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Market Overview

Captain Crypto

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Hi Everyone,

If you’re reading this then you probably have recognized by now that cryptoassets have value. The question needs to evolve into what value should each specific coin have?

The ultimate answer is “whatever someone is willing to pay for it.” However, in traditional markets, we have hundreds of years of analytical methods to determine value, something which has yet to emerge in this nascent industry.

To that end, I’d like to get the discussion started by sharing this simple video with you, where I discuss some of the basic concepts for evaluating cryptos.

Please watch now

Of course, all comments, questions, and insights are welcome so please feel free to reach out at any time.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

  • What the Fed Said (or didn’t)
  • Dollar Surge
  • Aye Aye Captain!

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of November 9th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Traditional Markets

As expected, the Fed meeting last night was pretty vanilla. The statement released by the FOMC was very similar to the statement they handed down in August. There were only very minor changes to the text.

An email I received this morning from Bloomberg’s John Authers had an interesting take on this and pointed out that it’s not what the Fed said but what they didn’t say that’s interesting.

Here’s a list of omissions…

Of course, John’s point isn’t to criticize the Fed or not pointing out the obvious. His point is that by not mentioning these things the Fed is signalling that they’re not about to be intimidated by the markets at this time.

That’s not to say they won’t step in later, but at least for now, they’re likely to continue their pace of rate rises and monetary tightening.

How did the Markets React?

As one would expect, the prospect of the Fed continuing to raise their rates had an immediate effect on the US Dollar.

The surge is apparent even when we zoom out to the more long-term charts.

The stocks and bonds also took the Fed’s statement as a sign of tightening to come and we could notice modest declines in the major indices, especially in the Nasdaq which has been showing signs of weakness before investors were sidetracked by the mid-term.

Markets in Asia and Europe are continuing the negative sentiment this morning but there’s no noticeable flight to safety at this point.

Let’s keep our eyes open though.

Captain Crypto!

Normally, I wouldn’t cover Trump replacing the Attorney General, certainly, if we’d cover everyone who has left the White House, we’d have little room to talk about anything else.

What’s noticeable here is that the new Attorney General Matt Whitaker seems to have an interest in Bitcoin. The dates on these two tweets are a clear indication that the Attorney General has at least been familiar with digital assets from early on.

The two articles linked to can be found here and here. Of course, the media is more concerned about what Whitaker’s appointment might mean for the Muller investigations into Donald Trump.

On a separate note, someone else who has recently emerged as a thought leader in the crypto space is none other than Captain James T Kirk. Or, at least the actor who played Kirk, William Shatner, who has been tearing it up on Twitter lately and engaging directly with the crypto community.

Here you can see cases where Bill is defending the Ethereum project from FUDsters, and here’s one that he tweeted to me directly. 🙂

The tweet that Bill refers to as the “cyber snob tweet” is actually from 2014, not 2013 but who am I to argue with the Captain of the Enterprise.

Many thanks to everyone reading and a merry welcome to another 15,000 eToro gold clients who are now receiving the daily market updates by Email.

Please always feel free to reach me on Twitter, LinkedIn, or on the eToro social trading platform.

Have a fun weekend!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

eToro is a multi-asset platform which offers both investing in stocks and cryptocurrencies, as well as trading CFD assets.

Please note that CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Cryptocurrencies can widely fluctuate in prices and are not appropriate for all investors. Trading cryptocurrencies is not supervised by any EU regulatory framework.

Best regards,
Mati Greenspan
Senior Market Analyst

Connect with me on….

eToro: @MatiGreenspan | Twitter: @MatiGreenspan | LinkedIn: MatiGreenspan | Facebook:MatiGreenspan

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 144 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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Market Overview

Dow Plunges After Opening Bell as Democrats Set to Reject Trump’s Proposal to End Government Shutdown

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U.S. stocks opened sharply lower on Tuesday, as Democrats wasted little time talking down President Trump’s new border-security proposal to end the partial government shutdown. Oil prices also faced a sharp correction as China growth woes rattled investors.

Weak Open

All of Wall Street’s major indexes traded lower after the opening bell, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling by as much as 188 points. The Dow 30 index was last down 154 points, or 0.6%, at 24,552.12. The broad S&P 500 Index declined 0.7% to 2,652.82, with ten of 11 primary sectors trading lower. The technology-focused Nasdaq Composite Index declined 0.8% to 7,101.06.

U.S. markets were closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. U.S. futures prices were down across the board in the holiday-shortened session.

The last full trading session on Friday saw gains of 1% to 1.3% for the major indexes.

Oil Slides

The S&P 500’s energy index declined 1.8% at the start of trading Tuesday as oil prices faced a brisk selloff. U.S. and international crude prices were down more than 2% on worries that China’s slowing economy will impact energy demand.

As Hacked reported on Monday, China’s economic growth slowed to 6.6% in 2018, the lowest rate of expansion in 28 years.

The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmark for U.S. crude futures declined $1.33, or 2.5%, to $52.71 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, the international futures benchmark, declined $1.41, or 2.3%, to $61.32 a barrel.

Senate to Reject Trump’s New Proposal

Senate Democrats this week are expected to reject President Trump’s new proposal to end the partial government shutdown, which has now entered day 31. With another employee pay deadline over the horizon, Republicans and Democrats are under pressure to resolve the impasse, which has shattered the previous record for longest in history.

On Saturday, President Trump laid out a new plan for funding his proposed border wall that included key compromises on DACA and immigrants with Temporary Protected Status. As we reported on CCN, the proposal included a three-year extension for immigrants that fall under either category, as well as additional funds for urgent humanitarian care, additional border agents and drug protection technology.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi immediately rejected the proposal, and has since gone on to call it a “nonstarter,” according to The Wall Street Journal. As WSJ notes, the proposal is unlikely to receive the 60 votes necessary to pass in the Senate and wouldn’t survive the Democrat-controlled House.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. Charts via TradingView and Barchart. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 743 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Market Overview

10 Year Challenge (Market Edition)

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Hi Everyone,

Today kicks off the annual forum in Davos. This lavish gathering in the snowy mountains of Switzerland brings together the world’s most wealthy and famous, to try and tackle the problem of inequality.

Ten years ago, in the throes of the financial crisis, the theme for the Davos convention was “what must industry do to prevent broad social backlash?”

Since then, the world’s most fortunate have seen their fortunes soar even though global GDP and average working wages have remained stagnant. This interactive chart on Bloomberg tells quite a tale.

Last year I had the pleasure of attending this event and as a crypto enthusiast, I was quite pleased to see a vibrant showing of activists and blockchain builders. On the main stage of the World Economic Forum, however, the attitude towards distributed ledger technologies was more tepid.

This year there will be a panel called Building a Sustainable Crypto-Architecture, which is scheduled for tomorrow at 10:00 AM CET. This will be particularly interesting as it pits known bitcoin skeptics Gillian Tett from the Financial Times and Ken Rogoff from Harvard against the founders of Circle (the Goldman Sachs backed owners of Poloniex Exchange) and BitPesa.

You can watch all of the WEF keynotes and panels at this link. There are several that look interesting and can give some good investment insights.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

  • Shutdown: Day 32 | Days to Brexit 66
  • 10 Years Market Challange
  • Crypto Decade

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of January 22nd. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Traditional Markets

The clock ticks slowly on our two headline political snafus. In an apparent response to the weak Chinese GDP data, Xi Jinping has urged for calm and warned of financial risks.

Never missing an opportunity to gain the upper hand, President Trump has also responded to the Chinese figures.

Needless to say, global stocks are playing defense today. The China 50 is leading the pack with modest declines of 1.36%.

Ten Year Challenge

If you’re not familiar, the 10-year challenge is a new internet fad that has people posting a pic of themselves 10 years ago next to a current glamour shot. Though many have criticized this as just another excuse to post selfies, I thought it’d be fun to look at a few markets. 🙂

As far as the stocks are concerned the last 10 years have been stunning. Here’s a quick reminder of what the Dow Jones looked like in 2009 Vs today.

Eat your heart out Reese Witherspoon!!

As far as Emerging Markets are concerned, time was not as good to them as it was in the USA and other developed economies. There have been some good times and some bad but overall is aging nicely. Kind of like Morgan Freeman.

Gold was in the thralls of a massive bull run in 2009. Since its peak in 2011 though, it’s looking more like Soulja Boy’s Headband.

Crude oil looks exactly the same. Just like Mariah Carey.

King Dollar had just one radical change. For better or worse depends on your personal politics and point of view, kind of like the White House.

Chart credits for this segment go to tradingview.com

What about Crypto??

10 years ago, bitcoin was just two weeks old. So we can easily compare this one to Jordan Pickford who’s gone from a punk child to a full-blown superstar stud.

Kidding aside, we have an entire new emerging and thriving industry now that’s grown up around bitcoin and blockchain.

The kicker for us at eToro, is this post about our CEO and Co-founder at eToro Yoni Assia who wrote this post about income equality through the introduction of a new currency to help bridge the gap between the rich and poor.

10 years, nearly to the day, we’ve introduced the Good Dollar project as a spinoff of eToro for the betterment of economic justice.

Let’s have a remarkable day ahead!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

eToro is a multi-asset platform which offers both investing in stocks and cryptocurrencies, as well as trading CFD assets.

Please note that CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Cryptocurrencies can widely fluctuate in prices and are not appropriate for all investors. Trading cryptocurrencies is not supervised by any EU regulatory framework.

Best regards,
Mati Greenspan
Senior Market Analyst

Connect with me on….

eToro: @MatiGreenspan Twitter: @MatiGreenspan LinkedInMatiGreenspan |Facebook:MatiGreen

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 144 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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Market Overview

U.S. Stock Futures Fall on Brexit, China Growth Woes; Lifeless Crypto Market Drift Sideways

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U.S. stock futures declined on Monday, as concerns over Brexit and the health of China’s economy weighed on investors’ sentiment. Crypto markets were largely uneventful following a sudden correction early Sunday.

Stock Futures Falter

Futures tied to the Dow Jones, Nasdaq and S&P 500 Index finished lower in holiday trading. The Dow Jones mini futures contract fell 72.00 points to 24,615.00. The March contract for Nasdaq futures declined 31.25 points to 6,761.50. S&P 500 mini futures closed down 8.25 points at 2,663.25.

U.S. markets were closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. The New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq will resume regular trading hours on Tuesday.

European equity markets were also down on Monday. The Euro Stoxx 50 Pr declined 0.3% to 3,125.07. Bourses in Frankfurt, Paris and Madrid declined by at least 0.2%. London’s FTSE 100 Index broke even in the final moments of Monday’s session.

China, Brexit in the Spotlight

Concerns about the global economy resurfaced Monday after China reported the slowest pace of annual growth in nearly three decades. Gross domestic product (GDP), the value of all goods and services produced in the economy, grew 6.6% annually, the slowest since 1990. In the fourth quarter, China’s annual growth rate slipped to 6.4%.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has once again revised down its estimate for global growth, warning that the synchronized global recovery was losing steam. The Washington-based lending institution now expects global GDP to grow 3.5% in 2019 and 3.6% in 2020. That’s down from the October estimate of 3.7% for both years.

Another form of instability comes from the United Kingdom, which is still grappling with how to proceed on the issue of Brexit. Prime Minister Theresa May on Monday unveiled a new Brexit plan after her initial bill was shot down by British Parliament last week. A vote on the so-called Brexit Plan B is scheduled for Jan. 29.

Crypto Markets Drift Aimlessly

The cryptocurrency market saw little movement on Monday, as a lack of conviction from the bulls and the bears kept price action subdued. Tron was the notably exception among the major cryptocurrencies, gaining 5.1% to $0.0250.

Bitcoin’s price was little changed over the 24-hour cycle and was last seen trading at $3,583.44. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap dropped 4% on Sunday after gaining nearly 3% during the previous session.

Altcoins and tokens traded in a similar fashion at the start of the week. XRP edged up 0.3% to $0.3196. Ethereum fell 1% to $117.79. Bitcoin cash, EOS and Stellar XLM were little changed during the session.

The combined crypto market cap held below $120 billion on Monday.

In terms of news, Ethereum’s developer communication has announced that the highly-anticipated Constantinople hard fork will take place Feb. 27. The rollout, which was originally scheduled last week, was delayed after developers identified a major security flaw in one of the Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIP).

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 743 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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