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Crypto Pullback – Where’s the Support?

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Looks like we have some panic selling on the top cryptos this morning.

Ripple has slipped below support of $1.5 per XRP and bitcoin has just fallen through $12,000.

The reason for the sell-off is not quite clear but we can see reduced volumes from Japan and South Korea who are usually the ones doing the heavy buying in this market.

In today’s market webinar we’re going to talk about where might be a good place to buy this dip and how to position your portfolio during this kind of pullback.

The webinar will be at 15:00 GMT and is open to everyone.

https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1157869693061562371

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

  • Good Returns
  • Swiss Depreciation
  • Crypto Pullback – How low can you go?

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of January 16th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Traditional markets

Today investors on Wall Street will be coming back from their long weekend in a particularly good mood. The stocks have been flying in Asia so far this year and the Europeans have done a good job recouping the losses from December.

Wall Street herself has been having a record year so far so as long as these trends continue…

Even the bond market, which gave us a bit of a fright last week seems to be cooling down. The US 20 year treasuries have found support at 122.5 and are now holding near their yearly average price.

Swiss Event Today

Thomas Jordan rarely moves the markets but when he does, he does big. Today he will be speaking at the University of Zurich and delivering a speech about how money is created. A subject I’m sure we all would like to know more about.

No doubt he’ll be talking about how the central banks of the world have increased the amount of money in the system over the last decade and how the local banks have leveraged this money.

What he probably should be talking about is how to reduce the money supply from a system that is flooded with capital.

We’ll be watching his speech today with great interest, which will take place at 18:00 Swiss time. Just after our webinar. 😉

For reference, here’s a chart of the Euro against the Swiss Franc. Just about every large movement on this chart, and there are quite a few notable ones, have been created by Mr. Jordan. So it pays to pay attention to what he says.

The Crypto Pullback

The pullback seems to be coming from a lack of volumes in Asia. Cryptotraders in Japan and South Korea tend to dominate this market but so far this year have been notably silent.

Reports from Bloomberg of a further crackdown in China are not helping things but the real story here is Japan.

Japan was the first country in the world to fully legalize bitcoin as a currency last March and investments in BTC have reportedly raised the countries GDP significantly. The digital currency frenzy is also making a blockbuster entrance into Japanese Pop Culture with the new girl band…

So to see Japanese Bitcoin volumes of just 11% of the market at 18:00 Tokyo time is kind of odd.

My best guess is that Japanese and Korean traders are simply tired of paying the premium and are waiting for the market to even out. The price per bitcoin in these two countries is usually more than 25% above the prices in the West. So they might just be taking a step back, waiting for the FUD to blow over and get a better entry price.

The issue is that the markets have gone up so quickly that they didn’t have enough time to build in proper support. Here we can see that bitcoin does have some temporary support at the moment but if it does fall through it we could easily find ourselves below $10,000 pretty quickly and that’s a scary thought for some.

Whatever is causing this pullback it is making a lot of people nervous, which is why we should always remember that even though crypto has been the best performing asset class in history over the last year it’s still incredibly risky. No doubt many will see this dip as an excellent opportunity to get in but anybody who bought at the top is not doing well at the moment.

Hope to see you in the webinar. Let’s have an awesome day ahead!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation. The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro. Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose. Cryptocurrencies can widely fluctuate in prices and are not appropriate for all investors. Trading cryptocurrencies is not supervised by any EU regulatory framework.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 142 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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3 Comments

3 Comments

  1. mkyle13

    January 17, 2018 at 10:31 am

    I clicked the webinar link but it took me to a recording. Is there live one today?

    Thanks,

    Matt

  2. BAGGYSPORT

    January 17, 2018 at 10:36 am

    at last someone trying give a clear reason why this dip in prices.
    well written, thanks

  3. ggonzaga

    January 17, 2018 at 4:57 pm

    I am unable to attend the webinar, but I am interested in the content. Is there any way I can see the recording later today? Please let me know if anyone can help.

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Altcoins

STEEM Coin on the Move While Steemit Loses 20 Million Visitors in Six Months

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One of the three currencies which fuel the Steemit blockchain-based social media site, Steem (STEEM) gained 22% in the previous two days. Despite the increased price movement in January, monthly visitors and unique account creations continue to plumb new yearly lows on the Steemit social media website.

STEEM Price

STEEM’s recovery has been slow in coming – the coin gained 43% from December into January, however most of that came in the last forty-eight hours. Compare that to major and mid-cap altcoins such as Tron (TRX), Zilliqa (ZIL) and Augur (REP) which gained over 100% in that time, and you see a major discrepancy.

From Monday through to Wednesday STEEM went on a 22% run which carried the coin price from $0.249836 up to $0.306033. Trades against Korean won on the Upbit exchange accounted for more than 40% of the day’s trades, or around $1.2 million of the $2.7 million daily total.

Steemit Cools Down

After suffering the indignity of laying off a majority of its staff back in November, Steemit continues to hold on despite plummeting numbers.

Remarkably, the Steemit social media site lost almost 20 million monthly visitors in the last six months – a 61% drop off from the 30.8 million visitors in July, to the current 11.9 monthly visitors according to SimilarWeb. New account creations are also down 83% in the last six days alone, however statistics show that new users tend to flood in whenever the coin price pumps – even if just for a brief time.

CCN reported back in May of 2018 that Steemit had surpassed one million accounts created on the blockchain. This was a startling figure at the time, and grabbed a lot of headlines. However, Steemit statistics from the time suggest the number of unique users was actually much less – closer to 150,000 according to this chart from Steemit’s @arcange.

Follow the Money

The same chart shows that January of 2018 remains Steemit’s most successful month. The site gained close to 120,000 new users in the sixty days leading up to January’s all-time high, when the coin price climbed as high as $8.57.

As the coin fell to a twenty-month low in December, unique accounts on the blockchain also fell to eighteen-month lows in the process. A major increase to new account creations was seen on January 9th, as STEEM went on a similar 23% price spike, and 4,108 new users flocked to Steemit in one day.

Stats courtesy of Steemit’s @penguinpablo

By six days later, new registrations had fallen back to 695 per day, as STEEM’s gains from the previous few days were wiped out.

Steemit launched back in early 2016, and has divided opinion since its inception. Check out this recent primer for an up to date summary of Steemit and its features.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 123 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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Cryptocurrencies

Perpetual Tron (TRX) Trading Goes Live on OKEx… With a Warning!

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It’s been a busy twenty-four hours for the Tron ecosystem. First the ABCC Exchange became the first to list Tron’s TRC10-standard token, then OKCoin unveiled a batch of new crypto and fiat pairs for TRX, including the Argentine peso, the U.S dollar, as well as a host of major altcoins.

By Wednesday morning news was making the rounds that the OKEx exchange had added TRX to its Perpetual Swap contracts. Unlike Futures Contracts offered by OKEx, perpetual swaps don’t expire, and allow for daily settlements at a regular set time. However, they demand daily interest payments, and carry increased risk.

OKEx even saw reason to calculate TRX’s risk differently from other digital currencies, owing to its increased volatility. Wednesday’s announcement warned users:

“Risk Warning: Tron (TRX) is more volatile comparing to other digital assets. Please make sure that you understand the risk involved when trading TRX swaps.”

OKEx Adds Perpetual TRX

That claim about Tron being more volatile is true enough. After declining by more than 50% last week alone, TRX is still up more than 129% since late November – such is the extent of its volatility.

Tron founder and CEO tweeted out the OKEx news on Wednesday morning, accompanied by a blog post explaining the fees for perpetual swaps on the exchange. OKEx processed just over half a billion dollars worth of trades in the previous day, with TRX/USDT, TRX/BTC and TRX/ETH making up 5% of Tron’s total daily changeover.

For more on perpetual swap contracts, check out OKEx’s own twelve-step guide – an ironic number given that’s the same amount of steps it’ll take to wean you off them later.

Tron Price – TRX/USD

Volatility has been more difficult to come this week. TRX traded between $0.024 and $0.026 fairly predictably since Monday. By Wednesday morning TRX was down 1.3% according to CoinMarketCap, while trade volume had sunk to $0.2 million, after hitting $1.1 million just the week before.

Tron has had first mover advantage during market rebounds for some time now, however we all know how the market loves a good correction. Despite a positively stellar month for TRX, tech analysts still fear steep fall for the coin in the near future.

More Tron News…

It’s been full steam ahead for Tron recently, despite a sudden bout of bad publicity stoked by former BitTorrent chief, Simon Morris.

In addition to the coin listings already mentioned, TRX was added to CoinGate – a crypto payment processing service which allows users to spend their coins via thousands of online stores. TRX is now a ‘native currency’ on CoinGate:

“Any user of the TRON blockchain can now shop at thousands of stores using CoinGate.”

Meanwhile, the Tron community is counting down the hours until the Tron NiTRON Summit, held in San Francisco on the 17th and 18th of January. Major updates about the future of the BitTorrent Token (BTT) are expected to be unveiled.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 123 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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Altcoins

Binance Coin Price Analysis: Binance Completes 6th Token Burn; BNB/USDT Struggling to Move Back Above Breached Channel

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  • Binace has completed their sixth round of BNB token burning, a total of around 1.6 million.
  • BNB/USDT bulls are retesting a breached ascending channel formation.

BNB/USDT is holding steady for now, with a gains of 4% on Wednesday. Caution can be observed following a breakout to the downside from a rising channel formation. The price had been moving within this structure from around 15th December, when the bulls commenced the most recent upside trend. BNB/USDT had gained as much as 51%, while within the confinements of this. However, all good bull runs must come to an end, and on 10th January the lower supporting trend line gave way to the market bears.

BNB/USDT daily chart.

In terms of price behavior since the break, as detailed earlier, there is a lack of commitment seen. The bulls have stringently retested and been moving underneath the channel but have not got the momentum to break back above at this time.

Binance Complete 6th BNB Token Burn

The world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by traded volume, Binance, announced they have completed their sixth token burn. Binance burnt a reported total of 1,623,818 BNB tokens. This detailed burn was for the period between October 1 and December 31, 2018. For comparative purposes, the number is similar to the 1,643,986 BNB amount that they previously burned in their fifth round.

Despite the similar number of BNB being burnt, it is worth considering that the final quarter of 2018 had “brought significant changes in the cryptocurrency landscape”. In monetary terms, the dollar value during the sixth BNB burn was around $9.4 million, versus the $17 million during the previous period.

CZ, founder and CEO of Binance, said, “I’m excited about is Binance Chain and Binance DEX, which will launch soon. From a tech standpoint, it is a major development for the Binance ecosystem. From an earnings standpoint, Binance DEX will not directly increase profitability for Binance, but it will certainly increase the utility of BNB in a big way. That should be good for BNB holders. Binance is also a larger holder of BNB, so we benefit the same way as all BNB holders. The more people using Binance Chain, the more value is created, or the more successful we all become.”

Technical Review – BNB/USDT

BNB/USDT must break back above the $6.40 area to attract another wave of buying. This is where the lower supporting trend line of the breached channel in tracking. Separately, a supply zone is seen in proximity, tracking from $6.20-$6.90. The price has not been above this region since 19th November. Should the bulls gather enough momentum to break above this supply, then a fast move could be seen back to $10.00. BNB/USDT had been consolidating here prior to the steep fall in November.

Looking to the downside, there isn’t much in the way of major support seen until the $4.00 price region. This is where the December low can be seen, $4.12, with a demand zone observed running from $4.55-$4.12.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 107 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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