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Analysis

Boeing Still a Good Investment, but Not Now

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By Dmitriy Gurkovskiy, Chief Analyst at RoboMarkets

In one of our previous articles, we spoke about the rising demand of pilots and air transportation, which made us focus on relevant companies. Another important aspect here is aircraft, without which no air transportation is possible. So today, we’ll analyze one of the largest aircraft manufacturers out there, Boeing.

Boeing Company (NYSE: BA) is a leading aircraft, military and space equipment manufacturer. Headquartered in Chicago, IL, the company mostly operates in Seattle, WA. Boeing is among the top three military equipment companies in the US by the yearly order volume. Around 50% of the company’s budget accounts for military orders.

Over the last four years, Boeing’s yearly revenue is always somewhere near $90B, while the net profit is steadily growing.

Since 2014, the company’s equity was going down, with the debt growing at the same time, and thus the debt-equity ratio is currently not the best one.

Despite the debt, however, the investors get the dividends regularly, and those have been growing speedily since 2014: from $1.94 per share that year to $6.50 in 2018. Meanwhile, the growing demand led to Boeing supplying 763 aircraft in 2017. This was a record high, and the earnings went up from $4.985B to $8.197. The price per share also rose by over 100%, breaking out $300. In 2018, the company is going to supply 912 aircraft, or 20% more.

Boeing Contracts

Recently, Boeing got a contract for $62.7M which included maintenance and modification of F/A-18 и EA-18G. The contract is expected to be fulfilled by Sep 2019.

Another contract won by Boeing is worth $805M and includes developing, manufacturing, testing, and supplying for pilotless aircraft to the US Air Force by 2024.

The US Air Force also has yet another contract with Boeing, which is worth $9.20B and includes both aircraft and flight simulators. At the first stage, the company will get $813M to supply 351 Advanced Pilot Training aircraft and 46 simulators. The overall deadline is 2034.

This is just to name a few, and still one could clearly understand Boeing has orders for at least the next 10 years.

Boeing is also a significant player in the international military business; with the emerging countries increasing their budgets in the light of global geopolitical uncertainty, the company is sure to get more orders.

Apart from military aircraft, Boeing is planning to launch an air taxi prototype next year, which would carry passengers for short distances, while the company is also determined to create an air transport management system within 5 years.

All this makes the outlook perfect, with both dividends and share prices growing steadily. Technically, however, there is some extreme volatility, which shows investors are uncertain; some are closing their positions to lock in over 100% profit, others are, conversely, buying. This led to the price forming a wide range between $315 and $370. At this rate, it may well reach $400 and then bounce back to $300.

Technical Analysis

In 2016, Boeing shares started rising from $100, with the volumes growing, and reached the high at $350, i.e. those who bought at $100, started selling at $350. This means one should better wait for higher volumes and lower prices, as well as some good news, before buying, rather than going long straight away.

Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG) experienced a similar situation, when the price was between $1,000 and $1,200, and then, when good earning reports came out, it reached $1,270. Then, Google shares went down again, and are now trading at $1,150, while being fundamentally very strong. So, it may start rising again soon, but at lower levels.

You remember an old saying ‘Buy rumors, sell facts’, of course. This is true with Boeing as well. The news on the company plans must be already priced into the shares, so before adding Boeing to your portfolio, you’d better wait for some lower prices.

Disclaimer

Any predictions contained herein are based on the authors’ particular opinion. This analysis shall not be treated as trading advice. RoboMarkets shall not be held liable for the results of the trades arising from relying upon trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 30 rated postsHaving majored in both Social Psychology and Economics, I went on to continue my education in post graduate. Later I worked as a team lead of a tech and fundamental analysis lab in the Applied System Analysis Research Institute. This helped me to acquire all necessary skills and experience to become a successful trader and analyst, as well as a portfolio manager in an investment company. I'm a pro in the financial field and the author of articles for various international media. I also hold the position of Chief Analyst at RoboMarkets.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Bitcoin Touched $4000 as Broad Rally Continues

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Yesterday’s break-out to new short-term highs continued today in the cryptocurrency segment, with Bitcoin’s push towards the $4000 making headlines in the segment. The most valuable coin surged past the $3850 level, dragging most of the majors higher, but Ethereum and most of yesterday’s leaders lagged behind BTC during today’s session.

That said, the short-term trend remains positive in case of the majority of the coins, and even though some of the top currencies are overbought, the counter-trend move could continue. In light of the increased activity, trading volumes, and volatility in the market, the majors might be in for a more sustained bullish, move, and as now only Ripple is showing clear signs of relative weakness, despite today’s rally, the leadership of the short-term move looks healthy.

While the long-term picture is still clearly negative in the segment, until the newly established short-term uptrends remain intact, traders could still play the move, sticking to strict risk management rules and relatively small position sizes.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While Bitcoin left behind the initial resistance level near $3850, and quickly rallied up to the strong longer-term zone between $4000 and $4050, it might need to consolidate before another push higher. BTC is slightly overbought from a short-term perspective, and given the significance of the resistance, traders could exit a part of their positions here.

The $4000-$4050 zone stopped the year-end rally (outside of a brief, failed break-out), and a move above it could open up the road towards the $4250 and the crucial $4450 levels. Below $3850, further support is found near $3600 and just above $3450, and our trend model remains on a short-term buy signal and long-term sell signal.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum continues to trade near the $145 resistance level following yesterday’s surge, and bulls are still eyeing a test of the next major resistance zone near $160, which marked the top of the previous counter-trend move in the coin.

While the coin is still overbought form a short-term perspective, given the momentum if its recent move, the rally could continue after a brief consolidation period. The newly-established uptrend is intact in ETH, and traders could enter new positions should the overbought readings got cleared, with support levels found near $130 and $112.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Although Ripple continues to be relatively weak compared its major peers, today it spiked to a new 5-week high, riding the market-wide trend and testing a strong declining trendline in the process. The coin triggered a short-term buy signal in our trend model by topping its January swing high, but given its relative weakness, traders should focus on the more bullish coins during the current counter-trend move.

The long-term setup remains negative, and from a broader perspective, odds still favor the test of the key long-term $0.28 and $0.26 levels, with further support levels found near $0.32 and $0.30, and with short-term targets being ahead near $0.3550, and $$0.3750.

EOS Continues to Lead but Litecoin Struggles to Gain Ground

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

LTC continues to trade slightly above last week’s highs but compared to the leaders of the current leg of the rally it remained relatively weak today. With that and the still negative long-term setup in mind, traders should exit a part of their positions here, even as the short-term uptrend is intact and a push towards the next major resistance level near $51 is still possible. Our trend model is still on a buy signal, as a failed break-out is not yet confirmed, with support levels still found near $44, $38, and $34.50.

EOS/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EOS remained relatively strong today, spiking above the $3.80 level after leaving behind the $3.50 resistance. Now, the coin is clearly overbought from a short-term perspective, and that led to a downgrade in our trend model as a pullback is now likely.

The short-term trend remains bullish despite the correction risks, and should the coin clear the overbought momentum readings traders could reenter their position following strict risk management rules. Support is now found near $3.50, $3, and $2,80 while strong resistance is ahead near $4.50 and $5.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 466 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

XRP Price Analysis: Explosive Breakout from Pennant Confirmed; SBI Holdings CEO Bullish on XRP

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  • XRP/USD is enjoying three consecutive sessions of gains, having jumped around 17%.
  • SBI Holdings CEO believes XRP market capitalization will be higher than bitcoin’s.

Ripple’s XRP price has been enjoying a decent move to the north over the past few sessions, as life flows back into the bulls. XRP/USD is currently running at a third consecutive session in the green, having gained around 17% within this period. The explosion of buying pressure came after the price managed to escape a bullish pennant pattern.

XRP/USD: Price Recap

XRP/USD had initially been cooling since the big bull run at the back end of 2018. The price rallied on 24th December up to a high of around $0.4670, before quickly losing upside momentum. It was then forced to trade within the confinements of a descending wedge pattern. XRP lost over 30% in value before it was able to break out from the wedge.

On 8th February a chunky push higher from the bulls was observed, resulting in a breach of the upper acting trend line. XRP/USD jumped around 10% on this day but then eased south to retest the trend line for a few sessions. During the cooling period, price action has formed a pennant structure which saw an eventual big breakout to the upside, as described earlier.

SBI Holdings CEO Bullish on XRP

The SBI Holdings CEO, Yoshitaka Kitao, was recently speaking on XRP and said this year is a significant one for the so-called banker’s cryptocurrency. He believes that the market capitalization of XRP is likely to dwarf bitcoin’s at some point in the future. Kitao has firm belief in the future sucess of XRP and can see it being adopted on a global scale. He was quoted saying:

“Because XRP is already beginning to become international, xRapid will be used for fund transfers in 2019. By increasing the so-called XRP’s plastic use, we anticipate that the XRP market capitalization will easily exceed the market capitalization of bitcoin.”

SBI has many joint ventures set up with Ripple across the blockchain industry; it’s therefore not too surprising to see such comments. The organization will also be launching its very own cryptocurrency exchange called VCTRADE, scheduled for March. Deposits and withdrawals for bitcoin, XRP, and Ethereum (ETH) are already available on the platform.

Technical Review – XRP/USD

XRP/USD daily chart.

Given current upside, eyes must now be on the next likely barriers of resistance for the bulls. A supply area noted from $0.3450 up to $0.3600 is the next target; XRP has not traded comfortably above this region since 10th January. A break above this zone should put the bulls in an excellent position to retest the $0.4000 area. On several occasions, this price territory has caused issues for the bulls in their attempts to push further north. In terms of support, this is seen back down at the psychological $0.3000 mark. If that fails to hold, then there is a demand which runs from $0.3000 down to $0.2500.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 124 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Analysis

3 Things You Need to Know About the Market Today: New High in Gold, Dow 26,000?, Euro Weakness

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1, Gold Jumps to 9-Month High, $1360 in Sight

Gold Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

We have been following the resurrection of gold in the past few months, and since fundamentals just got better for the precious metal, the current technical strength is great news for long-term investors. Today, gold quietly reached a new 9-month high, despite the still ongoing risk rally and the relative strength of the US Dollar.

The metal topped the $1330 level, and with the next major resistance level being found near $1360, a quick surge to the vicinity is in the cards in the coming days. We continue to advise holding gold for the long run, and for now, the short-term technicals also remain bullish. Should the risk rally finally roll over, the uptrend could even accelerate, with longer-term targets being found near $1400 and $1550.

2, US Stocks Drift Lower After Long Weekend as Trade Talks Resume

Dow 30 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

US stocks are having a quiet start for the day, with the major indices drifting slightly lower following the long weekend. The US economic calendar is empty today, and all eyes will be on the trade talks with China which are set to resume today in Washington in the wake of the unexpected extension of last week’s round of negotiations in Beijing.

The Dow, which approached the 26,000 level last week during the Friday surge to new 9-week highs, is lower today, in-line with the market-wide trends. The mega-cap index could get a lift in early trading thanks to the better-than-expected quarterly report by Walmart (WMT). The firm’s holiday-quarter sales topped estimates, despite the reports regarding the widening growth-gap between online and brick-and-mortar stores, and in light of the positive guidance by the company, the pre-market surge in the stock is no surprise.

With the week’s main economic releases coming in the second half of the period, today we could be in for another choppy session on Wall Street. That said, the momentum of the recovery-rally continues to be suspicious, and especially given the weakness in the Nasdaq, investors should pay close attention to the Volatility Index (VIX), market internals and other under-the-hood indicators for signs of negative divergences.

3, Euro Under Pressure Again, Despite Sentiment Beat

EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While the Dollar’s break-out to new multi-year highs still didn’t happen last week, technicals continue to agree that the long-term uptrend in the reserve currency will continue. The Euro, on the other hand, is still showing signs of broad weaknes, drifing lower against the Dollar and the Pound today, despite the better-than-expected German Zew Economic Sentiment report.

The indicator is still deep in negative territory, and together with the recent weakness in the Eurozone PMIs and industrial production, recessionary fears seem to be legit in Europe.

We will have a new batch of PMIs coming out tomorrow, and together with the Fed minutes a huge day could be ahead for forex markets and especially for the EUR/USD pair. The 1.12 level could be tested in the case of another negative surprise in the PMIs, while the Fed minutes will be under scrutiny even more than usual following the sharp dovish shift by the Central Bank.

ChartBook

Major Stock Indices

S&P 500 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Nasdaq 100 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

VIX (US Volatility Index), 4-Hour Chart Analysis

DAX 30 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

FTSE 100 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EuroStoxx50 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Nikkei 225 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Shanghai Composite Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EEM (Emerging Markets ETF), 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Forex

USD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

GBP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EUR/GBP, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

AUD/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Commodities

WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Copper Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Featured image from Shutterstock

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 466 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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