Connect with us

Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s Brush With Oversold Levels Suggests Selloff May Be Over – For Now

Published

on

Bitcoin’s epic collapse culminated on Thursday with a price-per-coin of around $6,130, prompting an imminent reversal. Though possibly short-lived, bitcoin’s bounce can be attributed to one of its worst RSI readings in almost two years.

Bitcoin Price Update

The value of bitcoin plunged toward $6,100, its lowest in two months, as volatile futures activity and a dearth of new buyers extended the gut-wrenching decline. With the fall, bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI) crashed below 30 in one of the more convincing signs of oversold conditions.

Barchart’s modified RSI of bitcoin fell into the 20s late Wednesday, prompting an immediate rebound. Prices were last seen trading around $6,400 after hitting a high of $6,547.19.

Even with the modest recovery attempt, bitcoin values are down more than 16% over the past five days. The coin’s trading volumes have risen to around $5.2 billion for the day, compared with a broader market turnover of just $16.6 billion.

At current prices, bitcoin has a total market capitalization of $110.5 billion, which is slightly lower than the April Fool’s bottom.

Bitcoin Futures Fueling the Decline

To understand bitcoin’s recent volatility, one has to observe the futures market, which has introduced both opportunity and chaos to the world’s largest crypto asset.

Volatility around CBOE and CME futures expirations has been flagged by Thomas Lee as a potential factor for bitcoin’s recent slide. In a report issued on Thursday, Lee utilized Justin Saslaw’s theory that BTC/USD tends to fall into expiration. Since the futures contracts were launched, there have been six expirations, including one on June 13.

According to Lee, traders tend to long bitcoin and short the futures contract. With this setup in place, holders could sell a bigger share of their coins at a volume weighted average price to reduce tracking error. During expiration, they may sell the remaining bitcoin, thus triggering a price collapse. When this occurs, their short position in the futures contract finishes with a solid profit.

As we’ve noted before, the influx of new traders into crypto has dwindled significantly in recent months. A greater net supply of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies partly explains the market’s massive slump from its January peak.

Firms like Coinbase are betting on traditional capital driving the next leg of the bull market, but institutional tools are presently limited. Although Goldman Sachs and several others are entering crypto, it may be a while still before new capital flows emerge.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
3 votes, average: 4.33 out of 53 votes, average: 4.33 out of 53 votes, average: 4.33 out of 53 votes, average: 4.33 out of 53 votes, average: 4.33 out of 5 (3 votes, average: 4.33 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 499 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




Feedback or Requests?

Analysis

Technical Analysis: BTC/Tether

Published

on

Tradingview is a web application that allows full charting abilities for free. Different online brokerages have different charting abilities and tools.  Using tradingview.com, I was able to utilize Fibonacci zones with the following levels: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8%, and 100.00%. I did not set support or resistance levels because they are irrelevant to this analysis. Using indicators such as volume, moving-average convergence divergence (MACD), and Relative Strength Indicators, we are able to predict the movement in the price of Bitcoin relative to Tether. One Tether (USDT) is equal to one U.S dollar, give or take 3 cents.

This 3 day analysis uses price movements plunging into the 61.8% Fibonacci zone to trigger a buy signal. From there, we verify the buy signal with the MACD indicator below the chart. Notice how the MACD looks like a sell signal, but in fact goes back negative. Moving from a negative spread to a positive spread, triggers the buy signal as the price bounces off of the 61.8% Fibonacci level.

Following the next two days, I conducted another analysis using the same strategy. This time I inserted a support where three touches occur in the price.  Bitcoin’s price took a dive on volume pointing to a massive selloff. We were able to capitalize on this by waiting until the price crossed the Fibonacci barrier into the 61.8% zone. From there, the MACD spread checked out at -8.68. A buy signal was created and we waited until the price neared the top of the 50.0% zone.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
1 vote, average: 1.00 out of 51 vote, average: 1.00 out of 51 vote, average: 1.00 out of 51 vote, average: 1.00 out of 51 vote, average: 1.00 out of 5 (1 votes, average: 1.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

1 stars on average, based on 1 rated postsMichael Genna works in Business Development at Benzinga, a financial media and technology company located in downtown Detroit. He attends Wayne State University, majoring in finance with a minor in economics.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

Billionaire Hedge Fund Managers Spar on Bitcoin’s Potential

Published

on

The bitcoin price is now gunning for $7,500, and after yesterday’s performance, it’s no time to be underestimating the leading cryptocurrency by market cap. It’s been too long since bitcoin’s 10% advance would seem modest in comparison to some of its altcoin peers, but that’s precisely the case today, with coins like Stellar, Cardano and Zcash all advancing between 15%-33%. Bitcoin bulls are coming out of the woodwork, including the likes of billionaire hedge fund manager Marc Lasry, who appeared on CNBC.

Lasry, who is a co-founder of the $9.6 billion investment firm Avenue Capital Group, is calling for bitcoin $40,000. The catalysts will be bitcoin making its way into the mainstream and becoming less cumbersome to trade, the timing for which can be more difficult to predict. Lasry has been a bitcoin bull since at least last year when he reportedly kicked himself for not getting in on the cryptocurrency when it was still trading in the low hundreds of dollars. He told CNBC:

“As it gets more into the mainstream, and as more markets end up allowing it to trade where it’s freely tradable, to me that’s more of the bet.”

While hedge funds are among the institutional investors that are expected to begin pouring capital into the crypto space, Lasry has bitcoin in his personal portfolio, not the firm’s, despite the fact that Avenue Capital is no stranger to risk, as evidenced by distressed debt as its investment strategy. But with companies like Coinbase providing a custody solution, there are going to fewer and fewer reasons for hedge fund traders not to join. Especially given the bullish technical signs that are ahead.

Well, maybe not Lasry’s billionaire peer Ken Griffin, who is at the helm of hedge fund Citadel. He told CNBC he doesn’t believe in bitcoin, and neither do any of his portfolio managers. Griffin finds bitcoin to be a “head scratcher” and even advised the up-and-coming generations to find something more productive to do rather than wasting their money on cryptocurrencies.

Don’t expect Citadel to open a position in bitcoin any time soon, as Griffin told CNBC: “I have a hard time finding myself wanting to be in a position of being a liquidity provider for a product I don’t believe in.”

Moving Average

Meanwhile, with the cryptocurrency market finally out of the doldrums, you might be wondering where it goes from here. Fundstrat Co-Founder Thomas Lee pointed out on CNBC that the bitcoin price currently trading 30% below its 200-day moving average. From a historical perspective in 2011 and 2014, that’s a “positive signal.”

Source: CNBC

Both times that bitcoin was trading 30% below its 200-day moving average, it found a bottom within a month. And looking ahead for the coming six months, “you’re going to do pretty well owning bitcoin here,” Lee said. So basically, he’s advising investors to hold their bitcoin.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
1 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 5 (1 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 24 rated postsGerelyn has been covering ICOs and the cryptocurrency market since mid-2017. She's also reported on fintech more broadly in addition to asset management, having previously specialized in institutional investing. She owns some BTC and ETH.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Altcoins

Cryptocurrency Market Cap Approaches $300 Billion as Bitcoin, Altcoins Continue Surging

Published

on

Cryptocurrencies were nearing an important psychological milestone Wednesday, as surging trade volumes propelled the market to its highest level in five weeks.

Market Update

The digital asset market has tacked on over $26 billion in the last 24 hours to reach $296.1 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. At this pace, $300 billion is likely within reach in the coming day. Total market prices have been capped below that level since June 12.

Daily trade volumes on global exchanges now exceed $20 billion for the first time since May. Three exchanges processed more than $1 billion worth of trades.

Bitcoin, which was the main catalyst for the rally, has retained a 43% share of the total market. The largest cryptocurrency by trading volumes and market cap is up nearly 11% over the past 24 hours to trade at $7,741. The bitcoin price peaked just below 7,500 overnight.

Altcoins have also picked up the pace, with all the majors reporting solid gains. Ethereum was up 6% as prices approached $500. Ripple XRP gained almost 9% to $0.513.

Stellar Lumens led the double-digit gainers with returns of 28.4% over the last 24 hours. XLM now sits at $0.296.

Cardano’s ADA coin jumped 19.6% to $0.181. Bitcoin cash, the no. 5 currency, rose 10.1% to $872.

Bitcoin Volumes Double

Bitcoin’s trading volumes have virtually doubled over the past week, as positive headlines surrounding adoption and regulation triggered renewed interest in the cryptocurrency. Hacked previously reported that daily trade volumes of $4 billion or greater are needed to sustain a meaningful rally for the bitcoin price. On Wednesday, bitcoin turned over nearly $6.6 billion.

Tether – a cryptocurrency pegged to the dollar that is often traded against bitcoin – continues to exhibit higher than normal trade volumes. On Wednesday, USDT trades generated $4.2 billion in volume, which is an all-time high.

Unlike previous rallies that appeared technical in nature, the latest uptrend was sparked by news that a trillion-dollar asset manager was exploring ways to enter the cryptocurrency market.

BlackRock, which controls over $6 trillion in assets, has assembled a working group to explore crypto adoption. In an interview, CEO Larry Fink said his firm is a “big student of blockchain” but that he does not see “huge demand for cryptocurrencies” at the moment.

Fink has changed his tune compared to last year, when he called crypto assets “an index for money laundering.”

Coinbase, a large and influential digital currency exchange, has also fueled positive sentiment after the firm said it had gained regulatory approval to begin listing security tokens. Last week, Coinbase also said it had short-listed five cryptocurrencies for future consideration on its exchange.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 499 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

5 of 15 Seats Available

Learn more here.

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

A part of CCN

Hacked.com is Neutral and Unbiased

Hacked.com and its team members have pledged to reject any form of advertisement or sponsorships from 3rd parties. We will always be neutral and we strive towards a fully unbiased view on all topics. Whenever an author has a conflicting interest, that should be clearly stated in the post itself with a disclaimer. If you suspect that one of our team members are biased, please notify me immediately at jonas.borchgrevink(at)hacked.com.

Trending