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Crazy Markets Day Ahead

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Ever since the great recession of 2008, the governments and central banks of the world have been pumping ludicrous amounts of money in the financial system in order to artificially inflate asset prices.

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In the short term, this is really good for large corporations and financial institutions. However, the long-term effects of these extraordinary and unprecedented policies are yet to be seen. Some economists have hypothesized that the fallout from all this excess money in the system could be even more devastating than the original financial crisis that it was intended to fix.

The US Federal Reserve has been making great efforts lately to get back to a normal policy. Next week, they should give us some indication about how they plan to get rid of more than $4 Trillion worth of bonds and other assets that they have bought over the last decade.

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The European Central Bank however, is still pumping about €60 Billion into their economy on a monthly basis. In today’s monetary policy meeting, Mario Draghi is largely expected to maintain the pace of this program even though the noticeable effects have been very minimal lately.

The fact that an unelected official has so much power over so many people is a bit sad. I sincerely hope that in the near future, we’ll be moving to a better form of money. One that is more efficient, more democratic, and more fair to everyone.

Mati Greenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of June 8th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Market Overview

Today is the day we’ve been speaking about for almost two months. When Theresa May first announced the snap elections on April 18th she had a very wide lead in the polls. Since then her lead has narrowed to about 5%.

The main issue on the table is Brexit and what type of relationship England and the EU will have in 5 years time. Multiple terrorist attacks and budget plans from both parties have tried to change the focus of these elections. However, at the end of the day, the main decisive factor will be voter turnout.

Price action in the UK’s Pound Sterling has been as complacent as her citizens of late and many are just tuning out.

In this graph, we can see the GBPUSD since the Brexit Referendum about a year ago. Draw your own conclusions.

At this point, it’s impossible to know what will happen next. Who will win, by how much, and how the market will react remains a large question mark. Exit polls should be available as early as 10:00 PM in London. Be ready for anything!!

eToro has organized a special webinar to discuss these elections with three of our popular investors, all from the UK and all with excellent trading stats. Of course, like all things in eToro lately, the topic of conversation was changed about half way through to cryptocurrencies.

The recording is available now on YouTube:

Trump Under Fire

Today fired FBI Director James Comey will take the stand and reveal the nature of some private conversations he’s had with Donald Trump. His opening statement has been released already. You can find it here.

The main quote that keeps coming up is…

“I need loyalty, I expect loyalty.”

Legal experts feel that from this statement Trump may have crossed a line but hasn’t done anything explicitly illegal. Therefore, we may actually see some relief from the whole fiasco. However, if the Q&A session today has any further revelations, the consequences and market reactions could be significant.

Crypto Mining is Big Business

Recently, both AMD and NVIDIA have announced that they will be making brand new graphics cards specifically designed for mining cryptocurrencies.

Both card makers have been selling out due to an influx of people looking to get in on the action. So there is certainly a high demand for this new product.

So, if you’re scared about the extreme volatility involved in trading directly on Bitcoin and Ethereum or even if you’re just looking for another way to balance out your portfolio. You can also check out the stocks of these two companies who are looking to capitalize on this new industry in quite a different way.

Thanks to Jasper Lee our Managing Director in China for bringing this to my attention. Shares in both of these companies are surging on the news

Have an amazing day ahead!!

This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation.
Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 68 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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3 Comments

3 Comments

  1. embersburnbrightly

    June 8, 2017 at 2:08 pm

    “The fact that an unelected official has so much power over so many people is a bit sad. I sincerely hope that in the near future, we’ll be moving to a better form of money. One that is more efficient, more democratic, and more fair to everyone.”

    Well said, and I would make the same argument against even elected officials having as much power as they do over current forms of currency. Excessive burdens put on any populace for the gain of a few always leads to the populace becoming intensely motivated to figure out a solution to put some of that power back into their hands.

  2. Mati Greenspan

    June 8, 2017 at 2:35 pm

    Thanks Ember. Keep on burning!

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Ethereum Tops $550 as Altcoins Hit New Rally Highs

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The major coins are having another bullish day after a consolidation period with all of the top 10 cryptocurrencies sporting meaningful gains. Altcoins are leading the charge higher, as the switch in relative strength that we pointed out several times seems to be a lasting phenomenon, with the ETH/BTC pair confirming a short-term uptrend.

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BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin is also up today, but while the majority of altcoins are trading on new rally highs, BTC is stuck below the prior swing high at $8400, which is also a previously established resistance level. The dominant declining trendline is also in that area, and that strong zone could hold back the largest coin for a longer period. A breakout would confirm a new rising short-term trend, with the next major resistance zone ahead between $9000 and $9200.

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ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum is among the strongest coins short-term, and with smaller cap altcoins also joining the rally, the whole segment could be ready for a move higher. That said, the broader declining trend is still intact with the coin trading in a strong resistance zone between $555 and $575. A new short-term uptrend is now confirmed but with the declining trendline just ahead, the coin could be in for volatile swings in the coming days. The next target zone is at $625, while support is found at $500 and $450.

Broad Altcoin Rally Lifts All Ships

XRP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple, which was among the weakest majors for a prolonged period is one of the leaders today, climbing above $0.75, and eyeing the next major level at $0.84, with tbe coin already being above the previously dominant declining trendline.

On a slightly negative note, correlations are still high between the majors, but there are standout performers despite the concerted rally. Among the long-term leaders, Litecoin is trading near $150, while Monero added to yesterday’s gains, and it’s testing the $240 resistance as we speak.

The early leaders of the rally are slightly lagging in the current short-term swing, but that is likely a sign of rotation, as the likes of EOS, NEO, and IOTA are also higher today, while holding up wrll above the correction lows.

With all of the majors on buy signals in our trend model, we expect the rally to continue even as strong resistance zones are ahead and the road will likely be bumpy after the steep and lengthy downswing.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 224 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

Why IOTA Belongs On Your Focus List

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For the serious student of cryptocurrencies, IOTA is a name most likely you know well. However since only about 8% of Americans own any crypto, and then 80% of those folks own bitcoin, it’s time to get to know your neighbors.  

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Ok, let’s start with a trick question.  Over the next 10-20 years, which technovation will have the greatest impact on society: cryptocurrencies, the Internet of Things (IoT) or Artificial Intelligence (AI)?  

The answer is: they will each be so big and so important that it really doesn’t matter.  As an investor you can go with anyone of these themes. But then, you might want to focus attention on IOTA. It could be like getting a techno triple play.  

This is not to suggest dumping your bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple or other major names. In an uncertain world, the big guys still carry a better risk profile.  But in today’s market, altcoins represent the most depressed values. Out of this group, IOTA offers investors participation in crypto, IoT and AI.

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I do not own IOTA so objectivity isn’t being compromised.  Here are a few things about IOTA that stand out.

Ideal For High Volume Small Transactions

For all their benefits, single layer blockchains present a scaling nightmare to bitcoin and even so called second generation names like Ethereum.  Solutions like the Lightning Network and Raiden, when fully deployed sometime later this year, will help. But the ability to process 50,000 transactions a second is still a way off.

IOTA is specifically targeted for high volume transactions at near zero costs.  This makes a competitive stand against the ultra fast but high cost giants like Visa, MasterCard, etc. The secret is that IOTA doesn’t depend on a blockchain.  

Instead, developers have created something they call Tangle. IOTA is a blockchain free cryptocurrency.  Tangle is designed to remove the necessity of predetermined block times. Instead of many nodes confirming a transaction, the sender of the IOTA transaction must confirm two other transactions on the Tangle.

In other words, the entire time and energy intensive crypto mining process in sidetracked replacing it with a user verification process. To put it more simply, every user becomes a miner in the network.

This reduces cost to the point where IOTA transactions are near zero.  Compare this to a Visa or MasterCard debit card merchant service charge of 1.5% or a credit card fee of 2.9%-4%+ and there is no contest.

Is Tangle more secure than blockchain?  An honest answer is Tangle has not been tested enough to get enough data.  But if you accept that small transactions are less of a so called “attractive nuisance” than the size Bitcoin is best handling, then the effective security risk becomes tolerable.

IoT And AI: Real And Imagined

Small and even micro-transactions will be the measure of IOTA for the immediate future and there is nothing wrong with that.  After all we are talking about a multi trillion dollar global market. But this isn’t what crypto visionaries see as the end game.

Advocates of IOTA paint a glowing picture for the crypto in IoT and AI based on the near zero transaction cost and huge supply of the currency.  If things turn out this way, it means that IOTA is appealing to an entirely different segment than bitcoin, ether, Ripple or many altcoins.

By huge supply we are talking about each traded IOTA quoted in MIOTA or a million units. Total supply is defined as one Petalota. That equals 10 IOTA to the 15th power. If you prefer real numbers, the total supply is 2,779,530,283,277,761. Try saying that number quickly. Certainly the founders of IOTA had such a global vision when they decided to create such a massive supply.

Supply/Demand and Pricing

The one thing about the IOTA story is how can this massive supply benefit investors. It seems counter intuitive.  But I must be too dim witted to appreciate this because back in December before prices tumbled, the public valued IOTA at nearly $15 billion. Since then, like all cryptos, IOTA dropped more than 80% to around $2.6 billion. So did the end of the so called crypto bubble sour investors.  Not at all. Since the April 10th low, the price has jumped 70% to $4.7 billion or about $1.68 per MIOTA.

As we said at the start, long time IOTA watchers will find nothing surprising.  But for the majority, you will want to keep an eye on IOTA; it is not just another altcoin. And it’s price is still less than one-third of last December.  

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.3 stars on average, based on 59 rated postsJames Waggoner is a veteran Wall Street analyst and hedge fund manager who has spent the past few years researching the fintech possibilities of cryptocurrencies. He has a special passion for writing about the future of crypto.




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Altcoins

Bitcoin Cash Surges as Cryptocurrency Bear Market Winds Down

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The value of bitcoin cash rose sharply on Wednesday, as momentum returned to the altcoin following a two-month downtrend.

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BCH/USD Price Levels

Bitcoin cash jumped nearly 16% on Wednesday, outpacing bitcoin and the rest of the major altcoins. In doing so, prices came to within a few dollars of $900.

At the time of writing, BCH/USD was trading at $883.53 for a total market cap of $14.9 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. That puts BCH comfortably in fourth spot on the cryptocurrency leader board when measured by market cap.

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By comparison, the cryptocurrency market as a whole added 5.2% on Wednesday to $342 billion. The total market has now gained more than 37% over the past week, a strong sign that the bear market had ended.

BCH generated trade volumes of $611 million on Wednesday, which is roughly 3.3% of the total market. Digital currency exchange OKEx generated 14% of the daily volume, followed by Huobi (10%) and HitBTC (9%).

Investors tracking the coin’s bullish reversal are keeping close watch of the psychological $1,000 level. The cryptocurrency has generated strong support in the low $800s, with immediate resistance located between $890 and $900.

Bitcoin Cash: Undervalued?

While there was no immediate catalyst for BCH’s oversized gains, some analysts believe that a larger breakout is looming as volatility and trading volumes continue to grow. Bitcoin cash also has the perception of being undervalued, even in light of the recent price recovery. Traders looking to buy the dip still have plenty of opportunity with prices still down a full 78% from the December record.

Bitcoin cash has had prolonged periods of hot-and-cold since it was conceived last August. Prices generally trailed the broader cryptocurrency market until November when the backers of Segwit2x failed to activate their hard fork. The fork was cancelled after its backers were unable to form consensus on the upgrade. The market’s response saw BCH diverge sharply with the original bitcoin, with the former reporting huge gains and the latter equally large percentage losses.

BCH recorded multiple record highs in December after Coinbase announced it was offering trading of the cryptocurrency alongside bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoin. However, the launch was shrouded in controversy amid reports of insider trading at Coinbase. As of last month, the company was battling a class action lawsuit over those claims.

 

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 332 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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