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Cash Grows, Stocks Slow, Bitcoin Surges off the Charts

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Hi Everyone,

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As of today, Germany will begin sending back migrants who reach their borders. According to the Dublin Regulation all migrants must apply for processing in the first EU country that they land on.

That rule was suspended for a period of 5 years due to the massive influx from Syrian and African conflicts. Angela Merkel is hesitant to give any extension ahead of the upcoming elections. Many see the current crisis as the weakest point of her career so going soft at the moment doesn’t seem like much of an option.

Writing to you today from Paris France, this is the first time that I’ve had a chance to see this issue up close. Seeing families begging for change in front of top brand stores like Gucci and Luis Vitton really tugs at the heart strings. We really hope that these people are able to integrate quickly into society.

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Poor Greece and Italy. Now that Germany is not accepting migrants directly, they’ll need to absorb more people at a faster rate.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

China Market Slows

Cash & Yuan Grows

Bitcoin Surging Again

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of August 8th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

Stocks in Asia seem to have broken the U.S.’s momentum after some key data that was released from China this morning revealed imports and exports are not growing as fast as they did last month.

Though the overall trade balance figures grew notably as well as China’s foregn reserve cash piles, trade with key partners was not good. For example, shipments to South Korea grew 50% less than they did a month ago.

This graph from the Financial Times shows the imports and exports numbers over the last few years.

The U.S. Dollar is still falling and the Chinese figures this morning have pushed it further still. In this graph we can see the Buck giving way to the Chinese Yuan today.

For those trading on this pair, watch closely tomorrow night, we’ll get some important inflation data that could potentially push this even further.

Bitcoin Surging

Ladies and Gentelman, after 10 weeks of back and forth movement, the cryptocurrency markets are surging again!!!

Nevermind what happened with Bitcoin Cash or Segwit, or the entire bitcoin scaling debate those are all distractions from the main theme. The total market cap of all cryptocurrencies has reached a new all time high this morning of $120.5 Billion.

All of the top 20 cryptos are in the green this morning and the new eToro Crypto CopyFund is now firmly in the green.

The excitiment is all about Bitcoin. Having seemingly survived the apparent distractions there’s a lot of pent up buying pressure that was sitting on the side waiting for the debates to end and now it has.

On Friday, the price of Bitcoin poped above $3000 like a cork out of a champagne bottlle and has since risen nearly $500 per coin.

As always, please trade cryptos responsibly. These assets are extremely risky. Though the Segwit issue seems to be clear cut, we still have the SegWit2x hurdle ahead. Even though many miners are signaling in favor of the 2 Megabyte hard fork, it may not be as smooth an implementation as many think.

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.

The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Featured image from Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest money you can't afford to lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here.



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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Litecoin Continues Surge as Bitcoin Tests Highs

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With the crypto world being focused on the historical futures launch, the major coins all enjoyed buying following a hectic weekend, and a volatile week as a whole. BTC itself got another boost from the widespread publicity and the volatile correction of the recent days ended, with the most valuable coin bouncing back towards its all-time high.

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While the long-term picture remains severely overbought, the short-term picture is not stretched and further gains are possible even amid the elevated correction risk. That said, investors should wait for a more favorable entry point to ad dot their holdings, while traders should control position sizes in the light of the long-term setup. Major support levels are now near $13,000, $11,300, and $10,000, with stronger levels still at $8200 and $7700.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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The major altcoins are all up today, but only Monero and Litecoin are still within short-term uptrends, and the segment as a whole is still dangerously overextended, and a deeper correction is very likely in the coming weeks. LTC continued its recent break-out, getting close to the $200 level, and joining the extremely overbought group regarding the long-term momentum, and triggering a long-term sell signal in our trend model. Key support levels are found $100 at $75 and $64, with a weaker primary level at $125.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Cryptocurrencies

Trade Recommendation: Stellar

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The price bounces from the support zone formed by the uptrend line, SMA100 and the support level. RSI confirms price reversal. MACD histogram supports upward movement and DMI allows opening long trades. It’s trading opportunity. Buy orders can be placed at 0.00000870 level with stop orders at 0.00000720 level. Profit targets are 0.00001200 and 0.00002000 levels. The daily chart does not give us strong bullish signals, that’s why this buy signal is more risky than it could be. You should invest small part of your deposit in this market or skip this trading opportunity. If you don’t use leverage, trading volume for this trade is up to 10% from your deposit.

Market: STRBTC
Buy: 0.00000870
Stop: 0.00000720
Profit Targets: 0.00001200 and 0.00002000

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The trading signal is based on Poloniex chart.
Disclaimer: The analyst does not have investments in Stellar.

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Altcoins

Ethereum’s Pullback from Record Territory Continues as CryptoKittes Effect Wears Thin

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Ethereum resumed its descent Monday, a mere 24 hours after hitting new highs, a sign that the CryptoKitties bump was beginning to wear down.

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ETH/USD Price Levels

Ether’s dollar-denominated trade value plunged 10% on Monday to reach an intraday low near $429. Prices would later recover near $450 for a loss of nearly 6%. ETH/USD has declined 2.7% over the past five days in what has been a period of relative calm for the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency.

That being said, prices briefly traded at record highs over the weekend, touching $518. That narrowly beat the Nov. 29 high of $514.

At present values, the ether market is capitalized at nearly $44 billion, which is only a fraction of bitcoin’s $260 billion value. Ether’s 24-hour transaction volume came in at nearly $1.5 billion, according to CoinMarketCap.

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Volumes were evenly dispersed across the exchanges. Bitfinex’s ETH/USD pair saw the highest volume at 7.4% of the total market, which was equivalent to $108 million. Poloniex processed nearly 7% of ether’s daily turnover via ETH/BTC.

Ethereum rebounded from record lows against bitcoin, but remains relatively subdued as the world’s no. 1 crypto continues to dominate the market. ETH/BTC plunged 11% to 0.028040.

CryptoKitties

Much of the excitement surrounding Ethereum lately has centered on CryptoKitties, a simple collectibles-based game that was built on the ether blockchain. The game, which was released Nov. 28, allows users to purchase, trade and even breed digital kittens. Some analysts have likened the game to Tamagotchi, a handheld digital pets game launched in 1996.

Transactions on Cryptocurrencies are processed using ether, which is Ethereum’s native token. Industry estimates show that Cryptokitties transactions account for nearly 20% of all computations on the Ethereum platform. This figure appears to be growing continuously.

Although the game was immediately dismissed by members of the cryptocuurrency community,  Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin and Earn.com CEO Balaji Srinivasan said the game had more virtues than some cared to recognize.

“Why is Cryptokitties actually important?” asked Balaji. “It’s one of the first examples of what people have been talking about for years: frictionless international trading of digital assets (not just cash!) on a blockchain. Basically what Fred Wilson saw.”

Earn.com markets itself as the “first token-based social network.”

At the same time, the CryptoKitties phenomenon presents several challenges for the Ethereum ecosystem related to scalability, future growth and ICO risk.

Ethereum continues to be the platform of choice for the budding ICO industry. The amount of money raised through the controversial crowdfunding model is fast approaching $4 billion for the year. The phenomenon doesn’t appear to be dying off anytime soon as more startups look to raise money to fuel their expansion.

That being said, many token raises and the issuers that back them are attempting to circumnavigate securities regulations by building a utility token. It remains to be seen how the regulatory landscape will evolve to keep up with the evolving nature of the industry. Equally important is how the cryptocurrency community will come together to address regulatory issues.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest money you can't afford to lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here.



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