and focuses on the creation of digital assets on its Proof-of-Work (PoW) blockchain.

The blockchain itself is secured by sixteen different hashing algorithms, all of which are rotated on a non-patterned basis. The algorithm changes depending on the final digits in the preceding block hash, making it impossible to predict by ASIC mining machines.

As stated in the initial release notes last year:

“The core developers are currently focused on building the asset layer which will allow Ravencoin to facilitate the transfer of assets.  There is a hard-fork planned for the network to implement this additional asset layer in around October/November 2018 time frame.”

The devs appear to have held true to that time frame, and the mainnet upgrade is expected to go ahead as planned on October 31st.

The release notes state that no premine was used, nor are there any developer rewards. The blockchain is intended to be a Bitcoin for digital asset creation, and according to the official documentation:

“Assets can come in a variety of types, such as financial instruments such as security tokens/stocks/bonds/deeds/etc as well as gaming items (ex. a sword)/conventional asset management/managing  distributions for co-ops/digital art. There are a lot of real-world applications that this blockchain is intended to disrupt and improve.”

More can be read about the coin’s unique hashing algorithm, known as X16R, in the dedicated whitepaper provided in the Ravencoin release.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 81 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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Altcoins

Minor Bounce Lifts Crypto Market Cap Above $211 Billion; Tether Circulation Plummets

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Crypto prices traded modestly higher on Sunday, as bitcoin regained its footing above $6,500 and major altcoins avoided further losses.

Market Update

The cryptocurrency market capitalization on Sunday peaked at $212 billion, the highest in five days. At the time of writing, the market was valued at $211.5 billion.

Most assets ranked in the top-20 had reported minor gains over the last 24 hours, a period marked by lower trade volumes. The bitcoin price has returned above $6,500 on trade volumes of just $3.2 billion. The leading digital currency continues to trade at a premium on Bitfinex.

Meanwhile, Ethereum rose half a percent to $206. XRP also climbed 0.5% to $0.459. Bitcoin cash was last seen trading above $449 for a gain of 1.6%.

Stellar XLM was the only top-ten coin not to report gains at the time of writing. However, the no. 6 coin by market cap has returned more than 13% over the past week, far outpacing the broader market.

Trade volumes have declined steadily over the past week, as markets re-balanced following a sudden spike on Oct. 15. Digital exchange volumes have fallen to $9.7 billion on Sunday, according to CoinMarketCap.

Tether Market Cap Plunges

Since the start of October, Tether has pulled more than $600 million worth of USDT out of circulation, leading to a sharp drop in the stablecoin’s market cap. Cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex, which is run by the same executive in charge of Tether Limited, appears to be leading in the offload of USDT tokens. As CCN recently reported, Bitfinex has initiated six transfers of USDT funds to the Tether Treasury this month. The latest transfer was initiated on Wednesday when Bitfinex sent 50 million USDT to the Treasury.

Most of the outflows from Bitfinex occurred long before USDT lost its peg to the dollar in a single-day crash on Oct. 15. USDT briefly fell below $0.90 that day before quickly recovering around $0.94. Currently, one USDT is equivalent to $0.984 U.S., according to CoinMarketCap. Some exchanges are quoting USDT as low as $0.96 on Sunday.

The sudden decline in Tether’s circulation comes at a time when the company is facing heightened scrutiny over its dollar-backed reserves. An influx of alternative stablecoins offering greater transparency and regulatory oversight may also be undercutting demand for USDT.

Case in point: the Gemini Exchange’s GUSD stablecoin reached a high of $1.19 on Tuesday before settling around parity against the dollar. Unlike USDT, the Gemini Dollar has obtained regulatory approval from the New York Department of Financial Services. On the opposite side of the spectrum, Tether has been subpoenaed by federal regulators over its connection with Bitfinex and failure to prove its dollar reserves.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 648 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Altcoins

TRON (TRX) Transactions Outnumber Ethereum’s Thanks to TRONbet Gambling App

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For the past year much of Justin Sun’s time was spent trash-talking Ethereum on Twitter, while talking up the future potential of his own TRON blockchain.

Such behaviour once made it easy to dismiss Sun as a mere troll, however it now looks like TRX might actually be gearing up to do battle with ETH based on its rapidly growing number of users and transactions.

TRX Transactions Soar

The amount of transactions on the TRON blockchain outnumbered that of Ethereum for the first time ever this week. In the three day period between Oct 18th and Oct 20th, TRX transactions outpaced their ETH counterparts by several tens of thousands.

The sudden jump in transactions comes in large part from the recently launched TRON-based gambling app, TRONbet. According to Sunday morning’s tweet from the TRONbet team:

“Amazing start for #TRON with http://tronbet.io doing almost 180k Txs a day! Almost 30% of all Txs! 165,000,000 $trx won by users. @justinsuntron @Tronfoundation has shown us the endless possibilities!”

The 180,000 transactions mentioned helped to boost total TRX transactions from 222,000 on October 17th, up to Friday’s peak of 630,000. Going back to October 10th, the total number of TRX transactions was in the 80,000 range, meaning the last ten days have seen a 687% increase to transaction volume.

Justin Sun marked the occasion with a celebratory tweet, stating:

“Ethereum has 82,418 Txs pending today. It is the second day that #TRON has surpassed #ETH in daily Txs. 10/18 #TRX 599,677 vs. ETH 565,971; 10/19 $TRX 630,018 vs. ETH 601,119. All ETH developers need to migrate to TRON immediately with 0 cost!”

Smart Contracts

One can only speculate on where the rest of the TRON transactions came from, but according to TRXPLORER.io, the vast majority of them were triggered by smart contracts:

“Yesterday we had the highest spike of transactions on #TRON network with almost 600k transactions in a day! 77% of those transactions were Smart Contracts that were triggered!”

To provide some perspective, it took the TRON blockchain four months to achieve the number of transactions that Ethereum achieved in nearly three and a half years.

A skeptic may demand to know exactly where these transactions are coming from, after all, even Ethereum has seen huge increases to transaction volumes thanks purely to pointless smart contracts which move the same funds between multiple addresses.

As covered here previously, October has been a productive month for TRON. The number of accounts created on the blockchain recently outpaced EOS, gaining 100,000 more new accounts than EOS in the previous four month period.

Meanwhile, a quick glance at Google Trend analysis for ‘TRON’ searches compared to ‘Ethereum’ reveals that TRON is being searched for more than its older counterpart.

The chart shows the same pattern for ‘TRX’ searches compared to ‘ETH’.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 81 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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