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Bitcoin Price Extends Slide as Bulls Struggle to Keep Momentum Alive

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Bitcoin’s price was back on the defensive Friday, with the technical charts showing a breakdown of bullish momentum following an early-week rally that saw a large influx of capital enter the crypto market.

BTC/USD Price Update

The bitcoin price is currently trading at $6,442 on Bitfinex, having declined 0.5% from the previous day. The leading digital currency bottomed at $6,412.90 on Bitfinex but saw lower lows on Coinbase. Market-wide volumes were recorded at $4.6 billion, according to latest available data. With the decline, bitcoin has pared its weekly gain to around 0.9%.

The downshift experienced by bitcoin in the last two days has invalidated the bullish trend that emerged earlier in the week. The MACD and relative strength index (RSI) – two key measures of momentum – declined sharply on Friday, based on the 4-hour chart. The BTC price has also fallen back below the 20-period moving average.

At current prices, bitcoin has a total market capitalization of $111.3 billion.

Rally Loses Steam

Crypto assets across the board were down on Friday, erasing impressive gains made earlier in the week. The combined value of all cryptocurrencies in circulation fell to around $213.2 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. On Wednesday, the market peaked at $221 billion.

While there was no immediate catalyst for the decline, profit-taking and extreme overbought conditions for coins like BCH and XRP likely contributed to the market-wide slump. At the height of the rally, bitcoin cash had added more than 53% week-on-week, as investors opened new positions ahead of next week’s planned hard fork.

Although bitcoin eventually followed its main competitor higher, price action for BTC was much more subdued. This is further reflected in the bitcoin volatility index, which tracks how much the BTC price varies over time. As of Thursday, the volatility index was 1.48% over the last 30 days. That’s higher than last month’s nearly two-year low but well below levels seen since the latest bear market began.

Despite the latest string of losses, the cryptocurrency market is on track for a sizable weekly gain. The total market cap has gained $8 billion since last Friday, with trade volumes jumping 25% over that period.

After falling below 52% on Wednesday, bitcoin’s dominance rate is back above that threshold at last check. This means more than 52% of the cryptocurrency market cap is held in bitcoin, with the remainder being allocated to alternative coins and tokens.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 673 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Blockchain

Blockchain and Real Estate: An Industry Overview

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Blockchain is going to change nearly every industry under the sun, but the effect will not always be the same. The big strengths of blockchain technology are efficiency, security, and transparency, and each industry will be affected in a slightly different manner.

Real estate is one example of an industry that presents a huge opportunity for the technology, with different areas showing weakness and providing a chance for the technology to reign supreme.

How Real Estate Connects to Blockchain

The fact is that distributed ledgers provide a level of efficiency that current systems lack. The technology also prevents fraud and increases trust in the system, since all the information is public. Finally, even though blockchain technology is transparent, it is also private.

Combine all these features, and you have a big winner of an innovation. One of the topmost predicted innovations is the tokenization of assets, which will lower transaction costs and open up commercial real estate to more retail participants.

The three most sought after purposes for blockchain technology are smart contracts, transfers of value, and record keeping.

Current Big Players

As would be expected, the biggest companies have the largest opportunity for growth within the space. For example, Propy was founded in 2015 and raised $15 million for a platform that allows for international home purchases. It is essentially AirBnb for foreign investors, but operates in a much more efficient manner.

Harbor fulfills a more niche function by helping list real estate and private equity assets in an SEC compliant manner. There is huge value in adding liquidity to these assets, and the ability to resell them adds even more liquidity. However, current regulations prevent the trading of these security tokens, if at least for the time being.

Finally, you have a company like Ubitquity that focuses on the record-keeping aspect of real estate, which is probably where the most inefficiencies are. The innovation here is simple: humans make errors, blockchain doesn’t. It also can’t be incentivized to commit fraud and works as an AI solution to much of the problems in the space.

What’s the Hold Up?

Right now, one of the biggest holdups is the nascent stage of the technology. No one can decide upon the proper consensus protocol, and that has slowed down its chances of being accepted by the industry-at-large anytime soon.

Processing speed is also a common objection that needs to be faced before a scalable solution begins implementation.

It is expected that the real estate industry will adopt blockchain technology in accordance with their clients’ needs. Whether occupiers or investors have adopted it will have a huge effect on their decisions to adopt it. Based on past experience, banks and insurers are likely to be some of the first to adopt the technology.

Analysts in both the technology and real estate industry tend to agree that it is reasonable to expect widespread adoption within a decade, with many more individual applications being formulated  along the way.

As an investor, the best course of action is to investigate the individual use cases, and make a decision based on which one you believe will have the strongest future in each space.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Bitcoin

The $700 Billion Question

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As losses in the crypto universe continue to mount, U.S. regulators are once again asking whether last year’s bull market was artificially inflated. According to Bloomberg, the federal probe is intensifying now that bitcoin’s price floor has been severely breached.

Tangled Web

As Hacked previously reported, federal prosecutors have uncovered a suspicious relationship between Bitfinex, Tether and bitcoin. To recap: Bitfinex is one of the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges and Tether is the company behind the controversial USDT stablecoin. Both companies share the same executives and were part of a federal subpoena last year.

The U.S. Department of Justice suspects that Bitfinex and USDT may have been used to inflate bitcoin’s price, which peaked north of $19,500 last December. Since USDT is the quote currency on a large volume of bitcoin trades, Tether may have printed and released more units of the token on Bitfinex at crucial moments throughout 2017. Tether’s lack of transparency fueled suspicion that the company didn’t have the reserves to back up the number of tokens it had in circulation. (As a dollar-backed stablecoin, Tether claims to have a dollar-USDT ratio of one-to-one.)

Tether allayed those concerns earlier this month by announcing a new banking relationship with Deltec Bank & Trust, a Bahamas-based financial institution. However, from the perspective of investor sentiment, the damage may have already been done.

Recently, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) slapped civil penalties on two cryptocurrency companies that failed to register their initial coin offerings as securities. The SEC’s regulatory clampdown, combined with the year-long downturn in market prices, has put the ICO market on ice over the past four months.

U.S. regulators, including the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), are also reportedly investigating the impact of spoofing on digital currency trades. The illegal practice involves flooding the market into fake orders to trick other traders into buying or selling a particular asset.

Futures Trading Spikes

Bets against bitcoin have skyrocketed over the past week, as evidenced by the open interest in futures contracts. According to Bloomberg, the combined open interest in bitcoin futures operated by CME Group and CBOE reached an equivalent of 22,266 bitcoin on Monday, the highest on record.

BitMEX, a popular cryptocurrency derivatives platform, has seen an upsurge in trading volume amid the market downturn. As of Tuesday, the platform processed more than 41% of bitcoin trades placed on virtual currency exchanges, according to CoinMarketCap. That’s equivalent to roughly $3.6 billion, based on today’s volumes. As Hacked previously mentioned, trading in over-the-counter markets is likely equivalent to the orders placed on virtual currency exchanges. This means there’s a lot going on behind the scenes that data fees like CoinMarketCap do not reveal.

The bitcoin price plunged below $4,300 on Tuesday, setting a new 13-month low. This has contributed to a much wider selloff in the crypto universe, with the total market capitalization of all coins reaching a low of $140 billion earlier in the day. That represents a decline $71 billion over seven days.

Since peaking above $840 billion in January, the crypto market cap has lost a staggering $700 billion. Gains and losses of this magnitude will continue to fuel speculation that manipulation is at least partly responsible for the shake-up in prices.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 673 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Price Prediction for Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum: Crypto Bloody Tuesday Sees Falls that Shake Convictions

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  • The BTC/USD hits a low of $4,212 and eyes $3,500 in the next few days.
  • The XRP/USD panics below $0.41 but recovers $0.45 amid high uncertainty.
  • The ETH/USD marks a trough at $125 and could move below $100.

If Hollywood creates the script of what’s happening on the Crypto Board, they wouldn’t have done any better. When it seemed that the story had a hero called Ripple, untouchable and immutable to his environment, the scene begins where the saving hero on which the civilization of Cryptocurrencies depended falls and exposes its weaknesses.

After a first attempt by the BTC/USD to the $5,000 price level through the American session was rejected, a new attempt hours later has broken forcefully that level and reached $4,600.

We saw the same with ETH/USD, once drilled at the psychological level of $150, it reached $137 in the Asian session.

In the short term, the indicators that we will see in the detailed analysis invite us to think about a possible short-term rebound in the next 24-36 hours. This rebound would initiate the process of rotating the charts in the daily range. However, we are going to see new lows, levels unthinkable two weeks ago.

My personal opinion is that at that point, with practically all hands weak and empty, the strong hands will enter the market with full steam, buying a selection of assets that will probably leave some cryptocurrencies in the mud and lift others’ heads. However, the Crypto board will have changed hands, or whales, forever.

BTC/USD 240-Minutes

The BTC/USD is currently trading at the $4,432 price level, drawing a chart that looks very scary. The drop is extreme and except for a slight recovery after piercing $5,000 yesterday, the comeback didn’t last long, and sellers have come back strongly.

The plummet takes away any level of buying if there is anyone still in the market trying to catch falling knives. With this violence, it is most likely that any rise is merely a closing of short positions than a movement of real accumulation. The price reductions are in their early hours, and there are still a few days left until Black Friday.

Below the current price, the first support for the BTC/USD is at the price level of $3,930 (support for price congestion). The second support awaits at $3,250 (price congestion support) and the third support level at $2,900 (price congestion support). These are levels that represent wild drops in percentage terms and that, if they occur, would raise a whole series of comments about the very survival of this market.

Above the current price, the first resistance to consolidate at the current price level is $4,400 (price congestion resistance). If the BTC/USD manages to hold and close above this level, it will begin to consider it as a support point for the first considerable pull-back of the current bear storm. The second resistance level is $4,918 (price congestion resistance) and it may stop the brief bullish attempt done yesterday. The third resistance level at $5,381, is a confluence of the long-term down channel baseline, a price congestion resistance and a few dollars above the EMA50.

The MACD at 240-Minutes shows a profile of strong bearish inclination and with lines very separated. Momentum continues to be strongly bearish, and it may still take quite some time to see a rebound of some intensity.

The 240-Minute DMI shows how bears have absolute control of the situation. They mark levels above the 50th level of the indicator, a level considered as a healthy trend. On the other hand, the bulls give up and move for minimum standards that, if only for extremes should react to the rise. The ADX responds to downturns by increasing its trend level to levels not seen since December 2018.

XRP/USD 240-Minutes

Ripple is the hope that holds firm the conviction that there is a future in Cryptocurrencies at this time, and seeing it plummet has raised doubts throughout the Crypto ecosystem.

Below the current price, the first support is in the long-term trend line coming mid-September at $0.44. The second support at $0.429 (price congestion support) would take the XRP/USD out of its bullish scenario and into the same bearish chaos scenario as Bitcoin and Ethereum. The third support at $0.413 (price congestion support) would be the last hope for a fall to $0.367 (price congestion support).

Above the current price, the first resistance is at the price level of $0.48 (trend line leading the movement from lows). If the XRP/USD can exceed this level, the second resistance at $0.505 (price congestion resistance). The third resistance level is at $0.584 (price congestion resistance) holds the key to a strongly bullish scenario that would aim to exceed $1 quite easily.

The MACD at 240-Minutes has cut down the zero line, currently losing that important support and forcing to consider bearish movements in the near future. The opening between lines is minimal for now. If the price were to rise it would leave a divergent formation of a strong bullish component. On the contrary, price declines would deepen the bearish side and we could see really strong declines.

The 240-Minute DMI shows us that bears are taking advantage of the ADX line, which would indicate a continuation of the price decline. The bulls decrease their activity but far from the minimum levels. The ADX reacts to the recent declines but in trend levels considered as moderate.

ETH/USD 240-Minutes

The ETH/USD is currently trading at the $132 price level after leaving the minimum fall in support of the $125 price level indicated a few days ago. I don’t consider that the drop is going to stay here, but it is possible that from this level there will be a small rebound in the next 24-36 hours.

Below the current price, the first support in the already commented level is at $125 (support for price congestion). The second support at $94 (price congestion support), would break the mythical barrier of $100 and would cause the headlines of the best horror movies. However, this could only be the headline since terror would be in the third level of support at $80 (price congestion support). In the edited FXStreet Chart you can see more levels.

Above the current price, the first resistance is at $155 (price congestion resistance). The second resistance is at $170 (price congestion resistance). Finally, as a third resistance, the EMA50 at $178 meets the fourth resistance at $180 (price congestion resistance).

The MACD at 240-Minutes shows a very downwardly inclined profile with very open lines. This structure protects the continuity of the descents at least for today.

The 240-Minute DMI shows us a situation similar to that seen in the BTC/USD. The bears go to maximum levels while the bulls retire and show us no intention to enter the game. For its part, the ADX reaches levels not seen since December 2018 and support the continuity of direction and strength of the movement.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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