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Coinbase Chief Brian Armstrong on Bitcoin Bubbles and Corrections

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It’s not often that you have two blockchain pioneers like Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Ethereum Co-Founder Joseph Lubin address the market in the same week. But in recent days, the stars aligned, with Armstrong and Lubin both meeting with Bloomberg for separate interviews.

While each of them has their own take on the state of the market, they appear to agree on overarching themes that have gripped cryptocurrency investors of late surrounding digital currency prices and the bubble theory.

Coinbase’s Armstrong didn’t shy away from questions on bitcoin’s price, which has taken investors on a roller coaster ride since its December 2017 peak of more than $19,000 and recent dip below $6,000. Today, a corrective rally is in place in which the bitcoin price is up more than 6% on CoinMarketCap to $6,455. Armstrong suggested that it’s part of the evolution of the emerging technology.

“This technology is going through a series of bubbles and corrections. We’ve actually been through about four or five of them now where bitcoin made this big run-up in price and there was … irrational exuberance and it corrected back 60-70%. and each time it does that it’s at a new plateau,” said Armstrong.

Joseph Lubin, who in addition to co-founding Ethereum is at the helm of ConsenSys, seems to agree, adding in a discussion with Bloomberg that “each of these bubbles has the advantage to bring attention to our ecosystem.”

Coinbase and Crypto

Coinbase, which launched about six years ago, holds anywhere between $10 billion and $20 billion of clients’ cryptocurrency assets on a given day. In 2017, Coinbase transacted approximately $150 billion in cryptocurrency volume. Armstrong likened the bitcoin bubbles to the growth of Coinbase, which is the most popular U.S.-based cryptocurrency exchange.

For instance, as the bitcoin price has traversed this series of bubbles and corrections, Coinbase’s growth has performed in a similar trajectory, with the number of daily new users rising on the heels of major market corrections.

Armstrong is in the camp of comparing cryptocurrencies to the internet of 2001, pointing to “a lot of good companies that got started in the trough as well,” such as Facebook, for instance. While the expectations for the cryptocurrency prices may be “all over the map,” he said that “the real world adoption and usage is pretty steadily increasing.”

While adoption and usage may be on the rise, don’t expect to walk into your local Starbucks and pay with bitcoin any time soon, at least not in the U.S. The reason, Armstrong suggests, is that payments aren’t a major “pain point” in the U.S. unlike some developing economies. As much as 90% of cryptocurrency usage surrounds investments, leaving a mere 10% for “real world usage.”

Armstrong, who more than once likened Coinbase to the New York Stock Exchange, also addressed topics like regulation and ICOs, saying of the latter that the exchange “is not trying to list everything under the sun.”

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 60 rated postsGerelyn has been covering ICOs and the cryptocurrency market since mid-2017. She's also reported on fintech more broadly in addition to asset management, having previously specialized in institutional investing. She owns some BTC and ETH.




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Ethereum Hard Fork to Launch on Testnet in Early October

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Ethereum core developers have been feverishly working on Constantinople, which is the next upgrade of the network. According to a recent Ethereum Core Devs Meeting, devs will be ready for the hard fork release soon, and the hard fork of testnet Ropsten has been scheduled to launch on around Oct. 9. It could serve as a boon for the ETH price, which despite its recent rally could use another catalyst.

The Constantinople upgrade is phase-two of Metropolis, the first phase of which was the Byzantium fork. It’s expected to bolster efficiency and slash costs on the Ethereum blockchain. The widely watched as Casper technology, which is tied to increasing the scalability of the network, is planned during Constantinople.

The goal of the devs was to launch Constantinople ahead of Devcon 4, which is scheduled to unfold in Prague Oct. 30-Nov. 2. But they weren’t willing to do so if it “makes things unsafe” or “pushes people too hard,” according to the call. Dimitry, who was on the call, suggested it would be “a couple of months at least” before Ethereum forks onto proof-of-work chain Ropsten, pointing to the upcoming dev conference as the reason for the delay in progress.

Other devs chimed in, saying the timeline was “overly cautious” considering that Ropsten is a testnet. The devs tossed around the idea of creating a new testnet to replace Ropsten, but that was rebuffed. Ethereum Co-Founder Vitalik Buterin said on the call: “I’d argue that consensus issues on Ropsten happening from time to time is good because it trains an ecosystem of participants on how to react to them.”

The majority ruled, and the developers agreed to test the hard fork on Ropsten in the coming weeks, ultimately landing on the date of early October because there is a break in developer conference activity that week. They’re targeting Oct. 9 and will set the actual block number in a couple of weeks when it’s closer to being released to clients.

Block Mining Times

As for the release of Constantinople, the call host pointed to test cases at year-end 2018, either November or December, after which time the conversation turned to avoid launching the mainnet amid “crazy” block times. Average block mining times are currently hovering at a stable 15 seconds and Buterin doesn’t expect them to “get crazy within two months.”

He referred to last year’s Byzantium upgrade, saying the “general pattern is a doubling at the beginning every 17 days.” As a result, there would likely be a “more than three months of safety,” Buterin said. A wildcard, however, is Byzantium had the “backdrop of a rapidly increasing ETH price and hashrate” whereas now we don’t. As a result, it could take less time.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 60 rated postsGerelyn has been covering ICOs and the cryptocurrency market since mid-2017. She's also reported on fintech more broadly in addition to asset management, having previously specialized in institutional investing. She owns some BTC and ETH.




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SBI’s Ripple-Backed ‘MoneyTap’ Set to Launch Soon

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One of Japan’s largest financial institutions will soon launch a new consumer payments application backed by Ripple’s technology, signaling an important milestone in the quest to bring blockchain adoption mainstream.

Introducing MoneyTap

SBI Ripple Asia, a joint venture of SBI Holdings and the San Francisco-based Ripple, Inc. is preparing to launch the ‘MoneyTap’ mobile application on Android and iOS.

MoneyTap is the first major consumer-oriented application launched on the Ripple protocol in Japan. The app enables consumers with domestic bank accounts to send money instantly 24 hours a day, seven days a week using a QR code, phone number or bank account.

The new platform is powered by Ripple’s xCurrent, a solution that allows banks to instantly settle cross-border payments. Sources have yet to confirm whether XRP, the cryptocurrency launched by Ripple, can be used on MoneyTap.

As Hacked reported back in March, initial roll-out of the app will be accepted by several financial institutions, including SBI Net Sumishin Bank, Suruga Bank and Resona Bank. These firms are part of a larger consortium of financiers that represent more than 80% of Japan’s banking assets.

Ripple to Expand Commercial Application

In addition to MoneyTap, Ripple is planning to launch a commercial application of its cryptocurrency-focused product as early as next month, according to Sagar Sarbhai, who heads the firm’s Asia-Pacific and Middle East regulatory department. According to Sarbhai, the new product will be focused on xRapid, which offers low-cost liquidity for payment providers and other financial institutions.

“I am very confident that in the next one month or so you will see some good news coming in where we launch the product live in production,” Sarbhai said of xRapid in an interview with CNBC.

The xRapid technology relies on XRP to bridge currencies, which allows payment providers to process faster cross-border transactions.

Despite facing multiple lawsuits alleging XRP is a security, Ripple is riding a tidal wave of momentum from several high-profile partnerships with leading payment providers. Chief among them are American Express, Western Union, Money Gram and Santander. Ripple also has partnerships with more than 120 banks and financial institutions, especially in the Asia-Pacific region. Although not tied to XRP directly, these developments add value to Ripple’s blockchain technology, which could spearhead wider adoption at the currency level.

XRP, which was little changed Monday morning, is trading at a fraction of its all-time high. One unit of XRP is currently valued at just over $0.28, according to CoinMarketCap. The coin reached $3.29 on Jan. 3, according to CryptoCompare.com.

XRP has a total capitalization of $11.2 billion, placing it fourth among active cryptocurrencies in terms of value.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 601 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Fundstrat, Circle and Genesis Trading Execs Offer Market Insight

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Long-suffering crypto investors are finally getting some relief today, with the broader market gains surprisingly being led by Ethereum. The combined market cap is steadily approaching $200 billion while bitcoin’s dominance is back below 56%. Whether or not the market rally has legs and it’s the start of the bull run that strategists have been forecasting remains to be seen, but for now, the double-digit gains in many altcoins, not the least of which includes ETH, which is boasting an 18% increase, is a welcome sign.

Trading Dynamic

Ethereum Classic is hosting its 2018 summit in South Korea featuring one of the bitcoin bulls, Tom Lee, in addition to other industry leaders including Matt Beck of Grayscale Investments, Circle’s Jack Liu and Genesis Global Trading chief Michael Moro, all of whom offered their observations on the trading dynamic.

Source: ETC Summit/YouTube

If you need more proof that the crypto market remains in the nascent stages, consider that today 90-95% of the market is controlled by individual investors, not institutions, which is unusual for other asset classes such as commodities, as Genesis’ Moro pointed out. But that doesn’t mean that institutions aren’t placing bets.

Circle’s Liu pointed to a landscape in which early crypto investors who have amassed a portfolio may be looking to cash out at some point in time, while new investors who may have taken longer to be convinced to enter are there for the long haul. “You’re seeing quite traditional VCs/institutional investors take long-term bets on longer tail coins,” said Liu.

Bitcoin miners are also in the spotlight, given that the bitcoin price has managed to hold the $6,000 level despite the latest bout of selling, which is deemed the breakeven point for creating new coins. It’s a repeat of the dynamic of 2015 when the bitcoin price was similarly able to hold at 1x mining costs. Fundstrat’s Lee pointed out that contrary to popular belief, miners are not the ones unloading during the market downdraft.

“I think in a way miners are actually acting as a stabilizer. They’re not actually worsening what’s happening in crypto,” Lee said.

Based on anecdotal conversations with miners, Fundstrat gleaned that BTC miners are very aware of ROI tied to creating more coins. As a result, they’re more inclined to hold during the down times and sell when prices are higher.

Meanwhile, as the crypto market heads into the final stretch of 2018, institutional capital is the right custody solution away from entering the space. In the interim, crypto investing just requires more patience. “I think the next FANG is crypto. You need to just buy the quality projects and $1,000 will turn into … it’s probably going to be more than 1000x from here,” said Lee.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 60 rated postsGerelyn has been covering ICOs and the cryptocurrency market since mid-2017. She's also reported on fintech more broadly in addition to asset management, having previously specialized in institutional investing. She owns some BTC and ETH.




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