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Crypt0 B0unce

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The amount of bureaucracy and regulation that goes on in the European Union is simply incredible. The entire continent is a virtual minefield of political tripwires and multi-level legal landmines. Sometimes it’s a wonder that they can even move forward at all.

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So, when thinking about the legalization of digital currencies in the single market it will no doubt be a tough nut to crack. That said, some major headway has just been made.

A private bank in Switzerland has just announced some alternative investment services that include storing and trading on Bitcoins.

Now, Switzerland is not an official EU member but they are part of the single market and do play a leadership role especially when it comes to financial services within Europe and across the globe. Gaining acceptance from a Swiss Bank is indeed a huge step forward for the global adoption of Bitcoin and for all blockchain technology.

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Many thanks to Lawrence Patrick for tagging me with this headline. 😉

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures, and graphs below are valid as of July 13th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

Great green stocks!

Virtually all major indices are in deep green over the past 24 hours. Janet Yellen’s testimony was a huge boost of confidence in the global economy and corporate profits.

Many of the Senators used their time questioning Yellen to point out how strong the economy is and many of them even cleverly worded their questions to debate the issue if the economy is running well because of the current president or the previous one.

As far as unwinding their $4.5 Trillion balance sheet, very little was said. Only that it would happen gradually over the course of a few years and a small admission that it may cause long term interest rates to rise.

The Dow Jones closed last night at a brand new record high.

Today’s Agenda

More of the same. Janet Yellen will have another Q&A session with members of the US Congress. This will very likely be her last appearance before Washington as the Fed Chief. When asked whether she will seek another term as Chair of the Federal Reserve her answer did not seem very enthusiastic.

We do not expect Janet to end her speech with a mic drop.

Also, today is a landmark meeting between Angela Merkel and the new President of France Emanuel Macron. Over the past few years, due to weak leadership from France, Germany was forced to take on a stronger role in guiding the young European Union. Now that France has a new young energetic leader perhaps we’ll see a greater collaboration between the two strongest economies in the bureaucratic block.

Here we can see the German and French stock indices over the past year. The strong upward push from Yellen yesterday certainly a very comforting move. Now let’s see if they can knock it out of the ballpark.

But what may cause bigger headlines is Trump’s arrival in Paris today to meet Macron. With all the heat at home, this seems like another great chance for Trump to get out of town.

Crypt0 B0unce

The fall has certainly been painful for some. Especially those who got in at the top. It’s great to see the faith of those who got in early and hodling long term throughout this gut wrenching pullback.

Many alternative analysts are now saying enough is enough and it’s time to start looking for a bottom. Indeed, over the past 24 hours, 92 of the top 100 digital currencies are in the green. Many of them with double and even triple digit percentage gains.

The number one question that I’ve been getting from clients is about Ethereum of course. So here’s my answer….

Now that blockchain technology is gaining recognition from more and more developers there is a huge push and tremendous excitement around the idea of making an internet that revolves around Decentralized Apps.

Ethereum is a ground breaking platform both in creating these Dapps and in creating new digital assets. So far, it’s the best platform that we’ve seen and certainly the most popular.

However, in the future, we may see another platform that works just as good if not better. Think about the browser wars of the 1990s. At first, Netscape was the king, then Microsoft stole most of their market share with the Internet Explorer. After that many went to Firefox but these days most people use Google Chrome.

For now, almost all of the hot ICOs are using Ethereum. While hope this continues, any investment in the crypto market it is very high risk and if Ethereum does hold its spot as the Dapp and ICO king over the next decade it may very likely pay off in a big way.

In this graph, we can see the incredible journey from $50 a coin all the way up to $428 and now back to $200.

Here we can see eToro’s volume on this incredible asset. As can be expected, our clients are trading the momentum. That’s why we seem more positions executed on days that there was a significant movement.

eToro sentiment on Ethereum is now and has always been above 98% buying.

Have an awesome day!!

This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 33 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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3 Comments

3 Comments

  1. embersburnbrightly

    July 13, 2017 at 11:50 am

    I laughed out loud at this sentence: “We do not expect Janet to end her speech with a mic drop.”

    🙂

  2. chavs69

    July 13, 2017 at 1:32 pm

    Some have indicated that ETC may be an undervalued dark horse when it comes to the IOT. What are your thoughts?

  3. Columbo

    July 15, 2017 at 12:56 pm

    yeah but Falcon has a bad history:
    http://nypost.com/2016/08/13/swiss-private-bank-linked-to-malaysia-scandal/
    I am not sure if overall that’s more good than bad.

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Altcoins

Crypto Correction Deepens With Bitcoin Falling Below $10,000

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Cryptocurrencies hastened their decline on Thursday, with the total market cap falling to its lowest level in over a week as bitcoin and the major altcoins backtracked.

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Fresh Selloff Hits Crypto Market

Ninety-two of the top 100 cryptocurrencies tracked by CoinMarketCap were trading lower Thursday afternoon. The combined market capitalization for all coins fell 6% to $430 billion, the lowest since Feb. 13.

Bitcoin broke below $10,000 for the first time in nearly a week, and was last seen trading at $9.891. Even with the decline, bitcoin is maintaining its bullish outlook insofar as prices hold above the technically important $9,000-$9,200 region. Although downside is expected to persist in the short term, a bounce back toward $11,000 is expected. This is confirmed by the oversold Relative Strength Index (RSI), which also points to a rebound.

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As the following chart illustrates, the value of bitcoin peaked near $11,800 earlier this week before the recent bout of profit-taking took hold.

Ethereum, the world’s no. 2 cryptocurrency by market cap, fell below $800 for the first time in almost two weeks. At the time of writing, one ether was worth around $793, which represents a decline of 4% from the previous close.

Like bitcoin, ether is also grappling with oversold levels. However, the recent low is much shallower than the one Ethereum experienced in early February when prices fell toward $550.

Meanwhile, Litecoin tumbled to a session low of $188.73, more than offsetting a 50% gain earlier in the week. At the time of writing, the coin was down 6.5% at $192.59.

Elsewhere in the market, Ripple plunged nearly 9% to $0.93, while bitcoin cash fell fell nearly 8% to $1,210.

No Immediate Catalyst for the Decline

Like previous corrective phases, there was no immediate catalyst for the market’s sharp reversal, a sign that technical traders were largely responsible for the downshift. Since peaking above $518 billion on Saturday, the crypto market has declined 17%, all but reversing the previous week’s sharp rally.

On the regulatory front, the French government just announced it will be cracking down on unregulated cryptocurrency trading. In a statement issued by Autorite des Marches Financiers (AMF), the nation’s financial market watchdog, regulators said they had noticed a growing trend in unregulated futures and derivatives trading involving cryptocurrency.

“The AMF concludes that a cash-settled cryptocurrency contract may qualify as a derivative, irrespective of the legal qualification of a cryptocurrency,” the AMF said in the statement, as reported by CCN. “As a result, online platforms which offer cryptocurrency derivatives fall within the scope of MiFID 2 and must therefore comply with the authorisation, conduct of business rules, and the EMIR trade reporting obligation to a trade repository.”

MiFID stands for Markets in Financial Instruments Directive, a harmonized regulatory framework for the European Union’s financial markets. MiFID 2 was launched earlier this year to provide more transparency on traders and go after non-compliance more aggressively.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 161 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Bitcoin Tests $10,000 amid Correction

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The altcoin-triggered correction continued in the segment overnight amid the renewed sell-off in global stocks, with a slight bounce in Asian trading and a subsequent dip after the European open. The major coins are all down by more than 5% since yesterday, but for now, the momentum of the move is not worrying, and most importantly the leadership of the rally is holding up relatively well.

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Bitcoin bounced off the key $10,000 level, the $200 support zone held in Litecoin, Monero is still in its consolidation pattern above $280, and only Dash showed deterioration since yesterday, but the long-term picture remains encouraging even in Dash’s case.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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The above-mentioned levels in the technically strongest coins are not even the last line of defense for bulls, as the preceding strong rally left several key levels behind which could serve as the basis of the next leg higher.

Also, we expect the currently negatively diverging coins, led by Ethereum and Ripple, to start showing strength as the short-term momentum reaches oversold territory, and good entry points might be close both for traders and long-term investors.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

BTC touched the $10,000 support level, but for now, the technically more important $9000-$9200 zone is not in danger, and the short-term momentum indicators are already neutral thanks to the correction.

That said, more downside is likely in the coming days, but investors and traders should be looking for reversals to enter new positions, as we expect the uptrend to continue, with targets ahead at $11,300, $13,000 and $14,250.

Ethereum Provides a Glimmer of Hope

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Although bears are still in control regarding the short-term picture in the second largest coin, this morning ETH didn’t hit a significant new swing low, and that could be the first sign of relative strength, with the $845 support not far above the current price level, and the MACD indicator is already near oversold territory.

Despite the slightly positive sign, short-term traders should remain defensive concerning the weaker coins, while long-term investors should still accumulate the currencies on the dips.

Stay tuned for our detailed technical analysis later on today.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 109 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

Cryptocurrency Market Enters Corrective Phase as Majors Retreat from Recent Highs

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The cryptocurrency market declined across the board Thursday, as bitcoin, Ethereum and the rest of the major altcoins retreated from recent highs.

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Crypto Market Backpedals

After peaking above $518 billion on Saturday, the market capitalization for all cryptocurrencies has fallen to $469 billion, based on latest data from CoinMarketCap. That represents a decline of more than 9%. Trade volume across all digital assets approached $24 billion over the past 24 hours.

The latest drop in total coin value seems to have coincided with broader uptake in bitcoin, the world’s most popular cryptocurrency both in terms of market cap and trade volume. Bitcoin now accounts for more than 39% of the total market,  a near seven-point increase over last month’s lows.

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Bitcoin made a strong move above $11,000 on Wednesday, eventually hitting a three-week high of $11,329. As we wrote Wednesday, bitcoin in particular seems to be benefiting from a myriad of market forces ranging from favorable regulations to improved investor sentiment.

At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency was worth $10,901.

Other major cryptos were also down at the start of Thursday trading, with Ethereum slipping 3.6% to $864.83. Ripple’s XRP token declined 2.7% to $1.04, while bitcoin cash fell 4.3% to $1,336.50.

Even Litecoin, a currency that has witnessed a 50% surge this week, fell more than 3% to $219.43.

Paul Singer Calls Cryptocurrencies a Huge Scam

Elliot Management, a multi-billion-dollar hedge fund headed by Paul Singer, recently came out with a report calling cryptocurrencies “one of the most brilliant scams in history.” It added that “FOMO (fear of missing out) has solidly trumped WTHIT (what the hell is this??).”

In the cryptocurrency world, talk is incredibly cheap, and arguments from authority don’t hold much credence. Although Elliott dedicated three pages to cryptocurrencies, there doesn’t seem to be a strong argument against cryptocurrencies. (Calling cryptos “nothing except the marketing power of inventors, financiers and others who love the idea of buying a black box…” is not an argument.)

That being said, the fund’s comments may have resonated with speculators who are already on the fence about re-entering the market. After all, the daily news headlines play a huge role in shaping investor sentiment, regardless of whether those headlines are true. This has been demonstrated time and time again by regulatory developments in nations such as South Korea and India.

As Singer’s comments clearly show, there’s still plenty of FUD (fear, uncertainty and doubt) driving the cryptocurrency market. This is unlikely to change soon even as bitcoin and the technology that underlies it enjoys greater mainstream adoption.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 161 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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